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2022 U.S. Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 U.S. Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

One of the oldest clubs in the country will play host to the 122nd U.S. Open this week, as The Country Club in Brookline, Mass., will put the top players in the world to the test for 4 days. Jon Rahm is back to defend the title he won last year at Torrey Pines, while Scottie Scheffler and Justin Thomas will look to win their second major of the season. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 U.S. Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Thomas, Rahm and Scheffler come in as the top 3 players in Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, in that order, with Rory McIlroy and Viktor Hovland completing the top 5. Tiger Woods isn’t in the field.

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U.S. Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:13 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+260)

McIlroy is the favorite this week (+1000) after winning the RBC Canadian Open last weekend, and it’s hard not to like his odds in Brookline. He dialed in his wedges, is driving the ball beautifully and though he missed a few short putts last week, he’s rolling it nicely on the greens. He should be near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.

Xander Schauffele (+450)

Schauffele has started his career with 5 straight top-10 finishes in the U.S. Open. I’m betting he’ll keep that streak alive this week, despite being somewhat underrated as a contender. He doesn’t win very often, but he’s regularly in contention, and he hasn’t finished worse than T-18 in any of his last 4 starts – including a T-13 at the PGA Championship.

Shane Lowry (+650)

Lowry has made the cut in 9 straight starts, but what’s more impressive is that he has 7 top-13 finishes in that span. A pure ball-striker and good putter, Lowry fits nicely at The Country Club, so long as he can avoid bogeys when missing greens. At +650, he’s a great value to pull off another near-win in a major.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Tommy Fleetwood (+1200)
  • Will Zalatoris (+650)
  • Justin Thomas (+300)

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U.S. Open – Top-10 picks

Jordan Spieth (+260)

Once again, this week will come down to Spieth’s putter. It has been a weakness of his game all year and it’s the reason he doesn’t have more than 1 win. His iron play and short game around the greens give him an edge this week.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+280)

When Fitzpatrick makes the cut, he puts himself in contention to win. Since the Hero World Challenge in December, he’s finished inside the top-18 in all 10 events where he made the cut. He has missed the cut 3 times in that span, including at the Memorial Tournament, but he should be a popular pick this week, having won the U.S. Amateur at The Country Club in 2013.

Max Homa (+380)

Homa already has 2 wins and 4 top-10 finishes this season and has made the cut in 10 straight starts. His track record in majors is poor, but he finally broke through with a great showing at the PGA with a T-13 at Southern Hills. He does everything well, though he’s not the best scrambler (104th in SG: around the green).

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Justin Rose (+500)

U.S. Open – Top-20 picks

Tommy Fleetwood (+220)

Fleetwood’s name hasn’t been near the top of the leaderboard many times this season, with just 3 top-10s, but he tied for 5th at the PGA Championship on a tough course. He’s a great iron player and his lack of length off the tee won’t put him at a disadvantage on a course that isn’t stretched out like some other U.S. Open tracks. He has 2 top-5s in this championship.

Patrick Reed (+320)

Since 2018, Reed hasn’t finished worse than T-32 in the U.S. Open, and he has 4 top-20s in that span. He has one of the best short games in the world, which will be an asset around the tiny greens at The Country Club. I don’t expect him to win, but I like his chances to finish in the top 20.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Sungjae Im (+155)
  • Tony Finau (+135)

U.S. Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Collin Morikawa (-120) vs. Viktor Hovland (+100)

Once again, we get this fun matchup between 2 outstanding ball-strikers – and 2 not-so-great chippers. I like Morikawa a little bit more this week in Brookline with his accuracy off the tee and, obviously, his irons.

Xander Schauffele (-110) vs. Cameron Smith (-110)

Smith has only truly contended in the U.S. Open once in his career when he tied for 4th in 2015. That’s probably not a coincidence because this tournament requires discipline. Schauffele can plot his way around a course better than Smith, who can get a little bit too aggressive, which doesn’t bode well this week.

Jordan Spieth (-110) vs. Patrick Cantlay (-110)

Admittedly, I like both players this week. But Spieth is one of my favorites to make a legitimate run at winning. Cantlay could wind up in the top 20, as he often does when he tees it up, but Spieth has much higher upside.

U.S. Open – Top Japanese

Hideki Matsuyama (-140)

Matsuyama is far and away the best Japanese player in the field, with Rikuya Hoshino being the next-closest guy at +350. Matsuyama was DQed last week due to an equipment rule, but he’s been playing really well this season.

U.S. Open – Top South American

Joaquin Niemann (+110)

Niemann has a slight edge over Mito Pereira (+190), who has really taken his game to new heights this season. But don’t overlook Niemann, who tied for 3rd at the Memorial and won the Genesis Invitational earlier this year.

U.S. Open – First-round leader

Rory McIlroy (+2000)

Can McIlroy ride the wave of momentum he enters with after winning the RBC Canadian Open? It seems like the perfect time for him to come out with a low first-round score, a rarity for him in the majors.

Cameron Smith (+3000)

I know I picked Schauffele over Smith in my matchups section, but that’s over four rounds. I could see Smith getting on a roll Thursday when the conditions might not be as difficult as they are on Sunday, taking an early lead before fading down the stretch.

More expert prop bet predictions

Top former winner: Rory McIlroy (+210)

Can you tell I like Rory this week? This is a particularly enticing bet because Jon Rahm (+300) and Spieth (+550) are his top competitors. I don’t expect Dustin Johnson to have a great week, Justin Rose might put together a couple of good rounds, and Brooks Koepka has barely played – and just got married. Webb Simpson, Bryson DeChambeau, Gary Woodland and Jim Furyk are the other options, but McIlroy clearly has a big edge over them.

Winning margin: 2 shots (+380)

The U.S. Open doesn’t always yield a close, nail-biting finish. DeChambeau blew away the field in 2020, Woodland won by 3 in 2019, Koepka won by 4 in 2017 and DJ was 3 clear of everyone in 2016. I like a 2-shot win Sunday by someone.

Want some action on the 2022 U.S. Open? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 RBC Canadian Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 RBC Canadian Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

This will be the first time St. George’s Golf and Country Club in Toronto has hosted the Canadian Open since 2010. The field consists of 156 golfers with the top 65 players making the 36-hole cut and a prize pool of $8.7 million.

Even though several of golf’s elite are skipping this tourney to rest and prepare for next week’s 122nd U.S. Open, there are still big names in the field. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 RBC Canadian Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Notable entrants include Golfweek’s No. 2 overall golfer, and 2022 Masters champion, Scottie Scheffler, 2022 PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas, reigning RBC Canadian Open champion Rory McIlroy and this month’s Charles Schwab Challenge champ Sam Burns.

