New York Liberty betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

WNBA Finals: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty host the Minnesota Lynx on Sunday for a decisive Game 5 in the WNBA Finals. Tip-off at Barclays Center in Brooklyn is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Best-of-5 series tied 2-2; Lynx won regular-season series 2-1, also won Commissioner’s Cup June 25 at Barclays Center

The Lynx had their backs to the wall in Game 4 at home, but Minnesota forced the series back to Brooklyn for a decisive Game 5 with an 82-80 win to stave off elimination.

The Lynx shot 44.6% (29-of-65) from the field, while the Liberty was 43.7% (31-of-67). And both teams shot exactly 39.1% (9-of-23) from behind the 3-point line. Minnesota hit just 75% (15-of-20) from the free-throw line, while New York was perfect (9-for-9). However, the Liberty turned it over 3 more times, while the Lynx recorded 10 turnovers.

All 5 starters on both sides had 10 or more points. Jonquel Jones led the Liberty with 21 points with 8 rebounds, 4 treys and 2 blocked shots. For the Lynx, Kayla McBride stepped up with a team-best 19 points, while Napheesa Collier had 14 points and 9 rebounds with 4 assists and 4 steals.

Minnesota is aiming for its WNBA record 5th championship, while New York is trying to secure its 1st title.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lynx +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Liberty -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lynx +5.5 (-105) | Liberty -5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 157.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 79, Liberty 74

Moneyline

The LYNX (+220) is a strong play in Game 5 for the chance to more than double up.

While the home team is 2-2 SU in this WNBA Finals series, the road team has won 6 of the past 10 meetings, including Minnesota’s 94-89 victory in the Commissioner’s Cup at Barclays Center.

It’s risky, but the value play is Minnesota, especially since it has shown an ability to come back from large deficits, while also showing a way to win on the road.

Against the spread

If you’re not as adventurous, the LYNX +5.5 (-105) is still a decent play catching nearly 3 buckets in this decisive Game 5.

It wouldn’t be surprising to see this game decided in the final minute, perhaps on free throws. In 3 of the 4 games in this series, we’ve seen a margin of defeat of 3 or fewer points. Look for more of the same.

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Over/Under

UNDER 157.5 (-110) is a good play in this Game 5, which is for all of the marbles. New York has never won a title, and there could be some nerves, even for a veteran team, as it tries to do what no Liberty team has done before.

The Under has cashed in 2 of the past 3 games in this series, with the winning side going for 82 or fewer points.

In a game with so much on the line, expect both sides to be tight, especially early on, before they loosen up as the game goes along.

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WNBA Finals: New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx meet Friday for Game 4 of the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. Tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Liberty vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 2-1; Lynx won regular-season series 2-1, also won Commissioner’s Cup June 25 at Barclays Center

The Lynx led 43-35 at halftime in Game 3, but the Liberty rebounded with an 80-77 win to regain home-court advantage in the series while pushing Minnesota to the brink of elimination.

New York shot 45.9% (28 of 61) from the field and 40.0% (10 of 25) from the 3-point line while going a perfect 14-of-14 from the free-throw line. F Breanna Stewart was her normal, dominant self, going for 30 points, 11 rebounds and 4 blocked shots. She also hit 2 triples and went 10 of 10 from the charity stripe.

G Sabrina Ionescu finished with 13 points, 1 of 4 starters to go for 13 or more. Ionescu hit a game-winning 3-pointer from in between the center court logo and the top of the key with less than 2 seconds remaining to break a 77-77 tie. It also helped erase a 16-point lead for the Lynx.

For the Lynx, they shot 38.7% (29 of 75) from the field and 42.9% (9 of 21) from downtown. F Napheesa Collier led the way with 22 points while G Kayla McBride stepped up with 19. She is averaging 16.3 PPG in this series.

