Wisconsin – North Carolina State confirmed what we knew

Reflections on the Wisconsin Badgers’ loss to the North Carolina State Wolfpack.

Sportswriters are taught to find different ways of saying the same thing. The Wisconsin Badgers are teaching a lot of sportswriters how to do their jobs better this basketball season.

When anyone is given the specific job of covering a sports team through a season, that team might fall into predictable patterns. If the patterns are good, the challenge facing a writer, broadcaster, or commentator is made easier by the reality that athletes and coaches are always happier to speak when they’re winning. When the same things happen over and over again, and the “same things” are good, it’s all fun and giggles. When the same things happen over and over again, and the same things are BAD, it’s a nightmare, a long slog through misery and frustration. That is when it becomes harder to write about a team.

The basketball Badgers are currently making it more difficult to write about them. Just how many new insights can a person find when Wisconsin loses a series of games in noticeably familiar ways, falling to 4-4 before the start of the Big Ten Conference schedule?

The bad 3-point shooting? Check. That was still on display Wednesday night against the North Carolina State Wolfpack. The lack of one “climb on my back” scorer who can take charge when the rest of the team struggles? Check. Wisconsin has come no closer to finding that kind of equation-changing scorer. The lack of ball movement? Check. The Badgers shared the ball really well at the Kohl Center against Marquette, but haven’t done so nearly well enough to win away from home.

The 69-54 loss to North Carolina State didn’t reveal a whole lot which was new or surprising about this Wisconsin team. This game was noteworthy for the simple reality that it reinforced what we already knew about this team.

This game reminded us that there is no takeover scorer who can rescue this offense — at least not right now. It once again showed that no one on this team is shooting well enough to open up the court and create better driving lanes which can greatly improve the offense. N.C. State smartly gave Wisconsin 3-point looks and played to stop the drive. The Wolfpack blocked several shots and altered many others. This game also showed us that Wisconsin doesn’t have a point guard athletic enough to beat his man off the dribble and force defenses to help, which in turn creates a higher-quality 3-point shot.

This game showed us that the pieces don’t fit on offense. It also showed that any prolonged struggles from the Wisconsin defense will mean almost-certain defeat. The Badgers allowed 26 points in the first 10 minutes of the second half. You don’t need to be a math major to realize that’s a 52-point scoring pace in a full half of basketball. There’s no way Wisconsin can survive that lack of defense at this particular stage of the team’s development in the 2019-2020 season. Wisconsin has to be a lockdown-level defensive team, a group which can win the grinders Virginia had been winning before the Cavaliers got thumped by Purdue on Wednesday.

Wisconsin has to win games 53-49, at least in early December. Maybe in late January, Wisconsin will be in better position to win a game played in the high 60s or low 70s. Right now, the Badgers have to hold opponents to the low 50s or high 40s. If they don’t, they’re in deep trouble. The past several games established this… and the North Carolina State game did nothing to change that fundamental equation.

Three takeaways from Wisconsin’s 69-54 loss to NC State in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge

Wisconsin fell to the NC State Wolfpack in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge on Wednesday. Here are the top three takeaways from the 69-54 loss.

Wisconsin was handed its third loss in a row on Wednesday evening, falling to NC State 69-54 in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge. Here are our top three takeaways from the game for the Badgers.

Wisconsin can’t get back to the friendly confines of the Kohl Center soon enough.

After a ho-hum start in the first two games of the season against St. Mary’s and Eastern Illinois, it appeared as though Wisconsin’s offense was coming together in the following three contests, especially in the impressive victory over Marquette in which the Badgers seemingly couldn’t miss at times, especially from downtown. A common denominator of those three encouraging performances against McNeese State, Marquette and Green Bay?

They all took place in Madison.

Once the Badgers were forced to hit the road to Brooklyn to take part in the Legends Classic, things quickly unraveled. Wisconsin’s play in the embarrassing losses to Richmond and New Mexico was abysmal to the point that it was near-unwatchable at times. The Badgers shot 39 percent from the floor in those two games, including just 24.5 percent from beyond the arc.

Badger fans who were hoping that Wisconsin would break out of its slump last night in Raleigh were bitterly disappointed, with Bucky going just 21-56 (37.5 percent) from the field overall and just 5-23 (21.7 percent) from three against the Wolfpack. The Badgers didn’t get on the board until the 15:43 mark, and it took a little over half of the first period for them to bury a three.

To make matters worse, Wisconsin’s complicated relationship with the free-throw line reared its ugly head once again, with the Badgers going just 7-15 from the charity stripe.

It will be interesting to see if Wisconsin can get this sputtering offense back on track in Madison on Saturday, but facing an undefeated Indiana squad that just took down No. 17 Florida State earlier this week, Badger fans probably shouldn’t get their hopes up.

Brad Davison couldn’t find a way out of his scoring slump.

