The New Orleans Breakers (2-0) and the Birmingham Stallions (2-0) meet Saturday for a Week 3 USFL game at Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET (USA Network). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Breakers vs. Stallions odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.
The Breakers opened the season with a 22-15 win in Week 1 against the Pittsburgh Maulers as 4-point favorites and narrowly covered in a 38-31 win over the Houston Gamblers as 6.5-point favorites in Week 2. The Breakers are 2nd in the USFL with 30.0 points per game (PPG), behind the Stallions, with 34.5 PPG. The Over/Under has split in 2 games for New Orleans.
The Stallions won 27-10 against the New Jersey Generals in their opener and topped the Memphis Showboats 42-2 as 7-point favorites in Week 2, improving to 2-0 straight up and against the spread (ATS). The Under cashed in each outing for the Stallions.
The Stallions lead the all-time series 7-1, including a 31-17 win in the USFL semifinals playoff game last season. QB Kyle Sloter threw for 328 yards in that victory, the most passing yards in the series. He is now on the Stallions roster.
Birmingham also won 22-13 on May 1 and 18-9 on June 4 in regular-season action last season.
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Breakers vs. Stallions odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Breakers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Stallions -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Breakers +6 (-110) | Stallions -6 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Breakers vs. Stallions key injuries
Breakers
- WR Jay Adams (hip) probable
- DT Connor Christian (oblique) probable
- S Jarey Elder (shoulder) probable
- OG Marquis Lucas (leg) probable
- WR Lee Morris (ankle) probable
- DT Keonte Schad (back) questionable
Stallions
- DE Joe Jackson (ankle) out
- OT Matt Kaskey (hand) probable
- DB JoJo Tillery (foot) out
- LB Scooby Wright (calf) questionable
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Breakers vs. Stallions picks and predictions
Prediction
Stallions 25, Breakers 22
Moneyline
The Stallions (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, and there is just no value playing such a heavy favorite straight up.
Birmingham is again expected to start QB Alex McGough, with QB Kyle Sloter, a former Breaker, perhaps making his debut as the backup.
While Birmingham has won 7 of the 8 all-time meetings, including all 3 meetings last season, PASS, and look to the spread in what should be a close game.
Against the spread
Back the BREAKERS +6 (-110) to cover the number, although I’d obviously be a lot more comfortable if it were a flat 7 or 7 and a hook.
The Stallions have been stout on defense, allowing just 12 total points through 2 games, and the Breakers have been a little more giving. That will be the difference in this game.
Over/Under
UNDER 48.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in Week 3.
This total is way too high with how Birmingham’s defense has been playing. This team has allowed just 6.0 PPG, although New Orleans should be able to do much better than that. The Breakers posted 38 points last week against a bad Houston team, although they also allowed 31 points which is slightly concerning with an Under play. Still, going low is the way to go.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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