Liberty at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Lynx +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -2.5 (-115) | Lynx +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 159.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Liberty at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 80, Liberty 76

Moneyline

The LYNX (+125) are worth a look at plus-money, as their backs are against the wall. Minnesota is on its home court, and it nearly got the job done in Game 3. Don’t expect to see an epic collapse like it had Wednesday.

The Lynx came within a whisker of winning Game 3 despite the fact F Alanna Smith was good for just 2 points before fouling out. Oddly enough, she had a plus-20 rating and was not on the court during the epic collapse down the stretch.

Against the spread

The Lynx +2.5 (-105) should be avoided in Game 4. If you like Minnesota, just play it straight up, unless you honestly feel the Liberty -2.5 (-115) will win by just 1 or 2 points. There’s better value on Minnesota ML.

The Lynx are 4-2 ATS in 6 home games, while the Liberty are 1-2 ATS in postseason road games.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

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Over/Under

UNDER 159.5 (-115) is a solid play in Game 4 with the intensity continuing to build as we near the crowning of a champion.

The Under has cashed in the past 2 games, both Minnesota losses, with the Lynx going for 71.5 PPG and the Liberty averaging 80.0 PPG in the span. The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 meetings in the Twin Cities, too.

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WNBA Finals: New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Liberty at Minnesota Lynx odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and the Minnesota Lynx meet Wednesday for Game 3 of the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. Tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Liberty vs. Lynx odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Tied 1-1; Lynx won regular-season series 2-1, also won Commissioner’s Cup June 25 at Barclays Center

The Lynx pulled off an amazing comeback in Game 1, posting a 95-93 win in overtime at Barclays Center for the outright victory as 6-point underdogs with the Over (160.5) cashing.

In Game 2, it was a different story. The host Liberty shot 47.5% (29 of 61) from the field, and 45.8% (11 of 24) from behind the 3-point line, to pick up an 80-66 victory. The 3-point shooting was the difference as the Lynx managed to hit just 30.0% (6 of 20) from behind the arc.

New York also outrebounded Minnesota at a 34-to-27 margin, while the Lynx turned it over 20 times to 18 for the Liberty.

The Liberty had 4 starters with 14 or more points, including a game-high 21 points from F Breanna Stewart and 20 points from F Betnijah Laney-Hamilton. Stewart also chipped in with 8 rebounds, 7 steals, 5 assists, 2 triples and a blocked shot.

For the Lynx, F Napheesa Collier had a team-best 16 points with her usual efficiency, adding 8 rebounds, 4 steals and 3 assists, but she did turn it over 7 times, too. Only Collier and F Alanna Smith (14 points) hit double digits in points. G Kayla McBride struggled with a 3-for-9 shooting night, managing just 8 points, helped by 2 successful 3-pointers.

Liberty at Lynx odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:29 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Lynx +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty -3.5 (-105) | Lynx +3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Lynx picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 84, Liberty 80

Moneyline

The LYNX (+135) are a solid play at plus-money in Game 3 back on their home court. Minnesota won the season’s only meeting in the Twin Cities 84-67 as a 7-point underdog back on May 25, and prior to Game 2, Minnesota had won 4 of the past 5 head-to-head meetings.

If Minnesota is to pull this off, however, it will need more than Collier carrying the team. Smith did a good job in Game 2, but McBride needs to step up, and F Bridget Carleton needs to be more of an offensive force.

Against the spread

Minnesota +3.5 (-115) is a good play for the conservative bettor, who just can’t play the moneyline and would like a little wiggle room in the event of a close game.

In these playoffs, Minnesota is 4-1 straight up (SU) at home, while going 3-2 ATS. On the road, the Liberty are 1-1 SU/ATS in the playoffs, splitting a pair of semifinal games in Las Vegas.

Wednesday will be a close game, so be prepared to sweat it out until the end.

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Over/Under

OVER 160.5 (-110) is worth a look in Game 3, but like the line, be prepared for it to come down to the end, possibly at the free-throw line.

The Over is 5-2 in the past 7 postseason games for the Liberty, while the total has gone Over in 4 of the previous 5 playoff games for the Lynx.