There are numerous ways to eke out a profit betting golf, let’s tackle some prop markets at this week’s 2022 RBC Canadian Open.

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2022 RBC Canadian Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:28 p.m. ET.

Cameron Smith (+250)

As discussed Monday, Smith tops my mixed model rankings for the Canadian Open for various reasons. He’s the 2nd-ranked golfer in this field in Strokes Gained (SG) over the last 5 tournaments and the No. 1-ranked golfer in the world at total SG, according to DataGolf.com.

The weather forecast in Toronto for the Canadian Open shows double-digit wind speeds and gusts in the mid-teens with a possibility of rain Thursday and Sunday. Smith ranks 4th in SG: Total in tournaments with moderate wind speeds (according to FantasyNational.com).

Also, the average winning score of the last 6 Canadian Opens is roughly 19-under-par i.e. easy scoring conditions and Smith is 3rd in this field for SG: Total at courses with easy scoring conditions.

Lastly, Smith has one of the best short-games in the world and St. George’s is a short course that lends itself to golfers who are good around-the-green (ARG) and inside of 150 yards on 2nd shots.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Justin Thomas (+200)

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2022 RBC Canadian Open – Top-10 picks

Tony Finau (+250)

Finau ranks 8th in this field in SG over the last 24 rounds (2 top-10s in his last 4 tourneys). He ranks top-10 for SG in this field in total SG, T2G, off-the-tee (OTT), ball-striking and approach over that span.

The rub on Finau is his struggles in majors, but he typically performs well in weaker fields. Finau has top-10 finishes in several tournaments played on courses comparable to St. George’s, including the Shriners Open (7th in 2014 and 9th in 2019), the American Express (4th in 2021) and the Byron Nelson (10th in 2015).

Finally, Finau should have plenty of scoring opportunities at St. George’s considering he ranks 9th in this field for greens-in-regulation gained (per Fantasy National).

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Shane Lowry (+185)
  • Adam Hadwin (+350)

2022 RBC Canadian Open – Top-20 picks

Adam Hadwin (+162)

Hadwin is an RBC-sponsored Canadian golfer who has performed well at the Canadian Open (6th in 2019 and 7th in 2015).

There’s a solid chance many of the golfers priced ahead of Hadwin are using the Canadian Open as more-or-less a practice tourney for next week’s U.S. Open. But, a Canadian Open victory should mean a little more to Hadwin.

Hadwin has 4 top-20 finishes in his last 7 events played: 18th at the Memorial, 4th at the Valero, 7th at the Valspar and 9th at THE PLAYERS.

More importantly, Hadwin is 5th in my custom stat model over the last 50 rounds including 3rd in SG: Par 3 and 4th in Sand Saves. There are 5 Par 3s at St. George’s and most of the holes are surrounded by bunkers.

Harold Varner III (+140)

We are getting a good price on Varner due to his meltdown on the back-9 in the final round of the Charles Schwab Challenge. Varner was tied for the lead at 10-under at the Schwab after the 11th hole but finished T27 at even par.

Otherwise, Varner has played well this year with a 3rd at the RBC Heritage in April, 6th at THE PLAYERS in March and a victory at the PIF Saudi International on the Asian Tour in February. Despite Varner’s poor finish at the Schwab, he’s still 8th in SG over the last 24 rounds.

Varner also ranks 8th on both my mixed model (provided by Fantasy National) and SG: Par 3 over the last 50 rounds. Furthermore, Varner is 6th in birdies-or-better gained and 19th in Sand Saves over the last 50 rounds.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

2022 RBC Canadian Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Justin Thomas (+100) vs. Scottie Scheffler (-120)

Scheffler has been the hottest golfer on tour this year but I’ll take Thomas as an underdog in a head-to-head at almost any tournament.

Thomas is the best golfer in the world by the eye-ball test, ranks slightly ahead of Scheffler on my custom stat model and slightly ahead of Scheffler in SG for 2022 (per Data Golf).

Also, we could be getting a buy-low spot for Thomas who just missed his first cut in 22 tournaments at the Charles Schwab Challenge while Scheffler lost a playoff to Burns at the Schwab.

Finally, Thomas ranks 1st in SG: T2G at courses less than 7,200 yards in this field, 1st in SG: Total in moderate winds and 1st in SG at courses with easy scoring conditions.

Brendon Todd (+100) vs. Justin Rose (-135) in the 1st round

This is mispriced because Rose is the 2013 U.S. Open champion and has top-10s in several other major appearances whereas Todd has never finished in the top 10 of a major. But Todd is playing much better golf coming into the Canadian Open and performs much better than Rose in a few key areas.

Todd finished 3rd in May’s Charles Schwab Challenge and has a plus-0.69 SG vs. his personal baseline over the last 5 events, per Data Golf. While Rose has a minus-0.63 SG vs. his personal baseline over the last 5 events and has missed the cut in 4 of his last 5 stroke-play tournaments.

Moreover, Todd is 5th in SG: Par 3 and 7th in Sand Saves and over the last 50 rounds with a 72% drive accuracy over the last 12 months (per Fantasy National). Rose is 55th in SG: Par 3 and 105th in Sand Saves with a 62% drive accuracy over the last year.

The Par 3 stat was used since there are 5 Par 3 holes at St. George’s and the Sand Saves because most holes on this course are surrounded by bunkers.

2022 RBC Canadian Open – Top Irish

Shane Lowry (+125)

This is pretty much a head-to-head since the only other Irish golfer available in this market is McIlroy who won the last Canadian Open in 2019.

But this is too good of a price for Lowry, who ranks ahead of McIlroy in several key categories over the past 50 rounds such as SG: Par 3, Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500, Sand Saves and Proximity: 125-200 per Fantasy National.

Also, Lowry is one of the best bad weather golfers in the world so if the elements become a factor at the Canadian Open I want to back a guy like Lowry.

Finally, McIlroy’s price in this market (-180) could be inflated due to him being the defending champion. But, Lowry finished T2 at the 2019 RBC Canadian Open and was only 1 stroke behind McIlroy heading into the final round before McIlroy fired a 9-under in Round 4 to win that tourney.

BET LOWRY (+125) to be the best Irish golfer in this year’s Canadian Open.

2022 RBC Canadian Open – To make the cut

Suggested play in bold.

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick: NO (+280) vs. Yes (-450)

Fitzpatrick missed the cut at last week’s Memorial and generally performs well in tourneys following missed cuts and hasn’t missed 2 straight cuts since 2022.

