Honda Classic: Brooks Koepka records first triple-bogey in 447 holes

PGA National added a twist to its already unforgiving nature on Thursday during the first round of the 2020 Honda Classic.

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PALM BEACH GARDENS, Fla. – Home-course advantage didn’t mean a whole lot for Jupiter’s Rickie Fowler in the first round of the Honda Classic on Thursday.

As for Brooks Koepka, he found out what the wind can do on the sixth hole after he put the ball in the water twice for his first triple bogey in 447 holes.

PGA National added a twist to its already unforgiving nature. A course with prevailing winds typically from the southeast played much differently after a cool front that blew in overnight and flipped those winds, rendering all the calculations from practice rounds and Wednesday’s pro-am obsolete.

“I’ve played this direction before but it’s not the normal,” Fowler said.

Which is why when Fowler said Wednesday that he enjoys playing in the wind on this course, he did not mean, this wind. And he certainly isn’t used to playing the Champion Course with temperatures dipping into the 50s, which they did Thursday morning, actually dropping a few degrees after Fowler’s group teed off at 7:35 a.m. before reaching the high in the afternoon in the mid-60s.

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“This place is always reasonably windy,” said Ian Poulter, who shot an even-par 70. “So, I guess when you’ve played with the complete opposite wind then it gets a little tricky because you’re not visually seeing the shots you already played.”

The average score on the par-70 course Thursday was a tick under 2-over (71.986). In the last six years, the only year the average score for the entire tournament was higher came in 2018.

Last year, 44 players broke par on the first day. Thursday, 22 shot in the 60s, 10 in the morning when the wind was the strongest and the temperatures the coolest.

Fowler’s 76 equaled his highest score in 35 rounds at Honda. The others came in 2018 and 2011, when he missed the cut.

Keith Mitchell, who shot 9-under last year while capturing his first tile, shot 75, which including birdies on his final two holes. His worst round a year ago: 70.

Ricky Fowler watches his putt on the 7th green during the first round of the 2020 Honda Classic. Photo by Reinhold Matay/USA TODAY Sports

“You just have to keep trying to move forward,” Fowler said. “There really isn’t a whole lot of letup on this golf course.”

PGA National is much more than the famed Bear Trap, its signature three-hole stretch on the back nine that consists of two par 3s (15, 17), sandwiched around the par-4 No. 16.

But while the Bear Trap contributed to the course being ranked the fifth toughest to play on Tour last season, none of those holes provide the challenge the par-4, 479-yard No. 6 does, and did on this year’s first round.

Koepka is the first to attest, having the lone triple bogey on the hole. But 16 others carded a double bogey on a hole that played more than a half stroke over par, which, if it continues at the same pace, would become the single toughest hole on the Tour so far this year.

“There’s a lot of water out here,” Koepka said. “If you’re going to find the water twice on a hole, you’re going to make a big number.”

Fowler said the direction of the wind made No. 6, “a significantly harder driving hole.”

Fowler shot a 76 with seven bogeys and a birdie. Koepka was two shots better with his triple, a double and two bogeys to go along with a birdie. The two tied for second last year, one shot behind Mitchell.

Honda could be looking at its two biggest names and drawing cards missing the cut, something it does not need considering the field the last two years has been underwhelming.

Still, as difficult as this course is, these players would not want it any other way. Those who actually take on the challenge do so with the idea that it prepares them for bigger tests at tournaments like The Players, PGA Championship and the U.S. Open. Unfortunately for the Honda, a group of the top players in the world living within 10 miles of the course have shied away from that challenge.

Justin Rose, ranked No. 13 in the world, returned after a four-year absence for that reason.

“You come here because it’s a test of golf,” he said after shooting a 74. “There’s a lot of tournaments that are low-scoring weeks out here on Tour, but this is not one of them. I relish that.”

Rose’s hole from hell Thursday was the start of the Bear Trap, No. 15. He dunked his tee shot on the way to a double-bogey.

