Tag: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The New York Yankees (5-1) and Arizona Diamondbacks (4-2) meet in a Wednesday matinee as they put a lid on a 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch in the contest at Chase Field will be at 3:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Yankees suffered their 1st loss of the season Tuesday, getting blown out 7-0. They were held to just 3 hits and had just 1 base runner reach 2nd base.

The Diamondbacks own a high-contact .305/.385/.480 slash line through 6 games. They have drawn 4 or more walks in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yankees at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Carlos Rodon vs. RHP Merrill Kelly

Rodon (0-0, 2.08 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 5 H and 3 BB with 4 K in 4 1/3 IP in his debut at the Houston Astros Friday.

• 2023 road stats: 2-4, 7.63 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 26 ER) in 7 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-3, 5.53 ERA (27 2/3 IP, 17 ER), 19 H, 10 BB, 39 K in 5 starts

Kelly (1-0, 1.35 ERA) is making his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 0 BB with 8 K in 6 2/3 IP in his debut vs. the Colorado Rockies Friday.

• Owns a 3.78 ERA across 128 career games
• Has registered a 3.14 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 64 career games at Chase Field
• Career vs. Yankees: 1-0, 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 9 H, 4 BB, 7 K in 2 starts

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Yankees at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+145) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Yankees at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

Arizona is 5-2 over its last 7 home games against New York.

The Yanks head home for their home opener after this one and may be susceptible to checking out a few innings too early. Add in their Tuesday woes at the plate, and there is enough doubt in that dugout to make ARIZONA (-105) the play.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found in the ML action for this one.

Over/Under

Kelly’s numbers have some fade in the expected-vs.-actual category. Rodon has had his troubles with Arizona and figures to have escaped his season debut more unscathed than he should have.

Both teams are filing solid 1st-week walk rates and have the extra-base power to hoist multiple crooked-number frames.

TAKE THE OVER 8.5 (-115).

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The New York Yankees (5-0) look to keep their win streak rolling as they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-2) for the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Yankees lead 1-0

New York won 5-2 over Arizona in the series opener Monday, cashing as a (-115) favorite. P Luke Weaver earned the win vs. his former team, the 30-year-old’s 2nd W of the season after relieving SP Luis Gil, who allowed 1 hit and 1 ER in 4 2/3 IP. SS Anthony Volpe delivered a career-high 4 hits and is 8 of 14 with 3 doubles and a homer (.571 OBP) to start the season.

Yankees at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Nestor Cortes vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Cortes (5-2, 4.97 ERA in 2023) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 4 ER on 5 H and 2 BB with 5 K in 5 IP in his debut at the Houston Astros Thursday.

• 2023 road stats: 3-2, 5.54 ERA (26 IP, 16 ER) in 5 starts
• Career vs. Diamondbacks: No-decision, 0 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 0 K in 1 relief appearance, a 7-5 home victory July 31, 2019

Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA in 2023) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 1 ER on 3 H and 2 BB with 3 K in 5 IP in his debut vs. the Colorado Rockies Thursday.

• 2023 home stats: 12-3, 2.47 ERA (102 IP, 28 ER) in 16 starts
• Career vs. Yankees: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 1 start, a 7-1 road victory Sept. 24, 2023

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Yankees at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Yankees -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
• Run line (RL): Yankees -1.5 (+152) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-184)
• Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Yankees at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 5, Diamondbacks 4

Moneyline

BET YANKEES (-102).

1992 was the last time the Yankees started a season 6-0, and while that team in pinstripes 30+ years ago missed the playoffs, the 2024 version of the Bronx Bombers looks primed to make a deep run.

While it’s still early, New York’s bullpen seems to be picking up right where it left off last season with acquisitions like Nick Burdi throwing heat. The Yankees sport the best team bullpen ERA in MLB (0.46) after finishing the last regular season atop the league (3.34). Expect them to hold the lead once again after Cortes gets on a roll.

Run line/Against the spread

INCLUDE ARIZONA +1.5 (-184) IN A PARLAY.

Pairing with the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS +1.5 (-220), who have SP Shane Bieber getting the start at the Seattle Mariners, pays +125.

The Diamondbacks 1st 4 hitters (2B Ketel Marte, CF Corbin Carroll, LF Lourdes Gurriel Jr. & 1B Christian Walker) are all threats at the plate, so expect Gallen to get some run support.

Over/Under

PASS.

Chase Field is a tough ballpark to handicap from a total standpoint. With the humidor installed in 2018, Park Factor calculates that the Diamondbacks home stadium rates out as the worst for HRs.

However, Diamondbacks hitting coach Joe Mather speculated that the new LED lights installed in the offseason could lead to increased offense.

A 9.5 Alternate Total Runs bet to the UNDER at (-150) combined with the Diamondbacks RL pays out nearly +130 in a parlay if one does not prefer Cleveland RL as a dance partner.

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The New York Yankees (4-0) and Arizona Diamondbacks (3-1) meet Monday night as they open a 3-game series in Phoenix. First pitch in the opener will be at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; New York won 2023 series 2-1

The Yankees opened their season by taking 4 straight from the Houston Astros. Newcomer Juan Soto got his career in pinstripes off to a good start by batting .529 with 2 extra-base hits, 4 RBIs, and a couple of key defensive plays in the sweep.

The Diamondbacks remain at home where they won 3 of 4 from the Colorado Rockies. Arizona pounded out a .541 slugging percentage while striking out just 22 times over the 4 games.

Yankees at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Luis Gil vs. RHP Ryne Nelson

Gil underwent Tommy John surgery in May of 2022 and made it back for 2 appearances at Triple-A in September of 2023.

• The 25-year-old owns a 3.78 ERA in 7 career starts (1.38 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9, 11.6 K/9)
• Clocked a 2.87 ERA with 23 K against 6 BB in 15 2/3 spring-training innings

Nelson went 8-8 with a 5.31 ERA in 2023. He logged a 1.42 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 in 144 IP.

• Registered a 2.66 ERA in 20 1/3 IP in Cactus League action; filed 26 K against 7 BB
• Posted a 7.25 ERA at home vs. a 3.21 mark on the road
• Has never faced the Yankees

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Yankees at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Yankees -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Yankees at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 4, Yankees 3

Moneyline

Arizona is 4-1 over its last 5 home games against New York.

Peg the Yankees as being a bit susceptible to a hangover after what is a borderline-emotional sweep of the Astros the last 4 days. New York and Houston have some rivalry history, and it spills into media attention and creates a more tense series atmosphere than most.

Add in the travel and some possible bullpen fatigue, and the Yankees may not be putting its best foot forward in this series opener.

There are also reasons to chip away at Arizona in this matchup. Its a sliver of a lean on the DIAMONDBACKS +105.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better relative value can be found in the ML action for this one.

Over/Under

The Under is 3-1-1 across the last 5 series meetings in Phoenix.

The way-too-early offensive numbers for both sides are shaded heavily by some batting-average-on-balls-in-play luck. The Yankees have filed a .333 BABIP when batting with runners in scoring position. The Diamondbacks own a .421 BABIP in such situations and a .546 BABIP when leading off innings (an oft-overlooked clutch batting stat).

Look for some regression in those numbers in a game featuring 2 starters coming off excellent spring campaigns.

TAKE THE UNDER 10 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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