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The Indiana Pacers (43-34) welcome the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-24) to Gainbridge Fieldhouse Friday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Pacers lead 1-0 after a 121-111 road win on March 12, covering as a 5.5-point underdog
Indiana is 3-3 in its last 6 games, coming off a 115-111 loss to the Brooklyn Nets on the road Wednesday and closing as a 7-point favorite. The Pacers are 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games and are 41-33-3 ATS on the season. They are led by G Tyrese Haliburton, who is averaging 20.4 points and 11 assists per game.
The Thunder are coming off a 135-100 road loss to the Boston Celtics Wednesday as a 12-point underdog. They have lost 2 in a row and 3 of their last 5, going 1-4 ATS in that 5-game stretch. Oklahoma City is 42-34 ATS on the season. It will be without G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who leads the team at 30.3 points per game.
Thunder at Pacers odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder +152 (bet $100 to win $152) | Pacers -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +4.5 (-110) | Pacers -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Thunder at Pacers key injuries
Thunder
- G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (quad) out
- G Jalen Williams (ankle) doubtful
Pacers
- G Bennedict Mathurin (shoulder) out
- C Myles Turner (finger) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Thunder at Pacers picks and predictions
Prediction
Pacers 121, Thunder 110
Moneyline
PASS.
Without SGA and likely without Williams, the Thunder could be without their lone 2 players averaging more than 17 points per game. They likely won’t pull off the upset, but the Pacers at -180 are too expensive to take to win outright.
Against the spread
BET PACERS -4.5 (-110).
Indiana is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games as a home favorite. The Pacers are the 7th-best home-covering team in the NBA at 20-16-2 ATS. They are the healthier side and have both players who average north of 20 points per game not on the injury report.
The same can’t be said for Oklahoma City. The Thunder have 3 players among their top-7 scoring options shooting over 50% from the field and 1 is out while the other is doubtful. It won’t be the same dominant OKC team taking the court, and it could struggle.
Put it all together and back PACERS -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 235.5 (-110).
The Thunder have scored 105 points or fewer in 2 straight games and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days. They should have tired legs which could make keeping up with the Pacers high-octane offense difficult.
The Pacers are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 games, scoring 111 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 and allowing 115 or fewer points in 3 straight. Indiana is 3-7 O/U in its last 10 games.
Take UNDER 235.5 (-110).
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