But Fitzpatrick’s worst putting surface is Bent grass, which makes up the greens at St. George’s. Fitzpatrick gave up 7.6 strokes on the greens at the Memorial (Bent grass greens) and 3.3 strokes putting at April’s RBC Heritage. The Canadian Open could be a birdie-fest so if Fitzpatrick’s putter goes cold he might be done by Friday.

Lastly, Fitzpatrick’s game is better suited for tough scoring conditions and he ranks 61st in this field for SG at comp courses used.

It’s more of a “sprinkle” but FITZPATRICK TO MISS THE CUT (+280) has some value.

More expert prop bet predictions

Will there be a hole in one? Yes (-150)

There are 5 Par 3s at St. George’s and none of them have water hazards so every golfer will be attacking the pin. The 2nd-easiest hole on this course is 6th hole, which is a 146-yard Par 3. Six of the top-10 golfers by Par 3 scoring on the PGA Tour are in the Canadian Open field.

Also, the costly “Yes, there will be a hole in one” price suggests Tipico is trying to steer bettors towards the “No” (+110).

Want some action on the 2022 RBC Canadian Open? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 Memorial Tournament prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Memorial Tournament with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

To kick off the month of June, the PGA Tour will be in Ohio for the 2022 Memorial Tournament, which is hosted by Muirfield Village. The course was designed by Jack Nicklaus and always makes for a fun week from a star-studded field.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Memorial Tournament odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Jon Rahm won the Memorial in 2020 and likely would’ve gone on to defend his title last year if not for a positive COVID-19 test, which forced him to withdraw before the final round with a 6-shot lead. He’s the No. 1 player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

The next-highest-ranked player in the field is Viktor Hovland, who’s 4th in Golfweek’s rankings. Rory McIlroy (5th), Hideki Matsuyama (6th),  Patrick Cantlay (7th), Cameron Smith (8th) and Shane Lowry (9th) are also in the field. Cantlay is the defending champion, and also claimed the title at Muirfield in 2019.

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2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:41 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+280)

McIlroy hasn’t finished outside the top 8 in any of his last 3 starts, with a pair of top-5s. He’s found a rhythm now and while he still usually has 1 round that sinks his week, he’s a great fit at Muirfield where his driver will be a weapon off the tee that gives him a big advantage.

Patrick Cantlay (+320)

Cantlay has won this event twice in the last 3 years and also came in 4th in 2018. So yes, he loves Jack’s place. He shockingly missed the cut in his last start at the PGA Championship but in his previous 2 events, he came in 1st and 2nd. I love his odds to finish top-5.

Xander Schauffele (+425)

Schauffele has gone T-14, T-13 and T-11 in his last 3 starts at the Memorial Tournament, so he’s been getting progressively better. He also has 2 top-5s in his last 3 starts this season, including a win with Cantlay at the Zurich Classic. He comes into this week in good form.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Cameron Young (+750)
  • Shane Lowry (+500)

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2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-10 picks

Jordan Spieth (+210)

Spieth has 5 top-20 finishes in his last 7 starts at the Memorial Tournament, including 2 top-10s. His putter has betrayed him in recent weeks but his ball-striking is plenty good enough to contend at Muirfield. I like his chances to finish near the top again.

Davis Riley (+450)

Riley is making his first start at this tournament but very few people in the world are playing better than him right now. Here are his last 5 starts: T-4, 5, T-9, T-13, T-4. He doesn’t dominate one single category, but he’s decently accurate off the tee, hits it long enough and putts better than average.

Patrick Reed (+480)

Reed had a tough stretch earlier this year when he missed 3 straight cuts, but he’s righted the ship a little bit, finishing T-7 last week in Texas. He’s never missed the cut at the Memorial Tournament and finished 5th last year, so now is a good time to buy low on Reed as he comes to a course that fits him well.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Max Homa (+350)

2022 Memorial Tournament – Top-20 picks

Rickie Fowler (+300)

It’s good to see Fowler playing at least somewhat well lately, with 2 top-25s in his last 3 starts. Since 2017, he’s come in the top-15 four times at this tournament and missed the cut once, so he clearly likes playing Muirfield, and this could be the week he finally notches his 2nd top-10 of the season.

Chris Kirk (+230)

Kirk already has one top-5 finish here (2014) and tied for 26th last year, so his track record at the Memorial is better than average. His last 2 starts resulted in T-5 and T-15 finishes at the PGA Championship and Charles Schwab Challenge, and he fell way down the leaderboard on Sunday with a final-round 74. He’s playing well right now.

2022 Memorial Tournament – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

  • Patrick Cantlay (-135) vs. Collin Morikawa (+115)
  • Shane Lowry (-110) vs. Matthew Fitzpatrick (-110)
  • Davis Riley (+100) vs. Mito Pereira (-120)

It’s really easy to like Cantlay in any matchup this week, given his history at this event. Morikawa’s putter has failed him lately, too, which doesn’t bode well coming into this week.

Lowry tied for 6th here last year, is playing well and in a coinflip with Fitzpatrick, I like the Irishman’s odds.

Pereira responded nicely after heartbreak at the PGA by tying for 7th last week, but Riley at plus-money is a great value against a player who could be in for a step back this week.

2022 Memorial Tournament – Top American

Xander Schauffele (+1000)

Schauffele has the second-best odds of any American, and you’re essentially getting him to win the tournament without the likes of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry and Hideki Matsuyama. It’s a tough group of Americans to beat, but Schauffele is steady as it goes.

2022 Memorial Tournament – Top Australian

Cameron Smith (+200)

Adam Scott, Marc Leishman and Jason Day are Smith’s top competitors among the Australians in the field, but none of them possess the talent and ability to go really low like Smith.

2022 Memorial Tournament – First-round leader

Jordan Spieth (+3000)

Spieth had the second-lowest score of the opening round in 2019 when he fired a 66. He was also near the top with a first-round 70 in 2020. If his putter heats up, he can pour in the birdies on Thursday.

Patrick Cantlay (+3000)

Cantlay opened with a 68 and 69 in his 2 wins at the Memorial, so it’s not as if he began the week with a really low score. But he’s the type of player who can rack up the birdies thanks to his consistent putting. He should be up there after the first round on Thursday.

More expert prop bet predictions

Will there be a playoff? Yes: (+300)

This is a major-like field with a lot of talent, and the final winning margin isn’t usually more than 2 shots. Five of the last 8 Memorial Tournaments have ended in a playoff. It’ll come down to the wire and we’ll get a playoff for the 3rd straight week.

Top English: Matthew Fitzpatrick (-150)

At -150, it’s pretty obvious that there isn’t a lot of strong contenders coming from the field of Englishmen this week. Aaron Rai has the second-best odds at +400, but Fitzpatrick shouldn’t have much trouble finishing as the top player from England this week.

