2022 Ambetter 301 NASCAR odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Ambetter 301 in Loudon, N.H., with NASCAR odds, picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to New Hampshire Motor Speedway in Loudon Sunday for the 2022 Ambetter 301. The green flag is set to drop a little after 3 p.m. ET (USA). Below we analyze the 2022 Ambetter 301 odds and lines, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

Sunday’s race is scheduled for 301 laps on the 1.058-mile flat track quad-oval at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

Since the start of the 2018 season New Hampshire has hosted just one race per year, and it has bounced up and down between July and August on the schedule. Last July, it was Aric Almirola steering his Ford to Victory Lane, claiming checkers for that manufacturer for the 4th consecutive race.

2022 Ambetter 301: What you need to know

  • Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin leads all drivers with a 9.6 Average-Finish Position in 28 career starts on the flat track at Loudon. He is tied with teammate Kyle Busch and his older brother Kurt Busch with 3 victories.
  • Kevin Harvick leads all drivers with 4 wins at NHMS in 38 career starts, posting a 12.4 AFP with 13 top-5 finishes and 22 top-10 runs.
  • Kyle Busch leads all active drivers with 1,134 laps led at this track, while turning in a 14.3 AFP in 30 career starts.
  • Hendrick Motorsports driver Alex Bowman has struggled mightily at this New England stop, posting a 23.2 AFP while managing just 1 top-10 finish in 10 Cup starts.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. hasn’t been much better than Bowman, posting just 1 top-10 finish in 19 Cup starts, leading just 13 laps while posting a 22.7 AFP.

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Ambetter 301 – Expert picks

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

HAMLIN (+1000) is a strong play based upon his career numbers at this track. In his 28 career Cup starts he has finished outside of the top 10 just 11 times, leading 755 laps. He has also never had a DNF at the track.

KEVIN HARVICK (+1200) has been one of the strongest drivers on flat tracks, and he has certainly had his share of success at New Hampshire. In his 38 Cup starts, he has finished inside the top 10 an amazing 22 times. He has led 831 laps, and his 12.4 AFP is among the best.

Ambetter 301 picks – Long shot

COLE CUSTER (+20000) is worth a small-unit play. He has been a quick study in his 2 Cup starts at NHMS, finishing 8th and 14th, good for an 11.0 AFP. That’s 3rdd-best among active drivers with at least 2 Cup starts at the track. He is worth a roll of the dice for a big-time payday.

Ambetter 301 prop picks

DENNY HAMLIN – TOP TOYOTA (+270)

It’s a little bit of a risk, but I like Hamlin to have a strong race Sunday. Hamlin can help you earn more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, and his biggest competition will be from Kyle Busch (+230) and Martin Truex Jr. (+270). Both of those drivers have been strong at NHMS, too.

COLE CUSTER TOP-10 FINISH (+750)

Again, Custer has finished 8th and 14th in his 2 Cup runs at Loudon. While the chances of him winning are rather slim, a top-10 finish is certainly a lot more doable. This number represents a tremendous value that’s too hard to pass on.

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