“The wind’s harder from the right on the Bear Trap, it’s a tougher wind,” Rose said. “You might see more balls in the water possibly with this wind direction.”

Rose’s adventure on No. 15 paled compared to Ted Potter’s. Potter hit three in the water and took a 9 on the par-3 hole, a sextuplet-bogey. Otherwise, Potter, an 18-year pro from Ocala, managed the course pretty good, finishing 2-over.

“It’s doable out there,” Rose said. “The rough is not too bad, it’s very playable but you got to be on point.”

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Fantasy Golf Power Rankings for the Honda Classic

Analyzing the best fantasy golf options for the 2020 Honda Classic at PGA National.

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PGA National hosts The Honda Classic for a 14th straight year to begin the PGA Tour’s annual Florida swing. The 7,125-yard, par-70 venue has long been one of the most difficult courses on the Tour’s circuit. Below, we make our fantasy golf picks for the 2020 Honda Classic at PGA National.

Honda Classic: Fantasy Golf Top 30

Aug 25, 2019; Atlanta, GA, USA; Tommy Fleetwood chips on the third hole during the final round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club. (Photo Credit: Butch Dill – USA TODAY Sports)

Here are my top-30 fantasy golf rankings for the 2020 Honda Classic at PGA National.

30. Tom Hoge

Hoge has a great approach game, and he’s good from the sand, which all golfers need to be at PGA National. He has missed two straight cuts at this event, but he finished fifth at the Farmers Insurance Open a month ago.

29. Matthew NeSmith

NeSmith has been steadily improving over his last three events leading to a T-6 finish in Puerto Rico last week. He has been solid in all areas and has been putting extremely well.

Also see: Honda Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

28. Ryan Palmer

Palmer tied for fourth last year after missing the cut in 2018. He plays well in the wind, and his best putting surface is the Bermuda grass featured at PGA National.

27. Vaughn Taylor

Taylor comes into 2020 with back-to-back T-59 finishes at PGA National. He scores low on these shorter courses and is another expert putter on Bermuda grass.

Aug 15, 2019; Medinah, IL, USA; Ian Poulter hits his tee shot on the first hole during the first round of the BMW Championship golf tournament at Medinah Country Club – No. 3. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

26. Ian Poulter

Poulter will play his first event in North America since the fall’s BMW Championship, where he was eliminated from the FedExCup Playoffs. He tied for third here in 2015 but missed the cut in 2018 and skipped last year’s event.

25. Keith Mitchell

The 2019 champion of the Honda Classic won the event after missing the cut in 2018. He hasn’t played since a T-32 finish at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, and he doesn’t have a top-10 finish since last season’s Wells Fargo Championship.

24. Matthew Wolff

Wolff is coming off back-to-back missed cuts for the first time in his young career. His putter was one of his biggest weaknesses in those events, but he’s been much better on Bermuda grass as a pro.


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23. Jim Furyk

Furyk remains one of the best ball strikers and approach artists in the game when playing these shorter courses where he’s not penalized for his lack of distance. He tied for ninth last year.

22. Lucas Glover

Glover has had a good three-year stretch at this event with a T-21 in 2017, T-17 in 2018 and a T-4 last year.

January 11, 2020; Honolulu, Hawaii, USA; Rory Sabbatini acknowledges the crowd after making his putt on the 13th hole during the third round of the Sony Open in Hawaii golf tournament at Waialae Country Club. (Photo Credit: Kyle Terada – USA TODAY Sports)

21. Rory Sabbatini

The 2011 champion has made the cut in three of his last five appearances at PGA National with two top-20 results in that time. He’s good on par 4s and he has been playing great around the greens.

20. Kyle Stanley

Stanley is one of the best in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach and Par 4 Efficiency on holes ranging from 400-450 yards.

19. Brian Harman

Harman is a great ball striker who can go low with his scores at shorter venues. He has made the cut in six-straight events dating back to last year’s Houston Open.

