North Carolina Duke odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Duke odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) and the Duke Blue Devils (4-0) meet Saturday at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, N.C., for the ACC opener for both sides. Kickoff is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the North Carolina vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

North Carolina was embarrassed last week against visiting James Madison, as the Dukes dropped 53 on it — in the 1st half! JMU left Chapel Hill with $500K from the Tar Heels and a 70-50 victory. UNC was favored by 10.5 points as the Over (48) was nearly tripled up.

The Tar Heels offense has scored 38 or more points in 3 straight games, but UNC is 0-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 3 outings and 0-3-1 ATS in 4 games to date. The Over and Under have alternated in each of the 4 contests.

Duke has won all 4 games to date, scoring 26 or more points in each outing. The Blue Devils have covered 2 of the past 3 outings, while the Over is 2-0-1 in the 3-game span.

The Tar Heels lead the all-time series 66-40-4, according to the UNC media guide, including wins in the past 5 meetings. That means the Victory Bell, awarded to the winner of this rivalry on the gridiron, has resided in Chapel Hill since Nov. 10, 2018. However, Duke has covered the previous 2 meetings, including a wild 47-45 2OT loss in Chapel Hill Nov. 11, 2023, as a 10-point underdog. The Over is 3-1 in the past 4 in the series.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 7:21 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Duke -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread: North Carolina +2.5 (-105) | Duke -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 56 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 32, Duke 29

Moneyline

NORTH CAROLINA (+120) is a solid play straight up at plus-money, as it takes the short ride up US 15-501 looking to bring the Victory Bell back down the road with another win over its rivals.

Duke (-145) is 4-0 straight up this season, but it struggled to shake off UConn at home 2 weeks ago and Northwestern took the Blue Devils to 2OT in Evanston before Duke won 26-20. The Blue Devils even struggled against FCS Elon for a majority of the opener before pulling away.

While the Blue Devils should find plenty of room against the leaky UNC defense, the Tar Heels look to have a much more powerful offense.

Against the spread

Playing North Carolina +2.5 (-105) and laying money, rather than playing it straight up at plus-money, makes little sense, unless you believe Duke -2.5 (-115) will win outright, but only by 1 or 2 points.

PASS.

Over/Under

OVER 56 (-110) is a strong play in this rivalry game. It has cashed in 3 of the previous 4 meetings.

Duke has hit high on the total at a 2-0-1 clip in the past 3 outings, and Duke has scored 26 or more points on offense in each of its 4 games.

For UNC, the offense has racked up 38 or more points in 3 consecutive games, and the defense was obviously a disaster last weekend.

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 7 North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6, 16-3 ACC) take on the No. 8 Duke Blue Devils (24-6, 15-4) Saturday at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Tip is set for 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

UNC, No. 7 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has won 5 straight after an 84-51 haymaker to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish Tuesday. G RJ Davis had 22 points and 6 assists. F Armando Bacot had 14 points and was 2-for-2 from behind the arc. Bacot had a huge game in the 93-84 home win over Duke Feb. 3 with 25 points, 10 boards and 5 assists.

Duke, No. 8 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, has only lost twice in the last 13 games. It covered as a 6-point favorite in a 79-64 victory over NC State Monday. G Jeremy Roach had 21 points but shot just 1-for-7 from deep. He is just 1-for-11 (9.1%) from behind the arc in his last 2 games.

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 9:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Duke -194 (bet $194 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +4.5 (-110) | Duke -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 76, Duke 72

Moneyline

Duke is 15-2 at home, but UNC has won 3 of the last 4 meetings at Cameron. C Kyle Filipowski hasn’t been the same since the infamous knee injury after the loss to Wake Forest. He has been held below double figures in 3 of the 6 games since then. Roach is struggling from deep, and the Tar Heels are really humming right now.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +160.

Against the spread

Even if UNC can’t get it done, I still like it to cover this spread. UNC is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 meetings with Duke. UNC covered in the 9-point victory at its house as a 5-point favorite.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +4.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Duke is just 2-8 O/U over the last 10 games while UNC is 4-6. They take it to another level when facing one another, though, as the Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. After 177 points in the 1st meeting, this OVER 150.5 (-110) looks like easy money.

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-7, 7-4 ACC) travel across town to take on the Duke Blue Devils (16-6, 7-4) at Cameron Indoor Saturday at 6:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the North Carolina vs. Duke game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

This has been a strange season in many ways. UNC and Duke opened the season ranked in the top 5, and both have fallen out of the ranks entirely. But some things remain the same including the hatred in this rivalry – one of the best rivalries in all of sports.

Duke, who comes in after beating Wake Forest 75-73 as 8-point favorites will look to defeat UNC and remain ahead of the Tar Heels in the ACC standings.