Mar 22, 2019; San Jose, CA, USA; Wisconsin Badgers guard Brad Davison (34) is consoled by forward Nate Reuvers (35) on the bench during the second half in the first round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament against the Oregon Ducks at SAP Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

It’s probably not a coincidence that Wisconsin’s three consecutive losses have coincided with one of the worst shooting slumps of Davison’s college career.

The junior guard was nowhere to be found against NC State last night, putting up three points and taking only five shots. Davison didn’t make much of an impact elsewhere, either, adding just two assists and three rebounds to his meager scoring total.

As it did with the Badgers as a whole, the Wolfpack did an excellent job defensively on Davison, but it’s possible that the very loud and persistent booing that greeted him whenever he touched the ball throughout the game got into his head a bit and contributed to his struggles.

After last night’s performance, Davison has mustered only 11 points on 3-20 shooting from the floor, including just 2-14 from long range, in Bucky’s last three games. If Wisconsin’s offense is going to start clicking again, it simply needs more from Davison, who has proven himself to be one of the few players on this roster who is capable of scoring consistently.

The aggressiveness from Aleem Ford and Kobe King was encouraging.

King and Ford didn’t exactly light it up from the field (they combined to shoot 42.8 percent) but Badger fans should be encouraged by the aggressiveness they both showed last night. As with Davison, it’s of vital importance that these two emerge as reliable offensive options this season, but both guys have shown a tendency to be timid with the ball in their hands at times throughout their careers.

King’s development, in particular, is crucial to Wisconsin’s success this season. The sophomore guard continues to look like the team’s best and perhaps only option to consistently break down defenses and hunt for his own shot. Again, King’s shots weren’t always going down against the Wolfpack (he had 11 points on 4-11 shooting), but he was getting into the paint at will for much of the contest, and that’s what Wisconsin needs from him moving forward.

While King looked strong at times last night, it was Ford who was Wisconsin’s best player. He was quiet for much of the first half but came out attacking in the second, finishing the game with a team-high 13 points on 5-10 shooting, seven rebounds, a steal and a block.

Ford continues to look like a completely different player from a year ago, flashing exciting inside/out scoring ability and playing with a noticeably higher amount of fire and toughness. Of all the players returning from last season’s roster, he has by far shown the most progress.

North Carolina State would love to be in Wisconsin’s shoes

A look at the North Carolina State Wolfpack before their game with the Wisconsin Badgers.

The North Carolina State Wolfpack, who face the Wisconsin Badgers on Wednesday night in the Big Ten-ACC Challenge, have been known for making a sneaky run to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament every now and then. The specific details: North Carolina State has made three Sweet 16s in the previous 15 college basketball seasons, once under Herb Sendek and twice under Mark Gottfried.

The three Sweet 16s were never closer than three years apart (2013 and 2016 under Gottfried). They also never came as a seed higher than No. 8. North Carolina State was not an unfamiliar face on the second weekend of the NCAA Tournament. If you compare that to Wisconsin’s body of work in the first nine years under Bo Ryan, there is a small to modest degree of similarity. Ryan made three Sweet 16s in his first nine years (with one of them turning into an Elite Eight, interestingly due to a Sweet 16 win against North Carolina State in 2005 in Syracuse). Those Sweet 16s also did not come in consecutive seasons. Wisconsin’s NCAA seeds from 2002 through 2006 were no higher than No. 5.

Fine — those similarities exist. Yet, the larger profiles of the two programs are and have been profoundly different this century. Whereas North Carolina State has endured noticeable NCAA Tournament droughts, Wisconsin is an annual NCAA Tournament team. Whereas Wisconsin eventually moved past the “mid-level-seed” identity under Ryan and became a top-three seed in several NCAA Tournaments, North Carolina State — when it makes the NCAA Tournament — is still a road-team Dance guest. In other words, N.C. State almost always wears the road jerseys of a lower seed in the NCAAs, occupying the 9-12 seed range and occasionally being an 8, which gets a home jersey in round one but not in any subsequent round of the tournament.

N.C. State’s lack of high-end NCAA Tournament seeds is borne out in another substantial difference between the Wolfpack and the Badgers: the number of seasons with single-digit losses. North Carolina State hasn’t had a season with fewer than 10 losses since 1989 under the man himself, Jim Valvano. Wisconsin has had NINE seasons with fewer than 10 losses this century alone.

Imagine yourself in 1989 — when everything about Wisconsin sports was about to change and enter a golden era — saying that Wisconsin would clearly surpass North Carolina State as a program. The arrival of Dick Bennett in 1995 was still six years away. Valvano led N.C. State to the Sweet 16, and the Wolfpack very nearly defeated top-seeded Georgetown with Alonzo Mourning. Yet, it can’t be any plainer: Wisconsin is in much better shape than N.C. State on a larger level.

