2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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One week after Europe’s win in the Ryder Cup, the PGA Tour continues its fall schedule with the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship in Mississippi. The Country Club of Jackson is hosting the event for the 10th time, with the 1st round beginning on Thursday morning.

Below, we look at the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg is the highest-ranked player in the field at No. 11 in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, and is the betting favorite (+1200) to win in Jackson. Eric Cole, Stephan Jaeger (both at +2000) and Emiliano Grillo (+2200) are also among the top players teeing it up in Mississippi this week.

The Country Club of Jackson is a par-72 course and will play at 7,461 yards. It features bermuda grass greens that often roll at very quick speeds, and given the length of the course, strokes gained: off the tee is a good measure of success at the Country Club of Jackson, as are most ball-striking stats due to the smaller greens. The last 9 winning scores here have been between 16-under and 22-under par.

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Sanderson Farms Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:37 p.m. ET.

Eric Cole (+2000)

Cole doesn’t have a PGA Tour win yet on his resume, but he’s someone who’s due for one. He has 4 top-10 finishes already this season, including a 4th-place finish in the Fortinet Championship two weeks ago. He missed the cut  last year after a 1st-round 78 but he’s a good bet this week in Mississippi.

Ludvig Aberg (+1200)

Is Aberg going to be jetlagged and burned out from the festivities in Rome? Maybe. Is he still deserving of the shortest odds this week? Definitely. I’m willing to take him to win this week and ride the momentum after playing well in the Ryder Cup and winning the Omega European Masters last month.

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Sanderson Farms Championship picks – Contenders

Mark Hubbard (+4000)

Hubbard tied for 5th here last year after missing the cut the previous 2 seasons, which was one of 3 top-30 finishes in the fall last season. In the Fortinet Championship 2 weeks ago, he tied for 17th, so he has some momentum.

Greyson Sigg (+5000)

He tied for 9th in this event last year. Last month he tied for 25th in the Fortinet and is above-average in SG: off the tee this season, ranking 79th on tour. As a mid-tier target, Sigg has good value this week.

Sanderson Farms Championship picks – Long shots

Scott Stallings (+9000)

Stallings has a lot of experience in this event, playing it 8 straight seasons. He’s only missed the cut twice in that span and has never finished worse than T-43 when he has made the cut, with his best finish being T-6 three years ago. His odds should probably be shorter, given his course history.

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2023 Ryder Cup odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Ryder Cup, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The U.S. and Europe will get together in Italy this week for the 2023 Ryder Cup, which is being held at Marco Simone Golf and Country Club just outside of Rome. Team USA won the Cup in 2021 when it was held in the states, running away with it, 19-9, but the Americans haven’t won on European turf since 1993.

Below, we look at the 2023 Ryder Cup odds and make our picks and predictions.

The American team is led by World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler, as well as 2023 major champions, Wyndham Clark, Brooks Koepka and Brian Harman. Also on the squad are Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Sam Burns, Max Homa, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele and Rickie Fowler.

On Team Europe, Rory McIlroy leads the way again, alongside Jon Rahm and Viktor Hovland. Major champions Matt Fitzpatrick, Shane Lowry and Justin Rose are also representing Team Europe, along with PGA Tour rookie Ludvig Aberg. Also on the squad are Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrell Hatton, Robert McIntyre, Nicolai Hojgaard and Sepp Straka.

Marco Simone Golf and Country Club will play as a par 72 and 7,268 yards this week. The course features a few drivable par 4s, which will certainly make match play more interesting, and the severe elevation changes also bring added strategy into the mix.

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Ryder Cup – Winner

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:30 p.m. ET.

USA: -105
Tie: +1200
Europe: +115

There’s no shortage of star power on either team this year. From top to bottom, it’s the strongest collection of talent in the Ryder Cup in quite some time. The Americans have the edge in experience, with returning players such as Scheffler, Morikawa, Koepka, Thomas, Cantlay, Schauffele and Spieth. However, the Europeans are loaded at the top with McIlroy, Rahm and Hovland all ranked inside the top 4 of the Official World Golf Ranking.