Want some action on the 2022 TOURNAMENT NAME? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

There’s no post-major rest for many of the game’s top players this week as they compete at the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge. Last week’s PGA Champion Justin Thomas will be in the field at Colonial Country Club, seeking to go back-to-back and keep the momentum going after his miraculous comeback on Sunday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Thomas unsurprisingly ranks No. 1 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, one spot ahead of Jon Rahm and two in front of World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who is also in the Colonial field. Viktor Hovland is the 5th-ranked player in Golfweek’s rankings, his 2nd appearance at this event.

Colonial Country Club is hosting this tournament for the 77th time and like Southern Hills last week, it’s a par 70 and was designed by Perry Maxwell, so there will be some familiar elements – though the fairways are considerably narrower and the greens are once again on the smaller side.

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:07 p.m. ET.

Jordan Spieth (+350)

Since 2013, Spieth has 6 top-10 finishes in the event and won it once. Colonial seems to be one of his favorite courses based on the way he’s played there, finishing solo 2nd last year. He has a win and 3 total top-5 finishes this year, and I think he adds another this week.

Collin Morikawa (+380)

With narrow fairways and small greens, Morikawa’s accuracy off the tee and approaching the greens will give him an advantage. The one concern is his chipping around the greens, which ranks among the worst on tour (172nd in strokes gained: around the green). He tied for 14th last year and was runner-up in 2020.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Tony Finau (+750)
  • Abraham Ancer (+750)

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2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-10 picks

Kevin Na (+480)

Since 2012, Na has won this tournament once (2019) and come in the top 10 twice. He’s very accurate off the tee (66% of fairways hit) and ranks 29th in SG: approach the green, so he has a similar game to Morikawa, albeit at a lower level.

Talor Gooch (+400)

In 19 starts, Gooch has incredibly come in the top 25 a dozen times, including 4 top-10s. When he’s made the cut, he’s played well on the weekend too, finishing outside the top-30 only once this season after making the cut. Gooch tied for 14th last year and has made the cut 3 of his 4 trips here.

Will Zalatoris (+240)

It would be easy to think Zalatoris might be in for a down week after losing the PGA Championship in a playoff, but he’s a resilient young player and will remain focused in Texas this week. He putted better than expected at Southern Hills and obviously hit the ball extremely well, carrying momentum into this week.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – Top-20 picks

Doug Ghim (+380)

Ghim finished this event 5-under last year, which was good for a tie for 14th. But what’s most encouraging is that he’s finished in the top 35 in 3 of his last 4 events. His iron play is good enough to contend this week, but his putter has been ice cold. That’ll need to change for him to come in the top 20.

Max Homa (+140)

All Homa does is finish in the top 20. He’s done so 9 times this season, including 2 wins. His record at Colonial isn’t great, missing the cut twice in 3 tries, but the way he played in the PGA Championship was impressive and he rides the momentum of 3 straight top-21s into this week.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Davis Riley (+190)

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Justin Rose (-110) vs. Tom Hoge (-110)

Rose played well at the PGA Championship and thanks to a final-round 68 finished tied for 13th. Hoge has been playing well as of late too, but Rose’s putting has been excellent this year and he hits a lot of fairways.

Davis Riley (-110) vs. Gary Woodland (-110)

Riley is a great driver of the ball, ranking 46th in distance (306.3) and 54th in accuracy (63.6%) off the tee. He’s never had as strong of a stretch as he’s currently enjoying either, finishing no worse than T-13 in his last 4 starts. Woodland has been too inconsistent for my liking.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – Top English

Justin Rose (+260)

There arent many Englishmen in the field this week (6), which has Rose with the 2nd-best odds in this group, lower than only Tommy Fleetwood (+190). Both players finished strong at the PGA Championship so they’ll come into this week with some confidence, but I just like Rose’s odds and value a bit better.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge – First-round leader

Patton Kizzire (+7000)

Kizzire ranks 6th on tour in first-round scoring average (68.5) this season. That, paired with his 3rd-place finish here last year – helped by a first-round 67 – makes him a nice long-shot pick to lead the field on Thursday.

Scottie Scheffler (+2000)

Scheffler will be motivated to bounce back from a disappointing missed cut at Southern Hills, largely thanks to his double-bogey on the final hole of Friday’s 2nd round. He can get on the birdie train rather quickly and stay aboard for a while. On the season, he has 8 sub-70 first-round scores.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Davis Riley (+330)

Gary Woodland (+280), Jason Kokrak (+300), Chris Kirk (+380) and Sebastian Munoz (+380) are the other players in this group, which is a very competitive collection of players – including last year’s champion Kokrak. But Riley is trending better than any of those other 4, which is why I’m taking him to win this group.

Winning margin: 1 shot (+250)

There are too many good players in this field for one guy to pull away with a big win. I’m also tempted to bet that there will be a playoff at +300, which is how things were settled in 2020, but I like a 1-shot victory better.

Want some action on the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Tiger Woods: 2022 PGA Championship prop bet picks and predictions

Analyzing Tiger Woods’ odds and prop bets for the 2022 PGA Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Tiger Woods will be in the field for his second event — and second major — of the season this week, teeing it up at the 104th PGA Championship in Tulsa. It’s being held at Southern Hills, which is the same course Woods won the Wanamaker Trophy at in 2007.

Below, we break down Tiger Woods’ 2022 PGA Championship odds and prop bets and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Woods finished tied for 47th at the Masters, which was his first tournament in more than a year. He was actually in contention after the first 2 rounds, but he shot 78 on Saturday and on Sunday to fall way down the leaderboard. Still recovering from a severe leg injury suffered in a car crash, Woods has limited his tour schedule to select events.

Despite not being 100% recovered, the 15-time major champion could have a good week on a course he knows relatively well.

WATCH: PGA Tour is live on ESPN+! Get ESPN+

Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship odds and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:14 p.m. ET.

To win (+7000)

I’m not ready to bet on Tiger to win a tournament – yet. I think he has a decent chance to make the cut, but beating the likes of Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, Jordan Spieth and the other top 100 players in the world probably isn’t going to happen right now.

Top-5 finish (+1500)

For all the same reasons I’m not betting on Woods to win, I’m also not willing to lay down a bet on him to come in the top 5. There are simply too many great players in this field and with only 1 event under his belt in the last 18 months, I’m going to wait until we see more from Tiger before taking him to come in the top 5.

Top-10 finish (+650)

We’re approaching a bettable range with Woods. The top 10 would still be a huge accomplishment for Tiger, and you can get a good return at +650, but it’ll take a near-perfect week for him to make that happen.

