Tag: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins odds predictions pick betting line spread

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (29-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-18) clash in a Thursday matinee, as they close out a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0

New York won Wednesday’s game 4-0 and has outscored Minnesota 9-1 over the first 2 games of the series. The Yankees are 9-2 with a 2.69 ERA since May 3.

The Twins lost 5 straight games from April 14-19, but until this series they had been a robust 17-3 since.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Schmidt (4-1, 2.95 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 42 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 2-0 victory at Tampa Bay Rays Friday
  • Career vs. Twins: 0-0, 7.71 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K
  • Owns a 2.08 ERA, 0.98 WHIP over his last 3 starts

Ryan (2-2, 3.21 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 47 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 3-2 win at Toronto Blue Jays Friday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 2-1, 3.00 ERA (18 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 4 BB, 20 K
  • Has not walked more-than-1 batter in any start

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Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Twins -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+150) | Twins +1.5 (-184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Even with the twin losses this week, Minnesota is 9-4 over its last 13 games at home. The Yanks are 3-5 in their last 8 getaway games. Look for a bounce off what has been a lackluster series so far for the host Twins.

The Yankees have had an easy strength of schedule when it comes to pitching faced thus far, so downgrade New York’s offensive numbers a tad. Schmidt has been quite good, but his surface numbers are certainly tamped down by a .105 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position.

The New York bullpen owns the league’s 2nd-best ERA (2.58), but that surface number does not hold up to scrutiny. Yankee relievers have been buoyed by a .244 BABIP, and their 3.5 BB/9 makes for too much traffic on the bags with a normalized hit rate.

TAKE MINNESOTA (-116).

Run line/Against the spread

This contest has an Over lean, and taking the Twins plus a cushion does not mix in more value. PASS.

Over/Under

Prior to this week, the Over had cashed in 9 of New York’s last 13 games at Target Field.

The Yanks’ offense is at its best against right-handers, and there is a bit of risk on the Ryan side of the mound matchup as he is coming off a season-high 104 pitches in his last outing.

A double-digit outward-blowing breeze is in the forecast, and both starters are fly-ball pitchers. The total here has climbed overnight and may be headed northward still.

TAKE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (28-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-17) battle Wednesday, as they continue a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

New York took Tuesday’s series opener 5-1. Since May 3, the Yankees are 9-2 with a plus-22 run differential.

The Twins won 12 in a row from April 22-May 4. They are 5-4 since, but Minnesota pitching has faltered a bit over that recent stretch. The Twins own a 4.72 ERA over those last 9 games.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Pablo Lopez

Stroman (2-2, 3.80 ERA) is making his 9th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 42 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 loss vs. Houston Astros Thursday
  • Career vs. Twins: 1-4, 5.82 ERA (34 IP, 22 ER), 42 H, 8 BB, 22 K

Lopez (4-2, 3.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has authored a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 44 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 11-1 win vs. Seattle Mariners Thursday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 14 H, 2 BB, 11 K

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Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -104 (bet $104 to win $100) | Twins -112 (bet $100 to win $112)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+158) | Twins +1.5 (-192)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Minnesota is 9-3 over its last 12 games at home.

The Yankees have had an easy strength of schedule when it comes to pitching faced thus far, so downgrade New York’s offensive numbers a tad.

Stroman has been issuing too many bases on balls and is the lesser side of this starter matchup. Over his last 4 starts, he has registered a 5.31 ERA while allowing a .967 OPS. And he’s backed by a Yankee bullpen that has shown some warts of late. That New York relief corps owns the league’s 2nd-best ERA (2.63), but that surface number does not hold up to scrutiny. Yankee relievers have been buoyed by a .243 batting average on balls in play, and their 3.6 BB/9 makes for too many base runners.

The Twins haven’t lost 2 in a row at home since April 8-9.

TAKE MINNESOTA (-112).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found in the less-juice-drowned ML prices.

Over/Under

Stroman and the Yankee pen play into an Over lean, and the Over has cashed in 10 of New York’s last 14 games at Target Field.

