The New York Mets (50-60) and the Baltimore Orioles (69-42) wrap up a 3-game interleague series Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Orioles odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Orioles lead 2-0
The Mets have had a disappointing season and were obvious sellers at the MLB trade deadline. Since flipping the calendar from July to August, the Mets have dropped 5 in a row, including a sweep on the road against the lowly Kansas City Royals from Tuesday-Thurdsay. New York has been outscored 37-14 in the 5-game skid.
The Orioles have won the first 2 games of this series, outscoring the Mets 17-6 with the Over connecting in each outing. Baltimore, unlike New York, is red hot with 5 wins over its last 6 games. The O’s have outscored the competition 37-16 in that span.
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Mets at Orioles projected starters
LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Kyle Bradish
Quintana (0-2, 3.57 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 17 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-6 road loss vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 0-1, 3.55 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 5 ER – 0 HR), .267 opponent batting average (OBA) in 2 starts
Bradish (7-6, 3.32 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 111 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 ER (2 HR), 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 13-3 road win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Tuesday
- 2023 home splits: 3-3, 2.39 ERA (49 IP, 13 ER – 5 HR), .202 OBA in 8 starts
Mets at Orioles odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Orioles -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-135) | Orioles -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -120)
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Mets at Orioles picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 4, Mets 3
Moneyline
The ORIOLES (-175) are moderate favorites, but they’re also a good bet to win the finale and complete the sweep.
Quintana has been effective since making his debut for the Mets on July 20, allowing 3 or fewer runs while pitching 5 or more innings in each of his outings. However, the veteran will be outshined by Bradish and the O’s in this matinee affair.
Run line/Against the spread
The METS +1.5 (-135) are worth a look on the run line, as the final game of the series should be the closest. Bradish has pitched well this season, especially at home, but the veteran Quintana has been tremendous since making his debut 3 starts ago.
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Over/Under
UNDER 9 (-120) might be the best play on the board.
The Under has cashed in 2 of 3 starts for Quintana so far and is 6-4-1 in the past 11 games with Bradish on the hill for the Orioles.
The Over is 4-0 in the past 4 games at home for Baltimore, so there is some risk here. But these hurlers should keep scores down.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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