NFC South Odds – Syndication Server

The NFC South Division hosts the defending Super Bowl champion with several other hopefuls looking to make a move. Below, we analyze the odds to win the NFC South and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The NFC South is composed of the Atlanta Falcons, Carolina Panthers, New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The defending-champ Buccaneers are the heavy favorites to repeat as NFC South champs, and the books aren’t expecting QB Tom Brady and his teammates to have much difficulty in accomplishing the feat. They didn’t lose much from the championship roster, while other teams were in more transition.

The Falcons are a little worse after trading All-Pro WR Julio Jones to the Tennessee Titans, but the cupboard is certainly not bare with the likes of WR Calvin Ridley and rookie TE Kyle Pitts in tow.

The Saints said goodbye to long-time superstar QB Drew Brees – so it’s a transition season in the Big Easy. However, they still have RB Alvin Kamara, and that’s a tremendous option for whomever emerges as the starting quarterback between Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill.

Last, but not least, the Panthers added former No. 3 overall pick QB Sam Darnold. The 24-year-old still has plenty left in the tank and a solid cadre of receivers in Robby Anderson and DJ Moore – as well as RB Christian McCaffrey.

Odds to win NFC South

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, Aug. 25 at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Buccaneers: -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Saints: +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
Falcons: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
Panthers: +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)

The Buccaneers are the only team without plus-money odds.

The Falcons, Panthers and Saints each return more money than your original bet should they win a division crown. The Panthers have the highest long-shot odds in the NFC South with +1200 odds representing an implied win probability of 7.69%.

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NFC South picks and predictions

The BUCCANEERS (-280) are the heavy favorites, and that’s all well and good if you like to play it ultra safe. Tampa Bay will cost you nearly three times your potential return, and that’s an awful lot of money to tie up into a futures bet for not that much return. Still, it’s hard to envision many scenarios where the Bucs don’t repeat as champs, unless injuries decimate the roster.

I just don’t really trust the Saints (+380) to wrap up any notable sum of money. Winston has had his chance in Tampa to start, and he just doesn’t read defenses well. And if head coach Sean Payton were to go the other way, and use Hill under center, he is more of a gadget player, and not someone I would feel comfortable seeing run the offense on a week-to-week basis.

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The FALCONS (+900) still have some nice weapons on offense, they added former Panthers RB Mike Davis to be the every-down guy, and WRs Russell Gage and Olamide Zaccheaus proved they could be reliable secondary and tertiary options when healthy. I wouldn’t risk a huge sum of bread on Atlanta, but they’re worth a small-unit bet for a chance to multiply your wager by nine.

I also wouldn’t risk a boatload on the PANTHERS (+1200), but at the same time, if Darnold can live up to expectations in a new place, Carolina is a steal at this price. Darnold already has a rapport with Anderson from their days in New York, and Moore is a second legit downfield option. Toss in a healthy CMC, and this Carolina offense could roll. Defense is the biggest concern here.

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The early NFL futures odds for the 2020 division winners are out, allowing bettors to back their favorite teams or peruse other values from around the NFL. Odds will be continuously updated throughout the offseason, based on the NFL Draft, free agency and public betting action. Acting early and anticipating player movement can be a great way to maximize your payday.

Below, we look at the futures odds to win the NFC South.

2020 NFC South odds: Atlanta Falcons (+400)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 2 at 11:20 a.m. ET.

The Falcons are coming off a second straight 7-9 season. They haven’t made the playoffs since back-to-back postseason trips in 2016 and ’17.

A six-game losing skid from Week 3 through Week 8 sunk Atlanta’s hopes last season, but it returned from a Week 9 bye to win six of its final eight games. With the closing stretch possibly signaling a turning point for head coach Dan Quinn, the Falcons are an adequate value to upset the Saints for the division crown.

New to sports betting? A $10 futures bet on the Falcons to win the NFC South returns a profit of $40 at the end of the regular season.

2020 NFC South odds: Carolina Panthers (+1100)

The Panthers lost their final eight games of 2019. After relying on quarterbacks Kyle Allen and Will Grier for the final 14 games of the season, the Panthers are expected to have former MVP Cam Newton back to full health for new head coach Matt Rhule’s first year in charge.

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Unsurprisingly, the Panthers have the worst odds to win the division after two fourth-place finishes in the last four years. The health of Newton is the biggest key as they look to return to the postseason for the first time since 2017 and win the division for the first time since winning three straight from 2013-2015. Expect a big step forward under Rhule, but it won’t be enough to topple the other three NFC South teams.

2020 NFC South odds: New Orleans Saints (-250)

A contract still needs to be worked out for QB Drew Brees, but it’s purely a formality at this point as he’ll be returning for a 20th season. The Saints have won three straight division titles and a total of six in Brees’ 14 seasons in NOLA.

The Saints are easily the safest pick to retain their crown in 2020, but there’s no value when needing to risk $40 for a return of $10. PASS on these odds and take a shot on the Falcons or Buccaneers to hedge against a potential injury to the Saints’ dynamic trio of Brees, RB Alvin Kamara and WR Michael Thomas.

2020 NFC South odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+700)

The Buccaneers are an excellent example of the risk and reward involved in placing an early NFL futures bet. They haven’t won the division since 2007 and have finished last in seven of the last nine seasons. The team is expected to address the quarterback position this offseason heading into head coach Bruce Arians’ second year. QB Jameis Winston may be allowed to reach free agency, with a replacement brought in either through the draft, free agency or trade.

The early odds reflect the likelihood of Winston returning under center, but there’s upside in getting the Bucs at this number in advance of an upgrade at the most important position.

Want action on the NFC South division winner? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com.

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