NFL prop bets odds lines picks predictions best bets – Page 6

NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 12 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 12, with picks and predictions for the most intriguing individual player performances.

With stretchy pants on following eating too much turkey, we’re looking for prop bets that will make us thankful before the holiday bills hit us in the mouth. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 12, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Week 12 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor OVER 79.5 rushing yards (-114)

It seemed earlier in the season, the Colts were getting too much respect as a team on point spreads and as individual players. It seems as if those setting the prop lines still don’t believe in Taylor, despite rushing for almost 800 yards in his last six games and topping 100 yards five times. It has become what the Colts do offensively. At home against the Buccaneers, unless Tampa Bay gets a three-score lead and forces Indy’s hand, Taylor is going to get the ball 20 times. He has at least one run of 33 or more yards in five of the last six games, and if history repeats itself, that will be all he needs to push this number Over.

Pittsburgh Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger UNDER 257.5 passing yards (-114)

This is a big number for Roethlisberger and likely takes into account past performances when the Steelers dominated the Bengals. Those days are gone. Big Ben is showing the signs of age, and Najee Harris is the who the Steelers’ offense runs through now. In five games when he has more than 20 carries, the Steelers are 4-0-1. In five games he has less than 20, Pittsburgh is 1-4. The familiarity between these teams will keep the play calling close to the vest, and the track record is too obvious. If the Steelers want to win, it needs to be Harris, not Roethlisberger that gets the job done.

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp OVER 96.5 receiving yards (-114)

My bankroll has gotten fat and happy betting on Kupp. He has just one game with less than 92 receiving yards. His reception Over/Under is such that to hit the Over, he will need to catch eight passes – about as high a number as possible. His yardage numbers have been high but not absurdly high. The Packers like to play a lot of man-press coverage, and that lends itself to big plays. Kupp has topped 115 yards in four of his last five games (92 yards in the other), and until somebody can shut him and Matthew Stafford down, the hits will keep on coming.

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San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo UNDER 250.5 passing yards (-114)

I’m no fan of Jimmy G. I’m not shy about that. He’s a placeholder quarterback that does enough to get the job done, but depends on the run far too often in the system that he runs. All he is asked to do is find Deebo Samuel and George Kittle often enough to keep defenses on their heels while the 49ers run the ball. In his last six games, Garoppolo has had 17 or fewer completions in five of them. It’s by design in this offense. For Garoppolo to hit the Over on this – given his average of about 15 completions a game – he will need to average almost 17 yards per completion to hit that number.

Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson OVER 64.5 rushing yards (-118)

Jackson is always a difficult bet when it comes to rushing yards because of what he is capable of. He has rushed for less than this number in five of his last seven games. That being said, this is a divisional game against the Browns, who are known for bringing blitz pressure that surrounds the QB from different angles. Jackson is clearly not your average quarterback. In five career starts against the Browns, he has topped this number four times, including more than 100 rushing yards in two of the last three. In the most competitive top-to-bottom division in the league, Jackson will do what needs to be done. That may require him to run 10 times. If he does that, there’s no way he hits the under – and he averages 12 rushes a game against the Browns.

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Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the Las Vegas Raiders at Dallas Cowboys Week 12 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The Dallas Cowboys (7-3) host a Thanksgiving game every year. This year is no different as the Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) come to town. Their Week 12 matchup kicks off at 4:30 p.m. at AT&T Stadium. Below, we look at the Raiders vs. Cowboys prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Cowboys have lost two of their last three games and have had two of their worst offensive performances in the losses. They rank No. 1 in total offense in the NFL and third in scoring, but scored only 16 against the Denver Broncos and only nine last week against the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Raiders started the season 3-0 but are on a three-game losing streak. They have been highly inconsistent offensively. In their five wins, they average 31.4 points per game. In their five losses, they have averaged 13.2 points.

Raiders at Cowboys prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott OVER 20.5 receiving yards (-114)

Elliott has surpassed 20 receiving yards six times this season and has done so in four of his last five games. The Raiders have allowed a running back to have more than 20 receiving yards in two of their last three games.

