New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals odds predictions pick betting line spread

ALDS Game 3: New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals meet in Game 3 of their best-of-5 ALDS Wednesday at Kauffman Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Playoffs series: Tied 1-1; Yankees won regular-season series 5-2

New York posted a 6-5 win in Game 1 as a heavy favorite (-200), although Kansas City covered the run line as an underdog as the Over (8) connected. In Game 2, the Royals surprised the Yankees as moderate underdogs (+140) as the Under (7.5) held on.

In Game 2, LHP Cole Ragans allowed a run in 4 IP, while the Royals bullpen allowed a single run in 5 IP. Veteran C Salvador Perez smacked a solo HR for the team’s only extra-base hit.

The Royals are 3-1 in the postseason, all on the road, and each victory has been as an underdog. The Under is 3-1 in those 4 games, too. This will be Kansas City’s 1st home game since Sept. 22, and 1st postseason home game since Nov. 1, 2015, when the Royals topped the New York Mets in 5 games to win the World Series.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Schmidt (5-5, 2.85 ERA) made 16 regular-season starts. He had a 1.18 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 85 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 5 K in 6-4 home victory vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Sept. 29
2024 road splits (regular season): 3-3, 1.39 ERA (45 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 17 BB, 46 K in 8 starts
Career vs. Royals: 2-0, 3.29 ERA (13 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (2 starts)
Didn’t face the Royals in 2024
Career postseason: 0-2, 11.57 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 1 K, 3.00 WHIP) in 3 relief appearances

Lugo (16-9, 3.00 ERA) made 33 regular-season starts. He had a 1.09 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 206 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H (1 solo HR), 1 BB, 6 K in 2-1 road victory in Game 2 of Wild Card round vs. Baltimore Orioles
2024 home splits (regular season): 7-6, 3.36 ERA (107 IP, 40 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 25 BB, 83 K in 17 starts
Career vs. Yankees: 5-2, 2.55 ERA (35 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 14 appearances (4 starts)
2024 vs. Yankees: 1-1, 2.57 ERA (14 IP, 4 ER), .224 opponents’ batting average, 1 BB, 14 K in 2 starts
Career postseason: 0-0, 1.42 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 9 K, 1.42 WHIP) in 4 appearances (1 start)

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Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 5:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Royals -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Royals +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Royals 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

The ROYALS (-105) are a sharp play as short ‘dogs at home in Game 3 behind Lugo, who was sharp during the regular season with 16 victories.

The Yankees (-115) have the payroll, and they have the big names, but the starting pitching is a little shaky. Trust Lugo way more than Schmidt, especially in front of a raucous crowd hungry for playoff baseball.

Run line/Against the spread

The Royals +1.5 (-175) are only worth playing lightly if you’re super conservative, and you just can’t bring yourself to play against the Yankees -1.5 (+145) straight up.

If you like Kansas City, though, just play it straight up.

PASS.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over-Under has split in the 2 games in this playoff series, but the Under is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings since Sept. 10.

The Yankees had to hop a plane for the 1st time since Sept. 22. The Under is 6-3 in the past 9 games on the road for New York.

For the Royals, the Under is 3-1 in the postseason, while going 14-4 in the past 18 games since Sept. 10, a streak which started in New York.

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (49-21) and Kansas City Royals (39-30) meet Thursday, as they conclude a 4-game series. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-0

New York has scored 21 runs over the last 2 nights, has taken the 1st 3 games of this series and has won 4 in a row overall. In 16 road games since May 12, the Yankees have slashed a .274/.332/.499 (.831 OPS).

The Royals won 8 in a row May 17-25, but they have struggled since. Kansas City is 5-11 (with a 5.72 ERA) since May 26.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Alec Marsh

Cortes (3-5, 3.68 ERA) is making his 15th start. He has registered a 1.12 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 80 2/3 IP.

Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 11-3 setback vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
Career vs. Royals: 2-1, 2.82 ERA (22 1/3 IP, 7 ER), 25 H, 6 BB, 22 K in 3 starts and 2 relief appearances
Has allowed 4 HR over his last 2 starts

Marsh (5-3, 4.05 ERA) is making his 12th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 60 IP.

Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 8-4 victory vs. Seattle Mariners Saturday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 7.45 ERA (9 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 11 H, 5 BB, 9 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance
Has yielded 5 HR across his last 17 IP

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Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-105) | Royals +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Moneyline

A wind-out blowing-out high score and a surging New York (-160) offense make for a Yankees lean worthy of RL action. PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

New York is 13-4 over its last 17 games at Kansas City, and the Yankees are 14-3 across their last 17 games against the Royals.

The Royals bullpen has clocked a shaky 5.01 ERA since May 1. In front of that unit is Marsh, who has been touched up with plenty of loud contact across recent starts.

Over their last 5 day games after a night game, the Yanks have gone 4-1; all 4 of those wins were by multiple-run margins.

TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The last 13 Kansas City home games have seen the Over go 11-2.

The Yankee offense is a top-5 unit. The Royals bats have performed well at home (.779 OPS), and left-handers swing K.C. to the best side of its platoon splits (.740 OPS vs. lefties).

Both starters have been home-run prone of late. In a game with some added fade at the bullpen end and on a warmed-up afternoon with a batter’s breeze in the forecast, take the Over.

BACK THE OVER 10.5 (-110).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (48-21) and Kansas City Royals (39-29) meet Wednesday, as they conclude a 3-game series. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 2-0

New York has taken the 1st 2 games of this set and won 7 in a row on the road.

The Royals won 8 in a row May 17-25, but they have struggled since. K.C. is 5-10 (with a 5.36 ERA) since May 26, and that includes losses in each of the ball club’s last 3 games.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Cody Poteet vs. RHP Dan Altavilla

Poteet (2-0, 1.72 ERA) is tabbed for his 4th start. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 15 2/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 2-1 home loss in 11 innings vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Friday
Has never faced Royals before
Owns 3.87 ERA over 22 career games

Altavilla (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start and 2nd appearance. He didn’t give up a hit or a walk and fanned 2 batters in 1 scoreless inning in his season debut, a relief appearance during a 4-2 home loss Monday.

Monday marked his first MLB appearance since 2021
Has filed a 4.00 ERA across 120 career games, all pitched in relief
Figures to be utilized as a 1-inning opener ahead of LHP Daniel Lynch (5.63 ERA, 1.19 WHIP in 16 IP), who is expected to provide bulk innings

Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-105) | Royals +1.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Moneyline

A wind-out blowing-out high score looks to be likely, and a lean on New York (-160) can be best leveraged on the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

New York is 12-4 over its last 16 games at Kansas City, and the Yankees are 13-3 across their last 16 games against the Royals.

K.C. trying to bullpen this contest may be a project that goes sideways. The Royals own a 4.83 bullpen ERA since May 16.

TAKE THE YANKEES 1.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The last 12 Kansas City home games have seen the Over go 10-2.

The Yankee offense is a bonafide top-5 unit. The K.C. attack is likely overrated somewhat due to a .333 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position. But the Royals do perform better at home.

In a game with some all-around fade to the pitching and on a warmed-up night with a batter’s breeze in the forecast, take the Over.

BACK THE OVER 10.5 (-120).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (47-21) visit the Kansas City Royals (39-28) for the middle contest of a 3-game series in Missouri. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

New York took Monday’s series opener 4-2 to claim its 6th straight triumph on the road. Over that stretch, Yankee pitchers have combined on a 2.33 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.

Kansas City was held to 6 singles and a double in Monday’s loss. Over their previous 12 home games, the upstart Royals had slashed a fine .303/.353/.512 while earning 9 wins.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Brady Singer

Stroman (5-2, 3.04 ERA) is lined up for his 14th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 74 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 8-5 win vs. Minnesota Twins Thursday
Career vs. Royals: 3-1, 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER), 23 H, 7 BB, 25 K in 5 starts
Has benefited from a .248 batting average on balls in play (.146 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Singer (4-2, 2.76 ERA) is making his 13th start. He has a logged a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 65 1/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 4-3 win at Cleveland Guardians Thursday
Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.98 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 21 H, 10 BB, 2 K in 4 starts
Making just his 2nd Kauffman Stadium start since May 13; since 2022, he has a 3.36 ERA at home (2024: 2.16 ERA, 0.96 WHIP)

Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Royals +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | Royals +1.5 (-130)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Moneyline

New York is 11-4 across its last 15 games at Kauffman Stadium and 12-3 over its last 15 games against the Royals overall.