The Yanks’ offense is at its best against right-handers, and both lineups have solid match-up histories against the listed starters.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-108).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (27-15) and Minnesota Twins (24-16) clash in a Tuesday showdown, as they open a 3-game set in Minneapolis. First pitch at Target Field is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: 1st meeting; Minnesota took the 2023 series 4-3

New York is continuing a road trip that opened over the weekend in Florida  where the Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Tampa Bay Rays. The Yanks are 7-2 over their last 9 games.

The Twins were at the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend. They took 2 of 3 from Toronto and are 4-1 across their last 5.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Chris Paddack

Rodon (3-2, 3.56 ERA) is lined up for his 9th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 43 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 9-4 win vs. Houston Astros Wednesday
  • Career vs. Twins: 6-3, 4.62 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 63 H, 28 BB, 73 K in 12 games (11 starts)

Paddack (4-1, 4.34 ERA) is tabbed for his 8th start. He owns a 1.50 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 37 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 win vs. Seattle Mariners Wednesday
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 7.20 ERA (5 IP, 4 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 6 K
  • Has a 1.93 ERA while yielding a .619 OPS over his last 4 starts

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Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:31 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -136 (bet $136 to win $100) | Twins +116 (bet $100 to win $116)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+116) | Twins +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -122)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Since April 22, the Twins are 9-2 at home.

Paddack is on a nice roll, and Rodon’s ERA figures as one fortunately tamped down by some generous rates around the margins. And over those last 11 games at home, Minnesota has bludgeoned foes by a combined score of 61-37.

Rodon has often struggled in road games, where he has logged a 4.73 ERA since 2022.

BACK THE TWINS (+116).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value can be found on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 7 of the last 9 New-York Minnesota games at Target Field. The Over is 6-2 in New York’s last 8 games.

The Yankee bullpen throws fade into the pitching mix in this game. Its tidy 2.69 surface ERA is heavily influenced by a .246 batting average on balls in play.

On a slim-to-moderate lean, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (13-11) and Minnesota Twins (14-10) meet Wednesday in Minneapolis. First pitch in the final game of a 3-game series is slated for 1:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 4-2

New York has been outscored 6-1 and 6-2 in the 1st 2 games of this series. The Yankees have scored 3 runs or less in 5 of their 6 games against Minnesota this season. The Yanks own a .519 OPS over their last 5 games.

Despite being roughed up for 10-plus runs twice last week, Minnesota enters Wednesday’s matinee ranked 2nd in the league in run prevention. The Twins have allowed just 3.42 runs per game.

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Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Domingo German vs. RHP Kenta Maeda

German (1-2, 4.50 ERA) is tabbed for his 5th start of the 2023 season. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 20 IP.

  • Owns a 3.83 road ERA since 2021
  • Won vs. Twins on April 15: 6 1/3 IP, 3  H, 1 R, 0 BB, 11 K

Maeda (0-3, 4.15 ERA) is making his 4th start. He owns a 1.00 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 13 IP.

  • Missed last season after undergoing Tommy John surgery in September 2021
  • Has a 3.88 ERA, 1.13 WHIP in 172 career games

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+165) | Twins +1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The back end of the New York bullpen is rested, and German has pitched better than his surface ERA would indicate.

New York has had trouble with runners in scoring position, and that has soured what was a decent 8-4 run from April 8-20. Against Maeda, who has allowed quite a bit of hard contact so far, look for a breakthrough.

TAKE THE YANKEES (+100).

Run line/Against the spread

Lots of juice here. And likely no value. PASS.

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Over/Under

There is some general fade to the pitching in this match-up here and some untapped run potential in the Yankees attack. But the Twins’ offensive numbers are a bit over-bloated, and a chilly day brings a low score enough into play as to nix any action.

PASS.

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (13-10) and Minnesota Twins (13-10) meet Tuesday in Minneapolis. First pitch in the middle game of a 3-game series is slated for 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 3-2

New York has scored 3 runs or less in 4 of its 5 games against Minnesota this season. The slumping Yankee offense has tallied more than- 7 hits just once in its last 9 games.

Despite being roughed up for 10-plus runs twice last week, Minnesota enters Tuesday’s contest ranked 3rd in the league in run prevention. The Twins have allowed just 3.48 runs per game.

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Yankees at Twins projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Joe Ryan

Cortes (3-0, 3.09 ERA) makes his 5th start of the 2023 campaign. He’s registered a 1.03 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 23 1/3 IP.

