Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s Philadelphia Flyers at Tampa Bay Lightning sports betting odds and lines, with NHL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Philadelphia Flyers (32-19-7) visit the Tampa Bay Lightning (38-15-5) Saturday for a 4 p.m. ET puck drop at Amalie Arena. We analyze the Flyers-Lightning sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.

Flyers at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Carter Hart vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy

Hart is 2-0 since returning to the lineup Feb. 10. He stopped 56 of a total of 59 shots in a home-and-home sweep of the Florida Panthers. The 21-year-old is 17-11-3 on the season with a .908 save percentage and 2.54 goals against average.

Vasilevskiy has rifled off seven straight victories, and he hasn’t suffered a regulation loss since Dec. 14. The reigning Vezina Trophy winner is 31-9-3 on the year with a .921 SV% and 2.41 GAA.


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Flyers at Lightning: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list.
Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Flyers 2, Lightning 1

Moneyline (ML)

Hart got the road win his last time out, but he remains just 3-9-1 with a .857 SV% and 3.85 GAA through 16 road games. As a result, the FLYERS (+155) are just 13-14-3 on the road for the season. They’ll be our play Saturday with Hart back in top form as the Flyers push for a playoff spot.

The Lightning (-189) are on a nine-game winning streak but Steven Stamkos (lower body) and Nikita Kucherov (lower body) remain questionable for the matinee tilt. The odds weigh too heavily on Tampa Bay’s winning streak, and a good Flyers team is worth a shot. The Lightning earned a 1-0 win Jan. 11 in Philadelphia in the only head-to-head meeting of the year thus far.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Flyers to win in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $15.50.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The FLYERS (+1.5, -167) should also be backed with 1 goal of insurance in the event of a loss. Two of the Lightning’s last three games went to overtime and were decided by a score of 2-1. The Flyers are 34-24 against the spread overall and 15-15 on the road. The Lightning are 26-32 ATS overall and 13-15 at home.

Over/Under (O/U)

Play the alternate total line and bet UNDER 5.5 (+135) for a better return on your investment. The actual line of 6.5 pays out at just -154 for the Under.

The Lightning, led by Vasilevskiy, have played to the Over just once across their last 10 games. The Flyers are 5-5 against the projected total over their last 10 games.

Esten’s NHL betting record: 233-217

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