Big Ten Tournament: Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (13-18) battle the Michigan State Spartans (19-11) Friday in the 3rd round of the Big Ten Tournament. Tip from the United Center in Chicago is set for 2:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

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The Buckeyes took down the 12th-seeded Wisconsin Badgers 65-57 Tuesday, covering as a 1.5-point favorite. They then took down the 5th-seeded Iowa Hawkeyes 73-69, covering as a 4-point underdog Wednesday.

Ohio State has covered its last 5 games yet is just 11-20 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It lost to Michigan State 62-41 at home on Feb. 12 and 84-78 on the road March 4, going 1-1 ATS and 1-1 O/U against the Spartans.

The 4th-seeded Spartans are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games and are just 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. However, they have won 5 of their last 7 straight up. Michigan State is 15-15 ATS on the season and 16-14 O/U.

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Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State +3.5 (-105) | Michigan State -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Ohio State vs. Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 70, Ohio State 67

Moneyline

Not available. March is about getting hot, and Ohio State is just that. Betting it as an underdog could work, but on its 3rd game in 3 days, I would take the spread here to be safe.

Against the spread

LEAN OHIO STATE +3.5 (-105).

The Spartans haven’t consistently covered as of late. They are just 4-7 ATS on the road and 10-9 ATS in conference play.

The latter might be better than Ohio State, but the Buckeyes have been rolling as of late and should be able to keep that heat alive. Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games and 4-1 straight up despite being an underdog in 3 of them.

Ohio State had a 9-game losing streak in conference play, but did beat Cincinnati and Texas Tech early in the season and lost to Duke by 9. The talent is there, and it is starting to shine.

Back the hot team. Take OHIO STATE +3.5 (-105).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 139.5 (-115).

The Buckeyes have been able to keep things close because of their defense, holding Iowa to 69 and Wisconsin to 57. They have gone Under in both tournament games.

They are 4-6-2 O/U in their last 12 games. They are also 9-13 O/U in conference play. Michigan State, on the other hand, is 10-9 O/U in conference play.

Given how dominant Ohio State has looked recently and its style of play, back the UNDER 139.5 (-115).

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Ohio State at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Ohio State at Michigan State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (13-17, 5-14 Big Ten) face the Michigan State Spartans (18-11, 10-8) on Saturday at Breslin Center. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Buckeyes took down No. 24 Maryland 73-62 on Wednesday as 1-point home favorites. Ohio State is on a 2-game win streak after losing 9 games in a row from Jan. 24-Feb. 23.

The Spartans covered as 4.5-point road favorites in Tuesday’s 80-67 win over Nebraska. Michigan State is 5-5 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in its last 10 contests.

Ohio State and Michigan State will square off for the second time this season on Saturday. The Spartans cruised to a 62-41 win as 4-point road underdogs as the Under (136) connected on Feb. 12.

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Ohio State at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Michigan State -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State +6.5 (-105) | Michigan State -6.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 139.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Ohio State at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Michigan State 73, Ohio State 64

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Spartans are 11-2 at home and the Buckeyes 1-9 on the road, but it isn’t worth taking Michigan State’s (-300) moneyline when it should win by margin.

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Against the spread

BET MICHIGAN STATE -6.5 (-115).

The Spartans are looking to finish the season strong at home ahead of the Big Ten tournament and they’ve already beaten the Buckeyes with ease this season. Michigan State is also 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games.

Over/Under

UNDER 139.5 (-110) is the lean with both teams averaging fewer than 69 possessions per game. While I expect there to be more points than the first meeting, the Under has hit in 3 of the last 4 games between these programs.

The Spartans have also gone Under in 6 of their last 7 home games.

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Ohio State at Michigan State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Ohio State at Michigan State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (5-0, 2-0 Big Ten) and the Michigan State Spartans (2-3, 0-2) meet in a conference game Saturday at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Ohio State vs. Michigan State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Ohio State thumped Rutgers 49-10 last week in The ‘Shoe and has outscored 2 conference opponents 101-31 over the past 2 games. The Over has cashed in 3 consecutive games for the Buckeyes, who lead the nation with 48.8 PPG.

Michigan State started out this season with a high ranking, but it has dropped 3 games in a row to Washington, Minnesota and Maryland. The Spartans are also 0-3 ATS in the past 3 outings, while the Under has cashed at a 4-1 clip through 5 contests.