  • Pitched 7 innings of 2-run ball (0 BB, 7 K) vs. Twins April 14
  • Has given the Yankees 5-plus in each of his last 3 starts

Ryan (4-0, 3.24 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 25 IP.

  • Punched out 10 New York batters in 7 IP on April 13 (3 H, 1 R, 0 BB)
  • Has benefited from a .193 batting average on balls in play

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:01 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Twins -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-210) | Twins -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, Twins 3

Moneyline

The back end of the New York bullpen is rested, and Cortes gives the Yanks a legitimate chance to get to that bullpen with a lead. Minnesota owns a mere .632 OPS against left-handers.

New York has had trouble with runners in scoring position, and that has soured what was a decent 8-4 run from April 8-20. Look for a bit of helpful regression in the Yanks’ bats and a better performance on the mound.

TAKE THE YANKEES (+105).

Run line/Against the spread

Lots of juice here. And likely no value. PASS.

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Over/Under

There is some general fade to all pitching sectors (both starters, both bullpens) here and and some untapped run potential in the Yankees attack. But the Twins’ offensive numbers are a bit over-bloated, and a chilly evening with a wind slightly helping the pitchers tilts things back to equilibrium.

PASS.

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (13-9) will kickstart a 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins (12-10) on Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Yankees lost 5-1 to the Toronto Blue Jays Sunday, losing for the 2nd time in the 3-game series vs. their AL East foes. New York has notched a 5-5 record in its last 10 games.

The Twins secured a 3-1 victory over the Washington Nationals on Sunday. The win snapped a 3-game losing skid and gave Minnesota just a 4th win in its last 10 games.

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Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Jhony Brito vs. RHP Sonny Gray

Brito (2-1, 5.40 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 15 IP.

  • Allowed a combined 2 ER on 8 H with 6 BB and 11 K in 14 1/3 IP across his 1st, 2nd and 4th starts
  • Apr. 13 vs. Twins in his 3rd start: 7 ER on 6 H with 1 BB and 0 K in 2/3 IP

Gray (2-0, 0.82 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 22 IP.

  • Hasn’t given up more than 1 ER in any of his first 4 starts
  • Has yet to allow a HR this season

Yankees at Twins odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Twins -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-160) | Twins -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Yankees 2

Moneyline

With Brito struggling his last start against Minnesota and Gray getting off to a hot start, I’ll take the TWINS (-160) in this contest.

Run line/Against the spread

TWINS -1.5 (+135) is the pick in this matchup with Gray taking the mound for Minnesota. It’s tough to expect 7 ER in less than 1 inning of work against Brito like last time, but the Twins should be able to do enough damage at home against the young RHP.

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Over/Under

UNDER 7.5 (-105) is how I’d bet on the total with Gray not allowing many runs and New York’s recent struggles at the plate. The Yankees have scored 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games.

The Under is also 5-0 in Gray’s last 5 home starts for the Twins.

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (40-16) wrap up their 3-game series with the Minnesota Twins (33-25) at Target Field Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota evened the series with an 8-1 victory Wednesday, snapping New York’s 7-game winning streak. It was a rare rough outing for Yankees SP Nestor Cortes, who surrendered 4 ER on 7 H (2 HR) in 4 1/3 IP with 4 K.

Season series: Tied 1-1 but the Twins have a plus-1 run differential.

Yankees at Twins projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Dylan Bundy     

Cole is 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 64 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Won 13-0 Friday at home vs. the Detroit Tigers with 7  IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB and 9 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Twins: 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA (12 IP, 2 ER), 10 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 15 K in 2 starts.

Bundy is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 42 IP over 9 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 12-3 Saturday at the Toronto Blue Jays with 2 1/3 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 8 H, 2 HR, 1 BB and 2 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Yankees: One start while pitching for the Los Angeles Angels, a 5-3 win in N.Y. with 1 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 1 HR 4 H, 0 BB and 2 K.

Yankees at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:29 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Twins +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-120) | Twins +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Twins 2

Money line

LEAN YANKEES (-220).

If you hit N.Y.’s ML then maybe mix it into a parlay with another similarly priced team for a better payout or “flat-bet” 1 unit on the Yankees (-210) instead of betting to win 1 unit.