While Duke comes into this important matchup on a winning streak, UNC comes in after losing a close 65-64 loss to Pitt as 8.5-point favorites. This game will be a matchup between a North Carolina offense ranked 36th at 78.5 points going against a Duke defense ranked 38th at 63.7 points.

Duke, normally a solid 3-point team, ranks 270th this season making just 32.5% of its shots from behind the ark. These struggles have made the Blue Devils one-dimensional, and if North Carolina can exploit this, the Tar Heels will come out of Cameron with a victory.

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Duke -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +3.5 (-115) | Duke -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 70, Duke 67

Moneyline

North Carolina is coming off a tough loss to Pitt in its last game while Duke is coming off a 2-point win over Wake Forest and a 43-point decision over Georgia Tech. Despite this, Duke will be playing its first true competition against North Carolina without Dariq Whitehead in the lineup. This will finally be the game where his absence makes a difference, and North Carolina will be able to take advantage where the other teams were not talented enough to do so.

Look for a hard, physical battle as it always is in this rivalry. But the Tar Heels will come out on top, and getting them at +130 is good value.

Take NORTH CAROLINA +130.

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Against the spread

PASS on the spread in favor of the ML in this one.

Over/Under

UNDER 145.5 (-115) is the total side here.

UNC is 6-0 to the Under in its last 6 games, and it is also 4-0 to the Under in its last 4 against teams with a winning % over .600.

Duke, for its part is 4-0 to the Under in its last 4 Saturday games. Both teams have been hot and cold on the offensive side while Duke has been able to remain consistent on the defensive side. This makes me feel a lower-scoring battle will be coming in this one Saturday.

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina Tarheels at Duke Blue Devils odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 North Carolina Tar Heels (5-1, 2-0 ACC) and the Duke Blue Devils (4-2, 1-1) meet at Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, N.C. Kickoff is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the North Carolina vs. Duke odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Tar Heels eased by Miami on the road, winning 27-24 as a 4-point underdog. It was the second straight win since a 45-32 loss at home to Notre Dame back on Sept. 24. UNC has covered 4 of its past 5 games overall.

The Blue Devils opened the season 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS, but they have dropped 2 in a row. At home, however, Duke is 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS, and unbeaten in both games against FBS opponents. The Under is 4-1-1 in the past 6 games overall for Duke, too.

North Carolina is No. 25 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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North Carolina at Duke odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): North Carolina -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Duke +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina -7.5 (-105) | Duke +7.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 68.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Duke picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 43, Duke 32

Moneyline

North Carolina (-270) will cost you over 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s a big risk, especially in a rivalry game in their place. Duke (+220) has at least been respectable this season, and certainly no pushover.

PASS.

Against the spread

NORTH CAROLINA -7.5 (-105) is worth playing, even though 7-and-a-hook isn’t the most attractive number.

UNC has won the past 2 meetings by 31 or more points. While Duke +7.5 (-120) is a much better team this season, and this will be a much tougher test for Carolina, roll with the Heels laying the points.

Over/Under

OVER 68.5 (-107) is the lean here. The last time these teams met in Durham, we had a total of 80 points on the scoreboard. Before that, in 2018, the teams posted 77 total points at Wallace Wade Stadium. In fact, in 4 of the past 5 meetings in Durham, we have had at least 65 total points on the board. When UNC heads up US 15-501 to Durham, plenty of offense occurs.

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Final Four: North Carolina vs. Duke odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina vs. Duke Final Four odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9) and Duke Blue Devils (32-6) clash in a Final Four showdown Saturday in New Orleans. The rivalry battle at Caesars Superdome is slated for an 8:49 tip-off (TBS). Below, we look at the North Carolina vs. Duke odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Meeting number 257 in this rivalry will be a special one.

North Carolina — the No. 8 seed from the East Region — is the fastest-paced team remaining in the tournament. The Tar Heels have averaged 77.5 points per game in going 10-1 since Feb. 19. Like their foes in this game, they are exceptional in keeping opposing shooters off the foul line. UNC is also a terrific defensive rebounding team; the Heels have out-boarded opponents in 13 straight games.

Duke advanced from the No. 2 seed in the West Region. The 10th-ranked team in the nation won the regular-season crown in the ACC. Head coach Mike Krzyzewski‘s final five in Durham is a young group but one thank ranks among the best offensive teams in NCAA-I. The Devils have shot a robust 53.8% from the field across four tournament games.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

North Carolina vs. Duke odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: North Carolina +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Duke -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +4.5 (-115) | Duke -4.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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North Carolina vs. Duke odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 79, North Carolina 73

Money line

The Heels and Devils split two games in the regular season, with each side winning on the road. North Carolina may have an edge in this pace match-up (fast UNC vs. moderate DU), but Duke has superior efficiency numbers at both ends of the floor. The Devils’ ability to score in and around the paint colors this one with enough Duke leverage to make this line a fair one. But it’s not necessarily a value line: PASS.

