NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Tennessee Titans prop predictions for Week 14

Highlighting five player prop bet predictions for the Tennessee Titans in their Week 14 game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Tennessee Titans (8-4) take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-11) Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Here are five prop bet predictions for the Titans to make at BetMGM.

Also see: Titans at Jaguars odds, picks and prediction

Tennessee Titans Week 14 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

RB Derrick Henry OVER 106.5 rushing yards (-125)

We are in the middle of December and that means we are in Henry season. Against one of the league’s worst defenses, everything is setting up for Henry to have another monster game. In his last five games against the Jaguars, he has rushed for 582 yards and has scored 7 touchdowns. With the Titans needing a victory, look for them to turn to Henry to win this game.

Henry OVER 22.5 rushing attempts (-135)

Did we mention this game sets up for a big performance from Henry? It’s very likely the Titans lean on Henry in this game and he has now totaled 271 carries in 12 games this season. You might have to sweat out this bet some, but Henry should get 25-26 carries in this game.

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Special Tennessee Betting Promotion: Bet $1 on the Tennessee Titans money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) in your account if Titans RB Derrick Henry rushes for at least 10 yards during this week’s matchup. Bet now!

WR Corey Davis UNDER 65.5 receiving yards (-112)

The 2020 season has been the breakout year for Davis. He’s on pace to clear 1,000 yards for the first time in his career and has gone over 65.5 receiving yards in four straight games.

Don’t look for him to do it for a fifth time as the Titans won’t have to throw the ball as much this week compared to previous weeks when they were playing in shootouts. Take the Under on receiving yards for Davis.

PK Stephen Gostkowski OVER 2.5 extra points made (-150)

Feeling wild? Consider betting Gostkowski to make at least 3 extra points in this contest. The Titans should have no problem scoring a bunch of touchdowns.

Henry to score 3 or more touchdowns (+450)

What’s crazy about this bet is that the odds aren’t higher. Henry has become so dominant that a 3-touchdown game hardly moves the needle. Against the Jags, look for Henry to have a monster game as the Titans should put up a ton of points.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Tennessee Titans prop predictions for Week 13

Highlighting five prop bet predictions for the Tennessee Titans in their Week 13 matchup against the Cleveland Browns.

The Tennessee Titans (8-3) will host the Cleveland Browns (8-3) in an important AFC matchup. Given where these two teams sit in the standings, don’t be surprised if we see this matchup in the playoffs very soon. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Here are five prop bet predictions for the Titans to make at BetMGM.

Also see: Browns at Titans odds, picks and prediction

Tennessee Titans Week 13 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Titans UNDER 28.5 points (-112)

Tennessee’s offense has played extremely well over the last few weeks, scoring 75 combined points in their last two games. The Titans are averaging nearly 30 points per game for the season but with both teams utilizing the run game so heavily, look for the pace of this game to be slow and for the Titans to ultimately come Under 28.5 points in Week 13.

RB Derrick Henry UNDER 111.5 total yards (-110)

Each week, the Over/Under on total yards for Henry continues to rise. As we get closer to the end of the season, the former Alabama star gets stronger and stronger; however, his total for yards this week seems a bit high at 111.5. Expect him to have a strong game, but for the Browns to slow him down enough that he doesn’t reach that total. Instead, consider taking the Over on passing yards for QB Ryan Tannehill against a weak Browns’ secondary.

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Bet $1 on the Tennessee Titans money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) in your account if Titans RB Derrick Henry rushes for at least 10 yards during this week’s matchup. Place your legal, online sports bets in Tennessee at BetMGM. New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

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WR A.J. Brown OVER 68.5 yards (-106)

The Browns will be without Pro Bowl CB Denzel Ward in this game and that means Cleveland has nobody on the roster to even try to slow down Brown. The second-year pro has been on a hot streak over the last six weeks of the season, totaling 459 yards and 6 touchdowns. This should be another big game for him, as he should have a big mismatch over any Browns’ defender.

QB Ryan Tannehill longest passing completion OVER 37.5 yards (-110)

Brown and WR Corey Davis have proven they are difficult to stop after the catch. Look for one of the two players to have a long catch-and-run Sunday, ultimately helping the Over to hit here for Tannehill.

