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The marquee game of the college football weekend has the No. 8 Oregon Ducks (5-0, 2-0 Pac-12) visiting the No. 6 Washington Huskies (5-0, 2-0) Saturday in Seattle. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Oregon vs. Washington odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Last season, Washington rallied for a 37-34 road victory as a 12-point underdog behind QB Michael Penix Jr. (408 passing yards, 2 TDs). It helped that Oregon QB Bo Nix limped off the field just before the Ducks kicked a field goal for a 34-27 lead with 3:54 remaining.
Penix Jr. answered by hitting WR Taj Davis for a game-tying, 62-yard TD pass with 3:07 to go. Nix (280 passing yards with 2 TDs, 55 rushing yards, 1 TD) sat out Oregon’s next series, which ended with a risky call as the Ducks failed on a 4th-and-1 at their own 33-yard line with 1:26 left.
That gave the Huskies decent field position, leading to K Peyton Henry’s go-ahead, 43-yard field goal with 51 seconds to go. Nix returned and moved the Ducks to the Huskies’ 38, but time ran out.
This season, both teams come in undefeated, ranked in the top 8 of the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports and with 2 of the top players in the country. Penix Jr. is the favorite (+220) to win the Heisman Trophy, while Nix is 3rd (+600). USC QB Caleb Williams, last season’s winner, is 2nd (+250).
Both teams have the offense to win it all. Washington ranks 1st in total yards (569.4 per game) and 3rd in scoring (46.0 points per game), per NCAA.org; Oregon is 2nd in yards (555.8 YPG) and 2nd in scoring (51.6 PPG) — USC is No. 1 in scoring (51.8 PPG).
The real matchup will be Washington’s air attack, which is No. 1 in the country at 446.4 passing YPG, vs. Oregon’s pass defense, which ranks 5th by allowing just 153.6 YPG.
If Oregon can stop the passing game of Penix Jr., it should be able to shut down the Huskies’ running game, which ranks 101st at 123.0 YPG.
Oregon has a much more balanced offense, averaging 225.2 yards on the ground (ranking 8th) and 330.6 yards passing (10th). Behind an elite offensive line, Oregon’s 6.99 yards per carry is tops in the nation.
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Oregon at Washington odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 12:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Oregon +118 (bet $100 to win $118) | Washington -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Oregon +2.5 (+100) | Washington -2.5 (-122)
- Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Oregon at Washington picks and predictions
Prediction
Oregon 42, Washington 38
Moneyline
OREGON (+118) is a solid bet to win this game as the underdog.
Not only can Oregon keep up with Washington offensively, it also has a far better defense, which will allow the Ducks to get enough stops.
The Ducks have been dismantling most of their opponents this season. The Huskies and their 62nd-ranked defense — yielding 365.0 YPG — have allowed 56 combined points in their last 2 games. This will lead to a shootout in Seattle, making the feeling of an Oregon win the best bet.
Against the spread
PASS.
Expecting Oregon to win this game outright, taking less value on the spread doesn’t make sense.
If you’re not comfortable betting the straight upset, taking Oregon +2.5 (+100) at even-money is a wager worth making.
Over/Under
BET OVER 67.5 (-105).
Last year’s 37-34 final cashed Under tickets last season — by just 2.5 points — as the O/U line was a high 73.5.
Both offenses are better this season with Nix and Penix Jr. in their 2nd seasons in their respective programs.
Oregon has a good defense, but it has not faced an offense the level of Washington. The Huskies will be able to score on the Ducks and the Ducks will be able to score on the Huskies.
Expect this final to get to 70 or higher. Plus, both team total Overs — Washington 34.5 (-113) and Oregon 32.5 (-115) — should also be in play.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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