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WNBA Finals: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Lynx and the New York Liberty meet Sunday for Game 2 of the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. Tip-off from Barclays Center is set for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Series record: Lynx lead 1-0

The Lynx stunned the Liberty with a 95-93 overtime victory Thursday. The Lynx entered the game as 6-point dogs, but they chipped away all game. After falling down 32-19 in the 1st quarter, the Lynx became the first team in WNBA playoff history to be down 15 in the final 5 minutes and win the game. F Napheesa Collier hit a turnaround jumper with 8 seconds left in OT to secure the W. Collier had 21 points and 8 boards in the game.

The Liberty shot just 38% from the floor in Game 1. Their struggles were highlighted by G Sabrina Ionescu shooting 8-for-26 from the floor. C Jonquel Jones had team-highs of 24 points and 10 boards. F Breanna Stewart added 18 points and 9 boards.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lynx +260 (bet $100 to win $260) | Liberty -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lynx +7.5 (-110) | Liberty -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 85, Lynx 79

Moneyline

I fully look for the Liberty to exact some revenge here, but there is no way we’re risking -350 on it.

Instead, let’s go with SABRINA IONESCU OVER 2.5 THREE-POINTERS (-135). We highlighted her shooting woes in Game 1, and she still drilled three 3s.

Against the spread

These have teams faced off 5 times this year, and Minnesota covered in 4 of those. The spreads ranged from 5.5 to 7. We’re catching an extra halfer here.

So take LYNX +7.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

The Over has cashed in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lynx are 7-3 O/U in their last 10. The Liberty are 6-4. This total has risen 2 points from Game 1, but I still think that’s well within range to cash an OVER 162.5 (-115).

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WNBA Finals: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Lynx and the New York Liberty meet Thursday for Game 1 of the best-of-5 WNBA Finals. Tip-off at Target Center in Minneapolis is scheduled 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Lynx won 2-1, and also won the Commissioner’s Cup June 25 at Barclays Center

The Lynx eased by the Connecticut Sun in 5 games in the WNBA Semifinals. Minnesota is 5-2 in the postseason, while going 4-3 against the spread (ATS), the Over has cashed in each of the past 3 playoff games, while going 5-2 in 7 outings.

The Liberty knocked off the 2-time defending champion Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA Semifinals, while going 2-1-1 ATS in the series. The Over cashed in 3 of the 4 games against the Aces, while going 4-2 in the playoffs so far.

Not only did the Lynx win 2 of the 3 regular-season games, and the Commissioner Cup title game at Barclays Center, Minnesota was 3-1 ATS in those 4 games, while splitting the Over-Under 2-2.

New York is looking to secure its 1st WNBA championship, while Minnesota is seeking its record 5th title. The Liberty lost in 4 games in the WNBA Finals to the Aces last season, while the Lynx is making their 1st appearance in the Finals since besting the LA Sparks in 2017 for their 4th WNBA title.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:18 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lynx +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Liberty -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Lynx +6.5 (-115) | Liberty -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 160.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Lynx 86, Liberty 81

Moneyline

The LYNX (+220) will net you more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s totally worth a look.

Minnesota won not only won 2 of the 3 regular-season meetings, but it also won the Commissioner’s Cup title on the floor of the Liberty on June 25 by a 94-89 score as a 5.5-point underdog. In all 3 of Minnesota’s wins over New York, the Lynx were an underdog.

Against the spread

The LYNX +6.5 (-115) is a strong play in Game 1 if you’re a little more of a conservative bettor, and you just don’t want to roll the dice on Minnesota straight up.

The Liberty -6.5 (-105) is not only just 1-3 ATS in 4 meetings with Minnesota across all competitions, but New York is 3-2-1 ATS in 6 games in the playoffs. It hasn’t covered in consecutive games since Sept. 10-12 in a back-to-back set in Dallas.