That said, N.Y.’s lineup is more productive vs. right-handed pitching, the Yankees’ bullpen is better and Cole is one of the best pitchers in baseball while Bundy is a middle-of-the-rotation guy, at best.

Furthermore, Cole’s advanced pitching stats vs. Minnesota are a lot more impressive than Bundy’s vs. N.Y.

Cole has a .179/.241/.286 expected batting average, wOBA (xwOBA), slugging percentage (xSLG) slash line, 31.5 K% and 87.1 mph exit velocity (EV) in 54 plate appearances (PA) against active Twins, per Statcast.

Bundy has a .290/.398/.563 xBA-xwOBA-xSLG slash line, 28.2 K% and 91.3 mph EV in 131 PA vs. current Yankees hitters.

Also, Cole has dominated the Twins throughout his career while the Yankees have owned Bundy since he pitched for the Baltimore Orioles from 2012-19.

Cole is 3-0 vs. Minnesota with a 0.95 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in 3 career starts. Bundy is 2-6 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 12 career starts vs. N.Y.

But, we are getting the worst of the number with the YANKEES (-210) because the market has already steamed N.Y.’s ML up from a -175 opener, per Pregame.com.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN YANKEES -1.5 (-120).

This ticket should cash based on all the previous analyses and the Twins +1.5 (+100) are just 3-6 RL as home underdogs.

But, 3 of N.Y.’s 8 wins in Cole starts were by a single run, the Yankees are 26-26 RL as favorites and paying tax on a RL vs. a 1st-place team probably has a bad return on investment.

LEAN YANKEES -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115).

Most of the market is betting the Over 8.5 (-107) and there are a lot of Over-friendly trends such as Yankees-Twins are 11-8 O/U when these 2 starters take the hill and the total is 34-15-2 O/U in their last 51 meetings.

But, it’s probably sharper to fade a lopsided market betting an Over in a Yankees game than it is to follow it.

It’s only a LEAN to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) because there’s a chance this total gets up to 9 and which point I’d put 0.75 units on the Under.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (32-25) host the New York Yankees (40-15) for the 2nd game of their 3-game series at Target Field Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York handled Minnesota 10-4 in the series opener Tuesday as the Yankees’ 2- through 5-hitters (CF Aaron Judge, 1B Anthony Rizzo and DH Giancarlo Stanton) each homered.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

Yankees at Twins projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Chris Archer    

Cortes is 5-1 with an MLB-leading 1.50 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in 60 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: Win, 6-1 Thursday at home vs. the Los Angeles Angels with 7-scoreless IP, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Twins: One start – a 10-2 win at home Aug. 20 – with 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 7 K.

Archer is 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 39 1/3 IP over 10 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 3-2 loss at the Detroit Tigers Thursday with 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Yankees: No-decision in a 4-0 home win April 10 while pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays with 2 1/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 0 BB and 4 K.

Yankees at Twins odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:41 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Twins +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-112) | Twins +1.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Yankees at Twins picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Twins 3

Money line

RISK 1 UNIT on YANKEES (-190) since their ML is pricey.

The Yankees have a 3-phase edge (starting and relief pitching and hitting) over pretty much every team in baseball including the Twins Wednesday.

New York is 8-2 straight up (SU) in Cortes’ 10 starts and the Yankees own the Twins historically. The Yankees are 70-22 SU in their last 92 meetings with the Twins and 39-17 in their last 56 visits to Minnesota.

If your standard unit is $100, BET $100 on the YANKEES (-190) to earn a $52.63 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

New York’s obvious edges over Minnesota are accurately priced in this RL. The Yankees -1.5 (-108) are 11-10 RL as road favorites and the Twins +1.5 (-112) are just 2-6 RL as home underdogs.

I stay away from most run lines charging juice. PASS.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+110)

The Yankees-Twins series historically plays Over the total (42-19-3 O/U in their last 64 meetings) and both lineups rank in the top 10 across several advanced hitting categories.

However, New York is 9-12 O/U as a road favorite, Minnesota is 3-4-1 O/U as a home underdog, Target Field is 24th in park factor (very pitcher-friendly) and we are getting the worse of the number since this total opened at 8.5, according to Pregame.com.

LEAN OVER 9.5 (+110).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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