18. Luke List

Typically long off the tee but struggles closer to the greens, List doesn’t seem like a great course fit, but he has had success at PGA National with a runner-up finish in 2018 and a T-10 in 2016. He missed the cut last year, but he has played well while making three straight cuts coming into this week.

17. Corey Conners

The expert ball striker also ranks among the field’s best in SG: Approach. He sat out last year’s tournament following a T-59 finish in 2018.

16. Emiliano Grillo

Grillo is coming off a T-3 finish at the Puerto Rico Open to snap a spell of three straight missed cuts. He leads the field in SG: Ball Striking and SG: Approach on courses shorter than 7,200 yards, according to my model at Fantasy National.

15. Byeong Hun An

An tied for fifth here in 2018 before a T-36 result last year. Putting was again his lone weakness in a 29th-place finish at the WGC-Mexico Championship last week.

14. Sungjae Im

Im finished just T-51 last year, but he enters the week in top form on par 4s and in scoring on short courses. Bermuda grass is his best putting surface.

Jul 13, 2019; Silvis, IL, USA; Daniel Berger hits his tee shot on the second hole during the third round of the John Deere Classic golf tournament at TPC Deere Run. (Photo Credit: Brian Spurlock – USA TODAY Sports)

13. Daniel Berger

Berger is among the best in the field in both Sand Saves Gained and Strokes Gained: Scrambling. He also plays well in the wind, and the former PGA Tour Rookie of the Year is coming off back-to-back top-10 finishes.

12. Joaquin Niemann

Niemann scores low on short courses on the back of his ball-striking strength.

11. Erik Van Rooyen

Van Rooyen picked up a T-3 finish in the loaded WGC field last week in Mexico, as he hung around the leaderboard for the entire tournament. He’ll make his debut at this event and it comes at a great time.

10. Lee Westwood

No one has gained more strokes per round at PGA National than Westwood’s 1.93 over 24 career rounds. He’s little more than a month removed from his win at the European Tour’s Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, and he finished T-22 last week in Mexico.


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9. Viktor Hovland

Hovland rose to No. 22 in the Golfweek/Sagarin world rankings with his breakthrough win in Puerto Rico last week. While he struggles from the sand and can get into trouble with the water covering PGA National, his play from tee-to-green is nearly unrivaled right now.

Jan 31, 2020; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Billy Horschel tees off on the ninth during the second round of the Waste Management Phoenix Open golf tournament at TPC Scottsdale. (Photo Credit: Joe Camporeale – USA TODAY Sports)

8. Billy Horschel

Horschel missed the cut in two of his last five appearances at this event, but his other trips to PGA National resulted in finishes of T-8, T-4 and T-16. He tied for ninth in each of his last two events.

7. Shane Lowry

Lowry tied for 29th last week in his first North American appearance of the 2019-20 season. He’s a great sand player and one of the best in the field at scrambling.

6. Louis Oosthuizen

Another great sand player, Oosthuizen was lights out with the putter last week despite struggling desperately from tee-to-green and everywhere in between. He tied for 24th in 2018 and 21st in 2017.

5. Gary Woodland

Woodland has made four straight cuts at this event, including a co-runner-up finish in 2017.

4. Justin Rose

Rose hasn’t played the Honda Classic since missing the cut in 2015. He avoids trouble and can get out of it when he needs to. He trails only Westwood and Rickie Fowler in total strokes gained per round at PGA National.

February 13, 2020; Pacific Palisades, California, USA; Brooks Koepka hits from the fourth hole tee box during the first round of the The Genesis Invitational golf tournament at Riviera Country Club. (Photo Credit: Gary A. Vasquez – USA TODAY Sports)

3. Brooks Koepka

Koepka skipped out on Mexico following a T-43 finish at the Genesis Invitational. He tied for second here last year and is the best in the field at Birdies or Better Gained on courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

2. Rickie Fowler

Fowler, the 2017 champion, tied with Koepka last year following a missed cut in 2018. He also tied for sixth in 2016 and trails only Westwood in strokes gained at this event.

