Pelicans Grizzlies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies welcome the New Orleans Pelicans to the FedExForum Wednesday for the 2023-24 season opener. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; teams split 4 games last season with each winning twice at home

The Grizzlies will open their season at home without G Ja Morant, who has been suspended 25 games. Memphis ended 2nd in the Western Conference last season at 51-31, including 35-6 at home. The Grizzlies will be led by G Desmond Bane, who averaged a career-high 21.5 points per game (PPG) last season. Memphis was 39-47-2 against the spread (ATS) last season.

New Orleans was 39-42-2 ATS last season and ended the season 42-40 straight up, good for 9th in the West. F Zion Williamson is expected to be healthy to start the season. He played just 29 games last season, but averaged 26 PPG when he did play. F Brandon Ingram averaged a career-high 24.7 PPG last season.

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Grizzlies -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +1.5 (-125) | Grizzlies -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

G Trey Murphy III (knee) out

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (ankle) out
C Brandon Clarke (Achilles) out
G Ja Morant (suspension) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Pelicans at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 118, Grizzlies 114

Moneyline

BET PELICANS (-110).

The Pelicans have the star power to go into Memphis and come out on top. They have 3 players in their starting lineup who averaged more than 20 points per game last season while the Grizzlies have just Bane with those credentials. New Orleans high-level playmaking should give them an edge.

The Pelicans were 17-12 with Williamson in the lineup last season as well. They should have the size and skill advantage over a short-handed Grizzlies team that is missing Morant and 2 key front court pieces.

Take PELICANS (-110).

Against the spread

PASS.

Take the stress out of it if the game is close and take the moneyline over the spread here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 227.5 (-110).

The Pelicans have top-tier offensive talent with a trio of 20-point scorers; however, they lack defensively. Couple that with the Grizzlies, who ranked 8th in pace, and the tempo should aid scoring as well.

Both teams ranked in the top 10 in offensive rebounding rate, so there should be plenty of 2nd-chance opportunities. Put the 2 together and take OVER 227.5 (-110).

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New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (23-12) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (21-13) Saturday in a battle of the 1st and 3rd seed in the Western Coference. Tip-off from FedExForum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans are on a 5-game win streak that continued Friday with a 127-116 victory over the visiting Philadelphia 76ers. G C.J. McCollum scored 42 points, including 11 threes, and secured that win for the Pelicans despite 76ers C Joel Embiid putting up 37 points. New Orleans is 1st in the Western Conference despite playing without F Brandon Ingram.

The Grizzlies are coming off a 119-106 victory at the Toronto Raptors Thursday. That win ended a 2-game skid that started after star G Ja Morant said he was “fine in the west”. After dropping back-to-back games vs. western conference teams Morant popped off for a career-high 17 assists to help his team secure the win vs. the Raptors.

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Pelicans at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Grizzlies -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +5.5 (-102) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-118)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

Not yet submitted

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (ankle) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 121, Grizzlies 119

Moneyline

LEAN PELICANS (+200).

The Pelicans being heavy underdogs is baffling to me, they are the hotter team and the season series is tied 1-1. I assume the line has to do with possible fatigue that could be setting in for the Pelicans due to playing a back-to-back set and the fact that they are the away team. This will be your riskiest bet for this game, but I believe the PELICANS (+200) can get it done.

Against the spread

BET PELICANS +5.5 (-102).

The Pelicans should cover this number whether they win or lose. These teams are very evenly matched and are both young squads that are hot right now. With both teams near the top of a very loaded Western Conference, this should be a great game that will come down to the wire.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 234.5 (-112).

Both of these teams have top 10 offenses in the NBA and are almost fully healthy. The Over should be pretty safe here and expect the big names in the matchup to show up and show out. This should be a close game that features a lot of scoring and not a ton of defense, which basketball purists might hate but will be great for this bet.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (11-7) are set to face the Memphis Grizzlies (10-8) on Friday at the FedEx Forum. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans defeated the San Antonio Spurs 129-110 on Wednesday to cover as 5.5-point favorites on the road. New Orleans has won 5 of its last 6 games, with the team’s lone loss in that span coming to the Boston Celtics.