Stroman is a red ‘X’ in the Yankee column, but New York has the superior bullpen and is strong defensively. And the Yankee starter is solid in slowing down the run game, something KC relies on heavily.

Per ESPN, current NY batters own an aggregate .775 OPS against Singer, and the Kansas City right hander has pitched against a relatively weak slate of offenses thus far. The batting attack he’ll see Tuesday ranks 7th in the league in scoring (4.93 runs per game) and 1st in OPS vs. right-handers (.792).

FanDuel Sportsbook has the better leverage price here: BACK THE YANKEES (-138).

Run line/Against the spread

The RL is a would-be lean on New York, but the return here is a bit light. PASS.

Over/Under

Kansas City home games have a 9-2 Over edge in the club’s last 11.

With some fade to both starting pitchers in this matchup and to a Kansas City bullpen that owns a 4.82 ERA since May 1, the Over is the strongest play Tuesday.

Both starters yield a lot of ground balls, and both offenses thrive against such pitchers. The weather forecast is calling for a warm evening with a breeze blowing out.

TAKE THE OVER 9 (-120).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (46-21) and Kansas City Royals (39-27) tangle Monday as they open a 3-game set in Missouri. The opening pitch at Kauffman Stadium is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Yankees won 4-2 last year

The Yankees are coming off dropping 2 of 3 to the Los Angeles Dodgers over the weekend. They went into that series on an 8-game win streak, so they are 9-2 over their last 11 games.

The Royals are 2-1 on a current home stand. They have cooled since a late-May win streak and are just 5-8 across their last 13 games.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Rodon (8-2, 3.08 ERA) is making his 14th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 73 IP.

Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 9-5 home victory vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
Career vs. Royals: 3-6, 5.27 ERA (54 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 70 H, 20 BB, 55 K in 11 starts
Owns a 6.82 ERA across 7 career starts at Kauffman Stadium (.917 OPS allowed)

Lugo (9-1, 2.13 ERA) is tabbed for his 14th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-5 loss at Cleveland Guardians Tuesday
Career vs. Yankees: 4-1, 2.53 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 6 ER), 14 H, 8 BB, 31 K in 2 starts and 10 relief appearances
Has been aided by a .250 batting average on balls in play (.170 BABIP with runners in scoring position)

Yankees at Royals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Yankees -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Royals +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Royals +1.5 (-155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Royals 4

Moneyline

New York is 10-4 over its last 14 games at K.C.

Kansas City figures as being several games too far out over its skis in being a dozen games over .500. Lugo is a pitcher who has benefited from generous rates around the margins, and he is backed by a less-than-stellar Royals bullpen.

There is also some fade to Rodon’s surface numbers, and the Yanks are coming off a Sunday-night game and travel west. So, both ends of this matchup can be dinged in certain categories. But peg the Yankees, a club that has won 5 in a row on the road, as worth a partial-unit play for the straight-up win

FanDuel Sportsbook offers a more attractive tag here: BACK NEW YORK (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

The Yankee’s offense travels. With robust road numbers coming from the bats, New York is 22-13 against the RL away from Yankee Stadium.

And the Over is a likable play. It’s the strongest play for this matchup, in fact. But the return on Yankees -1.5 (+125) is a tad light.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 9 of Kansas City’s last 10 home games. The Royals have banged out a .794 OPS at home for the season; since May 7, they have averaged 6.71 runs per game at Kauffman Stadium.

Both starting pitchers figure to be overrated by surface numbers not supported by underpinning talent indicators. And per ESPN, current K.C. batters have clocked a .980 OPS against Rodon.

The Royals bullpen has been torched for a 4.91 ERA since May 1. The Over is 6-3 across the last 9 series meetings and is the best option for this Monday lid-lifter at Kauffman Stadium.

BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (13-6) and Kansas City Royals (7-10) meet Friday for an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch to open a 3-game series at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: first meeting. New York took 4 of 6 games last season.

The Yankees are coming off a 6-0 homestand against the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles. New York owns an AL-best 2.92 ERA, and that’s a balanced figure with starters and relievers clicking in the season’s first month. The Yanks’ .735 OPS at the plate ranks second in the AL.

The Royals return home from a 6-game road trip, the back half of which resulted in a 2-1 series win over the Chicago White Sox. Kanas City’s offense (.594 OPS) ranks last in the AL.

Yankees at Royals projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. LHP Kris Bubic

Cortes (0-0, 1.15 ERA) is making his 4th start of the season. He has a 0.64 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 14.4 K/9 through 15 2/3 IP.

Notched a 2.90 ERA in 93 IP last season.
Has fanned 20 batters over his last 11 1/3 IP.

Bubic (0-1, 14.14 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 3.00 WHIP, 11.6 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 through 7 IP.

Has coughed up 5 runs in 2 different short starts so far, including allowing 5R in 2 IP against the Seattle Mariners Saturday.
Clocked a 4.43 ERA in 130 IP last season.
Logged a 3.84 ERA across 14 appearances at home in 2021.

Yankees at Royals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:38 a.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Royals +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-120) | Royals +1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Yankees at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Royals 4

Money line

Key power bats OF Aaron Judge, 1B Anthony Rizzo and OF Joey Gallo all clubbed multiple home runs in the Baltimore series. The Yanks are also a bit more athletic this season and able to manufacture runs in other ways.

The Yankees (-210) line is fair but with a lean on the Over, attempting the multi-run win is worth the risk. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

New York has won 5 games by 2 runs or more in its 6-game win streak. With Bubic struggling and the Yanks getting deep production from their bullpen, TAKE NEW YORK -1.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Both bullpens are quite good (Kansas City’s could make them a sneaky Under play in the near future), but recent usage suggests some rest and reset is due, and that favors the bats — which are plenty good for the Yanks and bit undervalued for the Royals (.246 batting average in balls in play).

With a forecasted batter’s wind helping fly balls in this one, BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-112).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (62-51) play the Kansas City Royals (49-63) Wednesday to wrap up a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Lucas Luetge is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 4-2 with a 2.75 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 through 52 1/3 IP spanning 41 games. Wednesday’s game will mark the reliever’s first career start.

Is the opener in what will likely be a bullpen game for the Yankees. The New York bullpen ranks eighth in baseball with a 3.65 ERA.

RHP Brady Singer is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 3-7 with a 5.13 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 and 3.8 BB/9 across 87 2/3 IP spanning 19 starts.

Facing the Yankees in a return from a shoulder injury. His last MLB start was July 17. The right-hander allowed 7 ER over 4 2/3 IP over two rehab starts with Triple-A Omaha.
The Yanks had no trouble against him in a June 22 game in New York, as he coughed up 5 hits, 2 home runs and 5 walks over just 3 2/3 innings.

Yankees at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:02 p.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Royals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+111) | Royals +1.5 (-140)
Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Money line (ML)

Wednesday’s matinee tilt will decide the series winner after New York took Monday’s game and Kansas City took Tuesday’s. Twenty-six runs were scored over the two contests. More run scoring figures to be on tap as Wednesday’s forecast calls for temperatures in the mid-90s and a 15 mph breeze out to center field.

Singer is a decent play candidate for the second half, but likely not in this first game back. New York is the value team in the series, but there is enough gray area here to nix any price steeper than -135. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Yankees’ bullpen edge — over a worn-out K.C. relief corps — makes the NEW YORK -1.5 (+111) play the best side in this one.

Also, the Yankees are banged up, but they continue to have a decent amount of projectable upside to their run-scoring.

Over/Under (O/U)

All kinds of pitching questions get added to a hot, humid day with a batters’ breeze (which figures to be a particular issue for a fly-ball hurling Royals bullpen).

