The New York Yankees (55-49) and Baltimore Orioles (63-41) wrap up their 3-game series in Charm City on Sunday Night Baseball. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 6-6
New York broke its 5-game losing streak on the road Saturday by defeating the Orioles 8-3. The Yankees have allowed just 5 total runs in the last 3 games. The Yankees are 23-25 away from Yankee Stadium this season.
The Orioles lost their 3rd game in their last 4. Baltimore hopes to avoid its 2nd straight home series loss. The AL East-leading Orioles are 20-13 against their division this season.
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Yankees at Orioles projected starters
RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Dean Kremer
Severino (2-4, 6.46 ERA) will make his 12th start. He has a 1.73 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 8-5 home victory vs. Kansas City Royals last Sunday
- July 6 start vs. Orioles: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 7 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 14-1 home loss
- 2023 away splits: 0-3, 7.62 ERA (28 1/3 IP, 24 ER), .344 OBA in 6 starts
Kremer (10-4, 4.59 ERA) will make his 22nd start. He has a 1.31 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 115 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 3-2 victory at Philadelphia Phillies Monday
- 2023 vs. Yankees: 1-0, 3.75 ERA (12 IP, 5 ER) in 2 starts – Most recent: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 6-3 road win July 5
- 2023 home splits: 5-2, 5.43 ERA (59 2/3 IP, 36 ER), .250 OBA in 11 starts
Yankees at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Yankees 4
Moneyline
PASS.
While I like the Orioles to bounce back on Sunday and take the series at home, I’m going to stay away from the oneyline and take a flier on the run line with the better odds.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN ORIOLES -1.5 (+155).
I’m not head over heels for this bet but I’d be willing to put half a unit on it. Kremer has allowed 1 ER or less in 3 of his last 4 starts. Severino got shelled for 7 ER by the Orioles in his 1st outing against them in 2023.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 9 (-110).
In the Yankees and Orioles last 6 matchups, they have been at 9 total runs or more 5 times. I see a lot of runs produced on Sunday night with the extreme heat finally easing a bit.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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