Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Philadelphia 76ers (49-25) face the Denver Nuggets (50-24) Monday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the 76ers vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The 76ers were unable to cover as 1-point road underdogs in Saturday’s 125-105 loss to the Phoenix Suns. Philadelphia is now only 2 games ahead of the Cleveland Cavaliers for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Nuggets cruised to a 129-106 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks as 3-point home favorites on Saturday. Denver is 3 games ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

This will be the second meeting between these teams this season. The 76ers won 126-119 as 3-point home favorites while the Over (232) connected in the first meeting on Jan. 28.

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76ers at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): 76ers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): 76ers +4.5 (-105) | Nuggets -4.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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76ers at Nuggets key injuries

76ers

  • C Joel Embiid (calf) questionable
  • G James Harden (Achilles) questionable

Nuggets

  • F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

76ers at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 118, 76ers 111

Moneyline

AVOID.

Even though the Nuggets (-200) are expected to secure the victory at home, taking them to win at the current odds isn’t worth the risk.

Against the spread

NUGGETS -4.5 (-115) is my play in this highly anticipated matchup between Embiid and Jokic (assuming Embiid plays) as they are competing for the NBA MVP award in the final weeks of the season. Denver has looked like the much better team recently as it hopes to remain the No. 1 seed in the West down the stretch.

The Nuggets are also 23-13-1 ATS in their 37 home games this season.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-115).

There is a ton of offensive firepower in this game if either or both Embiid and Harden suit up for the 76ers. However, both of these teams are in the bottom 9 in pace this season.

The 76ers are 6-1 to the Under in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record, and the Nuggets are 5-0 to the Under in their last 5 games overall. The Under is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams.

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Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Philadelphia 76ers at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (28-18) host the Philadelphia 76ers (32-14) Tuesday for a 9 p.m. ET tip-off at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the 76ers-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

This is Philadelphia’s fifth game in a six-game road trip and the Sixers just had their three-game win streak snapped by the Los Angeles Clippers Saturday in a 122-112 loss as 5.5-point road underdogs.

Since the All-Star break, the Sixers are 8-2 straight up (SU) and 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) while outscoring opponents 115.1-103.6 on average.

Denver has won back-to-back games and three of its past four contests while going 3-1 ATS, including a 113-108 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Friday and a 126-102 blowout win against the Atlanta Hawks Sunday.

The Nuggets beat the brakes out of a Ben Simmons-, Tobias Harris– and Joel Embiid-less Sixers team 115-103 Jan. 9, but they failed to cover as 13.5-point road favorites due to Philly outscoring Denver 31-22 in the fourth quarter to sneak in the backdoor.

76ers at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: 76ers +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: 76ers +5 (-110) | Nuggets -5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

76ers at Nuggets: Key injuries

76ers

  • Joel Embiid (knee) out
  • SG George Hill (thumb) out

Nuggets

  • SG Monte Morris (quadriceps) out

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76ers at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 114, 76ers 104

Money line (ML)

PASS because Denver is the right side but the Nuggets (-200) are too expensive for a straight up win.

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Against the spread (ATS)

BET NUGGETS -5 (-110) for 1 unit.

With no Embiid to worry about and Denver reinforcing its frontcourt at the trade deadline by acquiring PF Aaron Gordon and C JaVale McGee, the Nuggets can extend their perimeter defense to prevent elite Philly 3-point shooters SG Danny Green and PG Seth Curry from lighting them up.

Furthermore, according to CleaningTheGlass.com, Denver is 10-5 SU with the sixth-highest net rating in points per 100 possessions and the thirrd-best ATS margin (plus-5.1 points) vs. teams in the top-10 of defensive efficiency.

Also, Denver is 5-4 ATS at home against winning teams and 6-3 ATS when laying between 5-7 points while Philly is 2-5 as a road dog.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight LEAN toward UNDER 220.5 (-105) for one-fifth of a unit because the Nuggets are my preferred side and they play at the second-slowest pace in the league.

According to Pregame.com, more money is on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over and typically the money column is the sharp side of the market.

Bookmakers are reacting to the Under money and have dropped this total from the 222-point opener so if you like the Under you should bet it before the total gets any lower.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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