1. Tommy Fleetwood

Fleetwood’s lone appearance here was a fourth-place result in 2018. He tied for 18th in Mexico last week and is the betting favorite at BetMGM.

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Honda Classic odds, predictions, picks and PGA Tour best bets

Analyzing the golf betting odds to win the 2020 Honda Classic, with PGA Tour betting odds, picks, predictions and best bets.

The PGA Tour begins its four-event Florida swing with this week’s Honda Classic. Just three of the top 10 players in the world, according to the Golfweek/Sagarin rankings are in the field this week. Many of the world’s top golfers are taking the week off ahead of next week’s Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship the following week.

The key stats for the 7,125-yard, par-70 PGA National are:

  • Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • SG: Approach
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Sand Saves Gained
  • Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards
  • Strokes Gained: Scrambling

My model at Fantasy National looks at the most recent 36 rounds for each golfer in the field on courses shorter than 7,200 yards.

Honda Classic – Tier 1

Feb 20, 2020; Mexico City, MEX; Tommy Fleetwood reacts after playing his shot from the 14th tee during the first round of the WGC – Mexico Championship golf tournament at Club de Golf Chapultepec. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:30 a.m. ET.

Tommy Fleetwood (+1000)

At No. 5 in the Golfweek rankings, Fleetwood is the top golfer in attendance. He also leads my stat model for the week on his strengths in SG: Ball Striking and Par 4 Efficiency. He finished fourth here in 2018 before skipping last year’s event.

Fleetwood is one of the more precise and accurate golfers in the world, and the forced layups off the tees at PGA National will play to his advantage as golfers need to navigate their way around the course. He’s a chalky play as the tournament favorite, but it worked for us last week with Viktor Hovland at the Puerto Rico Open.


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Billy Horschel (+2800)

Horschel has finished T-9 at each of his last two events – last week’s WGC-Mexico Championship and the Waste Management Phoenix Open. He tied for 16th at last year’s tournament following a missed cut in 2018. He finished T-4 and T-8 in 2017 and 2016, respectively. Like Fleetwood, he’s a great irons player.

Honda Classic – Tier 2

Jan 24, 2020; San Diego, California, USA; Matthew Wolff plays his shot from the 18th tee during the second round of the Farmers Insurance Open golf tournament at Torrey Pines Municipal Golf Course – North Course. (Photo Credit: Orlando Ramirez – USA TODAY Sports)

Matthew Wolff (+8000)

Wolff took last week off following a missed cut at the Genesis Invitational. He had previously missed the cut at the WMPO. While he ranks just 72nd overall by the stat model, he’s 18th in Birdies or Better Gained on shorter courses.

Luke List (+9000)

List’s advantage in length is largely negated at PGA National due to the forced layups off the tee. He was the runner-up to Rickie Fowler in 2018 and he tied for 10th in 2016. He’s on a streak of three straight made cuts.


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Honda Classic – Longshots

Apr 21, 2019; Hilton Head, SC, USA; Sam Burns tees off on the second hole during the final round of the RBC Heritage golf tournament at Harbour Town Golf Links. (Photo Credit: Joshua S. Kelly – USA TODAY Sports)

Sam Burns (+10000)

Burns’ odds are attractive following a T-8 finish in 2018. He followed it up with a T-73 last year, but he’s coming off a T-23 result in a much stronger field at the Genesis Invitational. He can score low on shorter courses.

Dylan Frittelli (+15000)

Frittelli excels on par 4’s ranging from 400-450 yards. He missed the cut last year on the heels of an 11th-place finish in 2018. He hasn’t found top form since his breakthrough win at last year’s John Deere Classic, but he picked up top-10 finishes at the Sanderson Farms Championship and Safeway Open earlier in the 2019-20 season. These odds are far too high for someone with a Masters invite already secured.

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Honda Classic: Six of the world’s top-20 players bound for PGA National

A handful of golf’s best are bound for PGA National this week for the Honda Classic.