Raiders QB Derek Carr UNDER 265.5 passing yards (-114)

Carr has not had over 265 passing yards in his last two games. He has four games this season under 265. The Cowboys have not allowed an opposing quarterback to pass for at least 265 yards in their last four games.

Raiders RB Josh Jacobs OVER 47.5 rushing yards (-114)

Jacobs has struggled with rushing production this season. He has only three games where he rushed for more than 45 yards in a game. However, the Cowboys have allowed at least one back to rush for more than 45 yards in five straight games.

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Cowboys QB Dak Prescott OVER 2.5 touchdown passes (+152)

Prescott had three or more touchdown passes in five of the first six games of the season. He has not had more than two in the last three games. He is due, even though he will not have WR Amari Cooper and might not have WR CeeDee Lamb.

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott anytime TD (-180)

Elliott has only scored a touchdown in one of his last five games. However, he will have to be the focal point of the offense because Cooper is out and Lamb could be.

Also see: All Week 12 odds and lines

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NFL Player Prop Bets Picks: 3 best value bets of Week 11

Analyzing the Week 11 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

After the New England Patriots absolutely thrashed the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football, fans will be looking forward to a fun slate of games Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 11 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

A few games on the docket for Sunday at 1 p.m. ET include Baltimore Ravens at Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings and Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills.

The Dallas Cowboys play the Kansas City Chiefs in the evening window with the Los Angeles Chargers and Pittsburgh Steelers as the Sunday Night action. Monday, fans will be “treated” to the New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Let’s dive into a few player prop bets to consider putting on your slip.

Week 11 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Colts RB Jonathan Taylor UNDER 76.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Colts will be matched up with the Bills in a premier 1 p.m. ET match. While Taylor has hit this number in four of his last five games, he’s only managed it five times in ten games this season.

He’s been given the workload recently but hasn’t been up against a defense as effective as the Bills. He’s exploded on New York Jets, Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars.

Hitting the 100-yard mark is always impressive but it’s not quite as eye-popping against those sides. Buffalo ranks third in rushing yards allowed per game (83.9).

I’m betting the Bills focus on limiting the star back and force QB Carson Wentz to beat them. If they don’t do that defensively, they don’t deserve to come out with a win.

Steelers RB Najee Harris OVER 81.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Steelers’ first-round draft pick has turned into an absolute workhorse. Getting many extra yards due to his size, Harris has been dominant.

He’ll also be going against the worst run defense by a large margin. The Chargers are giving up over 155.1 yards per game, nearly 20 more ypg than the 31st ranked Houston Texans.

Harris is going to be getting all the reps he can handle. The Steelers are unlikely to abandon the run even if they find themselves down two or more touchdowns.

Harris has hit over 20 attempts in his last five games and has topped 80 yards in four of the five. He’s been terrific and is only improving. I expect a big game from him Sunday night.

Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines

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Bears QB Justin Fields OVER 17.5 pass completions (-106)

The Chicago Bears will be at home Sunday to take on the Ravens whose secondary hasn’t been as good as many expected this season.

Baltimore allows their opponents to complete the 17th-most passes per game (22.8). I’d bet Fields can take another step in his development against a flimsy secondary.

Fields has hit 18 completions in two of his last three games, and while he struggled against Pittsburgh’s eighth-ranked opponent pass completion rate he still reached 17. The Bears drives should be extended more often with RB David Montgomery back which should help Fields get more chances to throw the ball.

I’d bank he continues to progress and can keep pace with a dynamic Baltimore offense.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 11 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 11, with picks and predictions for the most intriguing individual player performances.

We’re coming off a great week last week (4-1) and we’re picking our shots on who we believe have been given prop numbers that are too high to expect or too low to ignore. Below, we look at five NFL player prop bets for Week 11, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Week 11 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:40 a.m. ET.

Indianapolis Colts RB Jonathan Taylor OVER 74.5 rushing yards (-114)

Taylor has topped 100 yards in four of his last five games (he had 70 in the other) and is seeing his carries per game on the increase. The Colts leaned on Taylor when they needed a win against the Buffalo Bills in the playoffs last year and he finished with 78 yards on 21 carries.