Titans to win by 7-12 points (+360)

The Titans are just the better team here as they have more talent on both sides of the ball. Tannehill is playing better than Browns QB Baker Mayfield and the defense has enough playmakers to hold the Browns to 20-24 points. Look for the Titans to win this game by a touchdown or more. At +360, these odds are too good to pass up.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles predictions for MNF

Highlighting five Monday Night Football prop bet predictions with the Seattle Seahawks taking on the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Seattle Seahawks (7-3) visit the Philadelphia Eagles (3-6-1) for Monday Night Football in Week 12. Seattle enters the day atop the NFC West, while Philadelphia slipped to third in the NFC East with the Washington Football Team and New York Giants moving to 4-7 with wins this week. Below, we give you five prop bet predictions to consider for the Seahawks-Eagles MNF matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

Also see: Seahawks at Eagles odds, picks and prediction

Seahawks at Eagles: Prop bets to make for Monday Night Football

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Seahawks RB Carlos Hyde UNDER 37.5 rushing and receiving yards (-106)

Hyde is coming off a season-high 79 rushing yards, 16 receiving yards and a touchdown against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 11. Still, he’s about to be relegated back to the No. 2 role with RB Chris Carson returning to the lineup from a foot injury.

Hyde totaled 83 yards from scrimmage from Weeks 1-3 with both running backs playing full games. He didn’t have more than 37 total yards in any one of those games. Carson will play the lion’s share of offensive snaps, including nearly all passing-down work.

Eagles RB Miles Sanders OVER 14.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Sanders has topped 14 carries in each of his two games since returning from injury, and he’s averaging 5.7 yards per attempt on the season. Philadelphia’s pass-play percentage of 63.48% ranks fifth in the league, but at 3-6-1, it’s clearly not working. The Eagles rank 28th in the league with 5.0 yards per play.

With the division title in danger of slipping away, look for Eagles head coach Doug Pederson to finally commit to Sanders as the team’s most effective offensive player.

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Seahawks QB Russell Wilson UNDER 24.5 completions (-118)

Wilson has been held below 24.5 completions just five times this season but in each of his last two games. The return of Carson should also put more of a focus on the rushing attack with Seattle ranking 10th with a pass-play percentage of 61.62%. The Seahawks are just one of three teams with a winning record in the top 10.

Eagles QB Carson Wentz UNDER 237.5 passing yards (-112)

This prop pairs with our Over on Sanders’ rushing attempts. It also factors in rookie QB Jalen Hurts reportedly being in line for more playing time this week.

Wentz has been held below this number in four of his last five games, and he should still fall shy with a more pass-heavy game script due to the factors noted above.

Seahawks TE Will Dissly to score a touchdown (+550)

Dissly has just three red-zone targets and a lone touchdown catch this season. The third-year pro had 4 TDs in just six games before losing his season to injury last year and is in line to be the new TE1 in Seattle with Greg Olsen lost for the year.

Olsen ranked third among Seahawks pass-catchers with 11 red-zone targets but had just a single TD.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Tennessee Titans prop predictions for Week 12

Highlighting five prop bet predictions for the Tennessee Titans in their Week 12 matchup against the Indianapolis Colts.

The Tennessee Titans (7-3) are visiting Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (7-3) in a huge divisional matchup. The winner of this game will lead the AFC South heading into Week 13 and will be in the driver’s seat to host a playoff game come January. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Here are five prop bet predictions for the Titans to make at BetMGM.

Also see: Titans at Colts odds, picks and prediction

Tennessee Titans Week 12 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

RB Derrick Henry OVER 82.5 rushing yards (-112)

Henry didn’t have a ton of success the last time he faced the Colts defense but with DT DeForest Buckner out of the lineup this time around, he should be in for a huge game. Henry usually starts to heat up around this time of the year and should be able to clear 82.5 rushing yards in Week 12.

RB Derrick Henry OVER 20.5 rushing attempts (-125)

If you are nervous about the rushing total for Henry, another way to bet on him this week is to take the Over on rushing attempts at 20.5. Henry has averaged nearly 23 attempts per game this season and has hit 21 or more carries in six of the team’s seven wins.

The Titans are going to feed their superstar running back the rock and it wouldn’t be a surprise if he wound up with close to 30 carries.

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QB Ryan Tannehill OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-115)

Typically, the Titans love to use Henry in the red zone to score, but they may ask more of Tannehill today in this divisional game. Tannehill is one of the best red-zone quarterbacks in the NFL due to his accuracy and ability to protect the football. Look for him to find WR A.J. Brown or TE Jonnu Smith a few times in the end zone.

OVER 2.5 touchdowns scored by Titans in Week 12 (-121)

Believe it or not, the Titans have a top-10 scoring offense this season. They are averaging 27.9 points per game and nearly 6 yards per play. They should have no problem scoring 3 or more touchdowns in this game, especially considering how banged-up the Colts defense is heading into this game.

