The 5 best NFL prop bets: Week 13

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

Maybe it’s the tryptophan still talking, but the numbers this weekend look leaning to take the Over on four of them for good reason. And, in the other bet, we have a dynamic player who needs signature moments looking to make one with a touchdown.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for NFL Week 13

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 13.

For this week’s tryptophan-recovery picks after the turkey hangover wears off, we’re offering some tasty leftovers. We have a home underdog with an unusual advantage winning on the moneyline, a low Over/Under going Under, the highest O/U going Over, a road favorite taking care of business, and a frosty, primetime home favorite doing the same.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Betting the NFL Line: Week 13

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 13 action.

The NFL continues its plan to co-opt all major holidays – official and made up – including three games on Thanksgiving Day, a Black Friday matchup, a full state of games on Sunday, and a primetime Cyber Monday game.

If you eat during NFL games, Thanksgiving leftovers will be exhausted quicker than usual. Happy Thanksgiving from all of us to all of you.


Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


Chicago Bears (+375) at Detroit Lions (-500)

The Lions are big favorites (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). It doesn’t matter who the Lions have played recently, they win big. Six of their last eight wins have been by 10 or more points, and the Bears should change that. Take the Lions and lay 9.5 points (-110).


New York Giants (+150) at Dallas Cowboys (-185)

The Cowboys are solid home favorites (3.5 points at -115 Giants, -105 Cowboys). The Giants are showing indications of going into tank mode, while the Cowboys still have a pulse as the last NFC Wild Card contender. Take the Cowboys and lay 3.5 points (-105).


Miami Dolphins (+150) at Green Bay Packers (-185)

The Packers are modest home favorites (3.5 points at -115 Dolphins, -105 Packers). Miami has a history of playing poorly in cold weather (25°F at kickoff), and the Packers have covered this number in three of their four home wins. The trend continues. Take the Packers and lay 3.5 points (-105).


Las Vegas Raiders (+525) at Kansas City Chiefs (-750)

The Over/Under is low (42.5 points at -110 for both Over and Under). The Chiefs are 13-point favorites – a number you don’t like betting on. The Raiders have struggled to score points, and the Chiefs struggle to cover big spreads, because they don’t blow teams out. Take Under 42.5 points (-110).


Los Angeles Chargers (-130) at Atlanta Falcons (+110)

The Falcons are 2-point home underdogs, but they’re coming off their bye week as the Chargers are coming off a short week of practice after playing Monday night. In a competitive league, that additional healing time is critical. Take the Falcons on the moneyline (-110).


Pittsburgh Steelers (+130) at Cincinnati Bengals (-155)

The Bengals are standard home favorites (3 points at -115 Steelers, -105 Bengals). Pittsburgh plays tight, low-scoring games. Despite the Bengals coming off their bye week, this should be a one-score game, so getting three points is a lot. Take the Steelers plus three points (-115).


Arizona Cardinals (+155) at Minnesota Vikings (-190)

The Over/Under is middle of the road (45 points at -110 for both). The Vikings have scored 20 or more points in all but one game, and the Cardinals have scored 28 or more points in three of their last four games. Both teams have the aerial firepower to top this number. Take Over 45 points (-110).


Indianapolis Colts (-150) at New England Patriots (+125)

The Colts are small road favorites (2.5 points at -120 Colts, +100 Patriots). The Colts have underachieved, but their losses have come against teams better them. New England doesn’t qualify by that standard. Take the Colts and lay 2.5 points (-120).


Seattle Seahawks (-130) at New York Jets (-110)

The Seahawks are road favorites (2 points at -110 for both). The Jets have been a dumpster fire but have the personnel to be good, especially at home with a team traveling across the country to play them. Take the Jets plus 2 points (-110).


Tennessee Titans (+220) at Washington Commanders (-275)

The Commanders are big favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). Seven of the Titans eight losses have been by seven points or more and look to be the perfect recipe for Washington to end its three-game losing streak. Take the Commanders and lay 6 points (-110).