Top-20 finish (+300)

Now we’re talking. Woods was only +150 to come in the top 20 at the Masters, and now his odds have more than doubled after we saw him struggle to stay near the top of the leaderboard at Augusta. At +300, I’d be willing to make a small wager on him to finish in the top 20 on a course where he’s won.

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More Tiger Woods’ odds and predictions

Will Tiger Woods make the cut? Yes -150 | No +110

Yes. The top 70 and ties will make the cut after two rounds, so all Woods has to do is finish slightly better than the top half in the first 2 rounds. That’s very doable for him, and his odds imply he will make the cut. Even at -150, which are shorter odds than his Masters line of -110, I’m willing to take Woods to play the weekend.

Top former winner finisher (+1000)

(Others: Justin Thomas +230, Rory McIlroy +280, Collin Morikawa +330, Brooks Koepka +550, Jason Day +1000, Keegan Bradley +1000)

After Bradley, the list drops off to Padraig Harrington at +3000, so there are really only 6 other legitimate threats to beat Woods in this former winner group. I still don’t expect it to happen because Thomas, McIlory, Morikawa and Koepka are all legitimate contenders, but there’s decent value here if those others struggle.

Top American finisher (+4000)

With this group, you don’t have to worry about Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Cameron Smith, Viktor Hovland or McIlroy. Any of those players could win this week. But with how much talent there is in this American group – Thomas, Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Dustin Johnson, etc. … – I don’t see Woods beating them all.

More PGA Championship coverage:

Tiger Woods’ PGA Championship first-round odds

  • Leader +6000 (bet $100 to win $6,000)
  • Top American +4000 (bet $100 to win $4,000)
  • Top 5 +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
  • Top 10 +750 (bet $100 to win $750)
  • Top 20 +350 (bet $100 to win $350)

At the Masters, we didn’t really know what to expect from Woods on Thursday. Was he going to be rusty? Would his leg hold up for 18 holes at Augusta?

It turns out, the best way to play Woods was to take 1 of his first-round lines because once we got to Saturday and Sunday, fatigue seemed to set in based on his final 2 rounds. There’s good value with his top-20 line at +350, and you could even take him to come in the top 10 after Round 1; he was tied for 10th after the first round at Augusta.

Want some action on Tiger Woods at the 2022 PGA Championship or any other golf betting lines? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 PGA Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 PGA Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The second major of the year will be held at Southern Hills in Tulsa this week as the game’s top players compete in the 2022 PGA Championship. Last year’s champion Phil Mickelson is not in the field, so we will have a new winner hoisting the Wanamaker Trophy Sunday.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 PGA Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler is seeking his second consecutive major championship after also winning the Masters in April, and he comes in as the betting favorite this week at +1000 . He’s not the No. 1 player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, however. Scheffler is second, behind only Jon Rahm. Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Viktor Hovland round out the top 5 in the rankings.

Southern Hills is hosting the PGA Championship for the first time since 2007 when Tiger Woods won. Woods is in the field this week, only his second time teeing it up in 2022 – he finished 47th at the Masters. The course underwent a redesign in 2018 and will play about 300 yards longer than it did in 2007.

Also see: PGA Championship picks and predictions to win

2022 PGA Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:27 p.m. ET.

Jordan Spieth (+380)

I don’t know if Spieth will win, but I’m fairly confident saying he’ll be in contention based on the way he’s played recently. This is a course that fits him well, emphasizing ball-striking and finesse around the greens. Spieth has excelled in both areas this season and throughout his career.

BETTING A TOP-5 FINISH (+380) gives you some insurance if Spieth comes up just short of a win like last week.

Hideki Matsuyama (+500)

Matsuyama seems to be flying a bit under the radar this week. He already has two wins this season and tied for 3rd in his last start at the AT&T Byron Nelson, firing a 62 in the final round. He posted another top 15 at the Masters and is coming into this championship in good form.

Will Zalatoris (+650)

Despite struggling with his putter, Zalatoris finished tied for 6th at the Masters and tied for 4th at the Zurich Classic. He shockingly missed the cut last week in Dallas, but he was playing very well prior to that hiccup. This week won’t be a birdie fest like last week’s was, which favors Zalatoris.

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2022 PGA Championship – Top-10 picks

Cameron Smith (+260)

Smith’s track record at the PGA Championship is admittedly bad. He hasn’t finished better than T-43 since 2017, and his best finish was a T-25 in his first appearance in 2015. But when he’s on, he’s almost impossible to beat – just look at the Players Championship. He’s a deadly combination of ball-striking and putting, ranking top 10 in strokes gained: putting and approach the green.

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Brooks Koepka (+425)

Koepka withdrew from last week’s AT&T Byron Nelson with an injury, but he told reporters the reason was to ensure he was ready for the second major after gutting through an injury at the Masters. His form has been up and down this year, from 2 top-10’s to 6 missed cuts. If you’re going to take him for a top-10 finish, make it a small wager just in case he has to pull out mid-tournament, but I love his chances to notch another top 10 in a major this week.

Tommy Fleetwood (+750)

Fleetwood looked good at the Masters with a T-14. He followed that up with a top 10 at the RBC Heritage. He hasn’t impressed in his 2 events since, but he doesn’t miss cuts and he knows how to navigate windy conditions, which gives him an edge if the wind picks up this weekend.

Other T10 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Shane Lowry (+320)

2022 PGA Championship – Top-20 picks

Max Homa (+250)

Do not look at Homa’s major track record before betting on him this week. In short, he’s never contended. Not even close. That’ll change in Tulsa. He’s playing the best golf of his life and as long as he can chip the ball even decently well around the greens – his biggest weakness – he’ll be in contention. In 14 starts this season, he has 8 top 25’s.

Tony Finau (+230)

Finau played well in the last 2 PGA Championships and has more top 10’s in this tournament (3) than missed cuts (1). I like his chances here if he can find a rhythm on the greens, getting progressively worse as a putter in the last 3 years. His ball-striking hasn’t gone away, though.

Robert MacIntyre (+500)

MacIntyre has played in 8 majors. He’s missed the cut in exactly zero of them. Seriously. That’s a small sample size, and he only has 2 top 10’s (both in the Open), but in his last 5 majors, he went T-12, T-49, T-35, T-8 and T-23. For a long shot, those are the types of performances you want to bet on.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Tiger Woods (+300)
  • Joaquin Niemann (+190)

2022 PGA Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Collin Morikawa (-125) vs. Viktor Hovland (+105)

Ah, a battle between bad chippers. Hovland is noticeably worse in this area than Morikawa, but neither is very good around the greens. They’re both going to hit a ton of greens. It’s just a matter of who will make up-and-down when they miss. I like Morikawa in this matchup, even at -125.