Where the Americans could have the edge is further down the board thanks to their depth. Hojgaard, Straka and Aberg are all Ryder Cup rookies and don’t have the same level of experience as the Americans. Clark and Harman are both major champions and ranked in the top 10 in the world, so while they’re Ryder Cup rookies, they’ve had terrific 2023 seasons.

Team USA also doesn’t have a player ranked lower than 26th in the world, whereas Europe has 5 ranked 34th or lower. So as a whole, the Americans have the edge in that regard.

If the Ryder Cup were being played in the U.S., there’s no doubt the Americans would be heavily favored to win. But because it’s in Europe, that gives the home squad a significant advantage, given their success on European soil in past Ryder Cups.

So much of the Ryder Cup comes down to singles matches when all 24 players will be in the spotlight. And as much as I like the Europeans to keep things close or even come out of doubles matches with a slight lead on Saturday, the Americans will get the job done in singles on Sunday because of how deep their team is.

BET USA (-105) to win the Ryder Cup this weekend and retain the cup, beating Team Europe in a close match.

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2023 Fortinet Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Fortinet Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 1st tournament of the inaugural FedExCup Fall begins this week with the 2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort in Napa, Calif. It’s the 1st of 7 events this fall as Max Homa goes for the threepeat at this event in his home state. The tournament begins on Thursday morning, with the final round on Sunday afternoon.

Below, we look at the 2023 Fortinet Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Homa is the favorite (+750) to retain his title this week, attempting to win this tournament for the 3rd year in a row. Justin Thomas (+1400) and Sahith Theegala (+1800) are among the big names in the field, along with Cam Davis (+2500). Homa is the highest-ranked player in the field in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings, coming in at No. 10.

The North Course at Silverado Resort isn’t overly long, playing at 7,123 yards as a par 72. It was designed by Johnny Miller and this year, holes 8-17 have been rerouted to change the layout.

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Fortinet Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Brendon Todd (+3500)

Todd doesn’t have much length off the tee, but he’s a good fit for Silverado Resort, which isn’t a very demanding course from a distance perspective. It’s part of the reason Todd finished 9th and 22nd in his last 2 starts in this event, and he also finished 26th in 2016 when it was the Frys.com Open.

Stephan Jaeger (+2500)

Jaeger tied for 43rd here last year, but I’m much more interested in his 6 straight top-35 finishes in his last 6 starts, including a T-20 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, his most recent tournament. Jaeger is riding some momentum into this event.

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Fortinet Championship picks – Contenders

Austin Eckroat (+5500)

Eckroat had a hot streak from May to June when he finished in the top 30 in 5 straight starts, including a runner-up at the AT&T Byron Nelson. He’s missed cuts in his last 2 tournaments, but he could be in line to bounce back at an event where he finished 64th last year due to a final-round 77.

Doug Ghim (+5500)

Ghim has only missed 1 cut since the beginning of May, and while he hasn’t finished better than T-12, he’s a cut-maker who could break through eventually to win his 1st PGA Tour event.

Fortinet Championship picks – Long shot

Justin Lower (+10000)

Lower has played this event the last 2 years, missing the cut in 2021 before finishing 4th last year. He finished 8th in July at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

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2023 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Tour Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The FedExCup Playoffs will wrap up on Sunday afternoon at the 2023 Tour Championship, where a new FedExCup champion will be crowned at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning for the 30 players left in the field.

Below, we look at the 2023 Tour Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The Tour Championship is different than other events because it features a staggered scoring format based on where players sit in the FedExCup standings entering the week. Scottie Scheffler is atop the standings so he’ll start the tournament at 10-under par. Viktor Hovland is 2nd and will start at 8-under par, followed by Rory McIlroy (7-under), Jon Rahm (6-under) and Lucas Glover (5-under). It goes all the way down to Sam Burns, Emiliano Grillo, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth and Sepp Straka at even par.

East Lake has hosted the Tour Championship since 2004, presenting golfers with a challenging course where water hazards come into play on several holes. The toughest part about the venue is its narrow fairways, which are particularly penalizing to miss. It’s a par 70 and 7,346 yards, so it’s also a longer course with just 2 par-5s.