He is the critical player in the Colts offense and the offensive line has been built around taking advantage of his ability. Taylor should have 15-20 carries if the Colts can keep this one close and that should be enough to hit the Over.

Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey OVER 65.5 rushing yards (-112)

McCaffrey is in his third game back from injury. One of the reasons this number is so low is that he had just 14 and 13 carries in his first two games back. However, he looks ready to cut loose and the Panthers desperately need a win over the Washington Football Team to stay in the hunt for the postseason.

The Panthers are going to lean on him heavily until he either gets hurt again or Carolina falls out of playoff contention. He likely will only need to break off one big run to get over that small number and should have a chance with around 15 carries to do that.

Also see: All Week 11 odds and lines

Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers UNDER 270.5 passing yards (-114)

Rodgers has had his share of struggles against the Minnesota Vikings, especially on the road, although he carved up the Vikings last season when they missing a lot of their top defensive players and were painfully thin in the backfield. Rodgers is capable of putting up more than 270 yards on anybody, but Minnesota’s season is on the line (as well as the jobs of the head coach and G.M.).

Without his dual-threat featured back (Aaron Jones) and his starting left tackle (David Bakhtiari), the entire Packers offense is going to be forced to change in a hostile environment. Receiver Davante Adams is going to see a lot of double coverage and blitz pressure will be coming. He may need a 70-yard pass mixed in to top this number because he will likely be throwing a lot of dink-and-dunk passes Sunday.

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Las Vegas Raiders TE Darren Waller UNDER 6.5 receptions (-149)

Defenses have been collapsing on Waller since the Raiders no longer have Henry Ruggs to keep them honest. Waller has caught seven or more passes just once since Week 2 and has only been targeted more than seven times twice. For a player of his talent, that is amazing.

He has caught a total of six passes in two career games as a Raider against the Bengals. Asking him to catch seven passes when he’s likely to be chipped and/or doubled more plays than not by an aggressive Bengals defense is a lot. Derek Carr is a good enough QB not to throw into double coverage when it isn’t necessary. While Waller has the talent to hit this number, I just don’t think he’ll get the opportunities — he’d have to catch everything thrown his way.

Pittsburgh Steelers RB Najee Harris OVER 80.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Steelers started the year 1-3 before making the conscious decision to lean on their rookie running back. Harris averaged less than 14 carries a game through the first four games of the season, which makes hitting 80 yards difficult, but Pittsburgh has gone 4-0-1 in its last five games to save its season.

Is it a coincidence that in those games Harris has had 23, 24, 26, 22 and 26 carries? 1-3 when it doesn’t lean on him, 4-0-1 when it does. Hmm. He’ll go over this number if he hits 20 carries — 23 or 24 carries just gives you more insurance. Even when he’s getting short yardage on several carries in a row, Pittsburgh keeps going to him, which is good for those eyeballing the Over.

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New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons odds, picks and predictions: Player prop bets

Analyzing the New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons Week 11 matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

The New England Patriots (6-4) will try to extend their four-game win streak on Thursday Night Football when they visit the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Patriots vs. Falcons prop bet odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Three of the Patriots’ last four wins were by at least 18 points, most recently a 45-7 trouncing of the Cleveland Browns at home for their sixth win of the year. QB Mac Jones is one of the favorites to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, while the defense as a whole has allowed the second-fewest points per game this season.

The Falcons haven’t played quality football on either side of the ball this year, ranking 25th in scoring and 31st in points allowed per game. They lack weapons on offense after WR Calvin Ridley stepped away from the game for personal reasons, and despite CB A.J. Terrell playing well, the rest of the defense has struggled to slow down opposing passing attacks.

Patriots at Falcons prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan OVER 22.5 completions (+100)

This game is going to require the Falcons to throw the ball — a lot. Assuming the Patriots take an early lead and start to pull away, the same way they have in three of their last four games, Ryan is going to air it out a bunch. He’s completing more than 67% of his passes this season so assuming he attempts at least 35 passes — which he did in each of the first six games of this season — he should hit 23 completions.

