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The Memphis Tigers (5-1, 1-1 AAC) welcome the North Texas Mean Green (5-1, 2-0) to Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the North Texas vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Tigers beat the USF Bulls 21-3 Saturday in Week 7 action, closing as a 10-point road favorite. They have won 2 straight and are 4-2 against the spread (ATS) on the season. Memphis’ lone loss on the season was a 56-44 road defeat to the Navy Midshipmen, who closed as a 9-point underdog. The Tigers have scored at least 20 in every game this season.
The Mean Green beat FAU 41-37 Saturday, closing as a 5-point road favorite. North Texas has rallied off 3 straight wins and is 3-3 ATS on the season. Its lone loss was to Big 12 side Texas Tech, losing 66-21 on the road on Sept. 14. The Mean Green have closed as an underdog in 2 games and are 1-1 straight up and 1-1 ATS in those. They have scored at least 40 in 3 straight games as well.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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North Texas at Memphis odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): North Texas +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Memphis -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): North Texas +11.5 (-110) | Memphis -11.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 68.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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North Texas at Memphis picks and predictions
Prediction
Memphis 37, North Texas 24
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value here. The Tigers should come out on top, especially with how the Mean Green have played in competitive road games. Memphis is far too expensive to take here, though.
Against the spread
BET MEMPHIS -11.5 (-110).
The Tigers are 3-1 ATS this season as a double-figure favorite, and they are 2-1 ATS at home. They have scored 38 or more in 3 games this season, but it has been their defense that has impressed, allowing 10 points total in the last 2 games and holding opponents to 17 or fewer in 5 of 6 games.
The Mean Green have played 3 road games and have allowed 37, 66 and 38. They are just 1-2 ATS in those games. North Texas has consistently given up too many points in road games, and that should spur issues against a solid defense like Memphis.
Considering those trends, take MEMPHIS -11.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 68.5 (-115).
This is a tale of 2 stories. Memphis is 1-5 O/U while North Texas is 5-1 O/U. At home, Memphis has allowed 0, 17 and 7. It has a defense that has consistently produced, holding even Power 5-side FSU to 12.
North Texas scored just 21 in its last Power 5 battle this season. The Mean Green have allowed 20 or fewer in 2 of their last 3 and in 3 of their last 5. With that in mind and given how lofty of a total this is, back UNDER 68.5 (-115).
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