Tag: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies predictions pick betting line spread

The Memphis Grizzlies (55-25) host the New Orleans Pelicans (36-44) Saturday at FedExForum for a 6 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

New Orleans has won 5 of its last 6 games — 4-2 against the spread (ATS) — including back-to-back road victories. The Pelicans defeated the Sacramento Kings 123-109 Tuesday and the Portland Trail Blazers 127-94 Thursday.

Memphis enters on a 2-game skid following a 7-game win streak. The losses were at the Utah Jazz 121-115 in overtime Tuesday and at the Denver Nuggets 122-109 Thursday. The Grizzlies are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games.

They are 2-1 straight up (SU) and ATS this season versus the Pelicans and the Over/Under (O/U) is 2-1.

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:57 p.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Pelicans +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Grizzlies -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Pelicans +6.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-108)
• Over/Under: 230.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

• SF Brandon Ingram (hamstring) questionable

Grizzlies

• PG Ja Morant (knee) questionable

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Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 112, Pelicans 109

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” to the Pelicans (+220) since I’m on their spread and typically I’ll sprinkle on an underdog when betting them to cover.

What’s holding me back from taking the Pelicans’ ML is Ingram’s “questionable” status. Ingram has New Orleans’ highest adjusted on/off net rating at plus-9.5, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

If Ingram is able to play, I’ll reconsider, but at the moment, PASS.

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Against the spread

BET PELICANS +6.5 (-112) because there aren’t 6.5 points separating these teams and the Grizzlies could be easier to defend if Morant makes his return Saturday.

The Pelicans are sixth in adjusted net rating (plus-5.5) and first in ATS margin (plus-6.3) since the All-Star break. Plus, NOLA’s offense got a major boost after acquiring SG C.J. McCollum in February.

Furthermore, the only reason Morant would play is to get reps before the postseason. If Morant’s teammates stand around and let him cook, then Memphis may struggle in half-court sets.

NEW ORLEANS +6.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the UNDER 230.5 (-112).

My numbers are far enough below the market’s projected score and Tipico Sportsbook is trying to induce Over action by making it cheaper.

Also, the Pelicans are 8-24 O/U as road underdogs, the Grizzlies are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 games as favorites and all three of the referees assigned to this game have officiated more Unders than Overs.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (44-22) host the New Orleans Pelicans (27-37) Tuesday at the FedExForum for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below we look at the Pelicans vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

NOLA had its 4-game winning streak — 4-0 against the spread (ATS) — snapped Sunday with a 138-130 overtime loss at the Denver Nuggets, failing to cover as 4.5-point road underdogs.

Memphis is 3-3 straight up (SU) and ATS since the All-Star break with its last game being a 123-112 upset loss at the Houston Rockets as 10.5-point road favorites.

These teams are tied 1-1 SU and ATS this season, both in NOLA, and the total is 1-1 Over/Under in those games.

Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

• Money line (ML): Pelicans +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
• Against the spread: Pelicans +5.5 (-112) | Grizzlies -5.5 (-108)
• Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Pelicans at Grizzlies key injuries

Pelicans

• None

Grizzlies

• SG Dillon Brooks (ankle) out

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Pelicans at Grizzlies odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 115, Grizzlies 112

Money line

Slight “LEAN” to the PELICANS (+175) for a small wager, if at all, because NOLA plus the points is the much sharper play.

The Pelicans have the best adjusted net rating and ATS margin over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Also, NOLA’s SU and ATS loss at Denver Sunday is a misleading result. That game was a seesaw battle where the Pelicans rallied from a 21-point deficit to take an 11-point second-half lead before losing as Nuggets’ big Nikola Jokic went all-world in the fourth quarter and overtime.

However, the Pelicans match up very well with the Grizzlies stylistically and there’s value in NOLA stealing this game outright.

Pelicans former All-Star wing Brandon Ingram has been playing at an All-NBA-caliber level since the All-Star game and Ingram’s Pelicans are 6-0 SU versus the Grizzlies when PG Ja Morant is active. Morant was sidelined with an ankle injury for Memphis’s victory over NOLA earlier this season.

Again, if you do take NOLA’s ML, I’d only go LITE on the PELICANS (+175) with the plan of hitting their spread harder.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET the PELICANS +5.5 (-108) instead of or heavier than their ML because NOLA can make it tough for the Grizzlies -5.5 (-112) to execute their game plan.

For instance, Memphis likes to crash the glass, get out in transition and attack the paint. But NOLA is eighth in both second-chance points per game (PPG) and paint PPG allowed and is first in transition defensive efficiency.

Also, the Pelicans’ trade deadline acquisition of SG C.J. McCollum added a guard to NOLA’s backcourt that could offset Morant’s dominance.

The PELICANS PLUS THE POINTS is by far my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 231.5 (-115) because both teams are in the bottom-eight of both true shooting percentage and 3-point attempt rate. Plus both are fantastic rebounding teams so there should be a lot of one-and-done possessions.

Furthermore, NOLA is 7-19 O/U as road underdogs. Memphis is 11-13-1 O/U as home favorites and there’s more cash on the Under whereas more bets have been placed on the Over (according to VegasInsider.com). Typically, in sports betting, you want to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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