Houston Texans (-225) at Jacksonville Jaguars (+180)

The Texans are road favorites (4.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Jaguars are coming off their bye and getting players healed up. The Texans won by four points when they met in Houston. The Texans should win, but don’t deserve to be laying that many points on the road. Take the Jaguars plus 4.5 points (-110).


Los Angeles Rams (-150) at New Orleans Saints (+125)

The Rams are small road favorites (2.5 points at -115 Rams, -105 Saints). The Saints have won two straight and are at home, but the Rams are known to make a push late in the season. This a game they need to control and have the ability to do so. Take the Rams and lay 2.5 points (-115).


Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-275) at Carolina Panthers (+125)

The Buccaneers are strong road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). Seven of Carolina’s eight losses have been by 10 or more points. The Panthers have shown improvement, but the Buccaneers have won the last three meetings and stymied the Panthers offense. Take the Buccaneers and lay 6 points (-110).


Philadelphia Eagles (+130) at Baltimore Ravens (-155)

This is the highest O/U of the week (51.5 points at -110 for both). These are two legitimate Super Bowl contenders because of their prolific offensive capabilities. Both teams are capable of putting up 30 points. Take Over 51.5 points (-110).


San Francisco 49ers (+260) at Buffalo Bills (-350)

The Bills are huge favorites (7 points at -115 49ers, -105 Bills). This line is based on uncertainty as to whether Brock Purdy, Trent Williams or Nick Bosa will play. If they do, this line will revert downward. Get in now. Take the 49ers plus 7 points (-115).


Cleveland Browns (+200) at Denver Broncos (-250)

The Broncos are strong favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Browns just don’t score points – hoisting 18 or fewer points in nine of 11 games. Denver has one of the best defenses in the league, so it won’t take a lot for Bo Nix and the offense to do enough to beat this number. Take the Broncos and lay 5.5 points (-110).


2024 NFL office pool pick’em: Week 13

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

2024 Week 13 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2024 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2024 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 163-106 162-107 173-96 169-100 162-107 171-98 169-100
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,812-1,050-11 1,733-1,129-11 1,787-1,075-11 1,706-901-10 1,291-802-9 870-462-5 347-204-2
Accuracy 63.3% 60.5% 62.4% 65.4% 61.3% 65.3% 62.9%

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2023 135-129-5 128-129-11 133-129-7 132-130-7 136-125-8 142-120-7 136-125-7
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,384-1,472-17 1,413-1,438-21 1,441-1,414-18 1,331-1,276-10 1,092-1,001-12 704-617-16 263-277-11
Accuracy 48.8% 49.6% 50.8% 51.1% 52.2% 53.3% 48.7%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 13

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 13 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 13.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 13

OFF = No odds currently listed.


Vegas odds chart for daily fantasy football play: Week 13

A snapshot look at the NFL betting lines and odds for Week 13 sports betting and DFS action.

A good way to start your weekly homework for DFS (daily fantasy sports) play is to analyze the early Vegas odds around Week 13.

These guys have a long history of making money off of setting the right game spread and points scored. So it can be an early indicator of teams to target due to high-scoring potential, and teams to avoid for the opposite reason.

Note: Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Odds: Week 13

OFF = No odds currently listed.


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The 5 best NFL Week 13 prop bets

The five best NFL player prop bets to make for the upcoming week.

Six teams are out on bye, but there are still 13 games to make prop bets from. This week, the picks are all road warriors – five guys going into hostile environments. That doesn’t always end well, so we’re mixing it up with two picks to go Over, two picks to go Under, and a future Hall of Famer scoring a touchdown.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

The 5 best bets for NFL Week 13

The five smartest wagers to take to the pay window for Week 13.

