Tag: NCAAF Picks

College football final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is. 

– Contact/Follow @PeteFiutak

This is all for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …

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Week 6 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 6 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 6 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 5 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL
– 10 Best College Football Picks Against The Spread

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts, Week 6

12:00 ET Gametimes

Texas A&M has yet to win a really, really, really big game under Jimbo Fisher. It won a few mid-range ones, but beating Florida would be a program changer, while a loss would mean a 1-2 start with a trip to Mississippi State up next. You know how this is going to go against the Gators – the only question is whether or not you believe in the 6.5. (hint: you should)
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

North Carolina plays way too many close games, it doesn’t roll the good teams when it wins, and Virginia Tech is better – at least if it’s healthy. The return of QB Hendon Hooker helps, and it would be nice if the line bounces back up – UNC -4 after starting -7 – but the Hokies might win this outright. Unfortunately, the Hokies at +155 on the money line isn’t enticing enough.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Just how screwed up is the line on LSU vs. Missouri? If this was in Baton Rouge – like it was supposed to be – this is LSU -20ish or so, but because it moved to Mizzou thanks to hurricane concerns, it’s at around -14. This is a plucky MU team that will fight for a full four quarters, but we all might be getting a bargain basement line on LSU here.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Oklahoma – Texas is as coin-flipy as it gets. Here’s the problem. Oklahoma is better than 1-2, but it couldn’t close in the losses to Kansas State and Iowa State because Spencer Rattler needs more at-bats. On the other side, Texas might be just plain meh. In what should be a dead-even game – it’s OU -2.5 – if everything is even, one side has the four-year starter, the other has the guy who hasn’t come through with games on the line.

One other thing – the over on the 72 is calling you, but don’t take the bait. Neither team is playing a whole lot of D, but 72 is still a big ask. It’s the fun early game, so of course you’re going to go over – just don’t go huge.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

I know a few guys jumping all over Liberty -19.5 over ULM. With that caveat, ehhhhhhhhhhhh. ULM has been miserable so far, but the Liberty defense hasn’t been anything special and the Warhawk O is starting to get its legs. If this is 55-0 Liberty, I’ll tip my cap, but … ehhhhhhhhhhhh.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Is NC State good? Its defense hasn’t been anything to get fired up about, but I’m not about to get into a twist over getting rocked by a strong Virginia Tech team a few weeks ago – even if the Hokies were missing a ton of guys. Try this. I don’t think NC State is all that good, but I’m happy to take the 8 against Virginia to find out, and after beating Pitt on the road last week, I’m curious on the +250 money line play.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Speaking of money line plays …

You’re never, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever going to do it, but at least give some thought to Vanderbilt +425 on the money line at home against South Carolina. You know the Commodores are going to score around 17 points, but that D could hold that O to 16. However, if you believe the Gamecocks can and will score 28, like them at -13.5.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Duke isn’t very good at college football this season. Syracuse isn’t very good at college football this season. Getting one point shouldn’t matter, but it’s the principle of the thing – the Orange as an underdog at home to Duke is insulting. Like the Orange you believe they can keep Duke from generating 19 sacks.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

If you can get Army -29 somewhere against The Citadel, consider it. The Citadel trying to throw the ball in comeback mode makes the world a sadder place.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

NEXT: 3:30 to 4:00 ET Gametimes

College football final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is. 

– Contact/Follow @PeteFiutak

This is all for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …

[jwplayer PkCtjTd4-boEY74VG]

Week 5 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 5 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 5 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 4 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts, Week 5

As we get started with the Saturday games, BYU is hosting Louisiana Tech. On Friday night. The line is cranking up from BYU -22 to -24.5, and it might only go way up from there. Louisiana Tech is good enough to keep this from getting out of hand, but I get it – it’s been zero fun, sir, to be on the wrong end of this Cougar juggernaut over its first two games.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

12:00 ET Gametimes

What, exactly, about that offensive performance against Ole Miss would lead you to believe that Florida isn’t going to be an offensive powerhouse all year? South Carolina has talent. It has a defense. It has good enough passing game to screw you up late, but if you can get this at 17.5, you’re happy.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Is that really right? TCU has beaten Texas in four of the last five years? AND you’re getting 11.5 with the Horned Frogs? Texas is a much, much better team, and it might just bounce back from whatever that was against Texas Tech and rock, but this D once again isn’t tackling. Love the over on the 63, like never messing around with a trend – especially if you can get +12. That +340 on the money line isn’t too bad, either.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

The Tennessee-Missouri line has been hovering around Vols -12.5. Ehhhhhh, that seems way rich for Tennessee to be giving away that much to anyone in the SEC. The Tigers are going to keep pressing for four quarters, even if they get down early.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