Ohio State is No. 3 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Ohio State at Michigan State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Ohio State -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100) | Michigan State +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Ohio State -27.5 (-107) | Michigan State +27.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Ohio State at Michigan State picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio State 48, Michigan State 17

Moneyline

Betting Ohio State (-5000) would net you a $2 profit for every $100 bet. No one needs 2 dollars that badly.

PASS.

Against the spread

OHIO STATE -27.5 (-107) is a slightly risky play laying just short of 4 TDs on the road, but it is worth it.

The Buckeyes have a high-octane offense capable of scoring on any play. Lately, the Spartans have had a struggling defense capable of allowing a score on any play.

Ohio State is 2-0-1 ATS across the past 3 outings and will start fast and finish faster, adding to the woes of Michigan State, a team on an 0-3 SU/ATS skid.

Over/Under

OVER 64.5 (-120) is worth playing, but there is some risk. We have the No. 1 scoring team in the nation on one side, but we also have a struggling Michigan State team which will likely need to score at least 2 TDs to help this one get across the finish line. Sparty has 20 total points and 3 TDs in the past 2 games. Be careful, and play this one lightly.

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Ohio State at Michigan State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Ohio State Buckeyes (18-5 overall, 12-5 Big Ten) visit the Michigan State Spartans (12-9, 6-9) Thursday. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET at Breslin Center in East Lansing, Mich.

Below, we analyze the Ohio State-Michigan State odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Five Big Ten teams are in the Top 25 of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. Three – No. 3 Michigan, No. 4 Illinois and No. 5 Ohio State – are in the top five.

With its 12-5 Big Ten record, the Buckeyes are third in the conference, while the Spartans are 10th.

Ohio State at Michigan State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:00 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Ohio State -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Michigan State +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Ohio State -4.5 (-115) | Michigan State +4.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Ohio State at Michigan State: Three things to know

  1. Ohio State had a 7-game win streak snapped with a tight 92-87 home loss to No. 3 Michigan Sunday as a 1.5-point underdog. OSU junior G Duane Washington Jr. scored a career-high 30 points, including 5 3-pointers. Sophomore F E.J. Liddell, who added 23 points and 10 boards, leads the Buckeyes in scoring (15.9 points per game) and rebounds (6.8 RPG).
  2. Michigan State is coming off an impressive 81-72 home victory over No. 4 Illinois Tuesday as a 6.5-point underdog. Junior F Aaron Henry tallied 20 points and senior G Joshua Langford added 13 points with a career-high 16 rebounds in MSU’s biggest win of the season. Henry averages team-bests in scoring (15.2 PPG), assists (3.5 APG) and steals (1.3 SPG).
  3. Ohio State cruised to a 79-62 home win vs. Michigan State as a 5.5-point favorite Jan. 31. The Buckeyes led 42-30 at the half and held the Spartans to a 32.1% field-goal percentage for the game.

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Ohio State at Michigan State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Ohio State 79, Michigan State 77

Money line (ML)

The Spartans (+170) are tempting, but I’ll PASS and focus on the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Back MICHIGAN STATE +4.5 (-105). While MSU has looked awful at times this season, Tom Izzo-coached teams are known to turn it up a notch down the stretch. The Spartans were on a 2-14 ATS run before covering the spread in their past two games – upset victories at Indiana and vs. Illinois.

With the possibility of missing the NCAA tourney for the first time since 1997, expect the Spartans to give the Buckeyes all they can handle.

Plus, the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings of this series.

ATS: Ohio State 14-8-1 | Michigan State 6-15

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 146.5 (-110) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Ohio State, which averages 78.1 PPG in Big Ten play, is 6-0 O/U in its last six road games and 8-2 O/U overall outside of Columbus.

Something clicked for Spartans two games ago in the second half when they outscored the Hoosiers 52-41. Then they put up 81 vs. the Illini.

O/U records: Ohio State 14-8-1 | Michigan State 10-11

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JOHNNY PARLAY’S RECORD W-L SP ROI
2020-21 College hoops 72-61-1 32-34 +3.3
College hoops since Jan. 1 57-44-1 27-24 +10.025
2021 record (all sports) 72-53-1 37-26 +21.325
*SP: Strongest plays; ROI: Return on investment

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