Falcons TE Kyle Pitts UNDER 61.5 receiving yards (-123)

Bill Belichick is known for his ability to eliminate a team’s best weapon in a given week, and Pitts will be that player this week. The Patriots’ secondary is great and because the Falcons don’t have Ridley, New England can double Pitts and bracket him with a safety over the top and a linebacker underneath. The Patriots will find a way to limit his production and keep him in check.

Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson anytime TD scorer (-115)

RB Damien Harris is expected to play against the Falcons but Stevenson should remain the red zone back. He scored two touchdowns last week and looked deserving of RB1 status as he carried it 20 times for 100 yards. The Patriots are always tough to gauge with their backfield, but I like Stevenson to score a touchdown tonight.

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Patriots QB Mac Jones OVER 1.5 passing TDs (-143)

The Falcons have allowed 19 touchdown passes in nine games this season, the third-most in the NFL — that’s an average of more than two per game. Jones has thrown eight touchdown passes in his last five games, including three against the Browns last week. Considering how Patriots are rolling offensively and how bad the Falcons pass defense has been, Jones is solid bet to throw more than one touchdown pass.

Patriots WR Kendrick Bourne OVER 2.5 receptions (-175)

Bourne has seen a healthy share of work in the last four weeks. He’s been targeted 19 times, catching 15 passes for 238 yards. The Falcons may choose to put Terrell on WR Jakobi Meyers, which will open things up for Bourne to catch at least three passes.

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NFL player prop bets picks: 3 best value bets of Week 10

Analyzing the Week 10 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

NFL fans were treated with an odd Thursday Night Football game, one in which most bettors lost on as Miami defeated Baltimore. Below, we look at the NFL Week 10 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

From divisional matchups like the Buffalo Bills against the New York Jets to big-time shows between Los Angeles and San Francisco, fans should be glued to their seats all Sunday and then Monday evening as well.

For those looking to play a prop bet on a game, there are certainly some out there that make more sense than others. That said, let’s dive into which prop bets look best for Week 10.

Week 10 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at Saturday 6 p.m. ET.

Bills WR Stefon Diggs OVER 76.5 receiving yards (-114)

The Buffalo Bills were pathetic in Week 9. There were five field goals in a 9-6 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Bills are far better than they showed last week, and after a loss this season, they’ve beaten their by double figures. They’ll be taking on the Jets. New York ranks 30th in opponents passing yards per game.

With Allen looking to bounce back and Diggs being his primary target, this should be a massive day for the star receiver. He’s topped 76 yards in three of the last five weeks.

Given the Jets weak defense and the Bills bounce-back ability, I’m going with their MVP-candidate quarterback’s primary target.

Buccaneers RB Leonard Fournette OVER 61.5 rushing yards (-114)

Tampa Bay is taking on Washington, and that bodes well for Fournette.

Given the way this game should be played, I’m thinking Tampa will jump out to a nice lead and coast against the 2-6 Washington Football Team. Brady has thrown for 4 or more touchdowns in three of his last four games.

As for Fournette, he’s hit past this total in four of his last five games. He’s been the favorite for the Bucs backfield, and he should against get some garbage time carries.

Even without late-game carries, Fournette has been the back of choice and is seeing a high amount of carries. He’s easily getting enough to top 61 yards and has consistently done just that.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson UNDER 75.5 receiving yards (-114)

The Minnesota Vikings have been disappointing this season.

That was maximized in a prime-time loss to the Dak Prescott-less Cowboys. Jefferson will be facing off with the Chargers’ cornerbacks. Their secondary is led by star S Derwin James Jr.

Los Angeles is one of three teams holding opponents under 200 passing yards per game. The Chargers locked up both Amari Cooper and Tyreek Hill earlier this season. As for this prop, Jefferson has hit this total in four of eight games.

With just a 50% conversation rate on over 75 yards and taking on a top-tier secondary, I’ll take the Under. Also, I’d typically rather bet against Kirk Cousins than on him.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 10 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 10, with picks and predictions for the most intriguing individual player performances.