The Grizzlies lost to the Sacramento Kings 113-109 on Tuesday as they failed to cover as 2.5-point favorites at home. Memphis has lost 4 of its last 5 games, including 3 losses by 10-plus points.

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Pelicans at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:49 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Grizzlies -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +2.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

G CJ McCollum (health & safety protocols) out
F Trey Murphy (foot) questionable

Grizzlies

F Santi Aldama (illness) doubtful
G Desmond Bane (toe) out
F John Konchar (calf) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Pelicans 114

Moneyline

Even with the team’s recent struggles, I’ll take the GRIZZLIES (-130) at home on Friday. I’m expecting a special performance from G Ja Morant after he missed a couple of crucial free throws in the team’s loss to the Kings on Tuesday that would have sent the game to overtime.

Against the spread

Give me GRIZZLIES -2.5 (-110) as we only need Memphis to win by a 3-pointer to cover the spread. The absence of McCollum could be massive for the Pelicans as he’s been their best playmaker and leads the team with 6.1 assists per game.

While the Pelicans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings against the Grizzlies, Memphis is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games against a team with a winning road record.

Over/Under

OVER 228.5 (-115) is an intriguing wager despite McCollum being ruled out. New Orleans still has a dynamic duo in G Brandon Ingram and F Zion Williamson who can score points in bunches.

The Over has hit in 3 of the last 4 meetings between the Pelicans and the Grizzlies.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (55-25) host the New Orleans Pelicans (36-44) Saturday at FedExForum for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

New Orleans has won 5 of its last 6 games — 4-2 against the spread (ATS) — including back-to-back road victories. The Pelicans defeated the Sacramento Kings 123-109 Tuesday and the Portland Trail Blazers 127-94 Thursday.

Memphis enters on a 2-game skid following a 7-game win streak. The losses were at the Utah Jazz 121-115 in overtime Tuesday and at the Denver Nuggets 122-109 Thursday. The Grizzlies are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

They are 2-1 straight up (SU) and ATS this season versus the Pelicans and the Over/Under (O/U) is 2-1.

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:57 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Pelicans +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Grizzlies -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread: Pelicans +6.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-108)
Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

SF Brandon Ingram (hamstring) questionable

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (knee) questionable

[tipico]

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 112, Pelicans 109

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Pelicans (+220) since I’m on their spread and typically I’ll sprinkle on an underdog when betting them to cover.

What’s holding me back from taking the Pelicans’ ML is Ingram’s “questionable” status. Ingram has New Orleans’ highest adjusted on/off net rating at plus-9.5, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

If Ingram is able to play, I’ll reconsider, but at the moment, PASS.

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Against the spread

BET PELICANS +6.5 (-112) because there aren’t 6.5 points separating these teams and the Grizzlies could be easier to defend if Morant makes his return Saturday.

The Pelicans are sixth in adjusted net rating (plus-5.5) and first in ATS margin (plus-6.3) since the All-Star break. Plus, NOLA’s offense got a major boost after acquiring SG C.J. McCollum in February.

Furthermore, the only reason Morant would play is to get reps before the postseason. If Morant’s teammates stand around and let him cook, then Memphis may struggle in half-court sets.

NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the UNDER 230.5 (-112).

My numbers are far enough below the market’s projected score and Tipico Sportsbook is trying to induce Over action by making it cheaper.

Also, the Pelicans are 8-24 O/U as road underdogs, the Grizzlies are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 games as favorites and all three of the referees assigned to this game have officiated more Unders than Overs.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (44-22) host the New Orleans Pelicans (27-37) Tuesday at the FedExForum for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below we look at the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

NOLA had its 4-game winning streak — 4-0 against the spread (ATS) — snapped Sunday with a 138-130 overtime loss at the Denver Nuggets, failing to cover as 4.5-point road underdogs.

Memphis is 3-3 straight up (SU) and ATS since the All-Star break with its last game being a 123-112 upset loss at the Houston Rockets as 10.5-point road favorites.

These teams are tied 1-1 SU and ATS this season, both in NOLA, and the total is 1-1 Over/Under in those games.

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Pelicans +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
Against the spread: Pelicans +5.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-108)
Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

None

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

[tipico]

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 115, Grizzlies 112

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the PELICANS (+175) for a small wager, if at all, because NOLA plus the points is the much sharper play.

