New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (25-16) face the Boston Celtics (29-12) Wednesday at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Celtics odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans secured a 132-112 victory over the Washington Wizards on Monday to cover as 1.5-point road underdogs. New Orleans has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

The Celtics defeated the Chicago Bulls 107-99 on Monday despite failing to cover as 9.5-point favorites at home. Boston is on a 3-game winning streak and has won 7 of its last 9 games.

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Pelicans at Celtics odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Celtics -425 (bet $425 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +9.5 (-110) | Celtics -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pelicans at Celtics key injuries

Pelicans

  • F Brandon Ingram (toe) out
  • F Herbert Jones (back) doubtful
  • F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Celtics

  • G Marcus Smart (knee) questionable
  • C Robert Williams (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Celtics picks and predictions

Prediction

Celtics 116, Pelicans 109

Moneyline

I’ll PASS on the moneyline in this game because the Celtics (-425) are too heavily favored. Taking Boston straight up isn’t advised at the current odds because risking more than 4 times your potential return is not a good wager.

Against the spread

Even though the Celtics are the better team and healthier, PELICANS +9.5 (-110) is where I’m leaning. New Orleans has shown that its capable of keeping games close despite not having Ingram or Williamson available.

The Celtics are also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

Over/Under

With the number of notable players that could miss Wednesday’s game, UNDER 231.5 (-112) feels like the ideal way to bet the total. The recent trends also make the Under an intriguing wager.

The Pelicans have gone Under in 15 of their last 18 games against a team with a winning record. The Under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these sides and 15-6 in their last 21 meetings in Boston.

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Brooklyn Nets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Brooklyn Nets at Cleveland Cavaliers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Brooklyn Nets (27-15) stop by Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse Monday to play the Cleveland Cavaliers (26-18) at 3 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Cavaliers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Cleveland enters on a four-game win streak (2-1-1 ATS) with the most recent being a push as a 5-point favorite in a 107-102 victory at the Oklahoma City Thunder Saturday. The Cavs are 28-14-2 ATS and 17-27 O/U.

Brooklyn has alternated between wins and losses in its last eight games (4-4 overall and 2-6 ATS), which includes a 120-105 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans Saturday at home. The Nets are 17-25 ATS and 20-22 O/U.

The Nets have beaten the Cavs in both regular-season meetings thus far (1-1 ATS) and have won three straight games versus Cleveland.

Nets at Cavaliers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Nets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Cavaliers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Nets +3.5 (-112) | Cavaliers -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Nets at Cavaliers key injuries

Nets

  • SF Kevin Durant (knee) out
  • LaMarcus Aldridge (foot) probable
  • Nic Claxton (hamstring) questionable

Cavaliers

  • SG Lamar Stevens (knee) questionable

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Nets at Cavaliers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Cavaliers 115, Nets 109

Money line

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

I’m confident enough in Cleveland to just lay the points and I don’t want to bet the Cavaliers (-155) outright at this price.

Cleveland is 9-2 straight-up (SU) as a home favorite but Brooklyn is 3-1 SU as a road underdog and the Nets still have two perennial All-Stars to carry them while Durant is sidelined with an injury.

Against the spread

BET the CAVALIERS -3.5 (-108) for 1 unit because of KD’s absence and this is a much better spot for Cleveland.

Call me crazy but I think the Nets could feel the loss of Durant. The forward is averaging an NBA’s best 29.3 points per game (PPG) and is an obvious MVP contender.

KD grades in the 93rd percentile of wings in points per shot attempt and the 74th percentile in adjusted on/off net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Brooklyn will need guards James Harden and Kyrie Irving to step up in KD’s absence but they could have their hands full against Cleveland’s defense.

The length in the Cavs’ frontcourt allows Cleveland to extend its perimeter defense against ball handlers and run out on shooters.

This is the primary reason the Cavs are ninth in defensive 3-point percentage and fifth in defensive effective field goal percentage.

Cleveland also performs better against top-10 defenses and both teams rank in the top-10 of defensive efficiency and is third in adjusted net rating versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted defensive rating and the best ATS margin at a plus-7.5, per CTG.

The Nets are 11th in adjusted net rating versus top-10 defenses and 23rd in ATS margin at a minus-4.5 (CTG).

Also, Brooklyn has trouble stringing covers together and Cleveland doesn’t. The Nets are just 8-18 ATS following a win and the Cavs are 17-6-2 ATS in that spot.

Plus Cleveland is 15-4 ATS versus teams with a winning record, 6-2 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record and 13-6-1 ATS overall at home.

BET the CAVALIERS -3.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 221.5 (-107) for a small wager, if at all, because my favorite bet in this game is Cleveland’s spread.

However, Brooklyn has gone Over the total in five of its last six road games and both have gone Over the total in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Over has also cashed in five consecutive Nets-Cavaliers meetings.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics Martin Luther King Day odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (16-27) travel to Beantown to play the Boston Celtics (22-22) for a Martin Luther King Day afternoon contest. Tip-off at TD Garden is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

NOLA got smacked 120-105 by the Nets in Brooklyn Saturday after winning its previous two games. In January, the Pelicans are 3-5 straight-up (SU), 4-4 against the spread (ATS) with a 3-5 Over/Under (O/U) record and the 20th-best net rating at minus-3.9.

