Penn State at Michigan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Penn State at Michigan odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Penn State Nittany Lions (13-7, 3-6 Big Ten) visit the No. 20 Michigan Wolverines (14-5, 6-2) Monday. Tip-off from Crisler Center is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Penn State vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Penn State lost 76-75 against the Iowa Hawkeyes Friday while covering as a 4-point road underdog. The Nittany Lions shot an abysmal 22.7% from deep. Penn State has lost by 1 point in 2 of its last 3 setbacks.

Michigan was dominated 91-64 by the No. 12 Purdue Boilermakers Friday while failing to cover as a 4-point road underdog. Michigan shot just 37% from the field and 20.7% from deep while also committing 22 turnovers (to Purdue’s 6). The Wolverines have allowed at least 80 points in 4 straight losses.

– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll (*-new rankings to be released Monday afternoon)

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Penn State at Michigan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Michigan -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +8.5 (-110) | Michigan -8.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Penn State at Michigan picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan 75, Penn State 70

Moneyline

PASS. 

Michigan is the better team and will pick up the win here, but the Wolverines are not worth the risk of betting on as a -350 favorite. Pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.

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Against the spread

BET PENN STATE +8.5 (-110).

Penn State has covered the spread in its last 4 games and is 2-0 ATS in its last 2 road games while the Wolverines have dropped 3 straight ATS. The Nittany Lions are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games against Michigan and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Michigan is 11-8 ATS this season while Penn State is 10-10.

Over/Under

UNDER 159.5 (-105).

The Under has hit in back-to-back games for Penn State and is 3-1 in its last 4 road games. The Under is 11-9 for the Nittany Lions this season and 12-7 for the Wolverines. The Under has also hit in each of the last 2 games between these squads.

Be aware the Over is 9-1 in Michigan’s last 10 games.

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Penn State at Michigan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Penn State at Michigan odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Penn State Nittany Lions (5-0, 2-0 Big Ten) visit the Michigan Wolverines (6-0, 3-0) in a major top-10 clash Saturday afternoon. Kickoff from Michigan Stadium is at noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Penn State vs. Michigan odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Penn State is coming into this game after a bye week that allowed players to rest and get fully healthy for this big game. It also gave the coaching staff time to game plan for a strong Michigan team. Penn State beat Northwestern 17-7 in its last game, but many fans were unsettled by the amount of turnovers (5) and penalties (7) that Penn State committed.

Michigan is a strong favorite in its 4th straight game vs. a Big Ten opponent. The Wolverines are led by RB Blake Corum, who has 11 rushing TDs and is averaging 122.5 yards per game. QB J.J. McCarthy, has completed 78.3 percent of his passes (94-of-120) with 9 TDs and 1 INT.

Michigan is No. 4 and Penn State No. 10 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Penn State at Michigan odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 9:39 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Penn State +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Michigan -290 (bet $290 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Penn State +6.5 (-102) | Michigan -6.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 52.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Penn State at Michigan picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 28, Michigan 25

Moneyline

AVOID

The moneyline here is too big a risk for me to advise you to bet one way or the other. While Michigan is favored heavily, I believe Penn State will actually come away with the win. With this being a big-time conference game anything could happen and Michigan is simply too big of a favorite to risk your money on them in this bet.

Against the spread

LEAN PENN STATE +6.5 (-102)

Whether Penn State wins or not doesn’t matter for this bet because either way I see it being your safest bet. Neither team will be able to win this game by more than a touchdown. It should be close the whole way through and it will likley come down to whichever team makes a mistake 1st.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 52.5 (-107)

Both these teams have very strong offenses and very strong defenses which makes this a hard call. With both schools having talented running backs and quarterbacks who aren’t liabilities, I lean with a higher-scoring outcome  because I don’t see either defense being able to hold the other team’s offense down for the whole game. Corum and Penn State RB Nick Singleton will both have to play well for this game to beat the over.

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