New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (71-50) and Chicago White Sox (29-92) meet Wednesday as they close out a 3-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. Start time is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET (Prime Video/MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 4-1

New York faltered in the Monday series opener but then bounced back with a 4-1 triumph Tuesday. RF Juan Soto hit 3 HRs and was responsible for all 4 runs in Tuesday’s victory.

Chicago’s Monday win marked just its 2nd since the All-Star break. Since July 10, the White Sox are an abysmal 2-25.

Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Will Warren vs. RHP Davis Martin

Warren (0-1, 11.17 ERA) is lined up for his 3rd start. The rookie has a 1.76 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 9 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 8 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-2 home loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Aug. 7
  • Notched a 6.11 ERA at Triple-A Scranton (had logged a 3.69 minor-league ERA in 2022-23)
  • Never faced White Sox before

Martin (0-1, 3.65 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start and 4th appearance. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 3-2 loss at Oakland A’s Aug. 7
  • Never faced Yankees before

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Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:12 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | White Sox +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -2.5 (-105) | White Sox +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, White Sox 3

Moneyline

PASS on this juice-is-loose ML offering.

Run line/Against the spread

New York is 4-1 across its last 5 series finales. Chicago has a minus-80 run differential over its 2-25 stretch.

Martin was solid enough in his last turn but draws a much tougher offensive foe in this one. Peg Monday’s Chicago win — a 12-2 rout by the White Sox — as the series wake-up call for the Yankees.

NEW YORK -1.5 (-165) is worth a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

Almost no lean here. Actual vs. expected run-scoring and run-prevention numbers on both sides crisscross the value line.

On the theory the pitching offers up no brand-name value and on an evening with a breeze in the batter’s face in the forecast, consider a partial-unit play on the UNDER 9.5 (+100).

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Yankees (70-49) and Chicago White Sox (28-91) clash in the opener of a 3-game series at Guaranteed Rate Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 3-0

New York took 2 of 3 games from the Texas Rangers over the weekend, and a Yankee club that struggled across much of June-July is 10-4 since July 27.

The hapless White Sox are 1-24 since July 10. For the season, Chicago’s American League entry ranks 30th in MLB in scoring (3.08 runs per game) and 29th in run prevention (5.19 RPG).

Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. LHP Ky Bush

Gil (12-5, 3.06 ERA) is tabbed for his 23rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 5 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home victory vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
  • Career vs. White Sox: 1-0, 4.50 ERA (10 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 3 BB, 19 K in 2 starts
  • Threw season-high 107 pitches in his last start

Bush (0-1, 6.75 ERA) is making his 2nd MLB start. He allowed 3 earned runs on 2 hits and 5 walks with 3 K’s in 4 innings in his debut, a 5-1 loss at the Oakland A’s Aug. 5.

  • Owns 2.89 ERA, 1.12 WHIP with 42 BB and 94 K in 99 2/3 IP in minors this season (Double- and Triple-A)
  • Is ranked as No. 8 pitching prospect in organization

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | White Sox +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -2.5 (-130) | White Sox +2.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

White Sox 6, Yankees 5

Moneyline

The WHITE SOX (+260) took 2 of 3 from New York in the Yanks’ last visit to Chicago’s South Side (Aug. 7-9, 2023). New York is just 13-17 against left-handed starters.

This line has steamed toward the visiting nine in the morning, and the plus price on the Pale Hose is just ripe enough to pick. But consider this one a sliver of a lean, and with a Bush being a 2nd-time starter, this one sets up as a conservative partial-unit play.

Gil threw 107 pitches in his last start. His only other 100-plus outing came on June 14, and the start after that saw him yield 7 runs in 1 1/3 innings.

TAKE CHICAGO (+260).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Against a mediocre Yankee bullpen, the White Sox are worth the shot at big plus money on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 13 of New York’s last 16 games and in 7 straight on the road.

Gil has benefited from a favorable .232 batting average on balls in play. Bush is in for a different level opponent after pitching mostly in Double-A and then facing the A’s in his MLB debut.

FanDuel Sportsbook has better leverage here. BACK THE OVER 9 (-112).

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (59-55) and Chicago White Sox (46-69) close out a 3-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field Wednesday. First pitch is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-2

The Yankees took Game 2 of the series Tuesday night 7-1. They are just 9-11 over the last 20 games and find themselves 11 1/2 games out in the AL East and 4 1/2 out of an AL Wild Card spot. There is still time, but they need to put teams like the White Sox away.

