The Green Bay Packers (11-3) look to lock down the NFC North title when they travel to U.S. Bank Stadium to play the Minnesota Vikings (10-4) in a much-anticipated Monday Night Football tilt at 8:15 p.m. ET. We analyze the Packers-Vikings odds and sports betting lines, while providing betting tips and advice on this Week 16 NFL matchup.
Packers at Vikings: preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Packers are 9-5 against the spread (ATS) this season, but just 3-3 ATS in their last six games.
- The Over has hit in five of the Vikings’ last six games.
- Green Bay is 4-2 against the moneyline and 5-1 against the spread in its last six games as a road underdog.
- In games where Minnesota has been favored between 3.5 and 4.5 points, the Vikings are 9-0 against the moneyline and 8-1 ATS – hitting the Over in 14 of 20 games in that scenario.
- Vikings QB Kirk Cousins has a career record of 6-14-1 in 21 prime-time games.
- The total has gone Under in eight of the last 10 meetings between the two NFC North rivals.
Vikings at Packers: Key injuries
Vikings
- RB Dalvin Cook (chest) out
- RB Alexander Mattison (ankle) questionable
Packers
- DE Dean Lowry (ankle) questionable
- T Yosuah Nijman (elbow) out
Vikings at Packers: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Vikings 23, Packers Bay 20
Moneyline (?)
Minnesota is the only team in the league that is unbeaten at home this season (6-0) and has protected their home-field advantage extremely well, winning games by 16, 20, 18, 10, 6 and 13 points. That can explain why they have a big moneyline number (-239). The Packers are getting a good number (+190), and it’s rare for any 11-3 team to get that kind of love from the sportsbooks. We would lean toward the Vikings, but not by much given the return to go with Green Bay and the lack of it for Minnesota.
Against the Spread (?)
Minnesota has blown out the 3.5-point number all season and are the favorite despite giving up the points (-139). The money is going on Minnesota, which explains the spread, but if you’re willing to give Aaron Rodgers and the PACKERS +3.5 (+115) that many points, it’s hard to deny taking him. Go with the visitors.
New to sports betting? Every $1.15 wagered on the Packers moneyline will profit $1 if they don’t lose by 4 or more points or win outright.
Over/Under (?)
The Vikings and Packers tend to play games close to the vest and work the clock with long drives that drain the clock. Both defenses have been strong in the red zone and forced teams to settle for field goals more often than touchdowns. The Over 46.5 (+100) is getting better odds than the under (-121), but this one has the smell of a tightly contested, conservative game plan for both offense, which lends itself to lower scores. Take the UNDER 46.5.
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