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Over/Under

OVER 160.5 (-115) is the best play in the series opener of the WNBA Finals.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 playoff games for the Liberty, including 3 straight home postseason contests.

The Lynx covered 3 of the final 4 games of the series against the Sun, while cashing high in 3 in a row.

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 4 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty attempt to eliminate the Las Vegas Aces in Game 4 for their best-of-5 WNBA Semifinal series Sunday. Tip-off from Michelob Ultra Arena is set for 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Liberty lead 2-1

The Liberty took the first 2 games at home by scores of 87-77 and 88-84. The Aces got back in the series Friday with a 95-81 finish. After scoring 21 and 24 in the first 2 games, G Sabrina Ionescu was held to 4 points in Game 3. F Breanna Stewart is averaging 22.7 points and 6 rebounds per game in the series.

C A’ja Wilson has been her usual, consistently dominant self with 19 points and 14 boards in Game 3. She’s averaging 21.3 PPG in the series. G Jackie Young (24 points) and G Kelsey Plum (20 points) stepped up to complement Wilson in Game 3.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Aces -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +2.5 (-105) | Aces -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Liberty 81

Moneyline

Before the Game 3 win, the Aces had lost 5 straight to the Liberty. With that in mind, there’s no chance I’m taking them at -155 to send the series back to the Big Apple. Instead, I’m keying on KELSEY PLUM OVER 17.5 POINTS (+100) at even-money. She has scored 20+ in 2 of the 3 games in the series and 3 of the last 4 overall.

Against the spread

I look for Vegas to stay alive one more time. Wilson is hard to contain in the middle, and her guards are hitting shots. The Aces are tough at home, and I’m good laying the points.

Take the ACES -2.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

All 3 games in this series have gone Over. That track-meet kind of a game benefits the Aces, who are 4-1-1 O/U in their last 6. The Liberty have cashed 4 straight Overs.

Take the OVER 166.5 (-110).

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New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Liberty at Las Vegas Aces odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces meet Friday for Game 3 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals at Michelob Ultra Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Liberty vs. Aces odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 2-0; Liberty swept regular-season series 3-0

The Liberty picked up an 88-84 win in Game 2, pushing the 2-time defending champion Aces to the brink of elimination. New York shot 49.3% (33 of 67) from the field, 31.0% (9 of 29) from downtown and 81.3% (13 of 16) from the free-throw line, while posting a plus-6 rebounding margin.

The Aces were just 43.5% (30 of 69) from the field, but 44.4% (12 of 27) from behind the arc, which is what kept Vegas in the game. It did leave 7 points on the free-throw line, going just 63.2% (12 of 19).

The Liberty won despite F Breanna Stewart having an off night. Sure, she finished with 15 points, but it was a grind with a 5-of-15 shooting night, with no 3-pointers and 3 turnovers. G Sabrina Ionescu picked up the slack, though, going for 24 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assists, a steal, a blocked shot and 3 triples.

As you’d expect, C A’ja Wilson led Las Vegas with 24 points, 7 rebounds, 4 assists and a steal while hitting 11 of 18 from the field. G Kelsey Plum had a rough game, though, posting just 6 points on 2-of-9 shooting after going for a team-best 24 points in Game 1.

Liberty at Aces odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:31 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Liberty +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Aces -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Liberty +2.5 (-105) | Aces -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 166.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Liberty at Aces picks and predictions

Prediction

Aces 89, Liberty 84

Moneyline

The ACES (-150) are worth playing straight up if you don’t want to fiddle around with the points in Game 3.

The 2-time defending champions have their backs against the wall, and they’re likely to show the heart of a lion, not going out quietly against the Liberty (+125).

The Aces haven’t won on their home court against the Liberty since Oct. 11, 2023, but they’re a good bet to get it done here.

Against the spread

LAS VEGAS -2.5 (-115) is a solid play at home in Game 3, as it will take a lot to oust the 2-time defending champions from the postseason.