The White Sox had a 3-game winning streak snapped Tuesday and have just 6 wins in the last 20 games. They are a marginally tougher team at home at 24-30 as opposed to 22-39 on the road but have played the Yankees tough over the last 2 years, splitting 12 games.

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Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Mike Clevinger

Severino (2-6, 7.74 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.85 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 61 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 4 K Friday against the Houston Astros
  • Career vs. White Sox: 2-2, 3.80 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 45 K in 42 2/3 IP over 7 starts

Clevinger (4-5, 3.72 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 4 R (3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB, 2 K Friday against Cleveland Guardians
  • Last 4 starts vs. Yankees: 1-2, 3.38 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 30 K in 24 IP

Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Yankees -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | White Sox +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+135) | White Sox +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The Yankees have a few options on the mound Wednesday. It’s Severino’s turn in the rotation, but they have considered skipping his turn and going with a bullpen game as they have a day off Thursday and can get him and the bullpen extra rest.

They could also call up prospect RHP Randy Vasquez, but he’s expected to take LHP Carlos Rodon‘s vacated spot. Either way, the Yanks get it done Wednesday. OF Aaron Judge is 3-for-6 with a solo homer and 4 walks in this series, and he’s 3-for-9 with a home run in his career vs. Clevinger.

I’ll take the YANKEES (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Yanks are 28-23 on the RL on the road, which is saying something in their down year. All 4 of the Yanks’ wins in their last games 10 vs. the Chi Sox have been by multiple runs. I think New York runs away with it on getaway day.

Take the YANKEES -1.5 (+135).

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Over/Under

The Over is just 2-8 in the last 10 games between these teams, and the Under is 4-1 this season between them. The Yankees are 4-6 O/U over the last 10, and the White Sox are 2-7-1. If this number wasn’t 9, I would go one way or another.

However, I have to PASS on this one.

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (58-55) and Chicago White Sox (49-65) get together Tuesday night as they continue a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: White Sox lead 3-1

New York dropped Monday’s series lid-lifter 5-1. The Yankees failed to leverage 8 walks and were just 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position. In going 1-3 over its last 4 games, New York is 5-for-32 (.132) in such situations.

The White Sox earned a 3rd straight win Monday for the first time since June 2-8 when the ball club won 5 in a row. Chicago has scored 17 runs over its last 3 games; the Sox scored just 16 runs over their previous 7 games.

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Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Clarke Schmidt vs. RHP Touki Toussaint

Schmidt (7-6, 4.35 ERA) makes his 23rd start and 24th appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 109 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-3 win vs. Houston Astros Thursday
  • 2023 road starts: 4-1, 4.91 ERA in 44 IP over 9 starts
  • Only career start vs. Chicago: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 3-2 home loss on June 6
  • Owns a 6:1 K:BB ratio over his last 6 starts. Schmidt’s ERA over that stretch is 4.28, but that has come against a tough schedule.

Toussaint (1-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 7th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 5.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 41 1/3 IP for the White Sox and Cleveland Guardians.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 11-1 road loss at Texas Rangers Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 0-3, 5.47 ERA in 26 1/3 IP
  • Has career start vs. Yankees: Loss, 4 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K on Aug. 11, 2020, as member of Atlanta Braves

Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:07 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | White Sox +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+105) | White Sox +1.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

Chicago went just 3-9 across 12 home games in July, but the club has had solid stretches in its home park. From April 30-June 25, the Pale Hose went a robust 17-11 at home. They are playing just their 2nd series at home since the second half got underway.

Playing under their expected win percentage up through the end of July, the Sox have been a lean in recent games. But that angle may be dulling now, and this is not the best pitching match-ups to leverage it much further. A Chicago (+135) line would be intriguing. But a PASS is suggested unless the line drifts that far.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID. The higher-value target here is the Total.

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Over/Under

The righty-righty mound match-up works against both offenses. And both are second-division units at their core.

Since July 1, New York has registered a .647 OPS on the road. The bullpens are in decent shape heading into this game.

In Chicago home games, the Under has gone 29-22-2. The total has gone Under in 8 of Chicago’s last 10 games. And the Under has hit 5 of the last 6 Yankees-White Sox games.

The UNDER 9 (-115) is the lean. Check out FanDuel Sportsbook for better leverage on this play — they tag this one as UNDER 9 (-105).

