NC State Wolfpack vs. Purdue Boilermakers odds lines moneyline against the spread Over Under

March Madness: NC State vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s NC State vs. Purdue odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The NC State Wolfpack (26-14) and Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) meet in a national semifinal in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament Saturday. Tip-off from State Farm Arena in Glendale, Ariz., is slated for 6:09 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the NC State vs. Purdue odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The 11th-seeded Wolfpack have rattled off 9 straight victories in the postseason, while covering 7 of the previous 8 outings. They are a perfect 7-0 against the spread (ATS) in 7 games as underdogs in the postseason — 3-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament and 4-0 ATS in the ACC Tourney.

NC State dumped rival Duke 76-64 in the Elite 8. The Wolfpack were 7-point underdogs and the Under (142) cashed. The Under is 3-1 in the Pack’s 3 NCAA Tournament games with the lone exception an overtime victory over 14th-seeded Oakland in the 2nd round, the only game NC State has been favored in the tourney. Had there not been overtime in that game, the Under would have cashed there, too.

Purdue, the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region, covered all 4 of its NCAA Tourney games. The most difficult test came in the Elite 8 when Purdue defeated 2nd-seeded Tennessee 72-66. The Boilermakers were 3-point favorites vs. the Vols as the Under (148) connected. Otherwise, Purdue has won each of its first 3 Tourney games by 12 or more points with the Under going 3-1.

UConn (35-3), the No. 1 team in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, will face 18th-ranked Alabama (25-11) in the other semifinal — scheduled to tip at 8:49 p.m. ET (TBS) or 30 minutes after unranked NC State and No. 3 Purdue conclude.

NC State vs. Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): NC State +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Purdue -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread: NC State +9.5 (-115) | Purdue -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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NC State vs. Purdue and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 76, NC State 69

Moneyline

Purdue (-450) will cost 4½ times your potential return. That’s not smart sport gambling, just too much risk for not nearly enough reward.

On the flip side, NC State (+350) is an awfully tempting play as hot as it has been. However, the Wolfpack haven’t faced a player the caliber of Boilermakers C Zach Edey. It will be interesting to watch Edey and NC State C DJ Burns Jr. banging down low.

Meanwhile, AVOID a moneyline play and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

NC STATE +9.5 (-115) is worth playing as we’re nearly catching double-digit points. The Wolfpack should be able to keep it within single digits, even if their improbable run comes to an end Saturday night in suburban Phoenix.

Purdue is just 2-5 ATS in the past 7 games as a favorite of 10 or fewer points, although those 2 covers have come in the previous 2 outings, NCAA Tourney wins against Tennessee and 5th-seeded Gonzaga in the Sweet 16.

Still, tread lightly.

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Over/Under

UNDER 146.5 (-110) is the lean. Go with a half-unit play at most.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for the Boilermakers, and the total has gone low in 3 of the past 4 outings for the Wolfpack, too.

The defense has reigned supreme in the NCAA Tournament for both of these sides, but the Over dominated for both sides during the regular season, particularly Purdue, so be careful. The Boilers are 23-14 O/U on the season, while the Pack are 22-17-1 O/U.

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Final Four first look: NC State vs. Purdue odds, lines and trends

What you need to know: NCAA Tournament early look at Saturday’s NC State vs. Purdue Final Four odds.

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The No. 11 seed NC State Wolfpack (26-14) and the top-seeded Purdue Boilermakers (33-4) meet in a Final Four matchup Saturday at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET (TBS). Below, we look at NC State vs. Purdue odds from BetMGM Sportsbook before making our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

The Wolfpack are 9-for-9 in the postseason, while covering 7 of those ACC and NCAA Tournament games. They’re also an on-fire 7-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past 7 as underdogs. It is NC State’s 1st trip to the Final Four since 1983 with coach Jim Valvano, when the “Cardiac Pack” stunned top-ranked Houston 54-52 to win the program’s 2nd national championship.

For the 14th time in NCAA history a school will have its men’s and women’s basketballs teams in the Final Fours. The NC State women won their Elite 8 game against Texas Sunday.

As for the Boilermakers, they gutted out a 72-66 win over the 2nd-seeded Tennessee Volunteers Sunday, covering as 3-point favorites, to punch their ticket to the program’s 1st Final Four since 1980. C Zach Edey was a one-man wrecking crew, going for 40 points on 13-of-21 shooting, while grabbing 16 rebounds against the Vols.

Purdue won and covered all 4 of its games in the NCAA Tournament, while cashing the Under in 3 of those 4 outings. The Boilermakers haven’t faced an ACC team since Nov. 30, 2022, when they won at Florida State 79-69. Purdue actually beat Duke 75-56 in the game prior to that on a neutral floor in Portland.

Purdue is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, while NC State is unranked.

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NC State vs. Purdue odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook’s; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:17 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): NC State +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Purdue -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
Against the spread: NC State +9.5 (-115) | Purdue -9.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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2023-24 betting stats (includes postseason)

Source: Covers.com

ML: NC State 26-14 | Purdue 33-4
ATS: NC State 20-19-1 | Purdue 21-15-1
O/U: NC State 22-17-1 | Purdue 23-14

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NC State vs. Purdue head-to-head

Ironically, Purdue is the last Big Ten team that NC State faced. On Dec. 12, 2021, the Boilermakers topped the Wolfpack 82-72 in OT at Barclays Center in Brooklyn. Edey, who was just a sophomore then, finished with 9 points, 7 rebounds and 2 blocks. NC State G Casey Morsell played in that game, going for 3 points and 5 rebounds off the bench.

These teams have never met in the NCAA Tournament.

Purdue last faced an ACC team in the NCAA Tournament in 2019 when it fell 80-75 in OT to Virginia in the Elite 8. Prior to that, Purdue lost to Duke in the Sweet 16 in 2010. It also lost to Duke in 1994 in the Elite 8. The Boilermakers’ last win against an ACC team in the NCAA Tourney came in 1980 when they eliminated Duke in the Elite 8 — which happens to be the last time Purdue was in the Final Four.

NC State last faced a Big Ten team in the NCAA Tournament in 2005, falling to Wisconsin in the Sweet 16. The Wolfpack beat Michigan State in the first round in 2002, and it topped Iowa in 2OT in the second round of the 1989 tournament. It is 3-3 all time against the Big Ten in the NCAA Tournament.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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