Coming off a week in which defenses stood out and there was a slew of upsets, projected high-scoring, big-production games took a significant hit and had many people who like betting the Over for player yardage taking a second look. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 10, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Week 10 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 10:10 a.m. ET.

Seattle Seahawks QB Russell Wilson OVER 19.5 rushing yards (-114)

Wilson is back after missing three games with a finger injury. He’s never rushed for fewer than 17 yards against the Packers in eight career games and has had his biggest games when they mean the most – including 64 yards in their last meeting in the playoffs.

With the combination of their season potentially being over with a loss, the absence of RB Chris Carson and Wilson returning from an injury that doesn’t limit his mobility, he could top this number with one run. If he breaks the pocket three or four teams, he will blow past this point.

Washington Football Team WR Terry McLaurin UNDER 70.5 receiving yards (-112)

McLaurin gets the respect he deserves as the No. 1 receiver on an offensively challenged Washington roster, but he’s going up against a Buccaneers defense that brings pressure to the point where a quarterback doesn’t have time to wait out a deep downfield route to open up.

If McLaurin is going to hit 71 yards, he will likely have to catch six or seven passes to do it, and he has four or fewer receptions in five of eight games and more than seven just once. I like those odds.

Pittsburgh Steelers RB Najee Harris OVER 93.5 rushing yards (-114)

The winless Lions come into Heinz Field and anyone with Steelers on their fantasy football rosters can’t stop drooling, and perhaps none more than those with Harris. The rookie running was eased into the lineup in his first four games with just 55 times. Over the last four weeks? He has rushed 95 times with weekly totals of 23, 24, 26 and 22 carries.

The Steelers were 1-3 in the four games that he didn’t have a heavy workload, but as the offense has revolved around him they’ve gone 4-0. Harris will get a ton of carries if it’s a close game, and if the Steelers build a big lead he’ll get more to end the game. 100 yards should be easily within reach if he gets more than 20 carries again.

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Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert UNDER 294.5 passing yards (-114)

Given that Minnesota’s defense is going to be without five of its premiere defensive players – DE Danielle Hunter, S Harrison Smith, LB Anthony Barr, CB Patrick Peterson and DT Michael Pierce – it would seem like a no-brainer that Herbert could hit or surpass 300 passing yards. However, the Chargers have the worst run defense in the NFL by a lot as they allow 161.6 yards a game which is almost 25 yards more per game than the No. 31 ranked Houston Texans.

Minnesota has one of the game’s best running backs in Dalvin Cook and his backup, Alexander Mattison, has topped 100 yards in the two games Cook has missed. Minnesota’s defensive weaknesses will be a challenge, but the Vikings have the offensive makeup to control the ball for 35 minutes or more against a team that can’t stop the run. Can Herbert hit 294 yards in 25 minutes? We’ll see.

Indianapolis Colts WR Michael Pittman scores a touchdown (+160)

Pittman is by far the most targeted receiver for the Colts and QB Carson Wentz is always looking his way when the Colts get in the Red Zone. He has scored five touchdowns over his last five games, including against the Baltimore Ravens, San Francisco 49ers and Tennessee Titans pass defenses. All those defenses are better than Jacksonville’s so the opportunities will be there for Pittman to find paydirt and bring back positive return on investment.

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Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams Week 9 prop bets

Analyzing the Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams matchup and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

In a thrilling Sunday Night Football matchup, the Tennessee Titans (6-2) head to the beautiful SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (7-1). Kick-off is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

While this game should still be thriller, the NFL’s leading rusher will not make an appearance as RB Derrick Henry will be sidelined with a foot injury.

NFL legend RB Adrian Peterson was picked up by Tennessee and is expected to replace the star back. However, actually replacing Henry is practically impossible.

The Titans will take on a surging Rams, led by potential MVP candidate QB Matthew Stafford. This is also expected to be Von Miller’s first game with LA.

Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Rams prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Rams QB Matthew Stafford OVER 2.5 passing TDs (+100)

The Titan shouldn’t be as potent offensively without Henry would could help the Rams have a higher time of possessions. While that’s a theory, it won’t matter anyway as Stafford has been absolutely rolling with the Rams.

He’s hit at least three touchdowns in five of eight games this season and has topped two in his last three games.

Stafford is on fire and is the main source of offense for LA, a team ranking fifth in points per game. They’re that good, and with WR Cooper Kupp continuing his career-best season, Stafford has the options at his disposal.

There’s no reason to believe his dominance won’t continue as the Titans rank 24th in opponent’s passing yards per game.

Titans WR AJ Brown UNDER 75.5 receiving yards (-114)

Let’s turn our attention to the other offense.

Without Henry, more will be asked of Titans QB Ryan Tannehill. Everyone knows they won’t be the same offense, and there’s little data to back how it will go as Henry has missed one game in the past four years.

With that in mind, Brown should be a good option for Tannehill, but he’ll have superstar CB Jalen Ramsey covering him, or at least he should be on the Titans best receiver.

Brown’s prop is a bit inflated after two dominant weeks, but despite those, he’ll still only hit 75 yards in three of six games.

With Ramsey on him, I think Brown may struggle and Julio Jones have the monster game. Jones is “good to go” and will be the premier other target for Tannehill.

Rams WR Robert Woods OVER 5.5 receptions (+107)

Plus-money value for the Rams’ Robert Woods to get six receptions is the best bet on the table.

After the team’s 37-20 loss to Arizona, head coach Sean McVay said he wanted to get Wood more involved. Since then, Woods’ backers have been salivating over his production.

He’s been targeted 34 times in the past four weeks and has secured 23 receptions. While he’s only hit this prop twice this season, Woods is continuing is a top option for Stafford.

Everyone knows the season Kupp is having, and it’s been Woods who has stepped up lately. Woods has hit this prop in two of his last four weeks. Stafford is the sixth-most accurate QB in the NFL.

He’s going to get Woods opportunities to succeed, and in primetime action, I think he gets enough chances snag six or more catches.

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NFL player prop bets picks: 3 best value bets of Week 9

Analyzing the Week 9 matchups and offering up expert picks and predictions on the top player prop bets.

NFL fans were treated with an odd Thursday Night Football showdown, and they’ll be looking forward to a quality slate of games Sunday. Below, we look at the NFL Week 9 player prop bets odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

From divisional matchups like the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns to the Green Bay Packers facing the Kansas City Chiefs and many more, fans will get a treat as many high-profile matchups will be underway in Week 9.

The Sunday Night Football primetime game will be the RB Derrick Henry-less Tennessee Titans against QB Matthew Stafford’s Los Angeles Rams. Monday Night Football will feature the QB Justin Fields-led Chicago Bears and Pittsburgh Steelers.

Let’s dive into which prop bets look best for Week 9.

Week 9 prop bets picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:35 a.m. ET.

Giants RB Devontae Booker OVER 54.5 rushing yards (-114)

The New York Giants are again going into a week without their star RB Saquon Barkley.

While Barkley is a superstar, New York has been at least competent with him sidelined. Booker has stepped up as the lead back, and he’s had over 12 rushes in each of the team’s last four games, going for over 50 yards twice.

It’s a combination of his use and the Las Vegas Raiders’ atrocious run defense that makes me like this prop.

Vegas is giving up 131 rushing yards per game, which blossoms to 150 on the road. With the volume Booker has been getting, he should be able to manage 55 yards.

Vikings RB Dalvin Cook UNDER 75.5 rushing yards (-114)

The Minnesota Vikings have not looked good lately. After losing to the Dallas Cowboys in last week’s Sunday night game, QB Kirk Cousins will get a chance at redemption. He historically is much better at the 1 p.m. ET window then in primetime.

That should help the pass game and continue allowing the Vikings to forget they have one of the best backs in the league.

Cook has played in five games, missing 75 yards twice. He barely edged it with 78 last week. With the Vikings also loving backup RB Alexander Mattison, I expect him to cut into Cook’s workload.