Boston won its fourth in the past five games by beating the Chicago Bulls 114-112 Saturday but failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Celtics are 5-3 SU, 2-6 ATS and 5-3 O/U with the ninth-best net rating at plus-4.7.

The Pelicans have won and covered their last three meetings with the Celtics.

Pelicans at Celtics odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:52 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pelicans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Celtics -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Pelicans +5.5 (-102) | Celtics -5.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: 216.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Pelicans at Celtics key injuries

Pelicans

  • None

Celtics

  • PG Marcus Smart (health and safety protocols) out

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Pelicans at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 108, Celtics 106

Money line

I’d lightly SPRINKLE on the PELICANS (+200) with the plan of betting more on their spread since that’s the sharper play.

However, I’m high on NOLA’s starting 5, and the absence of Smart weakens Boston’s already thin backcourt.

The Pelicans’ current starting 5 has a plus-10.2 points per 100 possessions adjusted net rating, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

In fact, NOLA’s 5 starters grade in the 82nd percentile or higher in adjusted on/off net rating for their respective positions, per CTG.

Plus, Smart’s replacement in the starting lineup, PG Dennis Schroder, grades in the 23rd percentile of point guards in assist rate (CTG).

Neither team is very deep as NOLA’s bench ranks 25th in points per game (PPG) and Boston’s ranks 28th. So, each team’s starting 5 weighs heavily into this handicap for me.

The Pelicans get a much better shot quality than the Celtics. NOLA ranks 12th in location-effective field-goal percentage (eFG%) and Boston ranks 23rd in location eFG%, per CTG.

Again, only SPRINKLE on the PELICANS (+200) if at all because New Orleans plus the points is the better bet.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the PELICANS +5.5 (-102) heavier than or instead of their money line because they have been a lot more profitable than the Celtics lately.

The Pelicans had a four-game ATS winning streak snapped in the loss at the Nets, and the Celtics are 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Plus, Boston is just 8-11 ATS against sub.-500 teams, including 3-6 ATS at home in that situation.

NEW ORLEANS +5.5 (-102) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 216.5 (-110).

The Pelicans are 5-13 O/U as road underdogs with a minus-4.7 total margin. The Celtics are 8-11 O/U as home favorites with a minus-3.3 total margin.

Also, both teams rank 20th or lower in pace. Each has a bottom-10 adjusted offensive rating, per CTG. The Celtics are 24th in eFG% and the Pelicans are 26th in eFG%.

LEAN UNDER 216.5 (-110) for a one-third unit only because my prediction is only a few points off of the projected total.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Boston Celtics NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New Orleans Pelicans (20-25) travel to Beantown Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET meeting with the Boston Celtics (23-23) at TD Garden. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Celtics odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

New Orleans has won three of its last four games and has covered six of the last eight since the All-Star break.

The Pelicans just defeated a Luka Doncic- and Kristaps Porzingis-less Dallas Mavericks 112-103 Saturday as 5.5-point home favorites.

Boston won back-to-back games to split its four-game road trip 2-2 straight-up (SU) entering Monday but are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in those contests. Over the past two weeks, the Celtics are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS.

New Orleans stunned Boston by coming back from down 24 points to force overtime and won 120-115 as a 2.5-point home underdog Feb. 21.

Pelicans at Celtics: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Pelicans +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Celtics -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans +3.5 (-110) | Celtics -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pelicans at Celtics: Key injuries

Pelicans

  • PG Lonzo Ball (hip) questionable

Celtics

  • SG Evan Fournier (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • PF Tristan Thompson (health and safety protocols) out
  • PF Semi Ojeleye (hip) out

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Pelicans at Celtics: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Pelicans 116, Celtics 109

Money line (ML)

I give the PELICANS (+135) a real chance to steal this game because they do a good job defending what the Celtics do frequently.

Boston attempts the 9th-highest volume of mid-range shots, but the Pelicans are 5th in defensive mid-range field-goal percentage, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

Also, New Orleans are monsters around the basket and thanks to PF Zion Williamson is 4th in the Association at paint points per game.

This is bad news for a Boston team which is 23rd in defensive field-goal percentage at attempts within five feet of the basket and 25th in second-chance points allowed per game.

BET PELICANS (+135) for a one-fifth-unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET PELICANS +3.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of New Orleans’ money line.

According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Celtics are 5-10 SU with the 21st-ranked ATS margin vs. teams that grade out top-10 in net points per 100 possessions.

New Orleans seems to be centering the offense more so around Williamson and his ability to wreak havoc on the opponent’s interior defense frees up open looks for SF Brandon Ingram and the Pelicans’ backcourt.

TAKE PELICANS +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight LEAN UNDER 230.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit because the previous Pelicans-Celtics game got into overtime and only went Over by five points.

New Orleans has played in the highest rate of Overs in the Association but is just 6-7 O/U as a road underdog this season.

Of all the options, my favorite bet is the Pelicans to cover, but if you must play the total, take the Under 230.5.

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