Titans to win by 1-6 points (+340)

Divisional games tend to be close contests. With the Titans running the ball as well as they have, they should be able to have a ton of success on offense in this game.

If you think the Titans are going to be able to pull off the upset as 2.5-point underdogs, take them to win by 1-6 points at +340. Whether it be by a late-field goal or an overtime touchdown, look for them to find a way to win this game by a single score.

Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 New York Giants prop bet predictions for Week 10

Highlighting five New York Giants prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 10 matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles.

The New York Giants (2-7) host the Philadelphia Eagles (3-4-1) in an NFC East matchup at 1 p.m. E.T. Below, we give you five prop bet predictions to consider for the Giants in their Week 10 matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

New York Giants Week 10 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

UNDER 22.5 points for the Giants (-162)

If you are searching for a fairly safe bet in Week 10, consider betting on the Giants to score fewer than 22.5 points against the Eagles. This is an offense ranked 31st in scoring with an average of fewer than 19 points per game. They’ve scored over 22.5 points just three times this season and have eclipsed 24 points only once. Look for the Eagles to keep them in check on offense and hold them to Under 23 points.

Giants QB Daniel Jones OVER 24.5 rushing yards (-110)

If the Giants want to have any chance on offense in this game, they are going to need Jones to make some plays with his legs. The Giants are without their top-two running backs and Jones has the athleticism and speed to be a weapon in the run game. Look for him to have a few long runs in this game and hit the Over on rushing yards.

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Giants WR Darius Slayton OVER 37.5 receiving yards (-115)

Slayton is the best weapon in the Giants’ passing offense. He can stretch the field and with fellow WR Golden Tate questionable to play in this game, we could see Slayton’s usage increase. Given that he is such an explosive playmaker, all he needs is a single reception to go Over 37.5 yards. Given his upside, take the Over and expect him to see near double-digit targets.

Giants WR Darius Slayton OVER 19.5 yards on longest reception (+100)

If you are going to bet the Over on receiving yards for Slayton, you might want to consider betting his longest reception goes Over 19.5 yards. Jones loves to target him down the field, especially on play-action passes. Expect Slayton to see several targets with 20 or more air yards.

Giants QB Daniel Jones first New York TD scorer (+900)

If you are searching for a long-shot bet, consider taking Jones to be the Giants’ first touchdown scorer. We know the Giants aren’t afraid to use their quarterback in the run game and given his size and speed, he’s become a weapon in the red zone. At 9-1 odds, Jones is a good bet to be the first Giants player in the end zone Sunday afternoon.

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Denver Broncos prop bet predictions for Week 10

Highlighting five Denver Broncos prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 10 matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders renew their AFC West rivalry Sunday afternoon with their first-ever clash in Sin City. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium. Below, we highlight five prop bet predictions for the Broncos in Week 10.

Denver Broncos Week 10 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Broncos OVER 20.5 points (-162)

We start with one of the best values on this game’s board as Denver’s implied team total in the contest is 23.5 points.

Overall, the Broncos rank only 27th in the league in scoring but are still averaging 21.8 points per contest, and have put up 31 and 27 points in the last two weeks.

The Raiders defense, meanwhile, ranks 24th with an average of 28.6 points allowed per contest, and they’ve permitted at least 24 in seven of eight games this season. The only exception was the six points they allowed in the nasty weather conditions in Cleveland in Week 8.

No such worries inside here in Vegas, so go big on the Over, and consider getting down on the Broncos Over 23.5 points at a more favorable -106 as well.

Phillip Lindsay OVER 37.5 rushing yards (-118)

The explosive, hard-running Lindsay has played only four full games this season and rushed for at least 79 in three of them, with the only exception being the 23 yards on eight carries a week ago in Atlanta.

Lindsay also ranks sixth among qualified running backs with an average of 5.85 yards per carry, and he’s averaging 10.6 rushes per outing.

Las Vegas’ mediocre run defense, allowing 118.5 yards per game (16th) and 4.5 yards per carry (20th), is far from formidable, and in four career contests against the Raiders, Lindsay has posted rushing totals of 107, 46, 43 and 53 yards, averaging 4.7 per attempt.

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Jerry Jeudy OVER 58.5 receiving yards (-110)

The rookie first-rounder has finished with 55 or more receiving yards in six of eight games this season.

In his last two outings, he has hit career highs with 73 and 125 yards, catching 11 of 24 targets as he’s led all league wideouts in air yards during that span.