I’m trying to love you, NC State. I’ve been in your corner all offseason that 2019 was just a blip, everything will flip back around, and then … yuck. The defense is awful, the offense is going to be inconsistent, and now you get a Pitt team that’s going to pay rent in your backfield. However, be careful, everyone. Pitt -14 is just about right for this.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Good luck trying to figure out East Carolina at Georgia State. The line is sort of irrelevant – it started at Panthers -6, got down to -1, and now is at -2. That’s probably right in what should be a close game, but don’t measure anything – like last week’s ECU loss – that happens against UCF the week before. This is as coin-flippy as it gets.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Arkansas State should be much more than three points better than Coastal Carolina, but that -3 line just feels like a tease. This is one of those moments when you go with the stronger team, and have a short memory if it doesn’t work out.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

I have a bad habit of trying to make picks happen – at least once in a while. I’m trying to make this West Virginia team a thing, because it should be. It’s a home underdog, Baylor is probably being handed an extra two points because it played Kansas last week, and Neal Brown is too good a coach to let this Mountaineer thing slide for too much longer.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

At the very least, UTSA has been fun. It’s 3-0, the offense is working, and the defense is … bad. UAB is coming off a crushing performance against South Alabama that’s being a bit blown up a bit in the lines. UTSA should be able to keep up enough to cover the 20.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

If you’re that weird to be interested in Liberty hosting North Alabama …  check that. There’s nothing weird about going to the window. Of course you’re going Liberty -30.5. This team isn’t going to take it light and easy on anyone. It’s going to need to pour it on whenever it has a chance, and it’s going to run for 300 yards in this.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

NEXT: 3:30 to 4:00 ET Gametimes

College football final thoughts, a few predictions, and some investment advice to make your life a heck of a lot better than it currently is. 

– Contact/Follow @PeteFiutak

This is all for spits, giggles, and entertainment purposes only, however, just in case you dabble …

[jwplayer PkCtjTd4-boEY74VG]

Week 4 Fearless Predictions, Game Previews 
– Week 4 Schedule, Times, Lines, Previews
– CFN Fearless Predictions & Game Previews
– Week 4 Expert Picks & Predictions: College
– Week 3 Expert Picks & Predictions: NFL

College Football Betting Advice, Final Thoughts, Week 4

12:00 ET Gametimes

It’s the wrong way to look at games, but being contrarian has worked out well so far this season. Kansas State should get blown out by Oklahoma. It’s had COVID issues over this last week, it’s coming off a loss a few weeks ago against Arkansas State, and the secondary is in trouble. The 28-point line on the OU side is a wee bit rich, though, for a team that can control the ball like K-State can.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Don’t overthink the SEC games. Of course Ole Miss will be fired up for the Lane Kiffin opener against Florida. The Gator D, though, should be the difference to keep the Rebel offense down to make the Florida -13.5 doable . Beware – you’ll have to wait until the fourth quarter to get anywhere near comfortable.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Remembering that it’s the opener for all of the SEC teams, who’ll be ragged and who’ll do better if things get sloppy? It stinks that Kentucky lost a half a point, but covering the 7.5 against Auburn works since no one bogs things down like the Wildcats. If you’re into the money line, UK +250 isn’t bad.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Don’t think too hard – if at all – about the UCF-East Carolina game. We don’t know what ECU is yet, but UCF got its clunker game out of the way. The Knights played like hot garbage in the win over Georgia Tech, and the offense still blew up. 27 points are a ton to give up, but getting to 50 for this O is doable.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Money line people, here you go. Of course it’s icky and wrong to bring the pandemic into all of this, but if Louisiana is still going to get out there and play after losing several key players for this week, then it’s a moral imperative to like the idea of Georgia Southern +370. Teams tend to focus better in times of crisis – I do like the Ragin’ Cajuns – but the ML is the nice value idea.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

People like to talk about things being overrated and underrated. Louisville seems like its properly rated. Pitt is a bit of a mystery still, but it’s been sharp, and the D line should own the Cardinal offensive front. Giving away three might seem like an obvious gift after the fact.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Syracuse can’t really be this bad, can it? North Carolina is good – it might be great. Pitt is good – it might be great. There’s a chance two things can be right at once. Syracuse might be struggling, and those two might be amazing. That’s a long-winded way of saying Georgia Tech is just okay, and the Orange getting eight at home is massive. The +250 money line play isn’t bad, either.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

Stay away from Georgia State at Charlotte unless you really feel strongly. Panthers -3 is about right, especially with the way the ground game should work. Charlotte is a whole lot better, though, than it was against Appalachian State.
– CFN Game Preview, Prediction
– Bet on this, BetMGM latest line

NEXT: 1:00 to 4:00 ET Gametimes