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Orlando City SC welcomes the New York Red Bulls to Inter & Co Stadium for the Eastern Conference Final Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.
New York finished seventh in the East with a +5 goal differential and an 11-14-9 record. It ended the year 4-7-6 on the road. So far in the postseason, the Red Bulls went 1-1-0 against the Columbus Crew in Round One and finished that series by winning the second match in penalty kicks after a full-time draw. They then beat NYCFC on the road 2-0 Nov. 23 to advance to the conference semifinal.
Orlando City had a far better regular season, finishing 15-7-12, good for fourth place in the conference. It had a +9 goal differential, scoring 59. Orlando City had earned more points (2) on the road than at home. It went 1-2-0 against Charlotte FC in Round One, also ending the series in penalty kicks. Orlando City beat Atlanta 1-0 in the conference semifinal.
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Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 12:55 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Orlando City SC -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | New York Red Bulls +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -125 | U: -110)
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Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls picks and predictions
Prediction
Orlando City SC 2, New York Red Bulls 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET ORLANDO CITY SC (-120).
Orlando City may have just beaten Atlanta 1-0 Nov. 24, but it dominated that battle, ending with 1.1 more expected goals and allowing its opponent just 0.3. City is 8-2-2 in its last 12 games and 6-1-1 at home in that span.
While New York advanced, it had an opposite showing. NYCFC had far more expected goals, as New York City ended with 2.8 and the Red Bulls finished with 1.0. It has had fewer expected goals in 3 straight games.
Expect the Red Bulls’ luck to run out, and back ORLANDO CITY SC (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-125).
The Red Bulls have gone over this total in 7 of their last 9 games. New York has been on fire offensively, scoring at least once in every game since Aug. 31 and scoring twice in 3 of its last 4.
Orlando City has gone Over in 5 of its last 9 and finished all but 1 game with 1.4 expected goals or more. City has allowed 1.2 or more expected goals in 6 of its last 9.
Couple those trends, and back OVER 2.5 (-125).
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