New York +2.5 (-105) has won all 5 meetings this season, while going 3-1-1 ATS. However, A’ja and the Aces won’t be shown the door after Friday’s game. They’ll be very obstinate, as Las Vegas tries to hang around and make this a series.

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Over/Under

OVER 166.5 (-105) is the play in Game 3 after the total went high in the 1st 2 games of this series back east.

Still, the Over is a risk, as the Under is 11-7 across the past 18 games for New York dating back to Aug. 17.

The Under has dominated for the Lib, too, going 16-7-1 across the previous 24 contests since July 10. But, again, 2 of those Over results are in the 1st 2 games of this series.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty meet Tuesday for Game 2 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 1-0; Liberty swept regular-season series 3-0

The Liberty took Game 1 of this best-of-5 series 87-77 Sunday, covering as 4-point favorites with the Over (162.5) cashing. They shot 50.0% (30-for-60) from the field, 42.1% (8-for-19) from behind the 3-point line and 82.6% (19-for-23) from the free-throw line.

F Breanna Stewart led the way with a game-high 34 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 steals and a blocked shot, while hitting 12-of-19 from the field. G Sabrina Ionescu added 21 points with three 3’s, 5 assists, 4 boards, 2 steals and a blocked shot. F Jonquel Jones had a double-double, posting 13 points with a game-high 12 boards.

The Aces hit 43.3% (29-for-67) from the field, 28.0% (7-for-25) from behind the arc and 80.0% (12-for-15) from the charity stripe.

C A’ja Wilson was her usual consistent MVP self, hitting 9-for-16 from the field, finishing with 21 points, 6 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 blocked shots. G Kelsey Plum had a team-best 24 points with four 3-pointers, while G Jackie Young was good for 17 points.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:43 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Liberty -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces +4.5 (-110) | Liberty -4.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 84, Aces 77

Moneyline

If you like to play it safe, back the Liberty (-210) as the moderate favorites in Game 2. New York won all 3 meetings in the regular season, and it handled the 2-time defending champ Aces by double digits in Game 1.

The Liberty are stacked, and unless the Aces have an answer for B-Stew, it might be another long night for A’ja and Co.

Against the spread

If you’re a more conventional bettor, NEW YORK -4.5 (-110) is a strong play to get the job done by at least 5 points.

New York is 3-1 ATS in the past 4 meetings with Las Vegas, while 2-1 ATS so far in this postseason. Look for the Liberty to improve to 4-0 straight up in the playoffs, forcing the Aces into an 2-0 hole heading back to Sin City for Game 3.

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Over/Under

UNDER 164.5 (-110) is the lean for Game 2, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over cashed in Game 1 of this series, but the Under has hit in 3 of the 4 New York-Las Vegas meetings this season.

Despite Sunday’s Over result, the Under is still 11-6 in the past 17 games for the Liberty since Aug. 17.

For the Aces, the Under is 16-6-1 in the past 23 games dating back to July 10.

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Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Las Vegas Aces at New York Liberty Game 1 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty meet Sunday for Game 1 of the best-of-5 WNBA semifinals at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Tip-off is scheduled 3 p.m. ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Aces vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Regular-season series: Liberty won 3-0

Last season, the Aces and Liberty met in the WNBA Finals. Now, they must go through each other for the chance to play for another title. Las Vegas won its 2nd consecutive WNBA championship by ousting New York in 4 games last season.

The defending champs swept the Seattle Storm in the 1st round, splitting against the spread (ATS), while the Under was 1-0-1. Las Vegas averaged 80.5 points per game (PPG), while allowing 71.5 PPG.

The Aces have won 7 in a row since Sept. 11 in the regular season, and 6 of those victories came against playoff teams. The non-cover for the Aces in Game 2 against Seattle was rare, too, as Las Vegas is 10-1-1 ATS in the past 12 outings.

The Liberty swept the regular-season series with the Aces, including a 79-67 win Aug. 17 at Mandalay Bay to cover as 3.5-point underdogs, and a 90-82 victory as a 2.5-point underdog on June 15. In the only home game for New York, it eased by Las Vegas 75-71, but the Aces covered as a 9.5-point underdog. The Under cashed in all 3 meetings.

