The Baltimore Orioles (37-24) and the Milwaukee Brewers (34-28) wrap a 3-game interleague series Thursday at American Family Field in Milwaukee. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Orioles vs. Brewers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-0
The Orioles fell behind 10-0 Wednesday before scratching out 2 meaningless runs in the top of the 9th to avoid the shutout. Baltimore pitchers allowed 3 home runs, including 2 to OF Joey Wiemer, who also delivered the game-winning RBI in Tuesday’s series opener.
The Brewers have picked up 5 wins in the past 6 outings, and have plated 10 runs twice in their last 5 games. Pitching has been the key to its success lately, however, as Milwaukee hurlers have allowed just 8 total runs in the previous 4 outings, cashing the Under in 3 of them.
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Orioles at Brewers projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. RHP Colin Rea
Bradish (2-2, 4.13 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 48 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 4-0 road win vs. the San Francisco Giants Saturday
- 2023 Road splits: 1-1, 4.44 ERA (26 1/3 IP, 13 ER – 3 HR) with 9 BB, 25 K and a .290 opponent batting average (OBA) in 6 starts
Rea (3-3, 4.94 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 47 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 10-8 road win vs. the Cincinnati Reds Saturday
- 2023 Home splits: 2-2, 5.26 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 15 ER – 6 HR) with a .263 OBA in 5 starts and 1 relief appearance
Orioles at Brewers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Orioles -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+135) | Brewers +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Orioles at Brewers picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 5, Brewers 4
Moneyline
The ORIOLES (-120) look for something positive to close out the series, and Baltimore will be able to get the win behind Bradish.
The O’s are 5-1 in the past 6 in Game 3 of a series, while still going 7-3 in the past 10 games on the road despite the hiccups in the first 2 contests in this set.
The Brewers have been playing well, but Rea is still too inconsistent to trust on a regular basis.
Run line/Against the spread
The BREWERS +1.5 (-165) aren’t priced out of line if you like the home team to keep it close, or perhaps even win outright, and you just need a little insurance.
Milwaukee has won the first 2 in this series — and 5 in a row overall — while going 19-7 in the past 26 interleague games at home.
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Over/Under
I am expecting the Total 9 to fall right on the number. If I were forced to pick, I’d go lightly on the Over based on Rea’s overall numbers and the fact the Over is 5-2 in the past 7 on the road for the Orioles against teams with a winning overall record.
However, the best play Thursday is to just PASS.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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