The New Mexico State Aggies (1-8) visit the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) Saturday in a non-conference tilt at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Ala. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. Below, we look at the New Mexico State vs. Alabama odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
The Aggies will collect a check for $1.9 million for being the sacrificial lambs in this late season SEC tradition of facing a week non-conference foe before rivalry week ramps up. New Mexico State has managed a 6-2 ATS mark across the past eight games, covering five times in six games as an underdog dog of 18 or more points.
The Crimson Tide will roll in this tune-up, which is essentially a bye week before finishing off with Arkansas at home and then the Iron Bowl at Auburn Nov. 27. The Tide covered a 45-point number Sept. 25 against Southern Miss in another $1.9M payout but failed to cover the 54 against FCS Mercer Sept. 4.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
New Mexico State at Alabama odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 3:52 p.m. ET.
- Money line: New Mexico State +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500) | Alabama -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): New Mexico State +51.5 (-117) | Alabama -51.5 (-103)
- Over/Under (O/U): 67.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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New Mexico State at Alabama odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 59, New Mexico State 17
Money line
It shouldn’t even have to be said, but Alabama (-10000) will cost you $100 for every $1 won. Just don’t do it.
PASS and focus on the spread.
Against the spread
NEW MEXICO STATE +51.5 (-117) will be able to keep this within seven touchdowns. QB Jonah Johnson and the Aggies offense is somewhat functional. Whether it is early in the game or late during garbage time, this team will find the end zone.
Alabama spanked Western Carolina 66-3 in its most recent late-season guarantee game Nov. 23, 2019. Prior to that, ‘Bama failed to cover a big number against The Citadel in Nov. 2018, and it is just 2-2 ATS in the past four late-season cupcake bashings.
Over/Under
The biggest winner of the day, besides the New Mexico State athletic department, will be those choosing to play OVER 67.5 (-108). The Over is 5-2 in the past seven for NMSU, while going 7-1 in the past eight non-conference home games for Alabama. That includes a 62-10 bashing of New Mexico State in the most recent meeting Sept. 7, 2019.
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