Only if Kevin Keatts shows substantial proof of a sustained turnaround will the Wolfpack begin to change perceptions and reality in the ACC, and on a national level. This year’s NCSU team has clearly failed to make significant early-season statements. North Carolina State has lost its two most important games of the young season, to Georgia Tech and Memphis. The effort has been there but the execution has not. Yup, sounds like N.C. State. The Sendek and Gottfried teams could be so good when at their best, but the “best” didn’t materialize very often. Playing to the competition, not making the simple play, and enduring prolonged shooting droughts have all been part of the N.C. State portfolio to varying degrees over the past few decades. The 2019-2020 Wolfpack are trying to begin to create a cultural shift in Raleigh.

Wisconsin just got roughed up in Brooklyn. The Badgers do not stand on especially solid footing as they travel to the Carolinas. Yet, Wisconsin’s long-range body of work gives the Badgers the benefit of the doubt. N.C. State is still trying to earn it heading into Wednesday night’s game.

Three North Carolina State players Badger fans need to know

Wisconsin takes on NC State on Wednesday in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. Badger fans should be sure to know these three opposing players.

Wisconsin (4-3) will look to rebound from its abysmal performance at the Legends Classic last week and snap a two-game losing streak when it takes on NC State (5-2) in Raleigh tomorrow night as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

The Badgers got the better of the Wolfpack in last season’s matchup between these squads at the Kohl Center, pulling out a narrow 79-75 victory.

Both sides are coming off of losses in their most recent outings, with Wisconsin falling to New Mexico by nine last Tuesday and NC State by five to then-No.16 Memphis on Thursday in the Barclays Center Classic.

After how awful the Badgers looked at the Legends Classic, it shouldn’t come as much of a surprise that ESPN’s Basketball Power Index is giving them just a 39.9 percent shot at taking down the Wolfpack on the road tomorrow evening. Head coach Kevin Keatts boasts a talented roster with five players currently averaging double-figures and eight averaging over seven points per game.

Here are the three players on the other side who Badger fans should keep a close eye on throughout tonight’s contest.

C.J. Bryce – Guard

2019 stats: 16.1 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 2.7 apg, 1.9 spg, 54.3 FG%, 33.3 3P%

Bryce has been a massive addition to this NC State program since he opted to transfer and follow Keatts from UNC-Wilmington to Raleigh. After making an instant impact for the Wolfpack last year by starting 35 of 36 games and averaging 11.6 points and 4.6 rebounds while leading the team in steals, the 6-5 guard has been playing the best ball of his career this season.

The senior has been stuffing the stat sheet, leading NC State in scoring, rebounding, and steals and ranking second in assists. Bryce has without question been the team’s go-to bucket getter, scoring 16 or more points in five of the Wolfpack’s first seven games. However, he is coming off what may have been his worst outing of the season in last Thursday’s loss to Memphis, having only mustered seven points on 2-12 shooting from the floor.

Bryce had an excellent game in last season’s showdown between these programs, racking up 18 points (6-11 shooting) and seven rebounds.

Markell Johnson – Guard

2019 stats: 12.0 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 6.7 apg, 1.8 spg, 38.7 FG%, 22.2 3P%

Mar 14, 2019; Charlotte, NC, USA; North Carolina State Wolfpack guard Markell Johnson (11) dunks the ball against the Virginia Cavaliers in the first half in the ACC conference tournament at Spectrum Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

The Wolfpack’s third-leading scorer this season, if Johnson can replicate the success he found against Wisconsin last year when he led all scorers with 21 points to go along with five assists, three rebounds and a steal, NC State will likely be sending the Badgers home with its third consecutive loss.

After trailing only Bryce in scoring average in 2018-19, Johnson’s production as a shooter has declined a bit so far this season. His average has dipped from 12.6 to 12.0, as have his shooting percentages from beyond the arc and the field overall. However, I would expect those numbers to get better sooner rather than later, as Johnson has proven to be a far more efficient player throughout his career than what he has shown so far this year. For example, he shot 42.2 percent from long range and 48.8 from the field last season.

He’s capable of being NC State’s top scorer on any given night, but where Johnson makes his biggest impact on the game is as a facilitator. His career assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.11 ranks seventh in program history, and he actually led the ACC in assists per game in 2017-18. It’s been more of the same for Johnson this year, as his current average of 6.7 is No. 3 in the conference and No. 13 nationally.

DJ Funderburk – Forward

2019 stats: 12.0 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.0 spg, 70.0 FG%, 

Funderburk finished in a tie for second in the ACC Sixth Man of the Year voting last season, and based on his production so far in 2019, he looks to once again be a top contender to take home the award this time around.

He may not start or play the type of heavy minutes that Bryce and Johnson do (he has only averaged 21 per game to this point in the season), but Funderburk sure does make the most of them. For example, despite playing more than ten fewer minutes per contest than Johnson, the 6-10 big man boasts the same scoring average right now.

Funderburk has only shot the ball from the field 30 times in the five games he’s played since missing the first two with a suspension, but he’s made 21 of them. His efficiency isn’t a fluke, either: his he led the Wolfpack in field goal percentage a year ago at 55.2 percent, and his two-point percentage of 59.5 was fifth in the ACC. Funderburk also takes advantage of his trips to the line as a career 77.1 percent shooter from the charity stripe.