For the season, Jeudy leads the Broncos in targets with 61 — 15 more than anyone else — and is averaging 16.1 yards per reception, which ranks fifth among NFL wideouts with at least 30 catches.

Again, the Raiders defense doesn’t scare anyone in surrendering the 14th-most yards (170.3) on average to opposing wide receivers.

Ride the hot hands with Jeudy and take the over.

Broncos and Raiders OVER 3.5 made field goals combined (-112)

The Denver (54.5%) and Las Vegas (58.6%) offenses both rank in the bottom third in red-zone touchdown percentage, setting the table for an ample number of field-goal attempts.

And sure enough, PKs Brandon McManus and Daniel Carlson are averaging at least two made field goals per game to rank among the league’s top 10, and both are connecting at a 90% clip.

Best long shot: Noah Fant to score Broncos’ first TD (+650)

Fant is second on the team in targets (46) and tops in receptions (32). He also is getting healthier, and his status as the Broncos’ best tight end receiving threat has been solidified with last Sunday’s season-ending knee injury suffered by rookie Albert Okwuegbunam.

Fant caught a TD pass in each of his first two games but hasn’t scored in five contests since, meaning he’s certainly due as a reasonable long-shot play here.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Week 10 player props

Assessing the Week 10 NFL matchups and highlighting the best player prop bets to make based on the odds at BetMGM.

In the strangest season in memory, we add to the mix a conflict with golf. The Masters will be finishing up Sunday, creating the anomaly of just five NFL games in the 1 p.m. ET window (all on FOX) and six games game in the later-afternoon slate. Welcome to COVID-19 … again. Here are five Week 10 player prop bets we see as good chances to take you to the pay window

NFL Week 10 prop bet payday

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2 p.m. ET.

The Other Aaron

QB Aaron Rodgers gets the headlines for the Green Bay Packers, but RB Aaron Jones does the dirty work. His Over/Under for rushing yards against the Jacksonville Jaguars is 68.5 yards (Over: -115, Under: -106). The Packers should open this one up relatively early and will be running the ball a lot after they get up by double digits. TAKE THE OVER.

Also see: Jaguars at Packers odds, picks and prediction

Living Here in Allentown

After shredding the Seattle Seahawks last week, the Buffalo Bills head to Arizona with big expectations for QB Josh Allen. His Over/Under for passing yards is 302.5 (O: -106, U: -115). That’s a big number and Arizona’s secondary is significantly better than Seattle’s and won’t allow the same amount of big plays. TAKE THE UNDER.

Also see: Bills at Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

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Let Russ Cook

The Seahawks are stinging off a loss to Buffalo and QB Russell Wilson typically doesn’t let losing streaks last very long. The most interesting prop number to come out of this week is a relatively low rushing number of 18.5 yards for Wilson (O: -118, U: -110). The combination of RBs Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde being questionable and the strong interior of the Rams defensive front that could have Wilson on the move should have him scrambling more than usual. In his last three games against the Rams, Wilson has rushed for a total of 152 yards. Expect more of the same. TAKE THE OVER.

Also see: Seahawks at Rams odds, picks and prediction

Doubting Thomas

In his long-awaited return last week, New Orleans Saints WR Michael Thomas was largely held in check as the Saints spread the ball around. This time around against a banged-up San Francisco 49ers defense should be a different story. Thomas is the most prolific receiver in the game and should be in line for 7 or more receptions this week. With an Over/Under of 71.5 receiving yards (O: -112, U: -110), he only needs one downfield reception to top that number. TAKE THE OVER.

Also see: 49ers at Saints odds, picks and prediction

The Jackson 53.5

The New England Patriots are a far cry from what they have been in the past, but head coach Bill Belichick’s philosophy on defense remains the same – stop the one thing an opposing offense does best. In the case of the Baltimore Ravens, that is QB Lamar Jackson running the ball. His Over/Under for rushing yards is a manageable 53.5 yards (O: -115, U: -106). The Patriots will put a spy on Jackson, contain the edge and force him to beat them with his arm. Jackson will likely do that, but won’t have many running lanes to help his cause. TAKE THE UNDER.

Also see: Ravens at Patriots odds, picks and prediction

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 New York Giants prop bet predictions for Week 9

Highlighting five New York Giants prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 9 matchup against the Washington Football Team.

The New York Giants (1-7) will take on the Washington Football Team (2-5) in an NFC East matchup at 1 p.m. E.T. Below, we give you five prop bet predictions to consider for the Giants in their Week 9 matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

New York Giants Week 9 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8 a.m. ET.

