The San Diego Padres (54-44) play the 2nd game of their 3-game interleague set with the Detroit Tigers (39-58) Tuesday. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Padres vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Detroit clubbed San Diego 12-4 in the series opener Monday as the Tigers lit up Padres LHP Sean Manaea, which included Detroit C Eric Haase‘s 3rd-inning grand slam. Monday’s Padres-Tigers meeting was their 1st of the year.
The Padres are just 4-6 straight up (SU) over their last 10 games stretching back before the All-Star break.
The Tigers snapped a 3-game losing skid with Monday’s win but are just 3-7 SU in their last 10.
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Padres at Tigers projected starters
RHP Mike Clevinger vs. RHP Garrett Hill
Clevinger is 2-3 with a 3.50 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP across 9 starts and 1 relief appearance.
- Last start: Loss, 3-1, July 17 at home vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks with 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 8 K.
- Career at Comerica Park: 3-2 with a 2.67 ERA (33 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 2 HR and 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts.
Hill is 1-2 with a 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER), 13 H, 3 HR, 5 BB and 8 K over 3 starts in his rookie season.
- Last start: Loss, 5-0, Thursday at the Oakland Athletics with 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 4 K.
- Hill’s hard-hit rate, exit velocity and BB% are better than the MLB average but Hill’s .208 BABip is low and due for regression.
Padres at Tigers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Padres -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Padres -1.5 (-112) | Tigers +1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Padres at Tigers picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 4, Padres 3
Money line
LEAN TIGERS (+155) only because Detroit’s RL at -108 is more enticing and there’s a line freeze in the betting market.
The Padres (-190) are way too expensive here considering they are just 14-13 SU as road favorites while the Tigers are 16-15 SU as home underdogs.
Nearly three-fourths of the action is on the Padres per Pregame.com but their number hasn’t budged at Tipico and is much lower at other sportsbooks. This line freeze could be the oddsmakers’ way of baiting the public into staking more on San Diego.
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Run line/Against the spread
BET TIGERS +1.5 (-108) based on the previous analysis plus Detroit’s RL is going for a cheap price. The Padres are also 0-5 RL in interleague play and 12-15 RL as road favorites.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-120) only because the Padres-Tigers O/U trends skew towards the Over.
However, most of the money is on the Over according to Pregame.com yet the Under is much more expensive, which is suspicious.
Detroit’s lineup is also terrible vs. right-handed pitching and San Diego’s lineup has a below-average wOBA and wRC+, per FanGraphs.
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