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Tour Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:55 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+350)

McIlroy starts the week 3 shots back, which is half as many strokes as he was giving to Scheffler last year when he chased him down and won by 1 stroke. He shot 67 or better in all 4 rounds last year and has as much experience at East Lake as anyone in the field. If there’s a player whot’s going to take down Scheffler (again), it’s McIlroy.

Viktor Hovland (+450)

Hovland is the closest competitor to Scheffler, sitting 2 shots behind him. Fresh off a course-record 61 on Sunday at the BMW Championship, Hovland has the momentum heading into Atlanta. He finished T-5 here 2 years ago and T-15 last year, shooting only 1 round above par in that span. Two shots is a small gap to close and it could flip with a birdie-bogey start on the 1st hole.

Jon Rahm (+800)

Rahm is 4 shots behind Scheffler to start the week but he’s a player who can heat up in a hurry. With 2 rounds of 65 and 2 rounds of 68 in 2021, he finished 2nd to Patrick Cantlay. And though he struggled last year with rounds of 71 on Saturday and Sunday, he did fire a 63 in Round 2.

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Tour Championship picks – Contenders

Max Homa (+2800)

Homa will start 6 shots behind, which is the same position McIlroy was in last year when he won, so it’s not impossible. After an opening-round 71 here last year, he shot 62, 66 and 66 to finish T-5. He once held the lead last week at the BMW Championship thanks to an 8-under 62 on Friday, but he backed up a bit on the weekend; he still finished 5th.

Brian Harman (+5000)

Could the magical season from Harman continue with a victory at East Lake?He’s also 6 shots behind Scheffler but he’s only had 2 rounds over 70 in his last 6 events. Harman is as hot as anyone and could heat up even more in Atlanta.

Tour Championship picks – Long shot

Sungjae Im (+12500)

I don’t really love any of the long shots this week with the staggered scoring format, but I’ll take a shot on Im, who’s 8 strokes behind Scheffler. He shot 67, 65, 66 and 66 here last year to finish T-2 with Scheffler, an excellent showing from Im despite not closing the gap all the way.

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2023 BMW Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 BMW Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The field has been trimmed to the top 50 players in the FedExCup Playoffs following the FedEx St. Jude Championship, which was won by Lucas Glover – his 2nd straight victory this month. Up next is the 2023 BMW Championship from Olympia Fields in Illinois.

Below, we look at the 2023 BMW Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy comes into the week as the betting favorite (+750) after his 3rd-place finish last week, but Scottie Scheffler isn’t far behind (+800). Two-time defending champion Patrick Cantlay is at +1000 to win this event for the 3rd year in a row, all at different courses.

Olympia Fields is hosting the BMW Championship for the 2nd time. In 2020, Jon Rahm beat Dustin Johnson in a playoff. The winning score that week was 4-under 276 and only 5 players finished under par for the tournament. It’s a major championship-level course so players will be tested by this bunker-covered track.

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BMW Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:57 p.m. ET.

Jon Rahm (+1000)

Rahm put himself behind the 8 ball last week when he shot 73 on Thursday, making it incredibly difficult for him to contend. He finished by shooting rounds of 67, 67 and 68 to tie for 37th. He comes to Olympia Fields, where he won in 2020 and it’s exactly the type of course he should excel on with its challenging conditions.

Collin Morikawa (+2200)

Morikawa finished T-13 last week in Memphis, which was helped by an opening round of 65. He finished 20th here in 2020, bouncing back after a 1st-round 76 by shooting 68 in the final 2 rounds. With narrow fairways and difficult greens to hit, Morikawa should have an edge.

Russell Henley (+2800)

Henley is red hot, finishing 2nd and 6th in his last 2 starts. He probably should’ve won the Wyndham Championship 2 weeks ago, too, if not for a couple of late bad breaks on Sunday. He’s the most accurate driver on tour and a great ball striker, which is why I like him to keep the hot streak going this week.

BMW Championship picks – Contenders

Brian Harman (+4500)

Harman disappointed a bit in his 1st start since the Open, finishing T-31 last week in Memphis, but I’m still buying stock in the lefty. He finished T-12 here in 2020 and has 4 top-12 finishes in his last 5 starts dating back to June. Don’t fade him yet.

