The Nevada Wolf Pack (11-3, 1-0 Mountain West) battle the Air Force Falcons (9-5, 0-1) at Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, Colo., Saturday. Tip is set for 2 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Nevada at Air Force school odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Wolf Pack edged past Boise State 74-72 Wednesday to push as a 2-point home favorite. Nevada is 8-4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They are 7-0 at home, 2-2 on the road, and 2-1 on neutral courts. Nevada ranks 36th in opponents’ field goal percentage (39.1%).
The Falcons got blown out on the road against San Diego State 71-55 on Wednesday but still covered a 17-point spread as underdogs. Air Force is 10-4 ATS this season. They are 8-2 at home and 1-3 away. Air Force’s defense ranks 9th in the nation for opponents’ 3-point percentage (26.8%).
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Nevada at Air Force odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 10:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nevada -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Air Force +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nevada -3.5 (-110) | Air Force +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Nevada at Air Force picks and predictions
Prediction
Air Force 65, Nevada 62
Moneyline
PASS.
Although Air Force is 8-2 at home, Nevada still poses a challenge and the (+140) odds are not worth the risk. Considering the 3.5-point spread, the value here is on the spread.
Against the spread
BET AIR FORCE +3.5 (-110).
This season, the Falcons are 4-2 as underdogs and 8-2 straight up at home. They have also covered 8 in a row and have a strong defensive efficiency as earlier noted.
Nevada’s offense, on the other hand, ranks 255th in field goal percentage (43.2%) which should lend itself to an Air Force cover. Its inability to score should lead to this being a close battle.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 130.5 (-115).
The Nevada offense ranks 168th in the country with 73.1 points per game while the Air Force offense ranks 255th with 69 per game. Neither team scores efficiently.
On the contrary, the Nevada defense ranks 36th in the country for opponents’ field goal percentage (39.1%), and the Air Force defense ranks 85th (40.7%), a recipe for the Under.
While this total is low, neither offense is overly efficient, and both teams have strong defenses. Back the UNDER 130.5 (-115).
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