Amanda Nunes and Felicia Spencer battle for the women’s featherweight strap on the main card at UFC 250 at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and on pay-per-view.
Nunes (19-4) puts her featherweight belt on the line Saturday night for the seventh consecutive time. She picked up a unanimous decision win over Germaine de Randamie Dec. 14, 2019 at UFC 245 for a sixth consecutive title defense. Three of Nunes’ past four bouts have finished inside the distance, with three KO/TKOs before the UD against de Randamie. Four of the past seven fights for Nunes have ended in the first round, too.
For Spencer (8-1), she enters this bout as a decisive underdog at +450. The Canadian is two inches shorter than the champ, along with a one-inch reach disadvantage. Nunes is much more effective on the mat, posting a 2.33 to 1.36 advantage in takedown average, while posting a dominating 47.62 takedown-accuracy percentage to just 16.67 for Spencer. The Canadian does outpace the Brazilian champ slightly in significant strikes landed per minute, 4.54 to 4.34, and significant strike-accuracy percentage, 55.56 to 49.82. Two of Spencer’s past three bouts have finished inside the distance – the exception was a unanimous decision loss to Cris Cyborg, Spencer’s only setback at the UFC level to date.
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Amanda Nunes vs. Felicia Spencer betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 5 at 7:35 a.m. ET.
Nunes (-625) is expected to retain her belt for a seventh consecutive title defense, so you’ll have to get creative when betting this match. Taking her on the 2-way line is just too much risk and not a tremendous amount of return. (Every $6.25 wagered on a Nunes win only profits $1 if she prevails).
The fight is not expected to go the distance, but No (-358) is a rather risky proposition as well. It might be better to go with TOTAL NUMBER OF ROUNDS UNDER 3.5 (-209), which is still a lot of chalk to eat, but not that terrible. Better yet, going UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-134) is even less risk, and Nunes definitely has enough to put Spencer away quickly. It might also be a good idea to roll with NUNES BY KO/TKO/DQ (-154). If you want to get specific, Nunes to win in Round 1 (+210), Round 2 (+350) or Round 3 (+600) pay handsomely. My suggestion would be taking NUNES IN ROUND 2 (+350).
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Nunes (-625) to win on the 2-way line fetches a profit of just $1.60. Betting Nunes to win by KO/TKO/DQ (-154) nets a profit of $6.49, while playing the UNDER 2.5 rounds (-134) on a $10 bet profits $7.46.
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