Cam Davis (+5500)

Davis didn’t play here in 2020 but he’s been in about as good of form as anyone the last month and a half. He has 3 straight top-10 finishes, including a T-6 at the 1st playoff event, and also came in 17th at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in July. His only slip-up was a missed cut at the Scottish Open.

BMW Championship picks – Long shots

Emiliano Grillo (+6600)

Grillo has 4 top-20 finishes in his last 5 starts, with the best in that stretch being a 6th-place finish at the Open Championship. He’s got a well-rounded game with no real weaknesses at the moment, ranking 52nd in strokes gained: total.

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2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The FedExCup Playoffs kick off this week in Memphis with the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship. It’s once again being held at TPC Southwind, though the field size is considerably smaller than in recent years; only the top 70 players in the FedExCup standings qualified, with 125 players previously making it to this stage of the season.

Below, we look at the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

All the big names are in the field this week, from betting favorites Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm to major champions Brian Harman and Wyndham Clark. The defending champ, Will Zalatoris, will not be teeing it up as he’s missed most of the season due to injury.

TPC Southwind is a par 70 and plays at 7,243 yards, featuring an abundance of water hazards around the course. The greens are expected to be firm and fast, while the rough makes missed fairways especially penalizing.

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FedEx St. Jude Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:59 p.m. ET.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+3300)

Fitzpatrick — 36th in the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings — hasn’t been at his best lately, with no top-10s since June, but this is a course he’s excelled on before. In 4 starts at TPC Southwind, he’s finished 4th, 6th, 57th and 5th, so he’s been near the top of the leaderboard in 3 of his 4 tries. At +3300, you’re getting him at a little bit of a discount because of his poor form as of late.

Collin Morikawa (+2500)

Morikawa is as good a ball striker as they come, which is an essential trait at TPC Southwind. Hitting fairways is critical because when you miss them, the rough is no joke. Morikawa has finished 20th, 26th and 5th in his 3 starts here, so his course history is solid.

Jordan Spieth (+3000)

Spieth bounced back from consecutive missed cuts by finishing 23rd at the Open Championship, but he hasn’t played since. That might not be a bad thing, giving him some time to reset before the playoffs. In 4 TPC Southwind starts since 2019, he has two 12th-place finishes, a 30th-place finish and a missed cut (last year).

FedEx St. Jude Championship picks – Contenders

Brian Harman (+4500)

Harman is still being underrated a little bit by the books, even after winning the Open. At +4500, he’s a great value this week in a tournament where he finished 36th and 3rd in his last 2 appearances. He’s had enough time to come down from his high of winning the Open, too.

J.T. Poston (+4500)

Poston is riding a little bit of a heater coming into the week, finishing T-2 and T-7 in his last 2 starts. He’ll try to continue that momentum at TPC Southwind where he’s finished 18th, 30th and 20th in his last 3 tries.

Also see: FedEx St. Jude Championship prop bet picks and predictions

FedEx St. Jude Championship picks – Long shots

Harris English (+8000)

English is coming off a T-33 at the Wyndham Championship, firing a final-round 66 to move up the leaderboard Sunday. He’s notched 10th- and 4th-place finishes in 2 of his last 3 starts here, with the T-4 coming in 2021. Not many long shots have that sort of tournament success.

Andrew Putnam (+10000)

Putnam finished T-5 here last year, but that wasn’t his only successful performance in this event. He also finished 2nd in 2018 and 24th in 2019, showing Southwind is a good fit for his game.

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2023 Wyndham Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Wyndham Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

With just 1 event left before the FedExCup Playoffs begin, players will take a crack at qualifying this week by finishing high up the leaderboard at the 2023 Wyndham Championship. The 1st round begins on Thursday from Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, N.C.

Below, we look at the 2023 Wyndham Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Defending champion Tom Kim will not be playing this week after suffering an ankle injury during The Open Championship two weeks ago. Hideki Matsuyama is the betting favorite, coming into the event at +2000, tied with Russell Henley and Sungjae Im. Also in the field are Justin Thomas, Shane Lowry, Adam Scott and Gary Woodland as they try to make one last push for a spot in the playoffs.

Sedgefield Country Club (par 70, 7,131 yards) is a Donald Ross design and opened in 1926. It has hosted the Wyndham Championship since 2008, typically yielding low scores in the range of 20-under or better for 4 rounds. Kim won it last year at 20-under-par, 5 shots clear of the next-closest competitors, John Huh and Sungjae Im.