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (58-54) and Chicago White Sox (48-65) clash Monday night as they open a 3-game series. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-1

New York split a 4-game set with the Houston Astros over the weekend, and the Yankees are 3-3 through 6 August games. The Yanks hit 8 home runs against the Astros, and that’s indicative of the club being more productive on offense of late. New York has clocked a .777 OPS since July 29. From July 5-28, the Yanks sputtered with a .649 OPS.

The White Sox snapped a 5-game losing streak Saturday at the Cleveland Guardians. The ChiSox also won 5-3 Sunday, so they head into this series on a 2-game win streak. Chicago has not won 3 straight games since June 2-8 when the ball club won 5 in a row.

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Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Dylan Cease

Cole (10-2, 2.64 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 143 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 7-2 home win vs. Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • Owns a 1.71 ERA and 0.68 WHIP since the All-Star break
  • 2023 road stats: 3-1, 2.26 ERA in 55 2/3 IP; 1.22 ERA, 0.89 WHIP last 37 IP
  • Career vs. White Sox: 3-1, 3.91 ERA in 25 1/3 IP

Cease (4-5, 4.61 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 121 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 11-1 road loss vs. Texas Rangers Wednesday
  • Owns a 5.55 ERA over his last 7 starts
  • 2023 home stats: 1-3, 4.26 ERA in 61 1/3 IP
  • Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 9.45 ERA in 13 1/3 IP

Yankees at White Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Yankees -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+100) | White Sox +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, White Sox 3

Moneyline

The White Sox are playing just their 2nd series at home since the second half got underway. While Chicago went just 3-9 across 12 home games in July, the club has had solid stretches in its home environs. From April 30-June 25, the Pale Hose went a robust 17-11 at home.

The Sox are a lean, but let’s PASS unless we can get a tag of +145 or better.

Run line/Against the spread

Cole has benefited from a .272 batting average on balls in play (.269 BABIP in inning leadoff situations, .250 BABIP with runners in scoring position). He’s a stud pitcher and is on a roll but is likely being overrated by an artificially tamped-down 2.64 surface ERA.

Cease has some figures that swing the other way (.329 BABIP overall, .355 BABIP in high-leverage situations). He also logged solid home numbers in 2021 and 2022.

The righty-righty match-up works against both lineups (both hit lefties better). But both clubs tend to bat a lot of right-handed bats and that plays into more of a strength (or avoids a versus-left deficit area) for Cease (career .646 OPS allowed vs. righty bats).

The Yanks have a much better bullpen on paper, but peg the two units being closer when measured with similar analytics from above. Yankee relievers, for example, have been buoyed by a .266 BABIP. Also, you can figure on the Chicago ‘pen being in slightly better territory with regard to fatigue, especially at the back end.

Off the stat page and in the intangibles category, peg Chicago as a high-energy group coming off a much-publicized donnybrook at Cleveland Saturday.

The average MLB club has played 30 1-run games per Baseball Reference. Both New York and Chicago have played 34. The Pale Hose are a lean; the Run Line allows for the nod to Cole as the better pitcher.

BACK THE WHITE SOX +1.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

Comparing scoring and run-prevention to expected levels for each side nets numbers mostly in alignment. With this match-up, tilt those numbers toward Chicago and away from New York. But they are on par with overall scoring.

STEER CLEAR.

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (24-8) seek to clinch a road series win against the Chicago White Sox (15-16) Saturday as they took the first 2 games of this 4-game set at Guaranteed Rate Field. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Yankees 2-0

The Yankees are 17-2 in their last 19 games, including a current 5-game win streak. They hold a 4½-game lead in the AL East.

The White Sox had won 7 of their last 8 games before the Yankees came to town. Chicago is tied for second place in the AL Central, trailing the Minnesota Twins by 3 games.

Yankees at White Sox projected starters

LHP Jordan Montgomery vs. LHP Dallas Keuchel

Montgomery (0-1, 2.90 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 31 IP.

  • Despite how well he has pitched this season, the Yankees are only 2-4 when Montgomery starts.
  • He allowed 2 runs in each of his last 3 starts, which lasted 5 2/3, 5 and 6 innings, respectively.

Keuchel (2-3, 6.86 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 2.10 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 through 21 IP.

  • Keuchel is coming off his best start of the year. He went 6 innings, allowing 2 runs on 8 hits with 1 walk and 5 strikeouts in a 3-2 win at the Boston Red Sox Sunday.
  • His numbers look bad this season but are skewed by a 1-inning start in which he allowed 10 runs (7 earned). Take out that start and his ERA is 4.05.