With the final major bye week of the season (six teams) upon us, the Week 13 picks cover a lot of ground. We take Under on the lowest point on the board, Over in primetime, a division rival winning on the moneyline at home, and two AFC West teams beating up on storied franchises on the road.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

NFL Picks: Office pool pick’em – Week 13

Use our staff’s weekly pick’em against the spread and straight up for the win.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools.

Each week’s spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

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2023 Week 13 picks: moneyline & against the spread

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook


2023 Season-long rankings: moneyline


2023 Season-long rankings: ATS


NFL all-time picks leaderboard: moneyline

Moneyline DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 184-98-2 172-110-2 172-110-2 181-101-2 174-108-2 190-92-2 178-104-2
2021 167-104-1 159-112-1 176-95-1 175-96-1 176-95-1 174-97-1 n/a
2020 161-94-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 174-81-1 166-89-1 172-83-1 n/a
2019 162-93-1 156-99-1 161-94-1 164-91-1 157-98-1 163-92-1 n/a
2018 167-87-2 158-96-2 153-101-2 165-89-2 157-97-2 n/a n/a
2017 168-88 161-95 165-91 180-76 160-96 n/a n/a
2016 157-97-2 149-105-2 152-102-2 156-98-2 139-115-2 n/a n/a
2015 154-102 137-119 155-101 165-91 n/a n/a n/a
2014 166-89-1 158-97-1 163-92-1 177-78-1 n/a n/a n/a
2013 163-92-1 160-95-1 153-102-1 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,649-944-11 1,571-1,022-11 1,614-979-11 1,537-801-10 1129-698-9 699-364-5 178-104-2
accuracy (63.3%) (60.3%) (61.9%) (65.5%) (61.5%) (65.4%) (62.7%)

NFL all-time picks leaderboard: ATS

ATS DMD SG HS CC CJB HCG KH
2022 136-142-6 132-148-4 143-136-5 132-150-2 145-136-3 142-134-8 127-152-4
2021 141-130-1 142-129-1 136-135-1 152-119-1 143-128-1 151-120-1 n/a
2020 118-138 122-134 129-127 130-126 143-113 130-126 n/a
2019 121-135 133-123 139-117 121-135 137-119 139-117 n/a
2018 132-124 131-125 133-123 132-124 130-126 n/a n/a
2017 129-127 136-120 132-124 136-120 131-125 n/a n/a
2016 110-146 125-131 124-132 132-124 127-129 n/a n/a
2015 125-131 121-135 123-133 141-115 n/a n/a n/a
2014 122-134 124-132 132-124 123-133 n/a n/a n/a
2013 115-136-5 119-132-5 117-134-5 n/a n/a n/a n/a
All-time 1,249-1,343-12 1,285-1,309-10 1,308-1,285-11 1,199-1,146-3 956-876-4 562-497-9 127-152-4
accuracy 48.0% 49.3% 50.2% 47.7% 52.1% 52.6% 44.9%

DMD – David Dorey, SG – Steve Gallo, HS – Harley Schultz, CC – Cletis Cutts, CJB – Cory Bonini, HCG – HC Green, KH – Kevin Hickey


Betting the NFL Line: Week 13

A league-wide view into the best wagers to make for NFL Week 13 action.

Sunday could be an epic day for home fans (and those who bet on home teams) being extremely upset with the results.

Of the 11 games played Sunday, seven road teams are outright favorites, and there is reason to think at least a couple of the home-favored teams are giving away too many points.

Is “Road Warrior Sunday” coming? We’ll see.

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook

Seattle Seahawks (+340) at Dallas Cowboys (-450)

The Seahawks have struggled to score points, posting 20 or fewer in five of their last seven games and 13 or fewer in three of those. The Over/Under is high (47.5 points at -110 for both the Over and Under). The Cowboys can put up a lot of points, but may need to score more than 30 to top this number. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).

Indianapolis Colts (-120) at Tennessee Titans (+100)

The Titans are home underdogs despite being 4-1 off Broadway with their only ding being a 24-16 loss to the Ravens. With Jonathan Taylor out, the Colts lose a key piece of their offense and will struggle to make up for it. Take the Titans on the moneyline (+100).

