Oklahoma State at TCU odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Oklahoma State at TCU odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-0, 2-0 Big 12) and the No. 15 TCU Horned Frogs (5-0, 2-0) meet in a conference game at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Oklahoma State vs. TCU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Cowboys have rolled up 5 wins while scoring at least 34 points in every outing, going 3-1 ATS in the past 4 while hitting the Over in each off the past 3 contests.

The Horned Frogs are trying to hang onto first place. TCU won 38-31 in a battle of unbeatens in Lawrence, pushing at most shops. The Horned Frogs are 4-0-1 ATS in five games overall, hitting the Over in three of the past four outings.

Oklahoma State is No. 7 and TCU is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Oklahoma State at TCU odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Oklahoma State +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | TCU -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Oklahoma State +4.5 (-115) | TCU -4.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Oklahoma State at TCU picks and predictions

Prediction

TCU 36, Oklahoma State 34

Moneyline

TCU (-190) is a little too expensive for my liking, as I try to limit my money line plays at -180 or less. However, I think this could be a game that comes down to the final possessions, certainly a one-score game, and one that could be a decided by a 2-point conversion.

PASS.

Against the spread

OKLAHOMA STATE +4.5 (-115) is likely to come up short in this road game in a battle of unbeatens, but it won’t go down easily, or quietly.

I expect plenty of offense in this game, with the game decided in the final quarter, perhaps even on the final possession. One team will move on unbeaten, and tops in the Big 12, while one team will remain in contention for the league title with a little help. This should be a close one.

Over/Under

OVER 67.5 (-115) is the lean in this one.

The Over has connected in 5 of the past 6 overall for Oklahoma State, as the Cowboys can score plenty. The Over is also 4-1 in its past 5 games against teams with winning overall records, too.

For TCU, the Over is 6-1 in the past 7 against teams with an overall winning mark, while going 9-1 in the past 10 following a straight-up win, too. The Over has hit in 4 of the past 5 in this series, too.

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Oklahoma State at TCU odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at TCU Horned Frogs sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The No. 18 Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-2 overall 5-2 Big 12) visit the TCU Horned Frogs (4-4, 4-4) Saturday at Amon G. Carter Stadium for a Big 12 showdown at noon ET. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-TCU college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Cowboys are ranked No. 18 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Oklahoma State at TCU: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma State -134 (bet $134 to win $100) | TCU +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State -2.5 (-110) | TCU +2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Oklahoma State at TCU: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma State recovered from its prior week loss to in-state rival Oklahoma by putting a 50-burger on Texas Tech. However, the Cowboys were out-gained by 100 total yards and failed to cover as 12-point favorites in the 50-44 win last week.
  2. TCU blew the doors off of Kansas last week and covered as 23-point road favorites. The Horned Frogs outrushed the Jayhawks by 296 yards, had 12 tackles for a loss and 4 sacks in 59-23 whooping.
  3. The Cowboys were a 1-point home dog against TCU last season but won 34-27 in large part due to an awesome performance by RB Chuba Hubbard. He had 20 carries for 223 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

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Oklahoma State at TCU: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

TCU 27, Oklahoma State 24

Money line (ML)

If TCU can take away Oklahoma State’s run game then QB Spencer Sanders could be in for a rough game.

TCU’s defensive line stacks up nicely against Oklahoma State’s offensive line. It grades out as 19th in line yards per carry and ninth in stuff rate, according to Football Outsiders. The Cowboys offensive line is 96th in line yards per carry and 85th in stuff rate.

RB Dezmon Jackson (36 carries for 235 yards and 3 touchdowns) stepped up in a big way with Hubbard and RB LD Brown sidelined last week, but that was against a terrible Texas Tech run defense. TCU has a much better defense than Texas Tech and head coach Gary Patterson is a defensive mastermind.

This leads us to the disruption TCU could cause for the Oklahoma State offense. TCU is ninth in havoc created and Oklahoma State is 101st in havoc allowed. Sanders has been known to hold onto the ball a little longer than he should, which is a big reason Oklahoma State is 102nd in QB sacked rate.

GIMME TCU (+110) for a half-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is just a great spot for TCU. The favorite is 0-5 ATS in the last five Oklahoma State-TCU games and the home team has covered six of the last eight.

I’d wait to see if this line goes up to TCU +3 because more money is coming in on Oklahoma State currently (according to Pregame.com). Either way, let’s get some insurance on our money line wager.

TAKE TCU +2.5 (-110) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

lean Under 51.5 (-115) but officially PASS ON THE TOTAL. TCU could get defensive scores or short fields with the havoc it creates. However, both teams have gone Under the total in two of their last three games and are both led by their defenses.

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