Against the spread

UNC is 8-2 ATS across the last 10 meetings between these two sides.

However, peg North Carolina as being due for some 3-point regression after this long layoff and on this big stage. TAKE DUKE -4.5 (-107).

Over/Under

UNC and DU have split eight high-scoring games since 2018-19: The winning score in each of the last six meetings has been 87 points or more. The Over has hit in six straight games.

Both offenses have clicked in the tourney, and Duke has operated at some elevated pace numbers. BACK THE OVER 150.5 (-115).

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina at Duke odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (22-8, 14-5 ACC) visit Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (26-4, 16-3) in Coach K’s final home game. Tip is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the North Carolina vs. Duke odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Blue Devils will have a little extra motivation to come out on top in this one. Not only is it a rivalry game, but Duke will take the court as head coach Mike Krzyzewski leads the charge for his final time at Cameron Indoor – he is retiring after the season.

The Blue Devils destroyed North Carolina 87-67 in Chapel Hill earlier this season. Duke is 17-11-2 against the spread (ATS) this season but just 11-8 ATS against conference opponents.

That’s one area in which North Carolina is better as it is 11-7-1 ATS against ACC teams. However, the Tar Heels are 14-15-1 ATS overall but 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 outings. They average 78.1 points per game.

North Carolina is led by F Armando Bacot, who averages 16.4 points and 12.7 rebounds per game.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

North Carolina at Duke odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:49 a.m. ET.

Money line: North Carolina +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Duke -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
Against the spread: North Carolina +11.5 (-105) | Duke -11.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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North Carolina at Duke odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Duke 81, North Carolina 75

Money line

PASS.

Duke (-850) is far too expensive, but I do expect the Blue Devils to come out on top.

Against the spread

LEAN on NORTH CAROLINA +11.5 (-105).

Duke has far more to lose in this game, and with North Carolina playing with house money, it should be the Tar Heels who come in more relaxed.

Also, the narratives fit this at least being a close battle as it just seems like a quintessential way to end Coach K’s career against UNC is in a close, hard-fought battle.

UNC didn’t get going at home in the season’s first battle with Duke. Bacot was just 4-for-10 from the field and G Caleb Love was even worse, hitting just 3-for-10. Those two should be better this second time around. Also, expect UNC to shoot better than 40.7% from the field, which it did in the first contest.

Duke is just 4-5 when spotted 10 or more in the calendar year, mainly home games against lower-tier conference opponents. UNC is good enough to keep this game close, and Duke hasn’t covered huge spreads at Cameron.

Over/Under

BET OVER 153.5 (-107).

One thing both teams have been able to do this season is cash Over tickets.

The Tar Heels are 18-11-1 O/U, while Duke is 15-14-1 O/U. Over the last 10 games, North Carolina is 8-2 O/U and Duke is 7-3 O/U, so they’re picking up the pace like it’s March.

North Carolina also played with pace, ranking 72nd in possessions per game.

Duke ranks fifth in the nation in offensive efficiency. The Blue Devils’ efficiency mixed with the Tar Heels’ pace should be able to produce enough points to hit the Over.

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North Carolina at Duke odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The North Carolina Tar Heels (11-6 overall, 6-4 ACC) and Duke Blue Devils (7-6, 5-4) tangle in a Saturday evening rivalry tilt at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C. Tip-off is at 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the North Carolina-Duke college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

North Carolina at Duke: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

Money line: North Carolina +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Duke -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: North Carolina +3.5 (-110) | Duke -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

North Carolina at Duke: Three things to know

Both teams head into this contest off a loss. Duke lost 77-75 at Miami Monday. North Carolina dropped a 63-50 decision at Clemson Tuesday. UNC’s 50 points against the Tigers marked the program’s lowest single-game point total since Dec. 8, 2019.
Duke has lost four straight away from Cameron Indoor Stadium. At home, the Devils have won four straight. Duke is just 2-6 against the spread at home.
From beyond the arc, Duke is shooting 29.9% over its last six games; UNC is shooting 29.8% over its last six. Neither side ranks in the top-200 in 3-point accuracy for the season.

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North Carolina at Duke: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Duke 75, North Carolina 73

Money line (ML)

PASS on hard-to-beat figures at both ends.

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Against the spread (ATS)

North Carolina can bang on the boards and get enough second-chance points while getting to the free-throw line at a healthy clip. The UNC defense is a little more dialed in of late, as well.

TAKE NORTH CAROLINA +3.5 (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Peg this contest as close late with a total spiraling toward 150. TAKE THE OVER 145.5 (-110).

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