BACK THE OVER 10.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (62-50) visit the Kansas City Royals (48-63) Tuesday for the middle contest of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Nestor Cortes is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Over 4 starts and 8 relief appearances spanning 37 2/3 IP, he is 0-0 with a 2.15 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.8 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9.

Has averaged 4 1/2 innings per start through four turns in the rotation.
Has been aided by a .258 batting average on balls in play and a 4.8% home run/fly ball rate.
Struggled with control while walking 3 batters pver 5 IP in his last start.

LHP Daniel Lynch is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 2-3 with a 6.00 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 27 IP across six starts.

Owns a 1.89 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over his last starts starts.
Has had to pitch around the high traffic of a .348 BABIP.

Yankees at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Royals +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-102) | Royals +1.5 (-122)
Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Money line (ML)

New York went into this series after taking three of four games from the Seattle Mariners in an important series at Yankee Stadium. The Yanks won a wild one in the opener of this set; the visitors prevailed in a game that was tied 0-0 in the seventh inning and concluded after 11 innings with an 8-6 Yankees victory. With the win, the Yankees are 16-6 over their last 22 games.

With Monday’s setback, Kansas City is 3-7 over its last 10 games.

The battle of southpaws helps both offenses from a platoon standpoint but it helps the Yankees (.768 OPS against lefty pitchers) more. The bullpen advantage leans toward the visiting nine as well.

The price here isn’t one to jump all over (consider a partial unit on any New York play more expensive than -155), but the YANKEES (-160) can be backed.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Yankees’ bullpen edge makes the NEW YORK -1.5 (-102) play worth a look, especially with the run-scoring environment of a 10.5-run game.

Over/Under (O/U)

Monday’s contest was a play on the Over that covered in odd, back-door fashion. The price here nixes another Over play despite the forecast of a warm night and a 15 mph wind out to center field.

PASS … unless the odds rise to -105 or better.

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New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (61-50) visit the Kansas City Royals (48-62) Monday for the opener of a three-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. Royals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jameson Taillon is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Taillon is 7-4 with a 4.04 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 9.1 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 107 IP through 21 starts.

Allowed 1 ER in 6 1/3 IP against Kansas City June 24. Current Royals batters own an aggregate .535 OPS against him.
Had a 5.59 ERA through June 24; owns a 2.20 ERA and 1.06 WHIP since.
Has home/road splits that favor Yankee Stadium starts with a 3.22 ERA at home vs. 5.27 ERA on the road.

RHP Carlos Hernandez is the projected starter for the Royals. He is 3-1 with a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 11.0 K/9, and 5.5 BB/9 through 39 1/3 IP across four starts and 12 relief appearances.

Inserted into the Royals rotation after the All-Star break and has clocked three solid starts against one clunker since.
Has avoided hard contact as a starter but has also yielded a mere .220 batting average on balls in play.

Yankees at Royals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Royals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (-115) | Royals +1.5 (-107)
Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Yankees 7, Royals 5

Money line (ML)

New York is coming off taking three of four games from Seattle in an important series at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are 15-6 over their last 21 games. Pitching was a key component to the wins over the Mariners and has been in the club’s second-half surge. The Yanks own a 2.15 ERA over their last 10 games.

Kansas City lost two of three at St. Louis over the weekend and is returning home from a 3-6 road trip. The Royals went 6-1 in their last home stand from July 23-29.

Royals bats have been silent of late, logging a .564 OPS on their road trip, and were mostly silent the last time they faced Taillon in an 8-1 New York win June 24 at Yankee Stadium.

The visiting nine is the lean for Monday but not on a juice-drowned money line. AVOID.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Yankee bullpen is not in great shape heading into this series due to both injury and fatigue. Both the starting rotation and lineup are COVID-19 thin.

However, a surging Taillon and some healthy bats that are coming around of late make the Yanks a decent play on this prop.

BACK NEW YORK -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under (O/U)

A pair of fly-ballers on the bump plus hot and humid weather and a double-digit hitter’s breeze in the forecast equals an Over lean. So does an analysis of both teams’ Statcast quality-of-contact numbers which indicates upside in run production for both sides.

TAKE THE OVER 10.5 (-105).

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