The Pelicans have the best adjusted net rating and ATS margin over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Also, NOLA’s SU and ATS loss at Denver Sunday is a misleading result. That game was a seesaw battle where the Pelicans rallied from a 21-point deficit to take an 11-point second-half lead before losing as Nuggets’ big Nikola Jokic went all-world in the fourth quarter and overtime.

However, the Pelicans match up very well with the Grizzlies stylistically and there’s value in NOLA stealing this game outright.

Pelicans former All-Star wing Brandon Ingram has been playing at an All-NBA-caliber level since the All-Star game and Ingram’s Pelicans are 6-0 SU versus the Grizzlies when PG Ja Morant is active. Morant was sidelined with an ankle injury for Memphis’s victory over NOLA earlier this season.

Again, if you do take NOLA’s ML, I’d only go LITE on the PELICANS (+175) with the plan of hitting their spread harder.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the PELICANS +5.5 (-108) instead of or heavier than their ML because NOLA can make it tough for the Grizzlies -5.5 (-112) to execute their game plan.

For instance, Memphis likes to crash the glass, get out in transition and attack the paint. But NOLA is eighth in both second-chance points per game (PPG) and paint PPG allowed and is first in transition defensive efficiency.

Also, the Pelicans’ trade deadline acquisition of SG C.J. McCollum added a guard to NOLA’s backcourt that could offset Morant’s dominance.

The PELICANS PLUS THE POINTS is by far my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 231.5 (-115) because both teams are in the bottom-eight of both true shooting percentage and 3-point attempt rate. Plus both are fantastic rebounding teams so there should be a lot of one-and-done possessions.

Furthermore, NOLA is 7-19 O/U as road underdogs. Memphis is 11-13-1 O/U as home favorites and there’s more cash on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over (according to VegasInsider.com). Typically, in sports betting, you want to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

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Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (13-12) host the Phoenix Suns (18-10) Saturday at the FedExForum for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Suns-Grizzlies NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Phoenix has been one of the best teams in the Association this month, going 8-2 overall and ATS. The Suns are fifth in net rating and second in effective field goal shooting in February.

The Grizzlies started February with a 1-4 record but are playing better and getting healthier. Memphis has won back-to-back games and four of its last six games (4-2 ATS).

The Suns lost at the Grizzlies earlier this season 108-104 as 5.5-point road favorites. In fact, Memphis has won and covered against Phoenix in the last four meetings. Both squads won and covered last night—the Suns beat the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Grizzlies took down the Detroit Pistons.

Suns at Grizzlies: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Money line: Suns -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Grizzlies +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
Against the spread/ATS: Suns -3.5 (-115) | Grizzlies +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Grizzlies: Key injuries

Suns

None.

Grizzlies

SF Justise Winslow (hip) probable
SG Dillon Brooks (thigh) questionable
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

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Suns at Grizzlies: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Suns 114, Grizzlies 106

Money line (ML)

PASS with a lean on the Suns (-165) mostly because I’d rather not bet an NBA regular-season money line favorite this expensive, but I don’t hate betting Phoenix outright given your bankroll or including this in a parlay.

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Against the spread (ATS)

This is a great spot for the SUNS -3.5 (-115) for a few reasons.

First, Memphis is either first or second in all four of the “miscellaneous” statistics (points in the paint, fast break points, points off of turnovers and second-chance points per game). However, Phoenix is top-10 in three of those categories (22nd in opponent’s fast break points per games).

Second, this month Phoenix has the sixth-highest net rating in clutch situations with a 4-1 record and Memphis has the worst clutch net rating in February.

Finally, the Suns have been great this season in the second game of a back-to-back: Phoenix is 6-1 ATS with a plus-7.4-point spread differential with no rest. Memphis is 3-1 ATS but has a minus-1.8-point spread differential.

BET SUNS -3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight lean on Under 225.5 (-110) but officially I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL. The Suns play at the second-slowest pace in the NBA, and you know Chris Paul wants to grind this game down with Phoenix’s halfcourt offense. Also, the previous five Suns-Grizzlies games have gone Under the total.

But, my handicap isn’t strong enough to wager on the total.

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Also see:

NBA fans react to Anthony Edwards’ jaw-dropping dunk of the year (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Suns | Grizzlies

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