The Indiana Pacers (38-25) heads to Texas Sunday to play the Dallas Mavericks (39-25) at the American Airlines Center at 7:00 p.m. ET. We analyze the Pacers-Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Pacers at Mavericks: Key injuries
Pacers
- PG Malcolm Brogdon (hip) out
- SG Victor Oladipo (leg) questionable
- SF T.J. Warren (leg) questionable
- SF Doug McDermott (foot) doubtful
- SG Jeremy Lamb (knee) out
Mavericks
- SG Seth Curry (ankle) out
- PF Dorian Finney-Smith (hip) questionable
- SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (illness) questionable
- PG Jalen Brunson (shoulder) out
- PF Dwight Powell (Achilles) out
Pacers at Mavericks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Sunday at 2:15 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Mavericks 124, Pacers 101
Moneyline (ML)
The Mavericks (-223) trampled the Memphis Grizzlies, 121-96, on Friday. Kristaps Porzingis continued his hot play against Memphis, scoring 26 points and grabbing 11 boards — his fifth straight double-double. The Pacers (+180) bounced back from Wednesday’s 119-100 loss at Milwaukee by beating the Chicago Bulls, 108-102, at home two nights later. Sunday’s game will conclude a five-game road trip for the Pacers. Dallas prevailed in the first meeting of these two clubs, 112-103 at Indiana Feb. 3. And that was despite Luka Doncic sitting out for Dallas and Oladipo playing in his third game back from injury that cost him more than a calendar year.
Given the Pacers’ injury issues, my recommendation is to PASS on the moneyline here. The plus-money line for the playoff-bound Pacers is juicy but they could be without three starters. Betting heavy favorites such as the Mavericks is a bad ROI for the more enthusiastic gambler.
New to sports betting? A $100 bet on the Mavericks to win outright would return a profit of $44.84 if successful. Betting $100 on the Pacers to win outright would return a $180 profit if successful.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Don’t overthink this one and bet MAVERICKS -5.5 (-106). If the Pacers were fully healthy we’d definitely be looking to play them here since there are many favorable Indiana trends. Trends that aren’t so Pacers-friendly: Indiana is 1-5 ATS in their last six games against Dallas and 1-4 ATS in its last five games as an underdog.
Over/Under (O/U)
Both teams have shown a propensity to send their games Over the projected total, albeit for different reasons. The Pacers have an O/U record of 33-29-1 this season and I get the feeling that’s mostly due to the public’s perception of Indiana being a slower-paced, defensive team. The Mavericks’ O/U record is 39-25 and that’s because they are one of the better offensive teams in the NBA. They are ranked first in offensive rating, third in points per game and second in 3-pointers attempted per game. Also, the Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Dallas and their combined O/U record in non-conference games is 29-19 this season.
BET OVER 217.5.
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