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The New York Mets (62-58) welcome the Oakland A’s (51-70) to Citi Field Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the A’s vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Mets lost 9-4 to kick the series off Tuesday, but bounced back with a 9-1 victory Wednesday. They used a 6-run 7th inning to pull away and snap a 4-game losing streak. New York has won 3 of its last 5 games at home, but is just 4-7 over its last 11 games. It is 59-61 against the spread (ATS) and 31-30 at home.
The A’s, who are 22-40 on the road, had won 3 straight games prior to the loss Wednesday. In 2 of their last 3 games the A’s have notched at least 8 runs, which came on the back of having scored 1 run in 3 of their 4 prior games. Oakland is 5-3 over its last 8 and have won 2 games in their 2 series prior to taking on the Mets. It is 3-1 ATS over the last 4 games and 64-56 ATS on the season.
A’s at Mets projected starters
RHP Mitch Spence vs. LHP Jose Quintana
Spence (7-8, 4.33 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 106 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 2 K in a 3-1 road loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Friday
- 2024 away stats: 3-4, 4.96 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 6.8 K/9 in 12 appearances (7 starts)
- Has yet to face the Mets
Quintana (6-8, 4.10 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 125 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-0 road loss to the Seattle Mariners Friday
- 2024 home stats: 3-4, 3.38 ERA (61 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 11 starts
- Career vs. A’s: 2-0, 3.04 ERA (50 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 9 appearances (8 starts)
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
A’s at Mets odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): A’s +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Mets -174 (bet $174 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): A’s +1.5 (-140) | Mets -1.5 (+116)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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A’s at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, A’s 2
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s just not great value on the moneyline for the home side. The Mets are too expensive to take here, and the A’s really aren’t a great play given their season-long road trends.
Run line/Against the spread
BET METS -1.5 (+116).
The Mets have gone off in Quintana’s last 5 home starts. They are 4-1 straight up and have beaten their opponents a combined 39-18. They have covered in 4 of those 5 as well. Oakland has covered well this season, but it hasn’t covered as well on the road, just 32-29 which sits in the bottom half of the league.
While the Mets are just 4-5 over their last 9, they won each of those games by at least 2 runs and, sitting 3rd in the NL East, have the playoffs to think about and play for.
Considering those trends and the mindset New York should have, take METS -1.5 (+116).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9 (-120).
While the Mets blasted the A’s for 9 on Wednesday, they had scored 5 runs in their previous 4 games combined. New York hasn’t been on fire offensively, and with Quintana having dominated at home, having allowed 2 or fewer ER in 4 of his last 5 home starts, runs could be at a premium.
The A’s are 2-6 O/U in their last 8 games, having 2 or fewer in 4 of those and allowed 4 or fewer in all but 1. They are 54-63-3 O/U on the season. With that in mind, back UNDER 9 (-120).
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