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Wyndham Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:24 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+2000)

Im missed the cut last week at the 3M Open where he was one of the favorites to win, so it was a massively disappointing result for him. However, he’s coming to another course where he’s had plenty of high finishes: 3 top-10s and 4 top-25s in the last 4 years, including a runner-up in 2022. He’s poised to bounce back from last week’s MC.

Cam Davis (+3300)

I’m riding Davis again this week at another tournament he’s played well in. In 2 starts at the Wyndham, he’s finished 15th and 22nd. Davis is coming off a T-10 at the 3M Open on Sunday following a final-round 65 that vaulted him up the leaderboard.

Wyndham Championship picks – Contenders

Billy Horschel (+6000)

Horschel is one of the marquee players fighting for a spot in the FedExCup Playoffs this week, needing a win in order to get through. It’d be a perfect way to finish the regular season, which has been a frustrating one for the former Florida Gator. He has 3 top-10s in his last 5 starts in this tournament and nothing worse than a 27th-place finish in his last 4.

Byeong Hun An (+4500)

An is playing at a high level right now, finishing T-23 at the 3M Open after tying for 3rd in the Scottish Open a few weeks earlier. He’s finished 35th and 3rd in his last 2 starts in the Wyndham Championship, so the course history is there for him.

Wyndham Championship picks – Long shot

Webb Simpson (+8000)

Simpson might be having a dreadful year with more missed cuts (8) than made ones, but you’d be a fool not to consider him at this tournament in his home state. His last 5 starts here are as follows: 7th, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd and 3rd, from 2021 to 2017. It seems no matter how poorly he’s playing, he always plays well here.

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2023 3M Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 3M Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

Major championship season has come to an end following Brian Harman’s runaway victory at The Open Championship on Sunday, but that doesn’t mean the 2023 season has wrapped up for the year. Up next is the 2023 3M Open from TPC Twin Cities in Minnesota, which has defending champion Tony Finau as the betting favorite.

Below, we look at the 2023 3M Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Despite being the week after the Open Championship in England, the 3M Open still boasts a pretty strong field. Finau is the favorite (+1200), and he’s followed closely by Cameron Young (+1600), Hideki Matsuyama (+1800) and Sungjae Im (+1800). Justin Thomas rounds out the top 5 at +2200. Last week’s runner-up, Sepp Straka (+2800), is also in the 3M Open field.

TPC Twin Cities was designed by Arnold Palmer and plays at 7,431 yards as a par 71. It was renovated in 2018, with the course hosting the 3M Open for the 1st time a year later in 2019. Despite water hazards being present throughout the course, this typically turns into a birdie fest; the winning score has ranged from 15-under to 21-under par.

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3M Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:05 p.m. ET.

Sungjae Im (+1800)

It’s no surprise that Im has played well here in the past. He excels on courses that yield a lot of birdies, which is exactly what TPC Twin Cities does. He tied for 15th here in 2019 and finished runner-up to Finau last year, which are his only 2 starts in this event’s 4-year history. Coming off a T-20 at the Open, Im should be in contention on Sunday.

Ludvig Aberg (+3300)

It’s only a matter of time before Aberg wins. It feels similar to the way Tom Kim broke through rather quickly last year. Before missing the cut 2 weeks ago at the Scottish Open, Aberg finished 4th at the John Deere Classic – his 4th top-25 finish this year. He’s the complete package as a player, from tee-to-green to his putting.

3M Open picks – Contenders

Cam Davis (+4000)

Davis’ missed cut at the Scottish Open isn’t particularly concerning because A) it was a links-style course and B) TPC Twin Cities fits his game. He’s finished T-12, T-28 and T-16 here in the last 3 years after missing the cut in his tournament debut in 2019, playing well in each of the last 3 trips. He just needs to get his putter dialed in because he ranks 167th in SG: putting this year.

Austin Eckroat (+6600)

Eckroat notched 5 straight top-30 finishes in May and June but he’s gone MC-65th in his last 2 starts. He could get back into form this week at TPC Twin Cities where he finished T-16 in 2021, and that was after struggling in his opening round with a 73.