Also, they’ll be taking on the Baltimore Ravens, who rank top five in opponents’ rushing yards per game, allowing under 90. Given their strength in the run game, they should be able to limit Cook.

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Patriots QB Mac Jones UNDER 231.5 passing yards (-114)

This is a CB Stephon Gilmore revenge game. He’ll be active and part of a dominant Carolina Panthers’ secondary.

The Panthers rank in the top 10 in opponents’ completion percentage and also second in opponents’ passing yards per game. With QB Mac Jones being a rookie and still figuring out the speed of the NFL, he could struggle against the Panthers’ elite secondary.

Jones has been solid this season but finished with less than 232 passing yards in four games. He’s missed the mark more so recently as well, failing to hit over 231.5 yards in three of his last four.

Considering his recent play and the Panthers’ secondary strength, I’d back Jones to struggle instead of thrive Sunday.

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: Week 9 player prop picks and predictions

Analyzing the top NFL player prop bets odds and lines of Week 9, with picks and predictions for the most intriguing individual player performances.

When cherry picking prop bets to make, the best idea is to spread the wealth around. For this week’s picks, we’ve selected two quarterbacks, two tight ends and a backup running back to bring home the money. Below, we look at 5 NFL player prop bets for Week 9, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Week 9 prop bet picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen OVER 2.5 touchdown passes (+140)

If you take Allen out of the equation, the Bills run game is pedestrian at best. For Buffalo to be successful, they need to throw early and often. Since Week 3, the Bills have had only rushing touchdown from Zack Moss and Devin Singletary.

The only concern here is that Allen will run in one or two. Against the hapless Jaguars, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the Bills offense put up 38 points. With his receiving weapons, although the number dares you to take it, Allen could have four passing TDs in this game, which doesn’t make three seem as daunting.

Las Vegas Raiders TE Darren Waller OVER 5.5 receptions (+100)

Typically, when a team comes off a bye week, it has been a time for reflection and reassessment of what works and what doesn’t. When the Raiders offense is hitting on a cylinders, it typically includes a heavy dose of Waller.

With Henry Ruggs no longer on the team, everyone in the receivers room is going to have to step up, and the most likely candidate is Waller. Even two or three more targets will be critical to exceeding this number, and while getting even money suggests he won’t, this could be a breakout game against a Giants defense that struggles with athletic tight ends.

Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins UNDER 274.5 passing yards (-114)

The Vikings blew a golden opportunity to beat Dallas without Dak Prescott, but the Cowboys did what every team that beats Minnesota does – pressure Cousins. Few teams blitz as often as the Ravens, and they know this weakness.

In a game where both teams are going to try to establish the run, the only way Cousins hits this number is if his team is behind by 17 points in the second half. Throw in that starting center Garrett Bradbury is sidelined in the COVID protocol, and this has the makings of Cousins having to get rid of the ball quickly and not having a clean pocket, which are typically the recipe for disaster with him.

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Kansas City TE Travis Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (-114)

Kelce has had 65 or fewer receiving yards in four of the last five games, which is why his number has come down to this level. Historically, when he is in a funk like this, the Chiefs playcallers do something about it.

The key to this bet is that Kelce is still be targeted more than 10 times a game and is capable of making the downfield plays that eat up yardage quickly. To hit this number, he may only need five catches because there will be a 20-to-25-yard catch (or a couple) in the mix that will help get to this point. I think 100 is possible in this one.

Dallas Cowboys RB Tony Pollard OVER 40.5 rushing yards (-114)

This one is simply done by the numbers. Ezekiel Elliott is the man in the Cowboys run offense, but Pollard is getting a lot of touches along the way. In his last five games with Dak Prescott as his quarterback, Pollard has never had less than 10 carries and has averaged 12 in that span.

With the team looking to protect Prescott, a steady diet of the run game will feature both Elliott and Pollard, who has often looked like the more explosive of the two backs. Pollard is averaging 5.8 yards per carry, and if he gets 10, he should blow past this number.

Also see: All Week 9 odds and lines

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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