Los Angeles Chargers (-275) at New England Patriots (+220)

The Chargers are solid road favorites (6 points at -110 for both teams). Few teams have been bigger disappointments than the Chargers, but the Patriots appear to be tanking for their next quarterback. New England has scored 17 points or fewer in nine of its last 10 games and has just 13 points combined in their its two. Take the Chargers and lay 6 points (-110).

Detroit Lions (-200) at New Orleans Saints (+165)

The Lions are rested, angry from their Thanksgiving Day dud, and solid road favorites (4 points at -110 for both teams). The Saints haven’t beaten a team with a winning record this season and that continues. Take the Lions and lay 4 points (-110).

Atlanta Falcons (-150) at New York Jets (+125)

The Over/Under is incredibly low (34 points at -110 for both). The Jets have scored just 37 points in their last four games, and the Falcons will struggle to move the ball through the air. It’s about who makes the least mistakes. Even if successful running, the clock is against the Over from the time it starts winding. Take Under 34 points (-110).

Arizona Cardinals (+200) at Pittsburgh Steelers (-250)

The Steelers keep winning, but they’re winning ugly. All of their wins have been one-score, which makes them being big favorites worth considering (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). I’m no fan of the Cardinals, but a 12-point deficit turns to five points with a garbage time touchdown late. Take the Cardinals plus 5.5 points (-110).

Miami Dolphins (-450) at Washington Commanders (+350)

The Dolphins are deservedly huge favorites (9.5 points at -110 for both teams). Five of the Dolphins last six wins have been by 11 points or more, and the Commanders defense has given up 76 points in its last two games. That’s a good combination for Miami. Take the Dolphins and lay 9.5 points (-110).

Denver Broncos (+155) at Houston Texans (-190)

The Texans are a great story and the Broncos have won five straight. The Over/Under is high (47.5 points at -110 for both). Don’t trust Russell Wilson to put up big points without a slew or turnovers, and both defenses have the ability to take over stretches of the game. Take Under 47.5 points (-110).

Carolina Panthers (+200) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-250)

The Buccaneers have lost six of their last seven but remain heavy favorites (5.5 points at -110 for both teams). Seven of Carolina’s last eight losses have come by seven points or more, and the Buccaneers have more talent on both sides of the ball. Take the Buccaneers and lay 5.5 points (-110).

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Cleveland Browns (+150) at Los Angeles Rams (-185)

The Rams have struggled but are solid favorites (3.5 points at -110 for both teams). The Browns are the better team, but injuries have depleted their offense – scoring just 25 points in the last two games. I would avoid this game, but the Rams have enough offensive firepower to cover this spread if they don’t shoot themselves in the foot (again). Take the Rams and lay 3.5 points (-110).

San Francisco 49ers (-150) at Philadelphia Eagles (+125)

The Eagles are 10-1 and at home, yet are home underdogs (3 points at +100 49ers, -120 Eagles). Everybody else in the league has three or more losses. I believe the 49ers are the better team, but when you have a team that has only lost once all season at home, you take the points that are given to you. Take the Eagles plus 3 points (-120).

Kansas City Chiefs (-275) at Green Bay Packers (+220)

The Chiefs are strong road favorites at Lambeau Field (6 points at -110 for both teams). The Chiefs have been inconsistent, but it is December and Andy Reid teams win almost every December game, because they prepare for the late season like few teams and have the success rate to prove it. Take the Chiefs and lay 6 points (-110).

Cincinnati Bengals (+310) at Jacksonville Jaguars (-400)

The Jaguars are huge favorites, but the Over/Under remains low (38 points at -110 for both). Without Joe Burrow, the Bengals have struggled but still have enough weapons to make enough plays to get into scoring position. If the Jaguars score 27 points, the Bengals need to score only 12 to go over this number and they’re capable of it. Take Over 38 points (-110).