Yankees at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | White Sox +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (-108) | White Sox +1.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, White Sox 2

Money line

The Yankees have been basically unstoppable for almost a month. As mentioned, they have won 5 straight and are 17-2 in their last 19 games. They won the first 2 games of the series 15-7 and 10-4.

Montgomery has been great this season for New York and Keuchel has been underwhelming for Chicago.

The White Sox have allowed 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games, but before that they had allowed only 9 total runs in a 6-game winning streak.

TAKE YANKEES (-175).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Yankees are 18-14 ATS this season. They covered the spread in their last 3 games but had a streak of 5 straight failing to do so. Twelve of their last 17 wins have been by at least 2 runs.

The Sox are 14-17 ATS. Before failing to cover the spread in either of the first 2 games of this series, they went 8-2 ATS.

However, Montgomery isn’t likely going to allow more than 2 runs and Keuchel has only been average this season outside of one terrible start.

TAKE YANKEES -1.5 (-108).

Over/Under

The first 2 games of the series had 22 and 14 runs.

Three of Keuchel’s 5 starts have had at least 9 runs.

None of Montgomery’s 6 starts have had 9 or more runs.

Despite the last 2 games, the Yankees have had 10 of their last 19 games reach totals of 9 or more runs.

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-125).

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (22-8) head to Guaranteed Rate Field Thursday to start a 4-game series with the Chicago White Sox (15-14) at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York is 15-2 in its last 17 games, including 8-2 in the last 10 games. The Yankees own a 3-game win streak, recently sweeping the Toronto Blue Jays in a short 2-game home series.

Chicago is also 8-2 in the last 10. The only loss in its past 8 games was due to bullpen collapse in the top of the 9th – yielding 6 runs – in an 11-inning 12-9 defeat at home to the Cleveland Guardians.

The Yankees beat the White Sox 5-1 in last year’s season series with a plus-12 run differential.

Yankees at White Sox projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Dylan Cease 

Gil is making his 2022 debut for the Yankees Thursday. He was 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 5.8 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 29 1/3 IP over 6 starts in his rookie season of 2021.

Cease is 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 12.4 K/9 in 34 IP across 6 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in 3-1 road win over the Boston Red Sox Saturday with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 8 K.
  • 2021 vs. the Yankees: 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 9 H, 4 BB and 12 K over 2 starts.

Yankees at White Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Yankees +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | White Sox -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-170) | White Sox -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Yankees at White Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 4, White Sox 3

Money line

Slight LEAN to the YANKEES (+125) only because the White Sox (-155) have been steamed up by a sharp line move and Cease looks like a Cy Young contender.

However, New York’s lineup lit up Cease last year and the Yankees have a 2-phase edge over the White Sox in hitting and relief pitching.

The Yankees are 2nd in wRC+ (117), 7th in wOBA (.322) and 4th in WAR (6.1), according to FanGraphs. The White Sox are 23rd in wRC+ (91), 25th in wOBA (.306) and 27th in WAR (1.2).

Also, New York’s bullpen ranks 1st in WAR (2.1) and 7th in xFIP (3.48) while Chicago’s bullpen ranks 21st in xFIP (3.91).

But I prefer the Under and New York’s RL more than YANKEES (+125).

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN YANKEES +1.5 (-170).

The White Sox are only 5-8 RL as home favorites and the Yankees’ only loss at the White sox last season was by 1 run.

Chicago’s bullpen has struggled to support the starters whereas New York’s bullpen has been the most reliable in baseball. Furthermore, New York’s lineup certainly has the sluggers to backdoor cover this RL.

LEAN YANKEES +1.5 (-170) since the Under is my favorite play in this game.

Over/Under

TAKE UNDER 7.5 (-105) since 4 of the 6 Yankees-White Sox meetings last year went Under the total and the presumed sharp side of the market is betting the Under. According to Pregame.com, roughly 80% of the cash is on the Under, but around 70% of the action is on the Over.

The money column of the betting splits is considered the sharper side since professional bettors wager more money than public bettors. This influx of money has caused oddsmakers to decrease the total from the 8-run opener.

Also, Cease is as elite as they come. He grades in the 91st percentile or better in K%, exit velocity, hard-hit rate, expected ERA, expected wOBA and expected slugging percentage, according to Statcast.

