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The No. 25 Kansas State Wildcats (3-1, 0-1 Big 12) welcome the No. 20 Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1, 0-1) to Bill Snyder Family Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Oklahoma State is No. 20 and Kansas State is No. 25 in the US LBM Coaches Poll.
The Cowboys won their first 3 games of the season, closing as double-digit favorites in each. The only one they failed to cover was a 39-31 win over Arkansas in overtime in Week 2. As for their 4th game, they struggled against the Utah Utes, losing 22-19 yet closing as 1-point underdogs. QB Alan Bowman has led the way for Oklahoma State, throwing for 1,173 yards along with 10 touchdowns through 4 games.
The Wildcats have an eerily similar story so far this season. They won their first 3 games, handily beating UT Martin, Tulane and Arizona. They then were obliterated 38-9 by the BYU Cougars on the road Saturday. Kansas State closed as a 7.5-point favorite too. It is led by QB Avery Johnson, who has 620 passing yards and 6 touchdowns on the season.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Oklahoma State at Kansas State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Oklahoma State +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Kansas State -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +4.5 (+100) | Kansas State -4.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Oklahoma State at Kansas State picks and predictions
Prediction
Kansas State 28, Oklahoma State 24
Moneyline
PASS.
The Cowboys are capable of pulling off the upset here, but they are better played on the spread. Similarly, the Wildcats (-210) aren’t worth a play as an expensive moneyline favorite.
Against the spread
BET KANSAS STATE -4.5 (-120).
While the Sooners’ loss to Utah may look more impressive than the Wildcats’ poor Week 4 effort, Oklahoma State didn’t have to play Utah star QB Cam Rising. The Sooners also scored a mere 3 points throughout the entire first 3 quarters, unable to capitalize on multiple Utah turnovers throughout the game. The Sooners have allowed 20 or more points to 3 offenses that are not as competent as Johnson and company.
Similarly, the Wildcats do have a significant home win over Arizona, throttling their opponent 31-7 on primetime action in that Week 3 battle. Expect Kansas State to bounce back at home, where it has allowed a total of 13 points through 2 games.
Take KANSAS STATE -4.5 (-120).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 57.5 (-115).
The Cowboys have gone Under in 2 straight games. They scored just 19 against Utah in Week 4 and allowed just 10 to Tulsa in Week 3, sending both games Under the projected total. They are 2-2 O/U on the season.
The Wildcats are 1-3 O/U and have allowed single digits to both home foes this season. They have gone Under in 2 straight as well, either scoring or allowing single digits in each game.
With those trends in mind, back UNDER 57.5 (-115).
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