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The New Mexico Lobos (3-6, 2-3 Mountain West) and San Diego State Aztecs (3-5, 2-1) meet Friday in Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the New Mexico vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
New Mexico has dropped back-to-back games against Colorado State and Wyoming, and it now needs to win out in 3 final games against San Diego State, Washington State and Hawaii to become bowl eligible.
The Lobos defense has been horrific this season, allowing 35 or more points in 8 of 9 games. The Over is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, while cashing in 7 of 9 contests. UNM has allowed 492.3 total yards, 255.1 passing yards, 237.2 rushing yards and 40.8 points per game.
San Diego State has lost 2 in a row against Washington State and Boise State. The Aztecs were blown out 56-24 at Boise State last time out, but the previous 4 games were decided by 3 or fewer points. San Diego State had covered all 4 of those games before the non-cover against the Broncos.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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New Mexico at San Diego State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 7:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): New Mexico +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | San Diego State -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread: New Mexico +2.5 (-110) | San Diego State -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 66.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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New Mexico at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Diego State 38, New Mexico 31
Moneyline
SAN DIEGO STATE (-140) is worth playing as a moderate favorite, if you’re a very conservative bettor and you just don’t want to fiddle around with the points. And, with 4 of the past 5 games for San Diego State decided by 3 or fewer points, it might not be a bad strategy.
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Against the spread
If you’re a little more of a traditional bettor, SAN DIEGO STATE -2.5 (-110) is worth a look. The Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in the past 5 games, and they covered in the only game as a favorite against an FBS team on Oct. 5, edging Hawaii 27-24 as a 1-point favorite.
New Mexico +2.5 (-110) has scored 45 or more points in 4 of the past 5 games, but the defense has done it no favors with 35 or more points allowed in 8 of 9 games to date.
Over/Under
OVER 66.5 (-110) is worth a look, as the Lobos score a ton, and give up a ton.
The Over has cashed in 7 of 9 games this season. QB Devon Dampier has accounted for 23 total TDs, and he leads the team with 745 rushing yards with 13 scores. He also has 12 interceptions, so he has made many mistakes, leading to points for the other side.
The Aztecs have cashed high in 3 of 4 games. San Diego State scored 45 points against East Texas A&M, previously named Texas A&M-Commerce, in Week 1. But San Diego State has managed 27 or fewer points in 7 games against FBS foes. The expectation is that the Aztecs roll up big points because of the shabby defense of the Lobos, though.
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