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The Oklahoma City Thunder (41-18) and Phoenix Suns (35-25) meet at Footprint Center Sunday. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Thunder lead 1-0
The Thunder were embarrassed last time out losing straight up as 11-point favorites in a 132-118 defeat at the San Antonio Spurs Thursday. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a game-high 31 points, and the Over hit for the 9th time in Oklahoma City’s last 11 games (9-1-1).
The Suns can relate to being upset as big favorites. Phoenix, which was favored by 9 points, lost 118-109 to the Houston Rockets Saturday with the Under (231.5) cashing at Footprint Center. G Devin Booker (ankle) was forced to leave in the 4th quarter; he has yet to be ruled out for Sunday.
In a Nov. 12 meeting, the Thunder covered as 3.5-point underdogs with a 111-99 win at Phoenix as the Under (232) hit. Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points, and Oklahoma City outscored the Suns 31-13 in the 4th quarter.
Thunder at Suns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:49 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Suns +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder -6.5 (-110) | Suns +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Thunder at Suns key injuries
Thunder
- C Jaylin Williams (knee) out
Suns
(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)
- G Eric Gordon (groin) out
- F Nassir Little (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Thunder at Suns picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 120, Suns 119
Moneyline
The Thunder (-250) should be able to take advantage of the banged-up Suns playing on the 2nd night of a back-to-back. However, this number is a little high.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
This spread seems like an overreaction to Booker injuring his ankle and C Jusuf Nurkic leaving with a sprained neck against Houston. F Kevin Durant and G Bradley Beal should be able to do most of the heavy-lifting for Phoenix offensively and keep this game somewhat close.
The Thunder are in a good spot after getting embarrassed at the Spurs, but this is way too many points for a team to lay on the road against Durant and Beal.
BET SUNS +6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Over is 9-1-1 in the Thunder’s last 11 games, and I’m not looking to fade that trend.
The Suns put up just 109 points last time out — their lowest output in the last 14 games — and even if Booker sits, they should bounce back offensively behind a more productive night from Durant and Beal.
BET OVER 233.5 (-110).
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