Tag: Panthers Bruins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Florida Panthers and Boston Bruins meet for Game 4 of their Eastern Conference 2nd-round series. The opening faceoff at TD Garden is slated for 6:30 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Series: Panthers lead 2-1

Florida has pounded Boston 6-1 and 6-2 in taking the last 2 games after a 5-1 loss in the opener. The Panthers outshot the Bruins 66-33 over those 2 wins.

Boston has been shorthanded 12 times over the last 2 games, coughing up 5 power play goals.

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Panthers at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:06 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Panthers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Bruins +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+170) | Bruins +1.5 (-210)
• Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: +110 | U: -130)

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Panthers at Bruins projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (36-17-4, 2.37 GAA, .915 SV%) vs. Jeremy Swayman (25-10-8, 2.53 GAA, .916 SV%)

Bobrovsky stopped 15 of 17 shots Friday. He owns an .892 SV% in these Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Swayman yielded 5 goals Friday. He’s been touched up for 9 goals over the last 2 games after logging a .955 SV% through his 1st 7 games of these playoffs.

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Panthers at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 4, Bruins 2

Moneyline

Expect a relatively tight game, but Florida is worthy of the edge. The Panthers are out-chancing the Bruins and in 8 playoff games have scored 3 goals or more 7 times.

A Florida lean is here, and while a Panthers-by-2 play makes for more risk, the return on the Puck Line is solid. PASS on the ML; shoot for the plus money on getting the Panthers by with a cushion.

Puck line/Against the spread

Florida prevailing by a tally in the neighborhood of 4-2 or 5-3 isn’t an odd-on likelihood. But the return on a Panthers club with mojo makes for a sound investment on FLORIDA -1.5 (+170).

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in each of Florida’s last 6 games, and the Panthers have averaged a robust 33.9 shots per game over their last 7.

The Over is 7-3 across the last 10 Florida-Boston meetings.

Per NaturalStatTrick, 5-on-5 expected-goals-against numbers for these playoffs would peg both sides as being a tad defense-fortunate so far. Expect the Bruins to have a solid game defensively, especially in a down-in-the-series effort on home ice. But the pricing here is solid; in fact be prepared to move quickly to avoid a line change working against you.

BACK THE OVER 5.5 (+110).

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The Florida Panthers (4-3-0) take on the Boston Bruins (7-0-1) Monday at TD Garden. Puck drop is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+/Hulu). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers hit the road after a 4-game homestand that was capped off with a 3-2 victory over the Seattle Kraken Saturday. They went 3-1 on the homestand and have won 4 out of 5 after a slow start to the season. C Aleksander Barkov and LW Matthew Tkachuk each only have 1 goal on the season, and it’s a matter of time before they heat up.

The Bruins brushed off a stunning 4-3 overtime defeat by the Anaheim Ducks Thursday with a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings Saturday. They are 1 of 2 remaining teams unbeaten in regulation. RW David Pastrnak is off to a buzzing start with 8 goals and 5 assists in 8 games.

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Panthers at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:29 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Bruins -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-165) | Bruins -1.5 (+140)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -125 | U: +105)

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Panthers at Bruins projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (3-3-0, 2.88 GAA, .906 SV%) vs. Linus Ullmark (3-0-1, 1.74 GAA, .937 SV%)

“Bob” stopped 30 of 32 shots in the win over the Kraken Saturday. He has won 3 of his last 4 starts. He lost his only start against the B’s last regular season and allowed 3 goals on 33 shots. He defeated them 3 times in the playoffs.

Ullmark was last between the pipes Thursday for the overtime loss to the Ducks. He stopped 28 of 32 shots in the affair. He saw the Panthers twice in the regular season last year and went 2-0-0 with a 3.01 GAA and .925 SV%. He was 3-3 with a 3.34 GAA and .896 SV% in their 1st-round loss to the Panthers in the playoffs.

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Panthers at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 3, Panthers 2

Moneyline

Boston is 3-0-1 at home this season and was 34-4-3 there last season. It’s an incredibly tall task to upend the Bruins in their building. But Florida found the recipe to get past them in the playoffs, so I like them to keep it close.