UNDER 20.5 first half points (+100)

Neither New York nor Washington has a strong offense and both teams want to utilize the run game to control the clock. While there are likely to be a touchdown or two scored in the first half, look for both teams to be in the single-digits at halftime. UNDER 20.5 points at +100 is a great bet to take in this battle of two bad NFC East teams.

UNDER 0.5 first quarter points for Giants (+155)

New York is coming off a Monday night loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and its offense might take a few drives to get going At +155 for a scoreless first quarter, this is too good of value to pass up.

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Giants QB Daniel Jones OVER 20.5 rushing yards (-129)

With Washington having one of the league’s best pass rushes, Jones will likely be running for his life. Jones is a talented runner and isn’t afraid to tuck the ball and run if he is pressured. Look for Jones to have several designed runs in this contest and exceed 20.5 rushing yards.

Giants WR Darius Slayton OVER 47.5 receiving yards (-115)

If you watched the Monday Night Football game against Tampa Bay, you know Slayton could have easily had over 150 yards in that game if it weren’t for a few overthrows by Jones. With fellow wide receiver Golden Tate out of the lineup this week, look for Slayton to see a ton of targets in this game and easily eclipse 47.5 receiving yards. Given Slayton’s explosiveness, he only needs a catch or two to reach this yardage total.

Slayton to score and New York to win (+300)

If you believe the Giants could sweep Washington this season, consider betting on Slayton to score and the Giants to win. Both of these teams aren’t very good, so you are betting purely on value here. As for Slayton reaching the end zone, he is clearly the team’s best offensive weapon and should see a ton of work in this contest.

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NFL Prop Bet Payday: Bank on these 4 Denver Broncos prop bet predictions

Highlighting four Denver Broncos prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 8 game against the Los Angeles Chargers.

The Denver Broncos (2-4) host the AFC West rival Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) for a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we give you four prop bet predictions to consider for the Chargers-Broncos Week 8 matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

4 Broncos prop bets to make for Chargers-Broncos

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

Melvin Gordon OVER 11.5 fantasy points (-115)

If you follow either one of these teams, then you know this is being billed as the Melvin Gordon Revenge Game. Gordon was drafted 15th overall in the 2015 NFL Draft by the Chargers and played the first five years of his career with them before a somewhat-ugly divorce that affected the Chargers’ 2019 season.

He has moved on to Denver and Gordon has played 60-plus percent of the offensive snap in each of his five games for the Broncos. Gordon has scored five total touchdowns, has cleared 11.5 fantasy points in three games and would’ve exceeded that number last game if he didn’t lose two fumbles. Denver’s other running back, Phillip Lindsay, is going to play despite sustaining a concussion in Week 8 but it should diminish his workload. The production, motivation and opportunity will all be there for Gordon.

Noah Fant OVER 40.5 receiving yards (-112)

The Chargers have an awesome trio of cornerbacks but their linebackers are weak in coverage and the loss of S Derwin James definitely hurt the secondary. Broncos QB Drew Lock would be wise to pick on the linebackers or safeties instead of the cornerbacks and use either TE Noah Fant or one of the running backs as safety blankets.

Fant has been getting targets all season—averaging a healthy 17.0% of his team’s targets—and he had 46 or more receiving yards in each of his first three games played. Expect Lock to throw more in Fant’s direction, especially when he has one-on-one matchups with linebackers.

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Drew Lock UNDER 32.5 pass attempts (-121)

Los Angeles’ opponents are throwing the ball against them at the sixth-highest rate in the NFL but that’s due in part to the Chargers leading early in recent games. All of their opponents have needed to play catch up and air the ball out more.

My handicap for the Chargers-Broncos has Denver winning this game and I don’t think the Broncos are the type of team that can throw their way back into a game. Positive game script for Denver would be more run-oriented and mixing in play-action passes. Lock attempted only 28 passes in a low scoring Chargers-Broncos game at Mile High last season and I feel this one will play out similarly.

Justin Herbert OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110)

It’s not a Broncos prop play but it’s kind of a Broncos prop play, right? If there was a market for it, I’d pick CB Bryce Callahan to drop into a zone and pick off an over-the-middle pass to WR Keenan Allen for like +1700 odds.

But I get the whole Broncos team essentially, at plus-money, for Herbert’s OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110). Herbert is 28th in interceptable passes, according to PlayerProfile.com, and he has the eighth-highest percentage of bad throws. Also, Herbert is a rookie who has played amazing lately but is due for some regression.

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