Gil is one of the Yankees’ best pitching prospects – he gave them solid outings in 2021. If Gil doesn’t have his best stuff Thursday, the bullpen can be counted on to keep the Yankees in this game.

BET UNDER 7.5 (-105).

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New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Yankees (63-52) and Chicago White Sox (68-48) continue a three-game series Saturday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET at Guaranteed Rate Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Jameson Taillon is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 7-4 with a 3.82 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.9 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 113 IP over 22 starts.

  • Owns an 0.89 ERA over his last five starts, allowing just 1 home run over that stretch.
  • Current Sox batters own a high-contact .945 OPS against Taillon.
  • Has struggled on the road this season recording a 4.62 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

RHP Dylan Cease is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 9-6 with a 3.99 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 12.0 K/9, and 3.7 BB/9 in 119 2/3 IP over 23 starts.

  • Owns a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP over his last 5 starts at Guaranteed Rate Field. Has logged a 2.20 ERA in 11 starts at home on the season.
  • Has pitched through the traffic of a .359 batting average on balls in play to post a 3.58 ERA in five starts since the All-Star break.

Yankees vs. White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:06 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | White Sox -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-180) | White Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Prediction

Yankees 5, White Sox 4

Money line (ML)

The Yankees have battled through injuries and COVID-19 roster issues, and they’ve made their way to a fine 17-9 record in the second half including dropping the series opener.

New York suffered a dramatic 9-8 loss in the opener Thursday in Dyersville, Iowa, in a special Field of Dreams game.

Chicago is 7-4 in August after its corn-fed victory Thursday. The Pale Hose have scored 7 or more runs in five of those wins, and they’re the “lean” in principle for Saturday’s game.

However, the current prices make the YANKEES (+120) a better value.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. Any leverage is drowned out by the juice here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses can string together some walks and homers and get to 5 or more runs with regularity and they played their way to 17 runs on Thursday. This contest gets played in slightly cooler weather and with the forecast of an inward breeze.

However, there is some analytic pushback to Taillon’s ERA and to the work of both bullpens of late. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-120).

Consider monitoring the total throughout the early part of the day and look to pounce on any swing back to a more favorable price.

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Field of Dreams Game: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing the odds and lines for Thursday’s Field of Dreams Game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, with MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Yankees (63-51) and Chicago White Sox (67-48) open a three-game series Thursday at 7 p.m. ET. The series opener will be played at a special Field of Dreams stadium in Dyersville, Iowa with the White Sox as home team. Let’s analyze the lines around the Yankees vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Andrew Heaney is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 104 IP spanning 20 starts.

  • Came to the Yankees in a deadline deal with the Los Angeles Angels. Owns a 7.20 ERA over two starts with New York with 5 home runs allowed through 10 IP.
  • Last faced the White Sox April 2 (as a member of the Angels) and was drilled for 7 ER over 3 IP. Other outings against the Pale Hose have gone better and current Chicago bats own an aggregate .655 OPS against him.

RHP Lance Lynn is the projected starter for the White Sox. He is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 across 114 2/3 IP over 20 starts.

  • Allowed 1 or zero runs in six of his last seven starts and yielded just 2 HR over that stretch.

Yankees vs. White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Yankees +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | White Sox -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Yankees +1.5 (-150) | White Sox -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Prediction

Yankees 6, White Sox 5

Money line (ML)

The Yankees are battling injuries and COVID-19 roster issues, but they’ve played through a revolving door of roster and lineup combinations to log a 17-8 record in the second half. New York is coming off a 2-1 series win at the Kansas City Royals and has won five of its last six road games.

Chicago is coming off a 2-1 series loss at the Minnesota Twins and the White Sox are 13-13 since the All-Star break.

Thursday’s game is a special tribute to the 1989 film Field of Dreams and it’s being played in a specially constructed facility surrounded by cornfields and adjacent to the rural Iowa film location.

There is some marginal give-and-take in the metrics for Heaney and Lynn that make for the Yankees being the play. Much like the premise of the movie this game is based on, it’s a gamble … but one worth the risk.

TAKE THE YANKEES (+140).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. A tag under -135 would make for a different call, but stick to the ML play as the best leverage here.

Over/Under (O/U)

Both offenses can string together some walks and homers and get to 5-plus runs with regularity. The yard obviously doesn’t come with years of ballpark effects, but on a warm, wind-out night at higher elevation than one would think, BACK THE OVER 9.5 (-108).

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