Take the BRUINS -165 or look to the spread, which will be about the same price.

Puck line/Against the spread

I like the PANTHERS +1.5 (-165) because I still give them a chance to get it done. They are 3-4 on the PL and 1-2 on the road. So there is some risk here, but last year’s experience will bode well.

Over/Under

The Panthers are 3-3 O/U this year, and Boston is 2-6. I’d be more comfortable with a 6.5 number, but I’ll LEAN UNDER 6 (+105).

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The Florida Panthers and the Boston Bruins meet Wednesday for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinals, as the series shifts back to Boston. Puck drop from TD Garden is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Bruins lead the series 3-1.

The Panthers suffered a disappointing 6-2 setback on home ice in Game 4 Sunday night, and Florida was outscored 10-4 in Sunrise in the last 2 games. As such, the Panthers were pushed to the brink of elimination, and have to win 3 in a row, including 2 in Boston, to stay alive.

The Bruins have scored 3 or more goals in each of the 4 games in this series, averaging 4.0 goals per game (GPG) so far. Boston is 4-for-14 (28.6%) on the power play in this series, which is slightly better than its 22.2% mark on the man advantage during the regular season, according to covers.com.

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Panthers at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9:44 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Bruins -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-120) | Bruins -1.5 (+100)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Panthers at Bruins projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (24-20-3, 3.07 GAA, .901 SV%, 1 SO – regular season) vs. Linus Ullmark (40-6-1, 1.89 GAA, .938 SV%, 2 SO – regular season)

Bobrovsky allowed 5 goals on 30 shots, including a pair of power-play goals, in his 1st action in the crease since late March. He actually played pretty well considering the long layoff, and he gave his team a chance to win, down just 2-1 heading to the 3rd period before the wheels came off.

Ullmark had an eventful Game 4. He allowed just 2 goals on 43 shots, but was sent off at 16:49 of the 3rd period for trying to fight Florida forward Matthew Tkachuk during a fracas between the teams. Jeremy Swayman finished up and turned aside the only shot he faced.

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Panthers at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 4, Panthers 2

Moneyline

The Bruins (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your initial wager, and that’s quite expensive. While this is an elimination game, and I feel Boston is going to win, there is too much risk and not enough reward playing such a heavy favorite.

AVOID, and look to the puck line instead.

Puck line/Against the spread

The BRUINS -1.5 (+100) are a much better play at even-money on the puck line.

Boston is 3-1 as a favorite in this series, which cashing on the puck line in each of the 3 victories. In fact, the margin of victory for the Bruins in their 3 wins is 2.7 GPG.

On the flip side, the Panthers +1.5 (-120) are 1-4 in the last 5 games dating back to the regular season as an underdog against the puck line.

Over/Under

I think the Over/Under 6 lands right on the number.

We have seen the Over and Under alternate in this series, with the Over cashing in Game 4. In the 4 games, we have had a total of 27 goals, or an average of 6.8 GPG. If I was forced to pick, I’d lean ever so slightly to the Over.

However, the best course of action is to PASS.

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The Wild Card Florida Panthers try to knock off Goliath in the top-seeded Boston Bruins Monday in Game 1 of their 1st-round series at TD Garden. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

After winning the Presidents’ Trophy for the top team in the regular season last year, the Panthers enter as a +275 underdog to win the series. This is a different Panthers club with more physicality up front and less certainty down low. They were 6th in scoring at 3.5 goals per game and 21st allowing 3.3 goals per game. Florida actually handed Boston an overtime loss and 1 of their 12 regulation losses this season.

Boston put it all together this year, ranking 2nd with 3.7 goals per game. They boasted the top defense at 2.1 goals per game and the best penalty kill at 87.3%. The Bruins were even tougher at home, going 34-4-3. Boston has won 6 of the last 9, dating back to 2019, but went 1-1-1 against Florida this year.

