The Florida Panthers (21-15-5) visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (25-11-5) Sunday at 5 p.m. ET at PPG Paints Arena. We analyze the Panthers-Penguins odds and lines, while providing NHL betting tips around this matchup.
Panthers at Penguins: Projected starting goalies
Sergei Bobrovsky vs. Tristan Jarry
Bobrovsky owns a disappointing 3.33 goals against average and .895 save percentage this season. He stopped 4-of-7 shots before being replaced by Chris Driedger early in the second period of Saturday’s 3-2 loss to the Buffalo Sabres. Over the last two seasons, Bobrovsky has been solid over three starts against the Pens.
Jarry has logged a league-best 1.94 GAA and .936 SV% over 17 starts and two relief appearances. His save mark is 40-plus points higher than that of starter Matt Murray. Jarry has registered three home shutouts over the last month, and two of those came against solid St. Louis Blues and Arizona Coyotes.
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Panthers at Penguins: Odds, picks and betting tips
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Pittsburgh 3, Florida 2
Moneyline (ML)
The Panthers are 2-5 over their last seven road games. They are in the final contest of a three games in four nights situation and they have played six games since Dec. 28. Jarry is rested and playing behind a Pens club which is 5-0 over its last five games against winning teams. Pittsburgh has impressive puck-possession indicators of late.
Florida’s win-loss record is outpacing its goals and goals allowed marks. The Panthers have had a couple winning spells that were very much built on the backs of bottom-feeder opponents. A look at Florida’s last 10 games backs up the case to fade. Take PITTSBURGH (-154).
Puck Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Puck-line trends – both for Florida on the road and against Pittsburgh at home – dilute the lean toward the Pens (-1.5, +170) here. PASS.
Over/under (O/U)
The Under is 24-11-1 over Pittsburgh’s last 36 home games. The bulk of the Florida fade is a tax on goals scored, and a bit of the same trend is baked into the numbers for the Pens. Back the UNDER 6.5 (-139).
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