New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (26-25) play the 2nd contest of a 3-game road trip against the Denver Nuggets (34-16) Tuesday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pelicans vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans opened the 3-game trip by getting roughed up 135-110 by the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. New Orleans has dropped 8 in a row and is just 2-6 against the spread (ATS) during that stretch. The Under has cashed in 4 of its last 5 outings.

The Nuggets were on the short end of a 126-119 loss at the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday, ending a 3-game road trip at 1-2 straight up (SU) and ATS. Denver is still 12-4 SU across the past 16 games dating back to Dec. 30, while 14-7 ATS over the previous 21 outings.

Tuesday is the third of 4 meetings between these teams this season. New Orleans won 121-106 at home as a 1.5-point favorite as the Under (230.5) connected on Dec. 4 while the Nuggets picked up a narrow 99-98 victory as 3-point favorites last Tuesday. The Under (232) connected in the second meeting, too.

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Pelicans at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pelicans +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Nuggets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +7.5 (-108) | Nuggets -7.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Pelicans at Nuggets key injuries

Pelicans

F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

Nuggets

G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Pelicans at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Pelicans 111

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-300) will cost you 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much, especially with Murray, a.k.a. “The Blue Arrow” on the injury report as questionable to play.

PASS.

Against the spread

With or without Murray, the NUGGETS -7.5 (-112) are a strong play at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans enters on an 8-game nosedive and has covered the spread just twice during the skid.

While NOLA did cover in a narrow 99-98 loss at home last Tuesday, the story should be much different in the Mile High City. Denver is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games at home and is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 against winning teams.

Over/Under

UNDER 234.5 (-115) is worth a look, but go with a half-unit play at best.

The Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games overall for the Pelicans and is 9-1 in their past 10 against winning teams. It’s all about the Under for the Nuggs too, going 8-3 in the past 11 games overall and 5-2 in their past 7 games at home.

The Under has hit in 9 of the past 11 meetings between these sides, including both meetings this year and 6 of the last 7 meetings in Denver.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The streaking New Orleans Pelicans (27-36) seek their fifth straight win as they start a two-game road trip against the Denver Nuggets (37-26). Tip-off Sunday at Ball Arena is 8 p.m. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Pelicans are 4-0 since the All-Star break, including wins over the Phoenix Suns and Utah Jazz, to play themselves into the playoff picture. New Orleans has won 5 straight road games and sits in 10th place in the West, where they would qualify for play-in games to determine the conference’s final two seeds.

The Nuggets have suffered only one loss since the All-Star Game and are one of the NBA’s hotter teams. They are 7-1 in their last eight games and 9-2 in their last 11. They are currently in sixth place in the West.

Pelicans at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Nuggets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pelicans +3.5 (-105) | Nuggets -3.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Pelicans at Nuggets key injuries

Pelicans

G Kira Lewis (knee) out
F Larry Nance Jr. (knee) out
F Zion Williamson (foot) out

Nuggets

C Nikola Jokic (illness) probable
G Jamal Murray (knee) out
F Zeke Nnaji (knee) questionable
F Michael Porter Jr. (back) out
G Austin Rivers (illness) probable

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Pelicans at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Pelicans 119

Money line

The Pelicans are 12-19 on the road this season, although they have won their last five games away from home. That is hard to keep up, especially against a hot team that plays well at home like Denver.

The Nuggets are 18-11 at home this season and have won five of their last six there. Six of their last seven games have come against teams with losing records. They won five of them.

Take the NUGGETS (-175).

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Against the spread

The Pelicans are 32-30-1 ATS overall this season. They have covered the spread in their last four games and in six of their last 10. They are 15-16 ATS on the road. The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 contests, but only 12-17 ATS at home this season.

With both teams playing extremely well, this game could come down to the wire.

Take the PELICANS +3.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Pelicans have held their opponents to 102 or fewer points in four straight games, but the Nuggets have averaged 117.3 points in their last eight games and have put up 115 or more in six of those games.

The Pelicans have scored 109 or more in eight straight and over 120 in their last three.

Take OVER 227.5 (-108).

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New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (19-32) visit the Mile High City Friday to play the Denver Nuggets (28-23). Tip-off at the Ball Arena is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Pelicans vs. Nuggets odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

NOLA snapped a 4-game losing skid Tuesday by defeating the Pistons in Detroit 111-101 as 2.5-point favorites. The Pelicans are 2-4 straight up (SU) but 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games.

Denver lost the final two games of a 6-game road trip, falling at the Minnesota Timberwolves 130-115 Tuesday and at the Utah Jazz without leading scorer in C Nikola Jokic 108-104 Wednesday. The Nuggets are 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight games.

Denver is 2-0 SU and ATS versus New Orleans this season with the O/U going 1-1.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA February 4 breakdown

Pelicans at Nuggets odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:59 p.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Nuggets -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
Against the spread: Pelicans +5.5 (-105) | Nuggets -5.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Pelicans at Nuggets key injuries

Pelicans

SG Josh Hart (knee) questionable
C Willy Hernangomez (health and safety protocols) out
SG Garrett Temple (health and safety protocols) out

Nuggets

C Demarcus Cousins (foot) questionable

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Pelicans at Nuggets odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 115, Pelicans 103

Money line

PASS.

I only “lean” to Denver laying the points, and there’s no way I’d bet on the Nuggets’ -250 price.

Against the spread

LEAN to the NUGGETS -5.5 (-120).

Denver is 7-6 (ATS) at home versus teams with a losing record. New Orleans is 8-10 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record.

More importantly, the Nuggets have a massive edge in the shooting department. They are third in effective field-goal percentage (eFG%). New Orleans is 27th in defensive eFG%.