3M Open picks – Long shots

Chez Reavie (+10000)

Reavie has made the cut in 8 straight starts, a stretch that includes at T-4 at the Travelers Championship. He’s played the 3M Open in the last 2 years, finishing T-11 and T-49 in those 2 starts. He’s a long shot for a reason because he hasn’t been in contention much this year, but this could be the week he gets back in the mix.

Justin Suh (+8000)

Suh hasn’t played here since 2019 when he tied for 58th but he’s been a worthy long shot all season with 23 made cuts and 6 top-25 finishes in 28 starts. He has 4 top-35 finishes in his last 7 starts, including a T-34 at the Barracuda Championship last week.

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2023 The Open Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 The Open Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

The 4th and final major of the year is here and it should be a great one. The game’s best will descend upon Hoylake for The Open Championship at Royal Liverpool, the 151st playing of this historic tournament. Below, we look at The Open Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Rory McIlroy comes into the week as the betting favorite (+700) to win following his victory Sunday in the Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club. McIlroy is returning to the site of his 2014 Open Championship win where he edged Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia, who finished tied for 2nd. Scottie Scheffler, seeking his 1st Open, is the 2nd favorite at +800, followed by Jon Rahm (+1200), defending champ Cameron Smith (+1600) and Brooks Koepka (+2000).

Royal Liverpool is a par 71 and will play at 7,313 yards this week. It’s the 13th time this venue has hosted The Open and 1st since 2014 when McIlroy won by 2 shots. Several changes have been made to the course since then, including the 10th hole being converted into a par 4 instead of a par 5. The 17th hole is also a new par 3, playing 136 yards.

2023 The Open Championship

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The Open Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:10 a.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+700)

I’ll keep betting on McIlroy to win another major until he inevitably gets it done. He’s come ridiculously close in his last 7 major starts, finishing in the top 10 in 6 of them with the only exception being a shocking missed cut at the Masters this year. He finished 3rd in last year’s Open, but he was an eagle away from tying Smith on the 18th hole at St. Andrews. Following his win at the Scottish Open, all aspects of McIlroy’s game are firing right now.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)

Just continue riding the Fleetwood wave, even if his odds are considerably shorter now than they were at the start of the year. He finished 6th at the Scottish Open, but was squarely in contention on Sunday until he faded down the stretch with a final-round 72. He’s a fantastic links player, finishing no worse than 33rd in his last 5 Open starts, including 2 top-5s in that span.

Tyrrell Hatton (+2500)

Hatton was another contender at the Scottish Open, finishing tied with Fleetwood for 6th place. He was quite frustrated on Sunday and knew he should have finished better than he did, but it was a well-rounded effort from the Englishman, who gained strokes on the field in every category – from tee-to-green to putting. He finished 11th in The Open last year and 6th in 2019.

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The Open Championship picks – Contenders

Tony Finau (+5000)

Since his win at the Mexico Open, Finau has struggled. He’s missed the cut twice in his last 6 starts and hasn’t finished better than T-23 in that span. However, he’s an absolute stud in The Open Championship, finishing between 3rd and 28th each time in his last 6 starts. At +5000, Finau is a good value to win and he’s certainly worth a bet to finish in the top 20 for the 5th time in 7 Open starts.

Cameron Young (+5000)

I’ve pretty much avoided betting Young all year but now might be the time to take the plunge. The 2nd-year pro has had a disappointing 2023 season with only 4 top-10s after posting 7 of them last year. He finished runner-up in the 2022 Open Championship and just tied for 6th at the John Deere Classic, so he could be riding some momentum into this week.

Tom Kim (+4500)

Kim isn’t the most experienced links player, but he’s shown me enough in the last year-plus. He finished 47th at the 2022 Open and has results of 3rd and 6th in the last 2 Scottish Opens – and that’s after making a sloppy double on 18 Sunday to fall down the leaderboard. He wasn’t great off the tee last week,  but his iron play was strong and he putted well, too.

The Open Championship picks – Long shots

Min Woo Lee (+6600)

Lee is one of the longest hitters, which will allow him to keep the driver in the bag often this week and instead pull a driving iron off the tee. That should give him an edge when it comes to hitting fairways. In 2 starts on links courses this year, he’s finished 2nd at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and 35th in the Scottish Open. He tied for 21st in The Open last year, too.