Corey Conners (+100) vs. Tony Finau (-115)

Conners has been surprisingly steady in majors, particularly the Masters. He comes in having finished no worse than T-35 in his last 7 events. I still like Finau, but getting Conners at even money is a nice way to hedge against Finau potentially struggling this week.

2022 PGA Championship – Top American

Jordan Spieth (+1000)

The field of Americans is loaded once again this week, headlined by Scheffler (+650) and Thomas (+900). Spieth has the third-best odds at +1000, and taking him at this spot is a good value because he doesn’t have to contend with the likes of Rahm, Matsuyama, Smith and Rory McIlroy.

2022 PGA Championship – Top Japanese

Hideki Matsuyama (-170)

Matsuyama is by far the best Japanese player in the field, and perhaps his odds should be even shorter in this group. The next-closest player is Rikuya Hoshino at +600. Unless Matsuyama surprisingly misses the cut, which he’s never done at the PGA Championship, he’s going to be the low man from Japan. He’s never finished worse than T-37 in this championship.

2022 PGA Championship – First-round leader

Cameron Young (+6000)

Young goes off at 9:44 a.m. ET Thursday, so he’s in the early wave before temperatures heat up above 90 degrees. He’s a player that can go really low and he comes in having played fantastic in his last 2 tournaments (T-3 and T-2) with an opening-round 63 at the RBC Heritage.

2022 PGA Championship – To make the cut

Suggested play in bold.

  • Tiger Woods: YES (-150) vs. No (+110)

Woods made the cut at Augusta a month ago on a treacherous walking course. Now he’s had even more time to strengthen his leg ahead of the second major on a course he’s won at before. He’s making the cut.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group B winner: Cameron Smith (+330)

This is a loaded group that also includes Cantlay (+320), Morikawa (+320), Xander Schauffele (+330) and Dustin Johnson (+400).

Morikawa’s chipping could bite him, Johnson hasn’t been his sharpest this year and Schauffele has missed the cut twice in 5 PGA Championship starts. TAKE A SHOT ON SMITH (+330).

Want some action on the 2022 PGA Championship? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 AT&T Byron Nelson prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

Some of the top players in the world are in the field at this week’s AT&T Byron Nelson, getting in some final prep before next week’s PGA Championship at Southern Hills. They’ll be competing at TPC Craig Ranch, which is hosting this event for just the second time.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scottie Scheffler, who won the Masters in April, is teeing it up in his hometown of Dallas. The No. 2 player in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings is  the highest-ranked player in the field with No. 1 Jon Rahm not playing. No. 3 Justin Thomas is the only other top-5 player in this week’s field.

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2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:23 p.m. ET.

Will Zalatoris (+500)

I love Zalatoris this week, and while he’s a great outright pick, there’s also excellent value in taking him to finish in the top 5 at +500. He tied for 7th here last year and the Dallas native has played TPC Craig Ranch a bunch.

Jordan Spieth (+480)

Spieth has never won the AT&T Byron Nelson, but he loves playing in his home state of Texas. He tied for 9th at this event last year and in his most recent start he won the RBC Heritage in a playoff over Patrick Cantlay. Buy high on Spieth heading into the second major.

Scottie Scheffler (+270)

I promise I’m not strictly picking guys from Texas, but it just so happens that I like Scheffler a lot this week too. Ignore his T-47 finish here last year and look at his recent form: 1st, 1st, T-55, 1st, T-7, 1st in his last 6 starts, excluding the 2-man Zurich Classic. He’s finished first or second in 5 of his 14 starts, and top 10 in 7 of 14.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Talor Gooch (+900)
  • Brooks Koepka (+750)

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2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – Top-20 picks

Sam Burns (+115)

Burns was the closest guy to taking down K.H. Lee last year, finishing solo second at 22-under-par, 3 off the pace set by Lee. This event is going to be a birdie fest again, so why not take the guy who ranks 7th on tour in birdie average? Getting him at plus money to finish top-20 is a great value.

Hideki Matsuyama (+150)

Matsuyama is playing better as of late, tying for 14th at the Masters after a top 20 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He went 68-70-68-70 at this tournament last year, tying for 39th. I like his chances to end the week inside the top 20 leading into the season’s second major.

Other T20 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Harry Higgs (+700)
  • Luke List (+330)
  • Patton Kizzire (+320)

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Jhonattan Vegas (-110) vs. Jason Day (-110)

Don’t look now, but Vegas has 4 straight top-27 finishes, including a T-4, T-18 and T-15 in his last 3 starts. Day looked good in the first 2 rounds last week, but he’s been volatile this season. Take the steady Vegas.

Hideki Matsuyama (-120) vs. Joaquin Niemann (+100)

Niemann had to withdraw from the Zurich Classic due to a back injury to his teammate, Mito Pereira. Both players will be well-rested, but I like Matsuyama on this course as he preps for the PGA Championship.

Tommy Fleetwood (-135) vs. Adam Scott (+115)

Scott has had an up-and-down year, with 3 top-10s but also 5 finishes outside the top-35 in 10 starts. Fleetwood is beginning to round into form, finishing no worse than T-22 in his last 5 individual stroke play events. His line is juiced, but he’s still worth a bet in this matchup.

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – Top American

Will Zalatoris (+1300)

There are admittedly a ton of talented players for Zalatoris to contend with in this group, from Scheffler to Gooch. But you’re getting him at a good number on a course he’s very familiar with.

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – Top Australian

Marc Leishman (+250)

There are only 5 Australians in the field, with Scott and Day being the only ones with better odds than Leishman in this group. Leishman tied for 21st at this tournament in 2021 and he could have a similar week this year.

2022 AT&T Byron Nelson – First-round leader

Jordan Spieth (+4000)

Spieth was tied with J.J. Spaun for the first-round lead after a 63 on Thursday last year. He also fired a third-round 66 on Saturday, so he knows how to go low at TPC Craig Ranch. If his putter heats up, he can put a lot of red numbers on the card.

Cameron Champ (+6000)

Champ got out of the gates slow here last year with a first-round 72, but he came back with a 66 in Round 2 to make the cut. I love the way he’s playing right now, tying for 10th and 6th in his last 2 starts.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Maverick McNealy (+300)

McNealy wasn’t in the field at TPC Craig Ranch last year and this will only be his second time playing the AT&T Byron Nelson. However, he’s been a cut-maker this season, only missing the cut once in 15 individual stroke-play events – and that was back in October. I’ll take him to beat out Adam Hadwin (+280), Alex Noren (+330), Brian Harman (+350) and Matt Kuchar (+480).

