Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Oklahoma State at Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (17-6 overall, 10-6 Big 12) battle the Baylor Bears (19-1, 11-1) in a Thursday evening (7 p.m. ET) ranked-ranked tussle at the Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Baylor odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Baylor is No. 3in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Oklahoma State is ranked 17th.

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma State +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Baylor -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State +11.5 (-110) | Baylor -11.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. The Bears defeated the Cowboys, 81-66, in Stillwater, Okla., Jan. 23. That game was part of a month-long stretch (Jan. 2-Feb. 2) that saw BU yield just 63.3 points per game. In three games since — and after a COVID-19 hiatus — Baylor has allowed 77.3 PPG.
  2. Since losing to Baylor Jan. 23, Oklahoma State is 8-2, That span includes a 4-0 mark against ranked foes, and it includes the Cowboys being 5-0 over their last five games.
  3. Junior G Isaac Likekele is listed as questionable with a hand injury. The OSU guard hasn’t been much of a scorer of late, but he’s still averaging a respectable 9.8 PPG and he leads the Cowboys in assists (3.7 per game).

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Oklahoma State at Baylor: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 72, Oklahoma State 62

Money line (ML)

The tag here is worth a watch. Oklahoma State is surging, and Baylor hasn’t yet captured its pre-February mojo. Consider a play on the Cowboys if the price gets over +550.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Cowboys’ midrange and perimeter defense presents a challenge for the Bears. Don’t expect as much of a shooting differential as in the first meeting in Stillwater. The chances Oklahoma State stays within 10 are good enough to warrant a COWBOYS +11.5 (-110) wager.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both teams are coming off hard-fought Tuesday games. The Over in meeting No. 1 was 140-/12.

There isn’t too much of a lean here, but what there is favors the UNDER 149.5 (-110).

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Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

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Oklahoma State at Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3) stops by McLane Stadium Saturday to play the Baylor Bears (2-6) at 4 p.m. ET in a Big XII showdown. Below, we analyze the Oklahoma State-Baylor college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Oklahoma State -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Baylor +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Oklahoma State -5 (-110) | Baylor +5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Oklahoma State at Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Oklahoma State lost its second of three games, and failed to cover its fourth consecutive outing, against TCU last week. The key to the 29-22 loss was Oklahoma State getting beat in the trenches as TCU outgained the Cowboys by 88 rushing yards.
  2. Baylor was stifled by Oklahoma last week in a 27-14 loss but covered as 23-point road underdogs. The Bears had less than a yard per rush attempt and threw 2 interceptions.
  3. The Cowboys have struggled in recent years in this head-to-head, losing outright and ATS four of the last five, but the favorite is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 Oklahoma State-Baylor meetings.

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Oklahoma State at Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma State 24, Baylor 14

Money line (ML)

Oklahoma State is the right side, but I avoid betting regular-season money lines in college football of -170 or pricier. You could throw in the Cowboys in a money line parlay, but I’d STICK WITH THE SPREAD.

Against the spread (ATS)

I don’t see how Baylor’s offense has success in this matchup. The Bears are ranked 122nd in yards per rush, and their top four running backs are on the injury report.

Either way, Baylor QB Charlie Brewer leads the Bears in rushing attempts with 102 carries but has only 170 rushing yards. Their pass offense is better, but I wouldn’t call it good.

The Bears are 98th in yards per pass and 96th in QB sacked rate, while the Oklahoma State defense is 31st in opponent’s completion percentage and 17th in sack rate.

Also, Oklahoma State should be up for this game after getting owned by the Bears during the Matt Rhule years and kick Baylor while it’s down. I don’t usually like laying points on the road, but I’ll TAKE OKLAHOMA STATE -5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 49.5 (-110) for 1 unit is my favorite play. Baylor holding Oklahoma to under 30 points last week despite getting nothing from the offense in the first half was pretty impressive.

Furthermore, the Bears are good at getting offenses off the field (ranked 28th in opponent’s 3rd down conversion percentage) and picking off opposing quarterbacks (12th in opponent’s interception rate).

Oklahoma State’s ground game has been inconsistent this season (ranked 82nd in yards per rush), which contributes to its struggles on 3rd down (ranked 70th in 3rd down conversion percentage).

I’d bet the Under harder if there weren’t concerns about defensive touchdowns or turnovers leading to short fields for the offenses.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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