It’s only a “lean” to the NUGGETS -5.5 (-120) because I have a stronger grasp of the total (see below).

Over/Under

There are a bunch of reasons to like UNDER 224.5 (-112).

NOLA is 22nd in pace and Denver is 23rd and both are top 10 in rebounding rate. So, I’m expecting a slow tempo and several “one-and-done” possessions.

Two of the three referees assigned to this matchup officiate far more Unders. This officiating crew has a combined 43-58 O/U record.

Denver has the third-worst free-throw attempt rate (FTr) and, while NOLA is fifth in FTr, the Nuggets are 10th in defensive FT/FGA rate. Typically, Under-friendly officials call fewer fouls, which keeps the clock running and obviously limits free-throw attempts.

I’m fading the heavy line movement and all the pro-Over money in the betting market. This opened with a 220-point total before being steamed all the way up to the current price.

NOLA is 0-6 O/U versus teams with a winning record, and the Under has cashed in six of the past seven Pelicans-Nuggets meetings.

The only reason the Dec. 8 Pelicans-Nuggets game went Over is that there were 24 points scored in overtime.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The New Orleans Pelicans (27-34) travel to meet the Denver Nuggets (40-21) Wednesday at Ball Arena. Tip-off is set for a 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Pelicans are looking to carry over the momentum from their 120-103 win over the visiting Los Angeles Clippers as two-point underdogs as the Under connected. They have won two of the past three games while going 2-1 ATS after a four-game SU/ATS skid from April 14-20.

The Nuggets belted the visiting Memphis Grizzlies 120-96, easily connected as favorites by two buckets, and they have won four in a row at home while covering two of those outings since their last setback at Ball Arena April 11 against the Boston Celtics.

Pelicans at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Nuggets -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans +4 (-110) | Nuggets -4 (-110)
Over/Under: 228.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Pelicans at Nuggets: Key injuries

Pelicans

C Steven Adams (toe) questionable
SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker (leg) out
SG Josh Hart (thumb) out
PF James Johnson (groin) probable

Nuggets

SG Will Barton (hamstring) out
PG Marcus Morris (hamstring) out
SG Jamal Murray (knee) out

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Pelicans at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Pelicans 114

Money line (ML)

The NUGGETS (-175) are worth a look, although they’re a little on the costly side straight up, and there is plenty of risk. These teams have split the first two meetings, with both teams winning 113-108 on each other’s home court.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -4 (-110) are worth playing lightly here. Neither of these teams have been very good against the number lately, as Denver is 1-4 ATS in the past five overall, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against losing teams.

The Pelicans +4 (-110) have cashed in just two of the past seven games overall, while the Pellies are just 1-5 ATS in the past six road outings.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 228.5 (-110) is the play, as the Nuggets do not play much defense. Denver has allowed 110.2 PPG to rank ninth in the NBA, and they have scored 115.5 PPG to rank fifth on offense. The Pels have hit the Over in four of the past five on the road.

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New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Denver Nuggets (25-16) host the New Orleans Pelicans (17-24) Sunday at Ball Arena for a 3 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Pelicans-Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

New Orleans just lost back-to-back games at the Portland Trail Blazers Tuesday and Thursday. The Pelicans covered the spread in the first meeting—a 125-124 loss as 2-point underdogs. The Pelicans are 3-5 straight up and 4-4 against the spread in March.

The Nuggets are 3-1 in their current five-game homestand, having won three straight games after dropping the first to the Dallas Mavericks March 13. Prior to this homestand, Denver swept a five-game road swing and is 8-1 straight and 6-3 ATS across its last nine games.

Denver beat New Orleans in the last of their three regular-season meetings last year. The Nuggets snapped a three-game losing skid and six-game non-cover streak against the Pelicans.

Pelicans at Nuggets: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Pelicans +195 (bet $100 to win $195) | Nuggets -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Pelicans +6 (-110) | Nuggets -6 (-110)
Over/Under: 234.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Pelicans at Nuggets: Key injuries

Pelicans

PG Lonzo Ball (hip) questionable
SG JJ Redick (heel) out

Nuggets

SG Gary Harris (thigh) out
SG Monte Morris (quadriceps) out

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Pelicans at Nuggets: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 120, Pelicans 111

Money line (ML)

PASS because Denver is the right side here, especially if Lonzo cannot play today, but it’s a bad return on investment to bet an NBA regular-season favorite as expensive as the Nuggets (-240).

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Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -6 (-110) are the play because MVP candidate C Nikola Jokic worked Pelicans C Steven Adams in their meetings last season when Adams played for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

In those three head-to-head games, Jokic averaged 30.0 points per game on 75.4% true shooting with 11.0 rebounds, 9.0 assists and a plus-34 net rating against Adams and the Thunder.

Also, Ball is trending toward not playing in this game, and him knocking down shots is very important to New Orleans’ offense.

If Lonzo isn’t out there, the Pelicans will have a tougher time spacing the floor and it’ll allow the Nuggets to pack the paint, making it tougher on PF Zion Williamson to score easy buckets.

Denver already has a good interior defense—10th in points in the paint allowed per game and second in opponent’s second-chance points per game—so the Nuggets have less perimeter shooting to worry about, and they can use extra bandwidth to slow down Zion.

BET NUGGETS -6 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN toward UNDER 234.5 (-115) for a half-unit because both teams play at a below-average tempo and Denver is second-to-last in pace of play.

Also, the Under has cashed in back-to-back Pelicans-Nuggets games and four of their last five meetings. The caveat is this is a strength-on-weakness matchup with Denver’s fifth-ranked effective shooting percentage going against New Orleans’ 29th-ranked defensive effective shooting percentage.

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Also see:

Lonzo Ball listed as questionable ahead of Pelicans game against Nuggets (Lonzo Wire)

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