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Panthers at Bruins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:47 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Bruins -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-140) | Bruins -1.5 (+115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Panthers at Bruins projected goalies

Alex Lyon (9-4-2, 2.89 GAA, .914 SV%, 1 SO – reg. season) vs. Linus Ullmark (40-6-1, 1.89 GAA, .938 SV%, 2 SO – reg. season)

The 30-year-old Lyon took over when Sergei Bobrovsky dealt with a nasty illness March 29 and hasn’t looked back. Lyon went 4-1-1 with a 1.83 GAA and .946 SV% in 6 April starts. He beat Boston in a 4-3 overtime win Jan. 28, stopping 38 of 40 shots. We could see Bobrovsky again, but it appears to be Lyon’s show for now.

Ullmark had one of the best goalie seasons in recent memory in an era where scoring is up. There might be some worry of rust because he has only played 3 games this month; albeit he still had a 2.06 GAA and .933 SV%. He was 2-0 with a 3.01 GAA and .925 SV% against the Panthers this season.

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Panthers at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Bruins 4, Panthers 1

Moneyline

The Panthers are a little bit of a wild card because they took the most shots at 36.8 per game while the Bruins allowed the 9th-fewest at 33.0 per game. Some of those could eventually trickle in. Not in Game 1, though, as Boston is battle-tested.

PASS on the moneyline and look to the spread.

Puck line/Against the spread

Two of the 3 meetings this year and 6 of the last 9 were decided by 2 or more goals. The Bruins were 21-20 on the puck line at home, but that’s not terrible considering they were likely favored in all of them and had to win by more than 1. The Bruins were 9-1-0 down the stretch and should take control of this one and not look back.

Take the BRUINS -1.5 (+115).

Over/Under

The total will be tricky because we’re dealing with a record-setting team against Lyon, who has 31 career starts under his belt. The Panthers were 2-4-4 O/U down the stretch, and Boston was 6-4. All 3 games went Over in the regular season. I, however, will LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-120).

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The Florida Panthers (2-0-0) visit TD Garden to face the Boston Bruins (2-0-0) Monday for a 7 p.m. faceoff. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Panthers vs. Bruins odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Panthers are off to a hot start after securing a 3-1 win at the New York Islanders Thursday and a 4-3 win at the Buffalo Sabres Saturday. They look to continue their winnings way Monday vs. the divisional rival Panthers.

The Bruins have started just as hot also securing 2 wins to open the season – first at the Washington Capitals 5-2 Wednesday, and then home vs. the Phoenix Coyotes 6-3 Saturday.

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Panthers at Bruins odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:53 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Panthers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Bruins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
• Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+180) | Bruins +1.5 (-230)
• Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Panthers at Bruins projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (1-0-0, 1.01 GAA, .970 SV%) vs. Linus Ullmark (1-0-0 2.00 GAA, .943 SV%)

Bobrovsky started in the Panthers’ win vs. the Islanders, a game in which he allowed only 1 goal on 33 shots in 59 minutes and 39 seconds on the ice.

Ullmark started in the Bruins’ win vs. the Capitals. He allowed 2 goals on 35 shots in 60 minutes of ice time.

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Panthers at Bruins picks and predictions

Prediction

Panthers 4, Bruins 3

Moneyline

LEAN FLORIDA (-140).

The Panthers are playing their 3rd road game in a row. I expect them to be focused before they head back to Florida for their home opener Wednesday vs. the Philadelphia Flyers. The Panthers have the better goalie in this matchup, which is why I like the visitors to cash a winning ML ticket.

Puck line/Against the spread

BACK BOSTON +1.5 (-230) to WIN a HALF UNIT.

Expect this to be a tough divisional matchup that could go either way. While I don’t believe the Bruins will pull this one out, I do believe it will be within 1 score. With this being the Bruins’ first home game vs. a divisional opponent, the  home crowd should definitely have an effect on this game.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 6.5 (-112).

This is the riskiest bet of my 3 suggestions. Both teams have decent goalies and good offenses, so the O/U could easily go either way.

With this being a divisional game and new season just underway, expect a high-scoring matchup. However, both teams have talented goalies who don’t allow many goals, so don’t be too confident in this one.

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