Brian Harman (+12500)

Harman is sneaky good on links courses. He’s finished 6th and 19th in the last 2 Open Championships and just posted a 12th-place finish in the Scottish Open last week. His recent form has been great, too, finishing 2nd and 9th in his previous 2 starts before the Scottish Open. He’s a worthwhile long shot this week at Hoylake.

Corey Conners (+9000)

In Conners’ last 2 Open starts, he’s finished 15th and 28th. He just finished 19th at the Scottish Open after coming in 9th in the Travelers Championship last month. Conners is a world-class ball striker and his iron play should be an advantage this week.

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2023 Genesis Scottish Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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With The Open Championship rapidly approaching, many of the top players in the world will spend the week overseas for the PGA Tour’s co-sanctioned event, the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open. There will be PGA Tour and DP World Tour players teeing it up at the Renaissance Club in Scotland this week, getting in a final tune-up before the year’s 4th and final major at Royal Loverpool.

Below, we look at the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Defending champion Xander Schauffele is tied with Patrick Cantlay (+1400) for the 3rd-best odds in the field. Scottie Scheffler is the slight favorite at +700, just barely ahead of Rory McIlroy at +800. Jon Rahm is not playing in the Genesis Scottish Open this week.

This is the 5th time The Renaissance Club is hosting the tournament. It’s a newer course, having opened in 2007. In classic links golf fashion, holes are cut between areas of heavy fescue and because it was built through a forest, there are still plenty of trees on the course – though they don’t come into play all that often. It will play at 7,237 yards as a par 70 this week.

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Genesis Scottish Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:54 p.m. ET.

Tommy Fleetwood (+2200)

Fleetwood is in excellent form with 3 top-5s in his last 6 starts, including a runner-up in the RBC Canadian Open. He’s due for a win and while he doesn’t yet have one on the PGA Tour, he’s got a great chance this week in Scotland. He has 2 top-5s in his last 3 starts in this tournament.

Min Woo Lee (+3500)

Lee missed the cut here last year, but that was only after winning the whole thing in 2021. Having played so long on the DP World Tour, he’s used to playing links golf so his experience on courses like The Renaissance Club is plentiful. He’s a budding star ready to break out.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000)

Fitzpatrick has 3 top-15s in his last 4 starts here, including a runner-up to Lee in 2021. Obviously, he’s very comfortable playing links golf and has just 3 finishes outside the top 35 in his last 8 starts, including a win at the RBC Heritage. His price odds are short but for good reason.

Genesis Scottish Open picks – Contenders

Aaron Rai (+6600)

Rai was the champion in 2020, albeit against a weaker field. He followed that up with a 35th-place finish in 2021, as well. Rai is playing some great golf right now, with finishes of T-3, T-24 and T-9 in his last 3 starts, so there’s some momentum heading into Scotland.

Ludvig Aberg (+5500)

I won’t quit Aberg. Not with the way he’s playing. Outside of 2 poor rounds on the weekend at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, he’s played some beautiful golf, finishing T-25, T-24, T-40 and T-4 in his 4 professional starts. With a 63 on Sunday at the John Deere Classic, he rocketed up the leaderboard.

Genesis Scottish Open picks – Long shots

Thomas Detry (+12500)

Detry is an extreme long shot but take a look at his last 4 finishes in the Scottish Open: 10th, 2nd, 30th and 43rd. He loves this event and has played well here since 2019. He has 8 top-25 finishes in 21 starts this season, so he’s performing relatively well on the PGA Tour, too.

Kurt Kitayama (+8000)

Buy low on Kitayama this week. He’s missed the cut in each of his last 3 starts, but he now gets to play the Scottish Open where he finished 2nd last year and 43rd in 2019. This is the time to take a shot on him, even if it’s just for a top-20 finish.

Robert McIntyre (+10000)

McIntyre missed the cut here in 2019 and 2022, but in between those two early exits, he finished 18th and 14th. He just tied for 4th in his last DP World Tour start and has only missed the cut once in his last 5 starts since June. His odds should probably be shorter than they are.

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