The Dallas Mavericks (2-2), after playing 3 of their first 4 games of the season on the road, open up a 5-game homestand Saturday night facing the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder (2-3). Tip-off is 9 p.m. ET at American Airlines Arena. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Thunder vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Thunder opened the season with 3 straight losses but have won their last 2 games. They beat the Clippers in consecutive games at home as underdogs, winning 108-94 as 5.5-point underdogs and again 118-100 as 7-point underdogs.
The Mavericks are coming off a 129-125 overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, covering the 2.5-point spread in the game. Their 2 losses this season have been by a combined 4 points.
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Thunder at Mavericks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Thunder +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Mavericks -530 (bet $530 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Thunder +10.5 (-115) | Mavericks -10.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Thunder at Mavericks key injuries
Thunder
- G Josh Giddey (ankle) out
- F Chet Holmgren (foot) out
- F Jalen Williams (eye) out
Mavericks
- F Davis Bertans (knee) out
- G Frank Ntilikina (ankle) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Thunder at Mavericks picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 119, Thunder 111
Moneyline
The Thunder have not yet won a game on the road this season. The Mavs have won their only other home game this season.
The Mavericks are the league’s No. 1 team in offensive rating and are 2nd in scoring at 120.5 points per game. They are 25th in offensive rating but are 7th in defensive rating.
However, the only reason to bet the moneyline in this game is if you like the Thunder to win. If you like the Mavs to get the W on their home court, and I do, PASS on the moneyline.
Against the spread
The Thunder have shown to be a team that will keep things closer than expected. They are 4-1 ATS so far this season after being the league’s No. 2 team against the spread at 48-30-4 ATS last season. They have not lost by more than 10 points.
The Mavericks have 1 blowout win and one 4-point overtime victory. They are 3-1, covering the spread in both wins.
But with a spread of more than 10 points, I like the Thunder to keep it close.
BET THUNDER +10.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Thunder’s 3 losses have all had 222 total points or more. Their 2 wins have had 218 or fewer.
The Mavericks have not had a total of fewer than 224 points since their season opener against the Suns.
They have allowed 111 or more in 3 straight games. The Thunder have allowed 110 or more in 4 of 5 games.
BET OVER 218.5 (-110).
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