Winning margin: 1 shot (+250)

There are going to be a ton of birdies made this week and with a star-studded field, I expect some of the top names to be in contention on an exciting Sunday. Last year, only 4 shots separated 2nd from 9th. I don’t see anyone running away with it this year.

Want some action on the 2022 AT&T Byron Nelson? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 Wells Fargo Championship prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

The PGA Tour is in the Washington, D.C., area this week for the Wells Fargo Championship, which is typically held in Charlotte, N.C. It’s been relocated  for this year as Quail Hollow prepares to host the Presidents Cup in September.  TPC Potomac is a fantastic course to be hosting the event. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy headlines the field as the defending champion, winning the 2021 event at Quail Hollow. It’s his first start since the Masters when he fired a 64 to tie the final-round record. McIlroy is 7th in the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, making him the highest-ranked player in the Wells Fargo field, which includes No. 16 Corey Conners and No. 17 Russell Henley.

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2022 Wells Fargo Championship – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+480)

Fitzpatrick was playing well and tied tied for 14th at the Masters before missing the cut at the RBC Heritage. He tends to play better at non-majors, so I like him in this spot with his ball striking (5th in SG: Tee to green).

Gary Woodland (+700)

In his first start since the Masters, Woodland tied for 24th last week in Mexico. Outside of 2 missed cuts since the end of February, Woodland has been playing very well with 3 top-10s and 5 top-25s. He’s a good bet to finish in the top-5 at +700.

Max Homa (+750)

Homa has 1 win and 2 top-10 finishes this season, and hasn’t missed a cut since the Farmers Insurance Open in January. Always a reliable and steady pick, Homa is a cut-maker who often contends for a top-10 spot on Sunday. But this week, I think he finishes even higher in D.C.

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2022 Wells Fargo Championship – Top-10 picks

Rory McIlroy (+130)

This is a bit like taking Jon Rahm to finish top-5 last week at even money. You could also go with Rory to come in the top-5 at +250, but there’s less risk by going top-10 at +130. Even if he’s not fully in contention on Sunday – which I think he will be – he’s the king of backdoor top-10s by going low in the final round to finish near the top.

Corey Conners (+220)

Conners’ outright odds feel a bit juiced because it is a relatively strong field, but I like his number to finish top-10. He has 2 top-10s this season, but he’s also finished 11th or 12th three times. This is a nice little safe play, even as insurance if you take Conners to win outright.

Keith Mitchell (+450)

Mitchell hasn’t won this season but he has come in third once and finished in the top-10 four times. He’s come close, and there could be another top-10 this week in D.C. He just has to dial in his irons and improve on the greens.

Other T10 contender: Joel Dahmen (+550)

2022 Wells Fargo Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Gary Woodland (-125) vs. Paul Casey (+105)

Casey has withdrawn in each of his last 2 starts. I’m not saying he’s going to withdraw again, but he’s had trouble playing all 4 rounds and there could be some rust to knock off after a little bit of a layoff.

Max Homa (-115) vs. Cameron Young (+100)

Young has a lot of firepower, but he’s also inconsistent and picking him to beat a guy who regularly makes cuts isn’t something I want to do. I like Homa in this spot.

Si Woo Kim (-110) vs. Webb Simpson (-110)

Simpson has had an underwhelming season that has featured just 1 top-10 and 2 missed cuts. Kim has made the cut 15 times in 17 starts this season and has 8 top-25 finishes, plus another pair of T-26s.

2022 Wells Fargo Championship – Top English player

Matthew Fitzpatrick (+220)

Tyrell Hatton and Paul Casey are Fitzpatrick’s biggest competitors, while Aaron Rai could also make a run, too. Fitzpatrick is the best of the bunch and I’m betting he’ll finish ahead of the other 7 Englishmen in the field.

2022 Wells Fargo Championship – First-round leader

Cameron Young (+5000)

Young absolutely kills the ball off the tee, ranking 5th on tour in driving distance. It helped him grab a first-round lead at the RBC Heritage with a 63, but Rounds 2 and 3 pulled him back. He has the power to go low Thursday.

More expert prop bet predictions

Group D winner: Keith Mitchell (+320)

Group D features Kim (+320), Matt Kuchar (+350), Jhonnatan Vegas (+350) and Joel Dahmen (+380). Dahmen is admittedly tempting in this well-rounded group, but I’ll go with Mitchell.

Winning margin: 2 shots (+400)

This is a competitive field, but this tournament doesn’t typically yield close finishes. Only once since 2015 has the winning margin been fewer than 2 shots. If McIlroy doesn’t blow away the field, I could see a 2-shot win Sunday.

Want some action on the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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2022 Mexico Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Mexico Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

Jon Rahm leads the field as the overwhelming favorite at the Mexico Open as he seeks his first win this PGA Tour season. He’ll need to hold off the likes of Tony Finau and Kevin Na, but there’s no doubt Rahm has the best chance to win this week. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Mexico Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rahm will tee off Thursday as the second-best player in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings behind world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who is not playing in the Mexico Open. Aaron Wise (40th), Abraham Ancer (41st) and Na (45th) are also in the top 50 of the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings.

With this being the first time the Mexico Open will be played on the PGA Tour schedule, there isn’t any history to reference. Vidanta Vallarta is also a new course, opening in 2015, so this is a new look for players in the field.

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2022 Mexico Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:09 p.m. ET.

Sebastian Muñoz (+600)

Muñoz has been playing relatively well for the last 3 months, but he’s failed to crack the top-20 since November. In his last 5 stroke-play events, he’s finished between T-21 and T-39.

This could be the week he breaks through and grabs his third top-5 finish of the season. Putting has been his weakness all season, but if he can find a groove on the greens he’ll find himself in contention on Sunday.

Aaron Wise (+650)

Wise has 5 top-25 finishes in 13 starts this season, including 2 top-10s. He’s a good ball-striker, ranking 30th on tour in strokes gained: tee to green, but like Muñoz, he struggles on the greens.

In an overall weaker field, Wise has a good chance to finish near the top in Mexico this week.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Sahith Theegala (+1300)
  • Chris Kirk (+700)
  • Jon Rahm (+115)

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2022 Mexico Open – Top-10 picks

Gary Woodland (+220)

Woodland is a good value at +220 to finish in the top 10. He has 4 top-10s in 13 events played this season, including a T-8 a few weeks ago at the Valero Texas Open and back-to-back T-5s at the Honda Classic and Arnold Palmer Invitational – the latter of which he very easily could’ve won if not for a late-round collapse.

Russell Knox (+550)

Knox is coming off a T-21 at the two-man Zurich Classic, making up for a missed cut at the RBC Heritage. He’s great from tee to green (28th in strokes gained) but he’s 198th on tour in putting. As we’ve seen countless times before, though, any player can get hot on the greens in a given week.