Honda Classic field includes three Majors winnings from last season, including world No. 2 and Palm Beach County native, Brooks Koepka

Keith Mitchell was standing on the 15th green during the final round of last year’s Honda Classic when the nerves set in.

Mitchell knew he was close to winning his first PGA Tour event, but when he was looking at a 5-foot putt to give him the outright lead, it became reality.

“In golf you have time to think about what’s going on before you actually do it,” Mitchell recently said. “So that walk from 15 tee to 15 green when I got a 5-footer straight up the hill and all I’m trying to do is focus on just making the putt, which was probably the easiest putt I had all day, and just to calm your nerves to make that putt.”

Mitchell made that putt and an even bigger one on 18, a 15-footer for birdie that clinched the title by one stroke over two of the game’s biggest names, Brooks Koepka and Rickie Fowler.

“Playing on tour is so difficult because you’re playing against 140 to 150 guys every week and when you win … how fun it is, how exciting,” Mitchell said. “Really, the opportunities make you want to win more and more and more. But you forget how hard it was to get there in the first place.”

Mitchell, 28, now gets that chance to add to his lone Tour victory this week at PGA National. While Mitchell was able to hold off two of the best players in the world a year ago, he will have to face down a more formidable field in 2020 if he’s going to join Jack Nicklaus as the only back-to-back champions in the in the tournament’s 48-year history. Nicklaus won in 1977-78 when it was called the Jackie Gleason Inverrary Classic.

Stuck in the middle of a stretch that includes Tiger Woods’ Genesis Invitational and WGC-Mexico City the two weeks prior and the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Players Championship the following two weeks, Honda took a hit a year ago with just three of the top 20 players in the world.

But that field is stronger this year with six of the top 20 – No. 2 Koepka of Jupiter, No. 11 Tommy Fleetwood, No. 12 Justin Rose, No. 17 Louis Oosthuizen, No. 18 Shane Lowry and No. 19 Gary Woodland of Delray Beach. Fowler, ranked 26th, also returns.

“We’ve doubled the top 20s in the field,” Honda executive director Ken Kennerly said. “The field is stronger this year. The schedule is the schedule, that’s always going to be the issue for us.”

The disappointment for the fans is five of the top 10 golfers in the world who have homes a short distance from the course are skipping the tournament: No. 1 Rory McIlroy (Jupiter), No. 4 Justin Thomas (Jupiter), No. 5 Dustin Johnson (Palm Beach Gardens), No. 7 Patrick Cantlay (North Palm Beach) and No. 9 Tiger Woods (Jupiter Island). The schedule is the primary reason although Cantlay is taking off time for a medical procedure.

“Schedules dictate where these guys play,” Kennerly said. “The good news from our perspective is every player I’ve talked to loves the Honda Classic, loves PGA National and the only reason why they chose to skip it is they’re lining themselves up for the Masters, they’re lining themselves up for The Players Championship and they’re coming off the Tiger Woods Invitational and Mexico.”

Still, the highlight this year is having three of the four Majors’ winners from a year ago, Koepka (PGA Championship), Woodland (U.S. Open) and Lowry (British Open).

Kennerly is trying to get all three to bring along their trophies for a photo op.

Koepka, who was raised in Wellington, has won four majors: the PGA Championship and U.S. Open twice each. He was ranked No. 1 in the world when he committed but since has been surpassed by McIlroy. He is seeking his first victory at his hometown tournament. Koepka made a charge last year with the second-lowest final-day round of 66 but fell one shot shy of winning his first Honda.

“I think Brooks has a little unfinished business,” Kennerly said.

Koepka and Daniel Berger of Jupiter are the two homegrown golfers in the field. “I think it would be exciting for one of those guys to win,” Kennerly said.

Koepka’s 8-under last year was his best showing at PGA National. He has played Honda five times, missing the cut once. He is 7-over par in his 18 rounds.

Berger was second in 2015, losing in a playoff to Padraig Harrington. He has played Honda four times, missing the cut once, with a score of 4-over par for his 14 rounds.