The Liberty swept the Atlanta Dream in the 1st round, but went 1-1 ATS and 1-1 Over-Under in those games. While the regular-season finale was meaningless with the No. 1 seed locked in, New York is still just 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in the past 5 games since Sept. 15. The Under is 11-5 in the past 16 outings.

Aces at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Aces +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Liberty -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Aces +4.5 (-120) | Liberty -4.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 163.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Aces at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 82, Aces 79

Moneyline

The Liberty (-175) are just a little expensive on the moneyline in this series opener. While New York dominated the season series against the Aces (+145), Las Vegas is playing its best basketball of the season lately.

New York, on the other hand, took its foot off the gas a little bit down the stretch. It’s difficult to flip that switch back on, although I fully expect the Liberty to get it done at home. I think this game could very well come down to the final possession and free throws.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The ACES +4.5 (-120) know how to get it done at this time of the season.

How many times have you seen a team dominate the regular season, only to suffer a loss in the playoffs. It’s a difficult animal in the postseason, and no one know how to prepare for a championship run better than A’ja Wilson and the Aces.

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Over/Under

UNDER 163.5 (-110) is the lean in this game.

First off, the Under cashed in all 3 meetings in the regular season. In addition, the Under is 11-5 in the past 16 games for the Liberty since Aug. 17, a run which started with a trip to Las Vegas.

For the Aces, the Under is 1-0-1 in the postseasn, while going 16-5-1 in the past 22 games since July 10.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Atlanta Dream at New York Liberty Game 2 odds and lines, with WNBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Dream and the New York Liberty play Game 2 of their 1st-round best-of-3 series Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s WNBA odds around the Dream vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Playoff series: Liberty lead 1-0; won regular-season series 3-1

The Liberty posted an 83-69 victory in Game 1 on Sunday. New York shot 43.3% (29-of-67) from the field, while hitting 34.8% (8-of-23) from behind the 3-point line and going 94.4% (17-of-18) from the free-throw line.

New York had 4 starters go for double-digit points, with rookie F Leonie Fiebich as the unlikely leader with 21 points on 7-of-8 shooting. She was 4-of-4 from behind the 3-point line, too. F Breanna Stewart posted 20 points with 11 rebounds and 3 blocked shots in 32 minutes.

The Dream was just 39.7% (27-of-68) from the field, 18.8% (3-of-16) from behind the 3-point line, and a dismal 63.2% (12-of-19) from the charity stripe. That was the difference, as it was actually just minus-1 in rebounding, while both teams blocked 5 shots with 14 turnovers.

Dream at Liberty odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dream +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Liberty -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dream +12.5 (-105) | Liberty -12.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dream at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 82, Dream 73

Moneyline

The Liberty (-1000) will cost you 10 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not enough reward. In other words, you would need to risk $100 for every $10 of profit, and that’s not a good long-term betting strategy.

The Dream (+650) played the Liberty pretty tough in Game 1, including in the rebounding, steals, blocked shots and turnovers categories. However, it was shooting that crushed the Dream. If they’re a little better, and the Liberty aren’t on fire, who knows? Perhaps we could have an upset in Game 2.

AVOID.

Against the spread

The DREAM +12.5 (-105) is a strong play in Game 2. It could very well be their final game, but Atlanta will go hard and make the Liberty -12.5 (-115) work for it.

A lot of the counting stats were fairly even in Game 1. Atlanta shouldn’t be as poor from the field, downtown and from the free-throw line as they were in the series opener, especially with its season on the line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 156.5 (-110) is the lean in Game 2. We have seen the Under cashed in each of the past 3 meetings in New York. The losing team in the past 5 meetings has gone for 75 or fewer points, too.

Atlanta will be playing its hearts out on defense, desperately trying to keep its season alive. Look for a lower-scoring battle.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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