Mark Hubbard (+600)

Hubbard doesn’t have a top-10 finish yet this season, but he’s come close with 3 top-16s. Aside from his lack of length off the tee, Hubbard has a well-rounded game, from his irons to his work around the greens to his putting, ranking inside the top-70 on tour in all 3 categories. With longer odds to finish top-10, he’s worth a shot.

2022 Mexico Open – Matchups

Sebastian Munoz (-120) vs. Cameron Tringale (+100)

Tringale is playing really well right now, finishing T-12 and T-10 in his last 2 starts. He has 4 top-10s and 8 top-25s this season. But Muñoz is poised for a good week in Mexico and I think he finishes higher on the leaderboard than Tringale.

Russell Knox (-110) vs.  Aaron Rai (-110)

I’m buying Knox again here because of his ball-striking and weaker field as a whole. He doesn’t miss many cuts and usually finds himself in the top-35 or so.

Gary Woodland (-125) vs. Patrick Reed (+105)

Woodland has had a few close calls this season. Reed has not. Reed hasn’t finished better than T-26 since the limited field at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, when he was T-15. It’s been a terrible season for Reed and I’m fading him here against Woodland.

2022 Mexico Open – Top American

Gary Woodland (+1500)

There’s a lot of Woodland in these picks but it’s hard not to like his chances in a field that doesn’t feature many stars, especially when you can get him at +1500 without Jon Rahm in the picture. Reed is somehow the favorite as the top American at +600, while Doug Ghim and Finau both have better odds than Woodland, too. This feels like a steal.

2022 Mexico Open – First-round leader

Tony Finau (+4000)

Finau is a hot-and-cold player, and while I’m not willing to take him to win at his current odds (+2000), I’ll take a shot on Finau to have the lowest opening round on a course that’s not in the PGA Tour rotation.

Kevin Na (+4000)

Na shot a first-round 61 at the Sony Open, and while that’s a different course than Vidanta Vallarta, he has the ability to go really low in a given round.

2022 Mexico Open – To make the cut

Patrick Reed: Yes (-400) vs. NO (+260)

Sorry, Patrick, but I’m fading you again. It’s a field without much star power, which should make it easier for Reed to make the cut, but he’s just not been  playing well right now and is struggling with every part of his game outside of putting.

Want some action on the 2022 Mexico Open? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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2022 Zurich Classic of New Orleans prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2022 Zurich Classic of New Orleans with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

Players will get a break from individual stroke play this week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, which is a two-man team event that includes two rounds of best ball and two rounds of alternate shot. It’s a unique tournament that pairs some of the top players in the world as they compete across 72 holes with a standard 36-hole cut. Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2022 Zurich Classic odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

There are some big names in the field at TPC Louisiana this week, including a few top players teaming up together. Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele are a promising tandem, ranking 5th and 20th, respectively, in this week’s Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. The most talented team might be Viktor Hovland (4th in Sagarin rankings) and Collin Morikawa (12th), while last year’s champions, Cameron Smith (11th) and Marc Leishman (33rd) know this event and its format well.

Also see: Zurich Classic picks and predictions to win

2022 Zurich Classic – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:59 p.m. ET.

Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman (+230)

Smith has won this event twice, each time with different partners. He missed the cut in 2019 and 2018, but he and Leishman made a great team last year en route to their victory. If Smith plays the way he did at Augusta rather than his performance at the RBC Heritage last week, he and Leishman will be in the hunt late Sunday.

Billy Horschel and Sam Burns (+250)

Horschel and Burns are a fun team. They’re both up there in birdie average, each ranking in the top 26 this season. Horschel’s putting will pair nicely with Burns’ ball striking, just as it did last year when they tied for 4th, finishing only 2 shots off the lead.

Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele (+162)

It’s really hard not to like this team. Cantlay is getting hot after finishing second in a playoff last week, while Schauffele has no glaring weaknesses in his game. They have the shortest odds to come in the top 5, but it’s worth a bet because they could legitimately win this week.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Will Zalatoris and Davis Riley (+650)
  • Max Homa and Talor Gooch (+425)

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2022 Zurich Classic – Top-20 picks

Bubba Watson and Harold Varner III (-120)

Watson has finished in the top 35 in each of his last 4 appearances here, though Varner hasn’t made the cut since 2016 at this event. Despite that trend, Varner is picking up steam entering this week after a rollercoaster showing at the RBC Heritage.

Sahith Theegala and Beau Hossler (+200)

There are always going to be a few surprise teams that crack the top 20 and this could be the pairing in 2022. Hossler missed the cut in his only appearance here last year, and this is Theegala’s debut. Experience helps in a format like this one, but sometimes a lack of expectations can also fuel a young pairing.

Other T20 contenders:

  • Denny McCarthy and Ben Kohles (+260)

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2022 Zurich Classic – Matchups

Suggested play is team in bold (first team listed). 

Scottie Scheffler/Ryan Palmer (+125) vs. Morikawa/Hovland (-145)

Morikawa and Hovland could very well win this thing, but they’re both in the bottom 25 among all players in strokes gained: Around the green this season. Their chipping could be their Achilles’ heel. Meanwhile, Palmer has won this event before and he’s paired with the No. 1 player in the world. I like this bet at plus money.

Homa/Gooch (-120) vs.  Sungjae Im/Byeong An (+100)

I love this pairing of Homa and Gooch. They tied for 17th last year and both possess the ability to rack up birdies. Ball striking will be on display in this tandem – Homa and Gooch are both top-30 in strokes gained: Tee to green. So, it’ll come down to making putts when inside 15 feet.

2022 Zurich Classic – First-round leader

Scheffler and Palmer (+2000)

I’m going back to the well with Scheffler and Palmer here. Palmer is steady off the tee, while Scheffler has been great on the greens and hitting approaches. If you like Scheffler and Palmer to win, you can get them at longer odds to simply lead after one round.

More expert prop bet predictions

Will there be a playoff? Yes: (+280)

In the four years this tournament has been played as a team event – it was canceled in 2020 – there has been a playoff twice. The biggest margin of victory was 3 shots in 2019 and the margin was only 1 stroke in 2018.

I like this bet at +280, given the overall talent in the field and the lack of a true odds-on favorite.

Will there be a hole in one? No (-280)

With two of the four rounds being played as alternate shot, you lose half of the opportunities for a hole in one during those rounds. Sure, players can be more aggressive in attacking pins if their partner is in tight during best-ball rounds, but I’m betting there won’t be a hole in one.

Want some action on the 2022 Zurich Classic? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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