Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning sports betting odds and lines, with NHL betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (33-15-5) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (33-14-5) Thursday in a battle of Eastern Conference titans at Amalie Arena. The Pens and Lightning occupy second place in the Metropolitan and Atlantic Divisions, respectively. Puck drop is set for 7 p.m. ET. We analyze the Penguins-Lightning sports betting odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips and picks around this matchup.

Penguins at Lightning: Projected starting goalies

Matt Murray vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy

Murray enters on a personal six-game winning streak dating back to Dec. 28. He stopped 29 of 32 shots in a victory over the division-leading Washington Capitals Sunday. He is 16-6-4 on the season with a .900 save percentage and 2.85 goals against average.

Vasilevskiy has won three straight games, including a 27-save effort against the Vegas Golden Knights Tuesday. He is 27-9-3 with a .917 SV% and 2.53 GAA.


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Penguins at Lightning: Odds, picks and betting tips

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list.
Odds last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Lightning 2, Penguins 1

Moneyline (ML)

The LIGHTNING (-182) are solid favorites at home, where they’re 16-7-2 for the season. They’re on a four-game winning streak and are 7-2-1 across their last 10 games overall. The Penguins (+150) are offering fair value as underdogs. They’re 14-9-2 on the road, 8-2-0 across their last 10 games and on a two-game winning streak.

Tampa Bay claimed a 3-2 victory at home Oct. 23 in the first head-to-head meeting of the season. The Lightning should be the play once again.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Lightning to win in regulation, overtime or a shootout returns a profit of $5.50.

Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The PENGUINS (+1.5, -175) will be the play on the puck line to lose by no more than 1 goal or to win outright, and it helps hedge against the pick of the Lightning on the moneyline. Pittsburgh is 25-27 against the spread overall but 14-11 on the road. Tampa Bay is 22-31 ATS overall and 10-15 at home. We’re looking for a result very close to the season’s first meeting between the two.

Over/Under (O/U)

We’re going to go with the alternate goal projection and back the UNDER 5.5 (+135). The primary total is set high at 6.5 with the Under paying out at just -149 odds. The Lightning are 3-5-2 against the Over/Under across their last 10 games, and while Pittsburgh is 7-3 over the same stretch, the two teams combined for just 5 goals the first time around this season. Both goalies are in top form.

Esten’s NHL betting record: 205-192

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