The Denver Broncos (2-4) host the AFC West rival Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) for a 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we give you four prop bet predictions to consider for the Chargers-Broncos Week 8 matchup from the BetMGM game menu.
4 Broncos prop bets to make for Chargers-Broncos
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.
Melvin Gordon OVER 11.5 fantasy points (-115)
If you follow either one of these teams, then you know this is being billed as the Melvin Gordon Revenge Game. Gordon was drafted 15th overall in the 2015 NFL Draft by the Chargers and played the first five years of his career with them before a somewhat-ugly divorce that affected the Chargers’ 2019 season.
He has moved on to Denver and Gordon has played 60-plus percent of the offensive snap in each of his five games for the Broncos. Gordon has scored five total touchdowns, has cleared 11.5 fantasy points in three games and would’ve exceeded that number last game if he didn’t lose two fumbles. Denver’s other running back, Phillip Lindsay, is going to play despite sustaining a concussion in Week 8 but it should diminish his workload. The production, motivation and opportunity will all be there for Gordon.
Noah Fant OVER 40.5 receiving yards (-112)
The Chargers have an awesome trio of cornerbacks but their linebackers are weak in coverage and the loss of S Derwin James definitely hurt the secondary. Broncos QB Drew Lock would be wise to pick on the linebackers or safeties instead of the cornerbacks and use either TE Noah Fant or one of the running backs as safety blankets.
Fant has been getting targets all season—averaging a healthy 17.0% of his team’s targets—and he had 46 or more receiving yards in each of his first three games played. Expect Lock to throw more in Fant’s direction, especially when he has one-on-one matchups with linebackers.
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Drew Lock UNDER 32.5 pass attempts (-121)
Los Angeles’ opponents are throwing the ball against them at the sixth-highest rate in the NFL but that’s due in part to the Chargers leading early in recent games. All of their opponents have needed to play catch up and air the ball out more.
My handicap for the Chargers-Broncos has Denver winning this game and I don’t think the Broncos are the type of team that can throw their way back into a game. Positive game script for Denver would be more run-oriented and mixing in play-action passes. Lock attempted only 28 passes in a low scoring Chargers-Broncos game at Mile High last season and I feel this one will play out similarly.
Justin Herbert OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110)
It’s not a Broncos prop play but it’s kind of a Broncos prop play, right? If there was a market for it, I’d pick CB Bryce Callahan to drop into a zone and pick off an over-the-middle pass to WR Keenan Allen for like +1700 odds.
But I get the whole Broncos team essentially, at plus-money, for Herbert’s OVER 0.5 interceptions (+110). Herbert is 28th in interceptable passes, according to PlayerProfile.com, and he has the eighth-highest percentage of bad throws. Also, Herbert is a rookie who has played amazing lately but is due for some regression.
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Also see:
- Chargers vs. Broncos prediction
- WATCH: Broncos vs. Chargers preview for NFL Week 8 (Broncos Wire)
- How Chargers offensive line might shake up vs. Broncos (Chargers Wire)
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